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A purely speculative hypothetical cup & handle possibilityBitcoin just hit a new all time high against the USD pre halving! The bitcoin spot etfs have shifted the paradigm and we now find ourselves in unprecedented times. Considering that, for all I know the correction may have already seen the lowest it will go before we resume bull, but if history can tell us anything, it’s that it’s very common to see multiple 30-40% dips here and there during the bull market and this very well could be the beginning of one of those corrections. If so, a 40% dip could take price roughly back to the 40k one,, which would be a convenient zone for it to correct to as it would likely retest the weekly 50ma there as they would probably be both arriving at 40k around roughly the same time, that would be an excellent place for a bounce, of course should a black swan event occur sometime near there we could even see an unexpected flash crash wick even further below that maybe even 50-60% but the probability of something like that is much much smaller. If we were to correct the usual 30-40% or even let’s say we start having diminishing corrections and only correct 15-25%, in doing so, we will actually be simultaneously forming a handle to the text book picture perfect cup bitcoins price action just finished forming once it reached the new ath. Because of the possibility of such a hypothetical scenario currently being in. Play,I went ahead and drew a rough guesstimating of what I would expect the handle to look like should we form one here. Again, this is a completely arbitrary guesstimate, so if we do form one, it could be much smaller than the one I’ve randomly drawn here in red. Whether it takes shorter or longer for us to finish the handle if one does form, should not alter the potential breakout target that it would have by much, and as we can see if we broke out around the time the rough estimate one I have drawn ends the target should be well over 120k. Because of the zone where price action has recently gone and now been rejected from is so close to our previous ath zone, we also now on the bearish side of things have. Potential triple top in play. We went up in price at such. Fast and hyperparabolic rate that the argument for this being the bull markets blow off top is actually a possibility, a very slim, low probability possibility, but still a possibility none the less, in which case, the triple top argument is able to at least be a possibility. Which is perfect for the whales and market makers because that will sew just enough uncertainty in the market that when we do get to the bottom of the current correction you will probably have permabears coming out of hibernation to claim the bull market top is already in and we are going much lower. However, I personally don’t think the top is in because we never got the signal on the pi cycle top indicator. I plan on taking d vantage of any correction we get here by accumulating, laddering in small buys around 20%, 30% , and then slightly bigger buys at 40% if we get it. Also if we’re lucky enough to get some sort of 50-60% flash crash from a black swan I will ladder in even bigger buys then as well. If somehow we were to get a flash crash that went as deep as 80% - 90% at that point then I would have to consider that it was a bull market top, however that would then mean that the follow up bear market freeware’s would be extremely short lived and we’d be right back into the bull market. High has never happened before, but hey, with thee new bitcoin spot etfs approved a lot of unprecedented price action is suddenly possible. Again this whole cup n handle idea in the first place isnt set in stone yet and theres. Chance we’ve already had our full correction even. I think judging by the past in btc’s history, the most likely thing to occur here though would be a 30-41% correction. *not financial advice*
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by DrDovetail
14
Mana in a similar bear flag as gala was.Just like my previous idea I posted on gala, mana is also currently inside a similar bear flag where the flag is also a descending channel. The full breakdown target for this would be negative 1.80 so I think it’s more likely this bear flag breaks upward…the descending channel on its own usually breaks up so often when you see it as the flag of a bear flag it can increase the likelihood the bear flag breaks upward instead of down like they usually do. It could still break downward and not hit the full 100% breakdown target of course but I think its more likely it could break upward…it could also only reach the smaller bullish breakout target of just the channel instead of breaking up the length of the bearflag’s pole. Will have to wait and see….unlike gala we aren’t seeing any super significant bullish volume candles on mana yet, it also has zero candles above its channel as of yet…but that could change in the very near future. It has slightly less breakout potential as gala currently has as it would only go roughly 3x if it reached the top price target where gala could as much as 5x. *not financial advice*
COINBASE:MANAUSD
by DrDovetail
3
📈Atom's Weekly Breakout Watch: Chart Signals Bullish Momentum⚛️🔍In the weekly timeframe, Atom's price action has remained within consolidation since May 2022, without a breakout for over 660 days. However, recent developments show a significant breakout of the trend line, supported by confirmation signals based on Dow Theory principles in the preceding candlestick. 💎The Fixed Range Volume Profile indicator complements the Dow Theory trigger, confirming the uptrend with increasing volume. 💥Furthermore, the RSI oscillator has breached the 65.11 level and reached the overbought zone around 70, indicating potential heightened volatility. ✨Despite these bullish signals, Medium Wave Cycle (MWC) and High Wave Cycle (HWC) ranges continue to exert influence, with a robust supply zone observed between 14.6 to 16.2, posing resistance even against all-time highs. 🛒For traders seeking aggressive positions, entering a long position upon the close of the current candle or in the spot market may be viable. Alternatively, conservative traders may opt to await price reaction within the supply zone and confirm the trend in subsequent candles. 📉In the event of a reversal from the supply zone, potential buying opportunities may emerge within the range of 9.5 to 11, pending confirmation of candlestick patterns.
Long
by itsparham96
Uniswap triggering an Adam & Eve Double bottom inside another 1We can see here on the weekly how UNIUSd has formed a nice Adam & Eve double bottom (illustrated in the yellowish chartreuse color). We can also see how inside that double bottom we have formed a smaller fractal version of the Adam & Eve double bottom as well (shown here illustrated in pink). To make sure I covered all bases, I also included a the more common horizontal double bottom possibility as well shown here illustrated in a light grayish blue color. First and foremost the pink Adam & eve fractal has already validated its breakout and in doing so has brought us above the neckline of the largest double bottom pattern as well. I get the feeling that all 3 of these overlapping double bottom patterns are valid and will be validated. If so I will keep you updated as each of the 3 targets get hit. *not financial advice*
COINBASE:UNIUSD
by DrDovetail
We can see BTC climbing its measured move line like a staircaseHere on the btcusd weekly timeframe chart I wanted to update my previous Bitcoin channel chart I posted now that it is clear where the breakout point will be so I could adjust the measured move line more precisely to the point of the actual breakout to give a more precise target at the same time. I didn’t change the trajectory angle of the measured move line one bit, I simply moved it from my rough estimate of where we would break up from the channel to where we actually did break up from the channel. In doing so, it instantly became clear to me that just like both Tron and Ethereum have recently been doing, Bitcoin too is climbing up its measured move line like a set of stairs with the dotted line as usual acting almost like a magnet for price action. Full target for this channel should take price action to around 82.2k! *not financial advice*
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by DrDovetail
Upward slanted inverse head and shoulders on bitcoinThe overhead resistance bitcoin priceaction has been battling with the past few days is this upward slanted tan neckline shown here. Not sure when price will actually break above this line and upward slanted inverse head and shoulder patterns can be some of the more difficult ones to trigger the breakout on…however if it does indeed breakout in the near future the measured move line is already over 50k at this point and will only move higher the longer it takes to get above the line….of course we could see a correction that dumped us far enough to retest the base but I think worst case scenario at that point is the inv h&s would morph into more of a double bottom pattern. Whether we trigger a breakout from this pattern in the near future or we instead correct deeply enough for it to morph into a double bottom pattern, it seems worth keeping an eye on as I feel confident that we will reach these kind of breakout targets soon enough most likely before Q2 of next year. *not financial advice*
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by DrDovetail
COIN Completes First Post-IPO BottomAs the first of its kind, this young company has a bright future. Weekly chart: NASDAQ:COIN has completed its first post-IPO bottom formation and is holding above the completion line despite some selling down in recent weeks. The company reports Feb 15th. The fundamentals are most likely at or near the bottom completion level. The run up became over-speculated so a minor correction is underway that can dip into the completion level, but support from the bottom formation is strong with Dark Pool buy zone patterns.
NASDAQ:COIN
by MarthaStokesCMT-TechniTrader
Tron is above the neckline of a long standing logchart C&HStill working on a weekly candle close above the rimline of this cup and handle and also the top trendline of an even bigger symmetrical triangle pattern seen here on the logarithmic weekly chart. The smaller and more realistic potential breakout target here is for the cup and handle pattern, the one that’s al the way up at $23 is the target for the symmetrical triangles breakout. Seems improbable that Tron could somehow reach a price as high as $23 when considering how sketchy Justin Sun has seemed over the last few years but that is indeed what the chart reveals. I think the smaller cup and handle breakout target is much more probable. For now though we still don’t even have a weekly candle close above the rimline yet, so before getting too excited about Tron s price action I’d need at least 1-2 weekly candle closes above that trendline…maybe even 3-4. Something to keep an eye on here. *not financial advice*
BINANCE:TRXUSD
by DrDovetail
4
Link appears to be finally breaking up from the bullflag. After countless wicks above the pink channel on the daily time frame, link finally broke upward with authority and has already reached the channel’s measured move target. Once we switch to the weekly timeframe shown here, we can see that channel is also a very valid looking weekly bullflag and the measured move target for the bullflag Breakout is $25.30 or so. Now that it has reached the 1st target of the two (channel breakout) some consolidation or slight pullback before heading up to the higher bullflag target is always possible, but I anticipate it reaching the full bullflag target soon enough *not financial advice*
COINBASE:LINKUSD
by DrDovetail
If Solana hits full target it will gain 358% from recent bottomMany cryptos are testing the breakout up from a bear flag right now (gala, mana, qnt to name a few). Many of these bear flags flag is also a descending channel. Their flags seem most valid on a weekly chart…I just took a look today at solana and sure enough it also formed a bear flag with a descending channel for a flag, but it is already way further along in its breakout than many of the others. If it reaches the full measured move target which is the length of the flag pole than it will have made 358% gains from the bottom. Also the fact that it has clearly broken upward from its bear flag should increase the likelihood of the other alts currently in the same pattern breaking upward from theirs as well…of course this is not always the case….there has been plenty of times in the past when the entire market was forming cup and handles and only 4-5 of the cup and handles broke up and reached their targets before the rest failed…failures like that usually only occur after we have been in an uptrend for awhile, so since this would be a reversal breakout from the current downtrend it increases the likelihood that most of the patterns should trigger since the bullish momentum is only just now getting started. A good early indicator will be if solana hits the full 100% target. *not financial advice*
BINANCE:SOLUSD
by DrDovetail
Nasdaq weekly chartred horizontal represents a head and shoulder neckline and the descending dotted red trendline leads to the breakdown target should that pattern be validated. The ascending dotted green trendline is a line that leads to the measured move breakout target if we validated the wedge pattern. The dotted tan trendline is the breakout target if that wedge is more valid as a bull pennant than just a wedge alone. The smaller horizontal yellow line represents the neckline of a smaller inverse h&s pattern and the smaller horizontal green lines are both a channel and a double bottom pattern. *not financial advice*
SKILLING:US100
by DrDovetail
Solana nearing the precipice of a breakout?We can see that solusd’s price action is now retesting the top trendline of this purple symmetrical triangle it has been in since around august of 2023. Obviously it only matters once we break above this trendline and flip that trendline to solidified support. Until that time one must remain levelheaded and not chase any breakout that is unconfirmed. If it were to trigger a breakout sometime within the next few days the target would be around $50 or slightly higher. The top trendline of this triangle also qualifies as an inverse head and shoulders neckline. We can also see that the measured move target for the breakout from the descending tan channel is above this neckline which increases the probability we will trigger the breakout of the purple triangle on the way up to hit the measured move target of the tan descending channel breakout. *not financial advice*
COINBASE:SOLUSD
by DrDovetail
Think Before You Short: AMZN EarningsTraders need to check weekly charts when considering selling short stocks at this time. Many times there are strong support levels close to the current sold down price action. The weekly charts also provide more data for day and swing traders to determine the all important RUN GAIN POTENTIAL. This must be calculated before any trade to determine the Risk versus Profit Potential for that trade, regardless of whether the hold time is a few minutes or several days for swing trading. For many stocks, the recent selling down is not due to weaker earnings expectations but due to an overall reaction to retail news regarding international conflicts, US government uncertainties and regional wars. The key element for trading stocks short-term is to understand where support will kick in and halt a sell short trade. Understanding the functionality and the strength or weakness of a support level is crucial to attaining a high-profit trade. It is also a factor if you are waiting on the Dark Pool Buy Zone levels for getting into the stock for a run up from support levels. Below is a chart of AMZN, which reports earnings on Thursday this week after the market close. It shows that support is strong near the current price level. This indicates that the Dark Pool Buy Zone is within that technical price range. Selling short is inherently higher risk as the support level is a long-term trend strong support. Why is it so strong? 1. There is a several-week price range that held the stock up. 2. Highs are a support mechanism when the stock market is not in a long-term downtrend. ALL traders should know that this is not a bear market. Indexes are in a Trading Range. 3. The length of the candles is significant and relevant to the strength of the support.
NASDAQ:AMZN
by MarthaStokesCMT-TechniTrader
The EMA200 on BTC's Weekly TF: A Simple Yet Powerful IndicatorIn the fast-paced world of crypto trading, it's easy to get caught up in a web of complex charts and countless indicators. While there's value in detailed analysis, sometimes less is more. This is particularly true for long-term investors, who often benefit from a more streamlined approach. One such straightforward yet impactful tool is the EMA200 on Bitcoin's weekly chart. Why Higher Timeframes Matter For those who invest with a longer time horizon, higher timeframes offer a clearer, less noisy view of the market. While day traders dissect every minute movement, long-term investors are more interested in overarching trends. In this regard, the weekly chart serves as a reliable guide. The Significance of EMA200 As of now, Bitcoin is nearing its EMA200 on the weekly chart for the first time since March. This is a key moment for a couple of reasons: Bullish Outlook: If Bitcoin stays above the EMA200, we could be looking at another bullish rally, similar to what happened last June. Bearish Outlook: On the flip side, if it falls below this line, we might be entering a bearish phase, much like the period from June 2022 to early 2023. The Power of Simplicity The EMA200 simplifies complex market dynamics into a single, easily understandable metric. While lower timeframes can be influenced by short-term volatility, indicators on higher timeframes like the weekly chart have a greater impact on long-term price trends. Risk Management & Disclaimer Navigating the volatile crypto market requires a disciplined approach to risk management. It's not just about capitalizing on opportunities, but also about preserving your investment during uncertain times. Please note that these are my personal observations and not financial advice. Always do your own research and consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions. However, you might want to consider following me for more of my observations Happy trading, and may the trend be with you!
by RuneDD