Bitcoin's Resistance Turned Support?Bitcoin Weekly Chart:
Bitcoin has found support on the previous resistance line as shown on the weekly chart above.
If Bitcoin can his can close this current week with a green '1' above the blue trend line, the bear market could finally be over!
This is not financial advice, as I am a self-taught investor.
Weeklychart
Simple Long-Term Trading TechniqueUsing the CHOP_LRSI (Laguerre's Time RSI with choppiness index overlay) and my Fibonacci Moving Average indicator, I base my long term buy and sell zones by the indicators marked in bullish and bearish ellipses in green and red respectively. A couple of those trend indications are based on support and resistance lines, naturally.
These indicators seem to work great on many of the higher cap crypto-assets; the weekly chart seeming excellent for the long-term trader.
GOLD: Thermometer of World Economic SentimentHi Guys,
the above structure is based on the assumption that gold, among other factors, is driven by negative economic outlooks and is considered a safe haven asset.
For me the simpliest way to put it in order to undestsand price action in the last 10 years is the following: Financial Crisis have driven gold price up and the System have responded by implementing policies aimed to stabilize.
IMHO, since the Financial Crisis, gold represets the thermometer for level of stabilization of the World Economic Sentiment. Gold was at 1000 before the Financial Crisis right? It has doubled it's value due to fear, topped, pulled back, tested 1046 and it's ranging since, probably waiting for the next Financial Crisis to happen. But until that moment, I am not expecting major decisives moves.
Here a link to the Cup & Handle formation which has been unfolding since 2018.
Thank you for your support and for sharing your ideas.
Don't forget to put a like if you appreciate the post and to follow me if you want to receive notifications on new and updated ideas.
Disclaimer:
Please note that I am not a professional trader and these are my personal ideas only. The information contained in this presentation is solely for educational purposes and does not constitute investment advice. The risk of trading in securities markets can be substantial. You should carefully consider if engaging in such activity is suitable to your own financial situation. Cozzamara is not responsible for any liabilities arising from the result of your market involvement or individual trade activities.
90% Chance of Bull Run in 2019 - 3rd Bullish Indicator!Hello everyone! This is my first ever TV post! There will certainly be more to come in the future!
Firstly, I want to thank you all for stopping by. I've finally decided to come out of my shell, and I feel like I have something important to say. To help involve myself in the trading community I would like to point out a few things that no one has really considered. At the end of the post please feel free to comment, spark discussions and share some of your thoughts on the matter, or even play devils advocate for the fun of it.
Just a quick disclaimer, my posts are simply forecasts of what I think may or may not happen, its my personal thoughts and opinion on the market. My skills and knowledge are not financial advice, which means I'm not responsible for your losses and I won't be held accountable for anything you do.
So let's talk about this chart, I've combined every western exchange into 1 chart. This includes bitfinex, coinbase, bitstamp, poloniex, binance, and bittrex. That means the price, volume, liquidity, and so on of every exchange has been averaged into 1 chart. This will make the chart more accurate in terms of data and price direction.
I like to keep things simple, I don't like drawing too many lines or use fancy indicators, especially for this post because its on the weekly, you can't draw much on the weekly charts anyway. Now of course, if you follow any TA updates on your newsfeed, you've probably heard this many times, "we're at a crucial point in the market. Are we bullish?" or something among those lines. For the first time in a long time, we're actually retesting the giant red down trend, that's been holding us down for so long since 2018.
Now let's talk about the most common pattern everyone's talking about, the weekly ascending triangle. This triangle is already in full effect, we can already see the candle pump above resistance, which also pumped above the red downtrend, that's a double win so far. All we have to do now is wait for the week to end. I believe we are bullish. However, the catch is that we're bullsih ONLY IF the candle of this week closes above the red downtrend, and it must be a green candle too, this will be an important indicator to really show where the direction of this market is going. It's Tuesday, 2nd of April in my time, we have 5-6 days for the weekly to close.
To reinforce this point further, we can look at the RSI. This is my favourite part because it was a eureka moment when I saw this. The market cycle is changing, there's no denying that, on the weekly at least. The red downtrend shows the bearish market structure of 2018, from 20k to 3.2k. It's only recently that we started to see a change. The green line shows a change in the market structure, the volume on the RSI has crossed above the red line and begun moving upward, ignoring the old pattern. We're starting to see lower highes and not higher lows. Jan 28 was the turning point of the market cycle changing.
UPDATE: A massive pump just happened again today on the 2nd of April, it pumped $500 within a 5 hours. It seems like this was the ascending triangle playing out, and not to mention there's also a daily reverse heads and shoulders inside it, definitely 2 huge bullish signs. My theory still stands, let's not get our hopes up just yet. We still need to wait for the weekly candle to close, that's probably the best final confirmation to look for. Again, our overall direction seems bullish, there's no doubt about that, before this pump, the market cap was increasing by 1 billion per day, it was a build up that lead to this moment it seems.
The weekly RSI is the reason for this post, the most recent bullish indicator that caught my attention. Now obviously the 2 main things that triggered this event were the other 2 bullish indicators, which happen to be the daily reverse heads and shoulders, and the weekly ascending triangle but that's a story for another time.
Thank you all for taking the time to read this. I really hope this gave you some insight, or challenged your ideas. Again, please feel free to comment, spark discussions and share some of your thoughts on the matter, or even play devils advocate.
Don't forget to connect with me on social media:
Twitter: @cyber_stocks
Discord: NerdMoney#9378
XRP looks mega bullish! Potential targets= .39 .79 & even 1.53?XRP has officially closed 2 weekly candles above the top trendline of the weekly green descending triangle pattern that it has been inside for most of the bear market. the projected breakout target for this triangle if triggered could take us as high as $1.53! Considering the falling wedge breakout target on the Total market cap of crypto's weekly chart is showing a breakout target that could triple tp quadruple the entire crypto marketcap, XRP rising from 30 cents to $1.50 is definitely not out of the question. There is also a smaller descending triangle pattern indicated with a purple top trendline...it shares the same bottom trendline as the the larger green descending triangle...a breakout from it suggests a target of around 70 cents....and finally the smallest potential breakout target is 39 cents which is the exact breakout target of a inverted head and shoulders pattern (not shown here) on the 1 day chart of which price action is currently well above the neckline of. As long as we maintain the 1 day charts 50ma as solidified support I think its likely we will hit all 3 price targets with periods of consolidation at each target along the way. Looking at the weekly stochrsi we can see it still has plenty of room to travel up further as well.
Looking to short Boeing $BA for a potential $40 (10%) move.After a parabolic move up, then a breather, and another 10 straight weeks of aggressive gains...I am looking to short Boeing on a pull back from the $420's down to the $380 range. Currently trading at $422.
Special tips:
- I cite "Irrational Exuberance" as the reason for this short, however...
- Remember that "the market can remain irrational longer than you can remain solvent".
- In other words, don't bet the family trust on it. A move over $440 can tear the face off of shorts one more time as it did in its last break higher.
JD: Earnings Stock of the Day JD.com has been in a downtrend since it topped early this year. This weekly chart shows why it is no longer an ideal sell short. The stock has declined steadily, losing more than 50% of its price value and JD is now at a support level that is strong, where buyers are likely to start moving in. At this time, a sideways pattern is likely, or a bounce up today if earnings are showing growth and stronger revenues.
Brent oil at major support - short term pullback expectedTechnically: weekly 100&200 EMA + 38.2% Fib level meet at 65 dollar price support zone.
Fundamentally OPEC members set a December meeting to adjust supply, global economic slowdown fears might be exaggerated. -> short term long is my view to 70$
Forex: USDCAD, USDNOK, USDRUB to watch
EURUSD Weekly forecast, technical and fundamental may 14 -may 18At the Chart we see a intermediate waves on the Weekly chart, where the price clearly have a bullish uptrend, after a range from 2015 to 2017. the price had strong momentum from wave (0) to (3) where wave (5) have had a decrease in the momentum and ending it with a symmetric triangle, that is followed by a strong break and down movement. the price have produced a morning star candle and could be indicating a u turn of the price. Fibonacci is also matching with the price action and the wave analysis where a bullish hidden divergence have occurred in the price and the RSI. the intermediate waves with 5 swings have been completed and a correction is under construction, where wave (A) are completed and wave (B) and (C) is waiting. wave (C) is also a primary wave ((2)) where wave (5) is primary wave ((1)).
Fundamental:
In the coming week we have 5 FOMC members speaking, with Draghi speaking on wednesday.
Tuesday 15 may: German prelim GDP q/q is released, the numbers are expected to go down with 0,2% from last time at 0,6% where consensus is 0,4%. Last year the numbers where at 0,6% with the same consensus, where 2016 numbers were slightly lower from consensus that was on 0,5% where the actual numbers released was at 0,3%. therefor Y/Y is definitely lower than last years numbers same month.
Flash GDP q/q for the Euro-zone is expected to hold a steady level on 0,4%, with a change from last year from 0,5% in may. and a change of -0,2% from last quarter.
German ZEW Economic sentiment, is expected to rise from -8,2 to -8,0. The sentiment is still in minus, and therefore there is a continuing pessimism in the economy.
For the USD numbers for Core retails sales m/m is released, where the numbers are expected to be higher from last month. the consensus is 0,5% up with 0,3% from last month 0,2%. where the total sales in retail including automobiles is expected to fall from 0,6% to 0,4% m/m
The empire state manufacturing index is also expected to fall from 15,8 to 15,1 and is a sign of less spending, hiring and investments.
Wednesday 16 May: Final CPI y/y for Euro is released, the consensus is at the same level as last times actual, at 1,2% where last year's numbers for the same month where at 1.9% therefore a weakness in the inflation numbers. ECB President Draghi speaks the same day.
Building permits for USD is also due the day, the numbers have a consensus of 1,35m, the numbers are expected as last release. Last years numbers from May show 1,23m. Crude oil inventories will also affect the currency pair where the pull out of the iran nuclear deal could make the countries buying iranian oil seek other importers. i therefore expect a shortage in the inventory
Thursday 17 May: Philly fed manufacturing index have a consensus of 21,1 from last month where the numbers where 23,2. unemployment claims is also expected to rise from 211k to 219k.
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Weekly cup and handleTaking a look at restoration warehouse on the weekly charts. Looks to be a nice cup and handle forming. Last year price tested a breakout over $110, but could not sustain a close over and since has pulled back.
As of late price has traded nicely in the smaller channel I have drawn with trend lines. Looks to be flagging and presenting the handle for the cup.4 weeks ago we saw a nice push up which has set up an inside bar play as well. Price has since traded inside that weeks range for the last 3 weeks.
I am looking to get long between $80-$74 dollar price range. I will most likely layer my position in that range with a calculated stop of 1% total risk of my portfolio. If I do not get an opportunity to get the desired fills I will take a half position on the breakout of the trend lines while adding the last half on a breakout of $110. I want to be patient and either get the fill at value or play the breakout. what I do not want to do is rush and get a fill now to only have price go lower and possibly stop out before ever getting to a desired location.
If price does come to this range it will be coming to test the lower TL of the larger channel running from mid 2016. If price is to bounce it should provide at least a decent short term return.
Ideally I would be looking to hold this long term as we are playing the weekly chart and the completion of the cup and handle should bring solid long term gains. Once my position is full I will be taking profits at calculated targets and employing a wide trailing stop. If this idea comes to fruition I will update with position ave, targets, and strategy for my stop. Thank you all for viewing.
No time to HODLAll the weekly chart indicators are looking toward a downward trend.
I pulled out of BTC ages ago, waiting to come back in could take a while. I'll have to pop in and out to make smaller gains. This is no time to hodl.
Caveat: I am not a professional trader or adviser. Do your own research before making any trade. Never trade more than you can afford to loose.
Bull Bear fight continuesA tad annoyed I missed the trend line from 2017 on previous posts.
Black line: move toward 11700
Followed by either red or pink option:
Red line: breakout around 11700, then bounce off resistance at 14000
Pink line: Hits resistance at 11700 then bounces off support around 9000, followed by action similar to red line.
Note: The two green trend RSI S&R lines come from the weekly RSI chart:
Overall: Bulls and bears are still fighting it out.
Weekly Technical Chart- GBPUSDThe British pound initially fell during the week but found enough support at the 1.2850 level to turn around and form a hammer. I believe that this market is going to continue to go higher, and a break above the 1.3050 level is that signal. At that point, I believe the market can go looking towards retest again 1.2850 /1.2800 and then we can see rally towards 1.31/1.32, The British pound has shown a significant resurgence during the week, and I think it looks good overall. However, if we were to break down below the 1.2850 level, that would be a negative sign.
EUR/JPY - Shot - WeeklyHello TradingView Community,
I would like to share with you a trade that looks like it could have a very good return. As we can see the pair has been in decline since April of last year. We see that it has already closed below the 23.6% Fibo retrenchment level, but it has also broken a support level @115.463. This level was created during the consolidation period from the end of June until the beginning of November of 2016 before it broke out to the 38.2% Fibo level. I have already entered the trade and look to stay short until the pair reaches another hard support level @112.584. Now if it breaks this level as well, you could look to short it even longer, possibly until it hits the 0 Fibo level @ 109.545, however I would expect a little pullback in the short term before that happens. Also, not shown on this chart is the pair has broken through the bottom of the Ichimoku Cloud which has not happened since October of 2015. That break resulted in the pair moving from 133.636 to as low as 109.307.. That is MASSIVE. For anyone using a standard lot size of 1, you could have made 5 digests+ in the span of 8 months. Good Luck to all of you!
USD/CZK shows potential downtrend.Good morning ladies and gentlemen and whoever doesn't fit into two genders anymore.
Currently USD/CZK is showing potential downtrend. I've identified this by checking the W and D chart.
W chart shows a sideways momentum whereas the D chart shows a distinctive downtrend. I have also seen a double top form which could be beneficial for the analysis.
If price breaks 1st support line, then I will enter a trade on the 2nd support line.
S/L: 25.08413
Entry (sell): 24.89251
T/P: 23.66749
Hope people find this beneficial and please give me some feedback or anything that will benefit the analysis.
Anyways, take care and trade safely and risk free (Y) :)