WTI: Weekly Forecast 20210704Oil prices trended again and broke yet another new high for the 5th consecutive week.
The price has been climbing within a rising channel for more than 2 months, initially trading above the middle of the channel and now below the middle.
Nevertheless, we continued to see a resurgence of buyers after every pullback and we shall maintain our bullish view for now.
This week, we hope to see a pullback towards 74.3, retest the bottom of the rising channel for another buying opportunity.
We should also be able to see oil prices reaching the equilibrium level of 77 where strong resistance is expected.
Weeklyforecast
Nasdaq: Weekly Forecast 20210704Nasdaq broke 3 new consecutive historical highs in a week, rising through the week along with DJI and SPX.
There is no sign of selloff and the market just kept buying the dips which will probably last through a couple more months.
Nasdaq has been climbing strongly within a rising channel and the recent rebounds came right at the middle of the channel.
If we were to follow this characteristic, we can simply wait for a pullback towards 14570 to go long again, aiming for the top of the channel and eventually reaching 15000.
Gold: Weekly Forecast 20210704Gold continued with its current consolidation but shown promising rebound right at the neckline of a previous double bottom.
An inside bar was also formed as it reached the week low and it followed through with a break-above, showing a stronger conviction for the bulls.
Therefore, we expect the gold to follow through with its rebound and potentially reach 1820 before facing resistance again.
Should the price failed to climb at the beginning and hovers around the current range top at 1795, we can expect a pullback towards 1765 where an inverse head and shoulder could potentially form.
EURUSD: Weekly Forecast 20210704EURUSD fell through the week but rebounded off from the key demand zone at 1.18 after and despite a highly positive NFP.
That goes to show that the market has bought the news and is selling the facts where we can now expect more bullish momentum.
While the price failed to break above the previous day high, it did break above a falling trendline in the H1 chart.
Additional, this could very well be the final wave of a bearish elliot wave.
This week, we expect EURUSD to follow through with its rebound and will be waiting for a pullback towards 1.1850 to look for a buying opportunity.
Should the price failed to garner enough interest to buy, we will aim to buy deep into the demand zone at 1.1760, right at the bottom of a 8-month symmetrical triangle.
UKOIL Weekly Neowave AnalysisIn Weekly TF, we can see a Double Flat correction forming, And we are currently on wave B of the second Flat, I expect the price to get range in a few years from now between 80 to 100$. This Range should at least take till the end of 2021 and normally till the end of 2024. After that I expect another crash in oil price which should take price below 30$. What economic event may cause it? Noone knows :)))
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Bitcoin: Weekly Forecast 20210627Bitcoin was fell back into the demand zone below the 50% pullback level and was able to rebound off again.
However, the buying stopped despite a breakout of a falling trendline and it fell back into the same demand zone over the weekend.
As of current, we are still seeing persistent support and a rebound from the same trendline that was broken last week.
We could expect Bitcoin to recover towards 35000, subsequently, the supply zone sitting above 37000.
Should the bull give way, the next key support is seen at 23000.
WTI: Weekly Forecast 20210627Oil prices continued to climb last week and managed to close near the high despite a consolidation which did cause a breakout of a rising structure.
It was climbing within a rising channel but was broken eventually after facing multiple rejections at 74.
However, a bearish trend was not even able to form and the price quickly rebounded off from the bottom of the consolidation and continued with forming higher lows.
This week, we will wait for a pullback towards 73.5 to go long again but keeping in mind that the upside could be limited as it's about to reach the equilibrium level at 76.6.
Nasdaq: Weekly Forecast 20210627Nasdaq, along with other US indices, made a strong bullish run and broke a new high again.
It was trading near the top of a 3-month rising wedge and it did get rejected at first but quickly regained losses and continued to climb higher and even breaking out of the rising wedge.
As such, we can continue to eye for more upside towards the top of a potential rising channel.
At current, the price is already about to test a demand zone at 14320, supported by a rising trendline as well.
If the price rebounds successfully, it will likely reach as high as 14700.
Should the price failed to rebound earlier, it may pull back towards 14100 to retest the previous high.
Gold: Weekly Forecast 20210627Gold ranged throughout the week with every attempt to rebound getting wiped out over and over.
However, gold was able to stay supported and garner some bulls before the market close for the week.
We could expect the bulls to fight back again this week since the gold was able to survive multiple rejections after an extremely bearish week, and not forgetting it is still technically oversold.
So this week, we want to continue to look for buying opportunities and we probably will get one at the beginning of the market.
If the bull is able to take over the current range top at 1795, it should reach 1820 before facing another resistance.
And if the bull starts to trend, we might get a V-shaped recovery and it will quickly reach the equilibrium level at 1858.
Should the rebound this time fails and support gets broken, we might get a stronger demand at the neckline level of the previous double bottom at 1747.
EURUSD: Weekly Forecast 20210627EURUSD made a decent rebound at the beginning of the week but lost momentum throughout the week.
It is notable that every attempt to climb higher was rejected but at the same time, the bears were not strong enough.
In fact, both the highs and lows are getting higher day by day, and every daily candle closed with a bullish body.
Therefore, we shall stick to our initial forecast that EURUSD will continue to pull back towards the equilibrium level at the psychological level of 1.20 before any notable selling can happen.
And should the price breaks and closes above 1.20, it should be able to reach 1.21 effortlessly, and this is what we will be focusing on this week.
However, if the bull loses its handle, the next important level will be 1.18, right at the bottom of the symmetrical triangle
Bitcoin: Weekly Forecast 20210620Bitcoin continued to range for one full month since it tumbled to a 50% loss.
Last week, Bitcoin lost steam quickly after it faced resistance at 41500 and the selling continued through the weekend.
As the FOMC is just over and signals for tightening, Bitcoin may continue to lose its ground, ending the current consolidation and head for an even bigger pullback in search of stronger demand.
This week, we will look to sell Bitcoin if it pulls back to 35200, and aim to take profit as it reaches the 60% pullback mark at 26000.
WTI: Weekly Forecast 20210621WTI continued to stay bullish as demand for oil continues to get stronger amid the reopening of major economies.
However, it is noted that the price will face strong resistance as it's about to reach a 6-year high and the major equilibrium at 76.
This week, we will still look for buying opportunities as the market pulls back at least back to 71, and if the pulls back deepen, it will most likely test the demand zone around 69.
We will stick to our plan and aim to take profit around 75 just before it reaches the equilibrium level.
Nasdaq: Weekly Forecast 20210620Nasdaq managed to break a new high last week as it reached the top of a rising wedge.
While Nasdaq was able to remain somewhat bullish, both Dowjones and S&P500 ended the week in a loss, especially the Dowjones which shed off 3.7%, the biggest weekly loss in 8 months.
It is fundamentally reasonable for the stock market to come off the top as the Fed signals for earlier tightening of monetary policy which ultimately means a reduction for "hot money".
As such, we expect Nasdaq to follow suit and therefore we will be looking for selling opportunities this week at the top of the rising wedge, targeting at 13800 and 13500.
Gold: Weekly Forecast 20210620Gold fell through multiple support last week and marked the biggest weekly loss in 15 months.
Almost every forms of support, from a 3-month rising channel to the equilibrium level at 1860 to all the moving averages, have been broken.
As of writing, the gold seems to have found a bit of support as it's ultimately way oversold in the short-term, and thus an opportunity to possible buy into a potential pullback.
The bigger picture, however, remains the same as inflation risk looms but the short-term sentiment is pointing towards a strong recovery in the dollar and thus demand fell for gold.
This week, we will look for signs of rebound to buy into the pullback and target 1813, where we will then look for an opportunity to sell, aiming for the neckline level at 1750.
EURUSD: Weekly Forecast 20210620The dollar climbed the most in 15 months and the EURUSD tumbled amid a hawkish Fed that signals to tighten monetary policy.
EURUSD fell from a range top and has broken the bottom of a 3-month rising channel together with the 262 ma.
The short-term sentiment for EURUSD has turned bearish but is also extremely oversold and a strong pullback is inevitable.
This week, we expect EURUSD to quickly find support and pull back towards the equilibrium level near 1.20.
We will only look to sell after the pullback and mainly target the bottom of the current range around 1.80 with strong demand.
If the price continues to go lower, we expect it to reach 1.1650, completing an ABC corrective wave.
GBPUSD, Long Term Investment, Weekly & Monthly AnalysisGBPUSD have been bullish since 03/23/2020. Now it just touched a critical resistance @1.4230
It did come back and test this resistance, bounce back and break the trendline which is a good sign for a bearish move.
Fundamental Analysis: US FED announced 4 days ago about funds rate and their expectation for the next coming years. " The Fed left the target range for its federal funds rate unchanged at 0-0.25% in June 2021 but policymakers signalled they expect two increases by the end of 2023. Officials noted progress on vaccinations and strong policy support led to a strength in economic activity and employment " Quoted from Tradingeconomics. We are expecting USD rises up in next coming years which result GBPUSD would go down.
Technical Analysis:
1. Strong Resistance @1.4230
2. Fib. retracement 50%
3. RSI divergence
4. Breaking the upward trendline
5. Engulfing candles pattern
6. Touching 100 EMA
Bitcoin: Weekly Forecast 20210613Bitcoin continues to find buyers whenever it retests the 50% pullback low.
With every rebound, the price, however, created yet another lower high, forming a downward pressure within the consolidation.
The crypto market has been extremely vulnerable to any news from major governments to tweets from Elon Musk.
We continue to see Bitcoin under negative pressure and will continue to look for selling opportunities, awaiting pullback towards 36650 and targeting 31000.
WTI: Weekly Forecast 20210613WTI continued to edge higher as inflation continued to stay persistently high.
At the same time, the price is breaking away from a rising channel and closed higher on the last trading day as well.
This week, we will continue to look for buying opportunities by waiting for a pullback towards 70, bottom of a minor rising channel, followed by the demand zone around 68.5.
We continue to see oil prices climbing towards the major equilibrium level at 76.
Nasdaq: Weekly Forecast 20210613Nasdaq is potentially going to break a new high this week!
Currently, we are seeing a clear bullish wave forming and continuing towards the top of a rising wedge.
In my instances, the price is able to break out of the pattern and peak higher before ending the trend and into another pullback.
This week, we will buy the pullback, if any, at the beginning of the week and hold it till it at least reaches the top of the rising wedge around 14200.
Should the price breaks out of the pattern, we expect it to reach 14500 before making a turn.
Gold: Weekly Forecast 20210613The bulls for gold are not able to make any progress and if any, they've failed to maintain bullish momentum.
Since the consolidation started at the beginning of June, gains have been swallowed constantly and highs are getting lower.
The breakout of the rising channel failed to continue and the price eventually fell all the way back to the bottom of the channel with little support towards the end of last week.
It seems that buyers are reluctant to add more position ahead of the Fed's meeting, weighing the odds of early tapering.
However, we will focus on buying since the price is still sitting well above the equilibrium level of 1858.
This week, we will be looking for buying opportunities at the opening of the market, followed by the equilibrium level at 1858.
We want to keep in mind that the global economy is currently facing a high risk of fast-rising inflation and that always work well for gold.
EURUSD: Weekly Forecast 20210613EURUSD continued to face resistance at the neckline level of 1.2185 and the price eventually fell.
The short-term trend is pointing towards bearish as selling pressure continues to build up from near-high of the entire market range between 1.2340 - 1.1700 amid early tapering sentiment from the Fed due to persistently high inflation.
This week, we will continue to look for selling opportunities until it reaches the current equilibrium level at 1.2000, as well as the bottom of the 2-month rising channel.
If 1.2000 is not able to hold, we will see a stronger selling towards 1.1800. Otherwise, we can expect a rebound back to 1.2170.