DXY Weekly Draw on Liquidity Hello, Traders
Im expecting bearishness on the dollar next week.
I want to see DXY give a strong reaction off the Weekly Orderblock.
Ideally, since Im bearish on DXY I want to see price above Sunday's opening price on Monday which would be Premium.
We know banks sell in a Premium.
Why would they be selling at a lower price(discount).
It makes sense that they sell at higher prices.
I wish you good luck and good trading.
Weeklyanalysis
BTC Weekly range long setup BINANCE:BTCUSDT
Bitcoin is currently bouncing up but I won't jump into trades now because I think bitcoin is in a weird spot right now. I think we can definitely see a drop back down to the 2021 yearly support of 32 - 29k This is the place I would long. I would place a stoploss below 29k incase we break the yearly support and take profits in the range midpoint at around 43 - 46k
Semiconductors at long-term supportWhen looking at a weekly chart, it is easier to see if an asset is in a bullish or bearish trend.
Taking a look a the SOXX, we see we are at a potential place for a bounce.
I chose the 52 exponential-moving average because there are 52 weeks in a year, and it has worked very well in the past.
A close on a weekly basis below this level is the signal to get out. If we can hold though, it would be a strong bull case for a bottom.
Gold: Weekly Forecast 23rd January 2022Gold shot through the supply level at 1830 but face resistance at the top of a symmetrical triangle.
The recent bullish trend that has lasted for just over a month could be an upward consolidation of the previous bearish wave.
This week, we would preferably wait for the price to climb a little higher and look for a selling opportunity.
GBPUSD: Weekly Forecast 23rd January 2022GBPUSD seemed to have resumed a bearish trend as the demand level at 1.36 failed to hold.
This is also after a break below of a rising trendline while the market is still trending upwards strongly.
This week, we will change our focus to sell the pullback, awaiting a pullback towards 1.36 again.
EURUSD: Weekly Forecast 23rd January 2022EURUSD pulled back deeper than expected but still found support at the bottom of a rising channel.
While the overall trend is clearly bearish, the 2 months bullish trend still holds and we could expect a stronger rebound from the current demand level towards 1.14.
This week, we will look to buy at the beginning while the price is still at the bottom.
We may attempt to sell again when it reaches the supply level at 1.14 as this may also develop into another bearish wave.
Gold weekly analysis: The USD in under pressureThe dollar has posted its worst weekly performance in five months as it closes out the week.
China's gross domestic product (GDP) is higher than expected is at the top of all of the other happenings this week.
We will be keeping an eye on various data points throughout the week.
It was the largest weekly loss in the general index of the US dollar since August of last year when it closed the trading session on Friday, the 14th of January, at levels of 95.14, after testing its lowest level in two months at 94.60 midweek, as the US dollar ignored all the news that supports the speed with which the US Federal Reserve is tightening policy. Because of his monetary policy, which includes raising US interest rates more quickly during the current year and raising expectations that what will raise interest rates four times during the current year rather than three times as previously expected, interest rates are expected to be submitted four times during the current year.
At the beginning of the week, statements by US Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell reinforced these expectations, as Powell stated in his testimony before Congress that the US Federal Reserve must raise interest rates quickly to counteract the effects of accelerating inflation.
According to the most recent figures, the consumer price index in the United States of America increased at an annual rate of 7 percent in December, compared to 6.8 percent in the previous reading, in line with expectations for the fastest rate of inflation growth in 40 years. In November, the consumer price index increased at an annual rate of 6.8 percent, compared to 6.8 percent in the previous reading.
The dollar did not benefit in any way from all of this, and despite the positive news that dominated most of last week's sessions for the US dollar, the dollar continued to decline sharply. However, I believe this can be explained by the beginning of the year and the construction of new centers, especially given the high expectations of pricing an opportunity greater than 90 percent. Moreover, according to the FedWatch CME Group tool, what will raise the interest rate in March, and it will be presented a total of four times during the current calendar year, starting in March.
One of the most recent data released last week was the December retail sales data from the United States, which came in below expectations and disappointed as sales fell by 1.9 percent in December, raising concerns about the economy and rising inflationary pressures on consumers spending.
Aas fundamentally the USD is under pressure, so the gold still has chances to go upside in the coming days. Check out the H4 chart to better understand.
What is it that the markets are looking forward to this week?
Several important economic reports are expected to be released during the sessions of the current week, and the markets are anticipating them. We began the day with data from China's growth and retail sales, which were released during the Asian session, as well as minutes from the Central Bank of Japan's meeting, inflation data from Canada and the United Kingdom, labor market data from Australia and the United Kingdom, and manufacturing data from the United States of America.
Data released by the Chinese National Bureau of Statistics in the Asian session today, Monday, showed that the country's gross domestic product (GDP) increased by 4 percent in the fourth and last quarter of 2021, exceeding expectations of growth of approximately 3.7 percent.
On the other hand, retail sales fell short of expectations, with annual sales growth slowing to 1.7 percent, down from 3.9 percent in November and expectations of 3.8 percent in December.
On the other hand, industrial production increased by approximately 4.3 percent in December, compared to a growth of 3.8 percent in November, exceeding expectations of a gain of 3.7 percent, while the rate of investment in fixed assets increased by approximately 4.9 percent.
The Bank of Japan is featured prominently on the front page.
The Bank of Japan is expected to announce its monetary policy tomorrow, Tuesday, during the Asian session, with expectations indicating that the Bank of Japan will maintain its monetary policy and interest rates at -0.10 percent.
The sharp rise in the value of the Japanese yen over the past week may explain why the Bank of Japan has hinted that it may impose strict measures shortly, particularly in light of the rise in inflation in Japan, which is in line with the global trend.
On the other hand, Japanese bond yields saw significant increases last week, with the 10-year bond yield reaching its highest level in more than a year on concerns that the Bank of Japan will tighten monetary policy shortly.
We will keep an eye on various data points throughout the week.
Today, Monday will be a trading holiday in the United States observant of Martin Luther King Day. At the same time, manufacturing sales and the Bank of Canada survey of business outlook will be released from Canada in the late afternoon and evening.
During the Asian trading session on Tuesday, the Bank of Japan will announce its monetary policy, while during the European trading session, we will be looking at data from the British labor market, the ZEW index from Germany, and the Eurozone, and during the American trading session, we will be looking at the Empire Estate manufacturing index from the United States of America.
Thursday's economic calendar includes inflation data from the United Kingdom in the European period and Canada in the American session and statements from Bank of England governor Mark Carney at the end of the American session. On Wednesday, inflation data will be released in European and American sessions.
What will monitor Thursday's labor market data from Australia (unemployment rate and change in employment) in the Asian session? At the same time, the European region will release the final inflation reading in the European period - in the American session, the Philadelphia manufacturing index, weekly unemployment benefits, and home sales will be removed, among other things.
The final session of the week is on Friday. The Bank of Japan meeting minutes will be released during the Asian session, and we will be keeping an eye on retail sales in the United Kingdom and Canada during the European and American sessions, respectively.
Nasdaq: Weekly Forecast 16th January 2022Nasdaq is no doubt in a bull market even though it has ranged for the past 2 months and seems to be breaking lower.
However, it has repeatedly create a new wave of rally every times it reaches the black MA, rebounded off, then retest again before it really takes off.
As of now, the market has completed a retest and we are seeing a rebound again which may very well be the beginning of yet another rally to a new high.
This week, we will focus on buying, likely to buy at the beginning as we are expecting little to no retracement before it reaches 16300.
WTI: Weekly Forecast 18th July 2021WTI continued to rally very strongly and has finally fully recovered from a previous dip of over 20 dollars.
There is no doubt in the demand of oil and prices are going to climb even higher going forward.
The market is now trading at the upper side of a major rising channel has shown nothing but bulls.
This week, we will patiently wait for another pullback and continue to buy, preferably at 80.
Gold: Weekly Forecast 16th January 2022Gold rebounded off well from a rising trendline, found resistance at 1829 but stayed closed to it.
The fact that the market is constantly rejected at 1829 may cause a deeper pullback towards the downside before it garner stronger buyers.
A minor rising trendline was also broken below after multiple rejection at the current high.
This week, we will focus on selling at the beginning, looking for a better price to sell at 1823.
Later on and should the price comes down, we will look for support at the demand level 1797 to see if there's an opportunity to buy again.
GBPUSD: Weekly Forecast 16th January 2022GBPUSD has remained bullish every week consistently for almost a month now and is showing no sign of stopping just yet.
The price has now broken above the top of a 7-month falling channel and more bulls will be expected going forward.
This week, we will continue to look for buying opportunities on every pullback with 1.3630 as the key demand level for an entry for now.
EURUSD: Weekly Forecast 16th January 2022EURUSD has broken above a 7-month falling trendline, opening the door for more buyers.
However, the bigger picture shows a clear downtrend and the recent increase in the price could be just another major pullback.
Resistance was also seen at the supply level of 1.1450, causing EURUSD to give up over 70 pips before the week ends.
Nevertheless, a direction needs to be picked and we will follow the recent bullish trend and look for buying opportunities as the price pulls back a little more or finds support at the demand level 1.1370.
EURUSD - LONG TERM VIEWFX:EURUSD is currently trading in a range on weekly and daily basis.
The crucial resistance level is 1.14246.
The next two crucial levels are 1.15924 and 1.17006.
If the trend line and the range breaks, these crucial levels are the next to reach .
The forecast line is being followed from 2016, at 2020, we have seen a big volume when the price reached near to this line again.
Trade Details :
Trade Active: When range, trendline breaks
Entry at or below = 1.14246
Stop Loss = 1.11679 , or the Red Forecast Line
Target 1: 1.15924
Target 2: 1.17006
Trading period: 5-6 weeks or longer
Take your trade only after doing your own analysis and plans.
Happy Trading :)
WTI: Weekly Forecast 9th January 2022WTI continued to rise sharply last week and is becomingly clear it has resumed a strong bullish trend.
However, we will still continue to observe resistance at supply level 79.9 to 81.3 as it may still provide strong selling.
This week, we will wait for a pullback towards 77.3 to look for a buying opportunity.
Gold: Weekly Forecast 9th January 2022Gold came down again after a month-long of upward consolidation but found support at demand level 1787.
The trend is currently still ranging and the price is now trading right in the middle of the entire symmetrical triangle.
This week, we will observe for further support at the demand level 1787 and look for buying opportunity if it holds.
Otherwise, the price could break down and go lower towards the 1767 demand level and we can look for buying opportunities again at the bottom of the symmetrical triangle.
GBPUSD: Weekly Forecast 9th January 2022GBPUSD gained further last week and will be retesting the 7-month falling trendline very soon.
The price is already trading deep into the supply level at 1.3562, alongside with the golden ratio and thus a sudden reversal could take place anytime soon.
This week, we will attempt to sell as the price continues to climb higher with 1.3600 as the key level.
EURUSD: Weekly Forecast 9th January 2022EURUSD dived over 100 pips on the first trading day, found support at 1.1286 throughout the week, and made a comeback on the last trading day.
The price is still trading within a consolidation pattern and a retest of the supply level at 1.1383 is highly expected.
This week, we will wait for the retest at 1.1383 and towards the 7-month falling trendline to look for a selling opportunity.
WTI: Weekly Forecast 2nd January 2022WTI found resistance at 77 after another rally at the beginning of the week.
While the oil prices have been on the rise through December, it is becomingly obvious that this is part of a pullback for the bearish trend that formed through November previously.
The price has also came down on the last trading day which did cause some breakdown of its current bullish structure.
This week, we will be waiting to sell the pullback from 76.20 onwards, aiming for 73.
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Gold: Weekly Forecast 2nd January 2022Gold rose for the 3rd week since it took off from the demand level at 1768.
As the price reaches a key resistance at 1829, little resistance is seen and thus could extend the rally going into the coming week.
The gold is expected to continue rising through the vacuumed area from the current 1829 to the key supply level at 1850.
This week, we will wait for a pullback towards 1818 to buy again and aim for the top of the entire symmetrical triangle, as well as the key supply level at 1850.
However, we also see a good chance of pulling deeper towards 1805 should the current trend continues to follow its whippy structure.
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GBPUSD: Weekly Forecast 2nd January 2022GBPUSD stayed very bullish for the 2nd week since the BOE started raising rates.
There's no doubt that the pound can continue to climb higher but will face strong resistance as it approaches a major supply level at 1.3560.
The supply level also sits well at the top of a 6-month falling channel, together with the golden ratio.
This week, we will wait for a pullback towards 1.3500 for an intraday buy and look out for strong resistance from 1.3560 onwards.
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EURUSD: Weekly Forecast 2nd January 2022EURUSD has been squeezing out more bulls and managed to stand above an one and a half-month consolidation.
While the overall trend is still clearly bearish, there's just about enough gap between the current price and the supply zone at 1.1440 for another couple of bullish run in the intraday.
Therefore, we will wait for a pullback towards 1.1350 for an intraday buy in the coming week while looking out for a strong reversal as it approaches 1.1440 right at the top of a 7-month falling channel.
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