Market Insights with Gary Thomson: 20 - 24 JanuaryMarket Insights with Gary Thomson: CAD, GBP, and JPY Markets, Gold, and Corporate Earnings
In this video, we’ll explore the key economic events, market trends, and corporate news shaping the financial landscape. Get ready for expert insights into forex, commodities, and stocks to help you navigate the week ahead. Let’s dive in!
In this episode:
- What does the latest employment data mean for the British pound and the Bank of England’s policy direction?
- Will December’s inflation data influence the Bank of Canada’s upcoming interest rate decision? Find out how this could impact the USD/CAD pair.
- Will the BOJ raise rates again? Discover the potential impacts on the USD/JPY pair.
- Geopolitical tensions and economic uncertainty are driving gold prices. Learn what to watch for in XAU/USD trading.
- Big names like Netflix, 3M, Procter & Gamble, and Johnson & Johnson are releasing their quarterly results. Check their expected performance and market implications.
Don’t miss out—gain insights to stay ahead in your trading journey.
🌐 FXOpen official website: www.fxopen.com
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing your money.
Weeklymarketsanalysis
Market Insights with Gary Thomson: 13 - 17 JanuaryMarket Insights with Gary Thomson: UK & US Inflation, UK GDP Growth, Corporate Earnings Statements
We’re excited to launch our new forward-looking ‘Market Insights’ series! Hosted by FXOpen’s UK COO, Gary Thomson, this series provides a fresh perspective on global markets, highlighting upcoming economic data, geopolitical events, and central bank announcements.
In this episode:
- How could the US inflation rate influence the US dollar?
- What might UK GDP growth and inflation data mean for the struggling British pound?
- Which corporate earnings reports could drive the US stock market this week?
Don’t miss out—gain insights to stay ahead in your trading journey.
🌐 FXOpen official website: www.fxopen.com
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing your money.
XAU/USD 13-17 January 2025 Weekly AnalysisWeekly Analysis:
Swing Structure -> Bullish.
Internal Structure -> Bullish.
Analysis/Bias remains the same as analysis dated 01 December 2024.
Price Action Analysis:
In my analysis dated 27 October 2024, it was noted that the first sign of a pullback would be a bearish Change of Character (CHoCH), indicated by a blue dotted line. Price's consistent upward momentum had positioned this CHoCH much closer to recent price levels as expected for weeks.
Now, for the first time since 23 November 2020, price has printed a bearish CHoCH. We are currently trading within a defined internal range.
Price is anticipated to trade down towards either the discount of the internal 50% Equilibrium (EQ), highlighted in blue, or the Weekly demand zone before targeting the weak internal high.
Note:
It is highly unlikely price will "crash" as many analysts are predicting. My view is this is merely a corrective wave of the primary trend.
Given the Federal Reserve's dovish policy stance alongside heightened geopolitical risks, market volatility is likely to remain elevated, influencing intraday price swings.
Weekly Chart:
Daily Analysis:
-> Swing -> Bullish.
-> Internal -> Bullish.
Analysis/Bias remains the same as analysis dated 01 December 2024
Price Action Analysis:
Price has shown a reaction from discount of internal 50% EQ. Currently price has been unable to target the weak internal high
Given the current internal range dynamics, price is expected to target weak internal high, priced at 2,790.170 However, considering the signs of a pullback phase on the Weekly timeframe, there remains a possibility of price printing a bearish Internal Break of Structure (iBOS). Price has yet to tap into Daily demand.
Note:
With the Fed maintaining a dovish policy stance and the continued rise in geopolitical tensions, we should anticipate elevated market volatility, which may impact both intraday and longer-term price action.
Daily Chart:
H4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bearish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Analysis/Intraday expectation remains the same as analysis dated 16 December 2024.
Price is clearly unable to target weak internal. This is due to the fact that Daily and Weekly Timeframe remain in bearish pullback phase.
Price Action Analysis:
Technically price is to target weak internal priced at 2,721.420. Price has sweeped liquidity,
for two possible reasons.
1. To assist price to complete bearish pullback phase, react at either discount of internal 50% or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high.
2. To assist Daily and H4 TF's to complete bearish pullback phase with price to print a bearish iBOS and target strong internal low priced at 2,536.855.
Intraday Expectation:
Intraday expectation and alternative scenario as per points 1 and 2.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment.
H4 Chart:
CL Week Review 01/06/25 - 01/10/25Looks like my Directional Bias for CL was off. Instead of price coming lower to fill in the BISI and take the PDLs it rallied higher through the Volume Imbalance and raided all the BSL. Now that wick higher on Friday did not stop at a random spot. Look closely and you will notice its the Premium Daily 50% CE level of the wick and price reversed nicely off from there.
Now the question remains does price justify to continue higher and take the BSL at 78.46 or does price reverse from there and then target the SSL and the D BISI?
Currently its still looking Bullish since price closed above the Volume Imbalance and the PDH from Thu Oct 10 2024 at 76.24 but lets see how price opens on Sunday and we can definitely expect a volatile week since there is a good amount of economic news drivers.
MNQ Week Review 01/06/25 - 01/10/25 Price delivered precisely to the Daily Discount Draw on Liquidity which was the D BISI 50% quadrant at 20,875.75 underneath that nice triple bottom PDLs.
Now the question to ask is does price justify staying inside that BISI or will price cut through the BISI and continue to reach for the SSL at 20,640.00?
Lets continue to watch and see if price reverses or continues lower from here.
This week I got to experience first hand why its good to have a Directional Bias and why its a good idea to stick with it regardless of being right or wrong.
- First always remember as a traders we do not control outcome only our performance and if we get one day wrong then thats okay because its only one day in my trading career not my whole trading career. Also its very important to have methodology or an edge that can produce consistency as that will help aid the mental battle of missing trades or getting the bias wrong and not getting the framework to take a trade. In the beginning it might feel bad but keep in mind the game is not capital gain but capital preservation. If your methodology is consistent in terms of producing setups then missed setups or hitting SL should not worry you as there will always be another day to trade and get a setup.
-Another key thing I want to touch on is the peace of mind you get when sticking to your Directional Bias. When your looking for example only Bullish scenarios and ignore all Bearish ones then your not over here investing mental capital on a trade that you know is counter to the HTF Bias and could easily hit your SL. Watching price action also becomes enjoyable as well because you don't care to be right or wrong so if your right and your setup forms then take the trade and if your wrong then just turn the charts off and trade another day as there is plenty of trading opportunities through out the year.
NZDUSD - Weekly Forecast - Technical Analysis & Trading Ideas!💡 Midterm forecast (Daily Time-frame):
The price is in a Down Trend, but Beginning of Up Trend is forecasted!
0.5799 is Major Resistance.
Take Profits:
0.57500
0.57992
0.58630
0.59164
0.60369
0.61187
0.62591
0.63680
0.65327
0.67156
0.70330
0.72150
0.74650
💡 Short-term forecast (H4 Time-frame):
Bullish Divergence
Correction wave toward the Buy Zone
Another Upward Impulse wave toward Higher TPs
SL: Below 0.5587
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Market Year Wrap With Gary Thomson: 2024 Market Insights & 2025 Market Year Wrap With Gary Thomson: 2024 Market Insights & 2025 Outlook
As we approach the close of 2024, it’s time to reflect on results and think of potential opportunities for the year ahead. Join Gary Thomson, the COO of FXOpen UK, as he sums up the key market trends that shaped 2024 and provides insights on what to expect in 2025.
- Inflation and Interest Rates
- Forex Market Trends
- Commodity Markets
- Stock Market Highlights
- 2025 Outlook
🌐 FXOpen official website: www.fxopen.com
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing your money.
NQ Week of Dec8 Levels and Areas of Interest Part 1 (4h Chart)Shorter time frame chart with more specific near term levels, mostly bearish. Any bullish numbers refer to the Daily chart in part 1 and look for those upper level trendlines. Not much else to say on this one, any questions feel free to ask.
NQ Week of Dec8 Levels and Areas of Interest Part 1 (1d Chart)Daily Chart for NQ this week. Hard to be a bear, but looking hard to be a bull as well. When everyone expects it to trade like a 2016 Trump victory, that's normally when it doesn't. Just saying. Not bearish but cautious for sure. "They" have been sizing out since the end of July / Start of August (check the overnight gains versus us opens) and leaving retail with the bag. FOMO seems to be kicking in everywhere. That's a minor synapses without going far into the macro details, and the sizes being thrown around on dark pools. Anyway, part 2 will have shorter term areas (mostly for bear setups, bounces, dips etc).
Anything higher I have to rely on the trendlines since we are essentially in price discovery mode if we keep pushing. Looking for resistance on the top trendlines, and imagine the bottom short term trend line will be easily broken if we have any corrections. Good luck this week, feel free to ask any questions if anyone reads this :)
Weekly Market Wrap With Gary Thomson: 2 - 6 DecemberWeekly Market Wrap With Gary Thomson: DAX 40, Yen, Natural Gas, Apple stocks
Get the latest scoop on the week's hottest headlines, all in one convenient video. Join Gary Thomson, the COO of FXOpen UK, as he breaks down the most significant news reports and shares his expert insights
- DAX 40 Index Closes Above 20,000 for the First Time
- Yen Strengthens on Rate Hike Expectations; Euro Tests Recent Lows
- Natural Gas Prices Rebound from 2.5-Month Low
- Apple (AAPL) Stock Hits Record High
🌐 FXOpen official website: www.fxopen.com
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing your money.
UNION BANK 1D TFNSE:UNIONBANK has formed a resistance zone with multiple touch points. If the stock breaks out the stock could traded.
Disclaimer:- This analysis is only for educational purpose. Please always do your own analysis or consult with your financial advisor before taking any kind of trades
PNB 1D TFIn the previous post we saw that NSE:PNB has been for a resistance zone, now the zone has been broken out and the stock is running in profit.
We have discussed this more on our previous post. You can view the previous post by clicking the attachment below this post.
Disclaimer:- This analysis is only for educational purpose. Please always do your own analysis or consult with your financial advisor before taking any kind of trades
MOTHERSON 1D TFNSE:MOTHERSON has formed a inverted flag and pole pattern. Once it breaks out with good volume and strong candle the stock could be traded.
Disclaimer:- This analysis is only for educational purpose. Please always do your own analysis or consult with your financial advisor before taking any kind of trades
JIOFIN 1D TFAs discussed in the previous posts NSE:JIOFIN , which came back after gaining liquidity from the demand zone is now forming a trend line with 3 touch points. The stock could be traded once it breaks out of the trend line. A good risk reward ratio of 1:1.5 can be gained from this trade.
We have discussed this more on our previous post. You can view the previous post by clicking the attachment below this post.
Disclaimer:- This analysis is only for educational purpose. Please always do your own analysis or consult with your financial advisor before taking any kind of trades
COAL INDIA 1D TFNSE:COALINDIA has been bearish for a long time and now is retracing. The bearish run could continue if the stock breaks the demand zone with a strong bearish candle and a good volume. Recently Coal India has invested in creating a solar power plant.This news could even disrupt the bearish run.But if the stock breaks the demand zone, the stock could be expected to move to the next lower demand zone.
Disclaimer:- This analysis is only for educational purpose. Please always do your own analysis or consult with your financial advisor before taking any kind of trades
JSW STEEL 1D TFNSE:JSWSTEEL has formed a triangular pattern and is breaking it now. The stock can be traded if there is strong volume and a bullish candle and a Risk reward ratio of 1:1.5 can be made from this trade.
Disclaimer:- This analysis is only for educational purpose. Please always do your own analysis or consult with your financial advisor before taking any kind of trades
BANKBARODA 1D TFIn the previous post, NSE:BANKBARODA broke an resistance and moved up. Hence we suggested a long position, but it was a false breakout and the stock turned towards the opposite direction. Though I didn't post, I took a trade thinking that this false breakout is liquidity gained by sellers in order to move down. As expected the stock came down again, once it broke down the resistance turned support, I took the entry. A good R:R was captured. Hence I just wanted to share this to you, so that we can trade such entries in the future together.
We have discussed this more on our previous post. You can view the previous post by clicking the attachment below this post.
Disclaimer:- This analysis is only for educational purpose. Please always do your own analysis or consult with your financial advisor before taking any kind of trades
PNB 1D TFNSE:PNB has formed a small resistance zone in 1D TF. The chart though is in downtrend has formed a resistance zone which can be used in near future. This stock can be traded with multiple confirmations.
Disclaimer:- This analysis is only for educational purpose. Please always do your own analysis or consult with your financial advisor before taking any kind of trades
Weekly Market Wrap With Gary Thomson: 25 - 29 NovemberWeekly Market Wrap With Gary Thomson: SP500, US Dollar, Brent Crude Oil, Black Friday
Get the latest scoop on the week's hottest headlines, all in one convenient video. Join Gary Thomson, the COO of FXOpen UK, as he breaks down the most significant news reports and shares his expert insights
- S&P 500 Index Hits a New Record
- Dollar Declines Following Weak Macroeconomic Data
- Brent Crude Oil Consolidates Ahead of OPEC+ Meeting
- How Black Friday Could Impact the Stock Market in 2024
🌐 FXOpen official website: www.fxopen.com
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing your money.
Weekly Forex Forecast Nov. 25-28th: GOLD Resumes Bullish Trend.After three bearish Weekly candles, safehaven seekers pushed the prices past the previous weekly high with a strong close. Will this continue next week? I suspect it will. The Monthly and Weekly TFs show bullishness, and indicate the bearishness was short term.
That said, I am prepared to sell if the entry function presents itself at the current -FVG price is contacting. This price level is in the premium of the trading range, making it a great area to look for a short. But it is counter-trend, so a reasonable profit target is in order.
Check the comments section below for updates regarding this analysis throughout the week.
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Disclaimer:
I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor.
All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies.
I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here.
Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
BPCL 1D TFNSE:BPCL has been playing near a support zone and has broken it and is moving downward. But now if we see a little bit into the past we can see a long wick which represents the power of sellers at that point. So going into this trade is little bit risky. If you want to trade this setup kindly use multiple confluences. Do share the confirmations you are looking to trade this setup in the comment section
Disclaimer:- This analysis is only for educational purpose. Please always do your own analysis or consult with your financial advisor before taking any kind of trades