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Weeklymarketsanalysis

USDCHF, Level 4 drop for week 9, can it rise for week 10?USDCHF continued to consolidate for Monday in week 9 and in the end, broke the low of the whole consolidation zone. It reached a new low and formed a level 4 bear trend in the chart. I was long for this pair, so I am trapped in week 9. Getting trapped in the wrong analysis is no joke. It took a good 15% off my overall equity, combined with all the losses of other pairs. Fortunately, the profits from past weeks trading acted as a cushion against the bad trade management of mine. From the analysis, we can see that it formed a classic formation of H&S or some may call it a V reversal. So with that, I am expecting an upward reversal in week 10. I cannot say how long, or how high it will go, but I will be going in long for this pair as well. Since the pair ended the week in a reversal zone, when the market reopens, we can enter the market prudently. I hope all traders to continue with a profitable Week 9 ahead. Please share your thoughts below, like and follow me for my weekly analysis on EURUSD, GBPUSD, USDJPY, and USDCHF!
Long
by xunnobi
EURUSD, Week 9 is a reset, Week 10 to drop.EURUSD moved the opposite direction of what was expected in our week 8 analysis. I did not expect it and I was trapped badly. However, in week 9, it seems to have completed a three-level bullish trend and completed the week with a double top on the H1 chart. Getting trapped in the wrong analysis is no joke. It took a good 15% off my overall equity, combined with all the losses of other pairs. Fortunately, the profits from past weeks trading acted as a cushion against the bad trade management of mine. This week's analysis seems to point towards a drop for next week because of the full three-level bullish move made in week 9. It ended the week with a double top, and looking at the day chart, it seems to point towards a drop in week 9 as well. I will be monitoring on Monday to decide what would be the direction, but currently, it is short for me. I am expecting a drop of a minimum of 2 levels for week 10 and hopefully, it reaches that level that I am looking for. I hope all traders to continue with a profitable Week 9 ahead. Please share your thoughts below, like and follow me for my weekly analysis on EURUSD , GBPUSD , USDJPY and USDCHF!
Short
by xunnobi
Dollar - Weekly Forecast 25th - 29th FebruaryDollar fell further as expected as it formed a bearish Gartley pattern. The price was seen supported at first within the demand zone at 96. The price attempted to rebound and climbed slowly for two days. And on the last day, gains are mostly wiped out due to either a strong selling pressure had appeared or there's not enough buying strength to support a stronger rebound. Therefore, the price is expected to fall further this week as it seeks a stronger demand below.
TVC:DXYShort
by AlgoVenture
EURUSD, uni direction in week 8, can it reversal in Week 9?EURUSD, together with GBPUSD and USDCHF moved accordingly to our analysis in week 8 and ending Week 8 strong. I hope this helps all you traders out there to make some profit, and I hope it give you guys a good week as written on my week 8 title. =) I did not follow my own trading plan and decided to trade with a longer term perspective, which lead to a issue I faced. It caused me about 5% losses to my overall equity in my managed fund and about 9 false trade to my signal followers, and yes I am mad. But it is ok, I will re focus back to what works in Week 9 again. The analysis of EURUSD week 9's movement did showed that the bull seems to be weakening and I have also identified a level 3 bullish zone which signaled that the EURUSD could be coming in with a bearish move instead in week 9. The area to the right of the M that was not boxed, has also presented a M shape. So you can also look at the analysis this way, the box area with a M on top can show a high/low reset, meaning a trend reset, followed by a M, which is the reversal pattern coinciding with level 3 bullish zone. So both analysis pointed me towards shorting the pair, and I am following suit for week 9. I hope all traders to continue with a profitable Week 9 ahead. Please share your thoughts below, like and follow me for my weekly analysis on EURUSD, GBPUSD, USDJPY and UISDCHF!
Short
by xunnobi
GBPUSD, Week 8 as expected, Week 9 can be differentGBPUSD moved as how we expected in Week 8, finishing a 3 levels of bullish move. It was not bad, just that instead of long, I shorted it due to the opening gap on Monday. I hope not many does the same as me. I did not follow my own trading plan and decided to trade with a longer term perspective, which lead to a issue I faced. It caused me about 5% losses to my overall equity in my managed fund and about 9 false trade to my signal followers, and yes I am mad. But it is ok, I will re focus back to what works in Week 9 again. Looking at the analysis, I do expect the GBPUSD to finish off lower in Week 9 as compared to week 8, perhaps reaching a level 2 bearish zone. The break away from the level 3 reversal zone is a fast one on Friday and ending Week 8 in the zone of level 1 bullish zone. I am holding on to 3 positions of the short and will continue to hold on to it till the level 2 bearish zone before I decide to exit of continue holding. I hope all traders to continue with a profitable Week 9 ahead. Please share your thoughts below, like and follow me for my weekly analysis on EURUSD, GBPUSD, USDJPY and UISDCHF!
Short
by xunnobi
USDJPY, trapped in Week 8, Week 9 blurredUSDJPY did not make any major movement in Week 8, contrary to our analysis made in Week 7. While it did not make big upwards move, it seems to have tried making failed downward price pattern. I did not follow my own trading plan and decided to trade with a longer term perspective, which lead to a issue I faced. It caused me about 5% losses to my overall equity in my managed fund and about 9 false trade to my signal followers, and yes I am mad. But it is ok, I will re focus back to what works in Week 9 again. The failed attempt is most visible on Friday, when a double bottom was spotted, and it only make about 30 pips down, and it came back up again and close the week and Friday higher. It is suggesting a strong bullish power still maintaining in the trend and with no big movement, we can expect Week 9 to have some explosive move through the week. I am in the view that USDJPY will continue its bullish move with one or two explosive upward movement of 50 to 100 pips next week. I am comfortable to trade USDJPY next week, so prolly I will be entering smaller long position in Week 9 when the market opens. I hope all traders to continue with a profitable Week 9 ahead. Please share your thoughts below, like and follow me for my weekly analysis on EURUSD, GBPUSD, USDJPY and UISDCHF!
Long
by xunnobi
USDCHF, Week 8 as expected, Week 9 reversal?USDCHF move exactly as expected from our analysis on week 7. Finishing the week with a volatile Friday. However, I changed something to the week 7 analysis to reflect a more accurate trend movement. In our Week 7 analysis, I actually used a H&S to reflect the level 3 reversal zone. But after considering the move this week, I decided to change to better reflect the 3 bearish trend movement as I analyzed the Week 8 to end with a reversal zone, which coincided with a level 3 bearish zone. I did not follow my own trading plan and decided to trade with a longer term perspective, which lead to a issue I faced. It caused me about 5% losses to my overall equity in my managed fund and about 9 false trade to my signal followers, and yes I am mad. But it is ok, I will re focus back to what works in Week 9 again. Currently USDCHF seems to finish the full double bottom reversal shape, and I am waiting for it to break the high of the level 3 reversal zone. I am hopeful that the price will resume a bullish movement in Week 9. I hope all traders to continue with a profitable Week 9 ahead. Please share your thoughts below, like and follow me for my weekly analysis on EURUSD, GBPUSD, USDJPY and UISDCHF!
Long
by xunnobi
Gold - Weekly Forecast 18th - 22nd FebruaryThe gold set to climb further after a strong rebound that lasted throughout Thursday and Friday. The price has successfully rebounded off from a demand zone and broke out of the range between 1316 and 1303. The price is also seen breaking above an inside bar based on W1 chart, a sign of a strong bullish moment. Traders can wait for the price to retrace back to 1316 ideally for re-entry to long. As long as the price maintains above 1310, my view on the gold will be bullish.
FX:XAUUSD
by AlgoVenture
Dollar - Weekly Forecast 18th - 22nd FebruaryThe dollar climbed and created new high every day without failed and eventually entered into the 2-month supply zone at 97. The Gartley pattern was successfully formed as a result and on Friday, the price took a strong bearish stance, leaving a long upper shadow. Just a week before, the dollar has gained consecutively for 8 days but this week itself, there are 3 bearish candles against just 2 bullish candles. The selling is obviously building up and with both bearish Gartley and a strong supply zone, the dollar will finally face a bearish week this time. Furthermore, we cannot ignore the fact that the US economic data is clearly showing an obvious slowdown in the US economy. And perhaps, the dollar has come back to a level too strong for the US president to ignore.
TVC:DXYShort
by AlgoVenture
USDCHF, week 7's long tail for week 8 reversal?USDCHF moved inline with our expectation in week 6, however, a little surprise came along. However, if you have been going long with USDCHF, you would have made a good profit and stay relatively comfortable for the whole week 7. In week 7, I traded all the 4 symbols I analyzed here in tradingview, and I made about 7% profit in my PAMM managed fund and I hope my signal subscribers are happy with the results as well. If you have a bigger leverage and risk appetite, 7% would be minute as compared to your gain in week 7, I hope you make a profit from week 7's trading. On the Monday of Week 7, USDCHF made a surprising upward move and ended it off lower than the starting point (hourly candle), that left a 90 pips upward tail. I didnt seek to find out what caused the spike, all I knew was that the opportunity to enter has presented itself. I went long, and exited for about 35 pips on that day itself after I spotted a consolidation. (the consolidation did happen and lasted till Tuesday) The reason why I entered long was due to the analysis of Week 6 and a seemingly week reversal price pattern that was spotted as a bearish level in week 6. Holding till the end of the week would have yield great returns, however, it was not my habit and trading style to do that. In the analysis of Week 7, we saw the formation of a classic H&S, which fell in line with our bullish zone 3, which would typically see price reverse at that zone. Thus, we are expecting a downward move in the coming week 8 for USDCHF. For the coming week, I am most comfortable to trade GBPUSD, EURUSD, followed by USDJPY then USDCHF. If you have any thoughts on USDCHF's movement for the coming weeks, please share them below, I look forward to learning and staying profitable together. Please help me like this analysis, and follow me for my weekly updates!
Short
by xunnobi
USDJPY, quick reverse in week 7, outlook for week 8USDJPY moved as analyzed in week 7. A strong upward movement which ended on Thursday and followed by a start of bearish trend through the end of week 7. For traders who long the pair would be delighted to see their account increase in the first half of week 7, however, the signal to short is quite fast, even though I caught it myself, I exited before the day ended on Thursday. In week 7, I traded all the 4 symbols I analyzed here in tradingview, and I made about 7% profit in my PAMM managed fund and I hope my signal subscribers are happy with the results as well. If you have a bigger leverage and risk appetite, 7% would be minute as compared to your gain in week 7, I hope you make a profit from week 7's trading. Looking at the analysis of USDJPY, we would expect them to break down to bearish zone 2, currently, the price is staying the bearish zone 1. However, we are not too sure where is the high of the zone yet, so I am looking forward to a candlestick combination which would signal me to short USDJPY. In week 8, I am expecting USDJPY to at least land itself in the area of bearish zone 2 before completing the week. However, stay flexible and mindful of the changes, if it is not according to plan, please exit. We live to fight another day! If you have any thoughts on USDJPYs movement for the coming weeks, please share them below, I look forward to learning and staying profitable together. Please help me like this analysis, and follow me for my weekly updates!
Short
by xunnobi
EURUSD, not a good week 7, expect a good week 8In Week 7, EURUSD can be seen as a little confusing to traders. In Week 6, we expected a continuation of the bear trend, but we only see EURUSD keeps pushing and coming back to the zone of the previous zone. That could lead us to think that if the break of the zone has failed and instead stay long or stay out. I would like to think that it is ok to stay out in such an environment because, at first glance, it is a bit difficult to separate them out. In week 7, I traded all the 4 symbols I analyzed here in tradingview, and I made about 7% profit in my PAMM managed fund and I hope my signal subscribers are happy with the results as well. If you have a bigger leverage and risk appetite, 7% would be minute as compared to your gain in week 7, I hope you make a profit from week 7's trading. In the first half of week 7, it should be easy for traders to extract profit out of the bearish move of EURUSD. In the later part of the week, I started asking myself if it is going to reverse, and on Friday, I made up my mind that it might continue a downward trend instead. Like GBPUSD, towards the end of Friday, it made an explosive move upwards, which I stayed out as I decided to rest myself. As we can see from the analysis of week 7, it did complete 3 levels of a bearish zone, however, each zone is close to another which would be the reason why traders might be confused over the status of the trend. The decisive upward move on Friday should clear the doubts that we should have, and we can expect an upward movement in week 8. I would expect the pair to at least reach a level 2 bullish zone in week 8, and I am quite excited about it. I would be using the same entry plan as mentioned in my analysis of GBPUSD, to minimise the potential losses. If you have any thoughts on EURUSD's movement for the coming weeks, please share them below, I look forward to learning and staying profitable together. Please help me like this analysis, and follow me for my weekly updates!
Long
by xunnobi
GBPUSD, a good week 7, where will week 8 goes?In Week 7, GBPUSD made a wonderful continuation of the established bearish trend. In week 6, the bearish trend rested at bearish zone 2, which leaves us halfway through the trend. In preceding week 7, we see it completed the whole cycle of a bearish trend. I am excited about the new bull trend in week 8. In week 7, I traded all the 4 symbols I analyzed here in tradingview, and I made about 7% profit in my PAMM managed fund and I hope my signal subscribers are happy with the results as well. If you have a bigger leverage and risk appetite, 7% would be minute as compared to your gain in week 7, I hope you make a profit from week 7's trading. GBPUSD made consistent and predictable movement in week 7, until the hours before closing on Friday. I was actually shorting before the rise, and I exited the trade with minimal losses, I think my subscribers who are looking at the trade with me must be worried. Shorting about 1 hour after I exited my short trades, it made an explosive rise, but I am not aware, as I went to rest. Its a missed trade for me and a good example of how someone can mistake a reversal for a continuation of the trend. Moving on with the analysis, we can see that the rise on Friday consists about 100 pips, and I would say that its strong and there was not much seller movement on Friday, probably they are busy buying now, and not prepared to sell in the near term. A reversal pattern at level 3 bearish trend has been spotted and completed, so we would expect the price to rise to at least a level 2 bullish zone in week 8. A lot can happen in week 8 to reach that zone, my plan would be to enter a buy after the market opens and slowly build my positions. If the market continue to shift downwards, at least I can exit with minimal losses. Account protection is more important than anything else in FX trading. With that, I end my summarised GBPUSD analysis for week 8. I hope you guys will continue to stay profitable in week 8! If you have any thoughts on GBPUSD's movement for the coming weeks, please share them below, I look forward to learning and staying profitable together. Please help me like this analysis, and follow me for my weekly updates!
Long
by xunnobi
Gold - Weekly Forecast 11th - 15th FebruaryWhen gold finally broke above 1300, it was a sign that the price will continue to rally and it did. But what's quite abnormal is how fast it gained another 26 dollars with no resistance and in just a few days. However, seeing how bullish the gold is, many fell victim into a so-called 'hot deals' but only to find their positions been locked down as it ranged downwards. How so? The indication comes with a very small candlestick coupled with a very high trading volume. If the gold had stayed bullish, such a high trading volume should have caused the price to jump further and beyond 1330. But on the contrary, the candlestick is so small and there could only be one reason - there's fast-growing selling pressure. This is a clear sign of a stop to the bullish trend but not a confirmation to sell just yet. In any case, we always look at two sides of the coin: the gold may reverse and start to fall OR the selling pressure has dissipated and the gold resume appreciation. I will consider buying only if the price reaches the demand zone just below 1300. I will consider selling from 1316 onward.
FX:XAUUSD
by AlgoVenture
Dollar - Weekly Forecast 11th - 15th FebruaryThe week ended with the 7th-day consecutive gains, showing how attractive the dollar is which also suggested just how much impact can high-interest rate brings. Despite the fact that the dollar is on a bull run, it is nevertheless limited on the upside as the dollar reaches and beyond. The price closed just below the key level 96.7 with a long lower shadow which shows that selling strength is weaker as compared to the buyers but was also due to the expansion in the volume of selling strength. In short, selling pressure is increasing, buyers are ready to exit and the price will start to fall again eventually. For this week, the dollar is still expected to climb higher but with strong resistance along the way. Once the price enters the 2-month supply zone around 97, a ranging market is likely to occur while at the same time, a bearish Gartley is completed. Whether the price will begin to reverse or not, it will probably take another 1 to 2 weeks to decide.
TVC:DXY
by AlgoVenture
GBPUSD, week 6 as expected, ready for week 7!GBPUSD made a great bearish movement in week 6. It should provide short traders with awesome profit. Together with my entries in EURUSD, it enabled me to make an increase of about 8% in my account equity. Not too bad in my view. In week 6, we see a break down to bearish level zone 2 and it ended off staying in that zone on Friday. What would be expected might be a consolidation then a continue bearish break. It just one of the possibility that I am expecting it to happen, so if it doesn't come as expected, I would just stay out and wait and reassess the market again. I hope all traders continue to make a good profit in week 7! If you have any thoughts on GBPUSD's movement for the coming weeks, please share them below, I look forward to learning and staying profitable together. Please help me like this analysis, and follow me for my weekly updates!
Short
by xunnobi
EURUSD, week 6 as expected, can week 7 remains? A strong bearish move for EURUSD, its low risk and high returns. For all traders who shorted it, congrats! I personally missed the initiate movement of the pair, however, I managed to get in together with GBPUSD, which see a growth of about 8% for week 6 in my overall equity. For week 5's analysis, we expected a bearish move for week 6, which happened in the end. However, even though the move was persistent, I am not entire confident that it would continue to do so for the whole of week 7. I am expecting some range movements in week 7 or week 8. Therefore, even though the overall outlook still remains bearish, the very short term movement might not provide an opportunity to short just yet. I hope all traders continue to make awesome profit in the coming week 7! If you have any thoughts on EURUSD's movement for the coming weeks, please share them below, I look forward to learning and staying profitable together. Please help me like this analysis, and follow me for my weekly updates!
Short
by xunnobi
2
USDJPY, week 6 proven, week 7's expectations?USDJPY moved upward slightly in week 6, which was enough to confirm that bear would be staying out in week 6. It then spend the rest of week 6 staying in range mode, consolidating and getting contracts. Any traders who wants to get the pair to move either upwards or downwards would be stuck with losses. The analysis in week 6 painted an overall bearish view, but I got no confidence in that, especially after the close of week 5's candle. So for week 6, I had no trades in USDJPY, stayed out of the consolidation and make no losses from this pair. The analysis for week 7 changed from short to long because of the upward move that happened in week 6. However, to remain cautious, I have low confidence and comfort in this pair. I will continue to monitor this pair before deciding any entry. If you have any thoughts on USDJPYs movement for the coming weeks, please share them below, I look forward to learning and staying profitable together. Please help me like this analysis, and follow me for my weekly updates!
Long
by xunnobi
USDCHF, what to expect for week 7USDCHF made a strong upwards move in week 6 and only until Thursday and Friday, we see some consolidation going on. It was a good price movement for traders who long this pair. Good profit with minimal risk! USDCHF moved according to our analysis in week 6, however for week 7, it is a little mixed. In the bullish zone 1, we can see a double top pattern which hints for a reversal. If the market supports it, the trend can turn downwards without USDCHF completing the full trend of the bullish trend. So for week 7, even though the overview of the pair continues to stay bullish, I would be monitoring the movement before deciding to enter a long or short. Missing the movement is also ok for me as we have 4 pairs to monitor and endless opportunities to trade. So don't feel bad if you miss a trend! I hope all traders can continue to make good profit in week 7! If you have any thoughts on USDCHFs movement for the coming weeks, please share them below, I look forward to learning and staying profitable together. Please help me like this analysis, and follow me for my weekly updates!
Long
by xunnobi
SPX500: Weekly outlook! Evidences for an UPTREND and RECOVERY!HEy tradomaniacs, quick an overview and preparation for the nextweek! DAMN.. if we can hold this support we should MOON and recover quickly! Just have a look and check my previous analysis. This is just an update of --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- LEAVE A LIKE AND A COMMENT - I appreciate every support! =) Peace and good trades Irasor Wanna see more? Don`t forget to follow me. Any questions? PM me. :-)
OANDA:SPX500USD
by Trading2ez
DAX: Weekly outlook and detailed analysis!#CHANES and ENTRYS.HEy tradomaniacs, welcome to a little weekly outlook! Overall we`ve seen a very nice correction back above 11.100 which is a decent retracement after this holy moly huge sell-off we`ve seen after the S/H/S and Diamond-Pattern got triggered though we have not even finished this superir trend-changing pattern yet. So what can we expect? There is a lot of fundamental things going on, such as the tradewar, brexit and so on. How ever, we want to focus on the technicals aspects and talk about important price-levels and possibilities. Technical Aspects: ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Price-Action: Since we`ve seen the Breakout of the S/H/S or Diamond-Pattern, Team bear seemed to be unstoppable and sold the diva down to capitulation to a significant Support-Area between 10.261 and 10.859. After the violatin of the important Resistance @ 11.000 and 11.100 and the confirmed S&R-Flip, we were not able to do anything and just consolidated in between the red Resistance-Zone and the current major support. It looks like the market is waiting for a clear impulse in to a direction, thus the next impulse should be crucial for the next upcoming moves. Either we continue the downtrend with a lower high by a break through 11.100, indicated by the red diagonal resitance of the shorter timeframe, or we violate the current resistance and probably retest at least 11.416, which is the next subservient resistance marked up in red. The last "Endboss" to liquidate the bears of this downtrend would be @ 11.500 - 11.700. A violation of this resistance could completly destroy dow current downtrend. RSI: ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- The RSI indicated a completly oversold market. This might be one reason for this retracement but also could be interpreted as "Shit, I will never get the DIVA as cheap as now again." and a new impulse upwards in the longer time frame. For now we are back and are knocking at the door of Mr. Overbought to enter "Profit-Safe-Zone". MAC-D: ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- After the divergence the market reacted as expected. We are above teh triggerline but could create a Sell-Signal very soon, since both MA/s tend to cross again. This would probably force the Bulls of this impulse to safe their profit. Moving Average: ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- The yellow moving average represents a period of the important 100 days. As you can see, we are currently close below and could bergin to test it, after we`ve seen a breakout! The blue moving average represents a period of 50 days, AS you cann see we already respected that MA as a new support and could bounce of it over and over again. Fibonacci: ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- The yellow Fibo-Bar represents the retracement of the very big timeframe and shows a stop of the sell-off close @the 61,8% retracement. This is a very good sign and represents a valid UPTREND in the big picture, according to the elliot-wave-theory. Please check my other charts to see more in the weekly chart! The green Fib-Bar measures the current retracement of the sell-off. We made it above the 23,6% retracement, which is exactly between the current Support-Zone @ 11.052. A further retracement up to 38,2 is very likely if we break through the current "Sell-Pressure-Zone". The sell-off ended btw. @ the 161% extension of the impulse downwards! Steepness: ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- The steepness is decreasing and represents weakness of the down-trend. How ever, it looks like we currently stuck in a very tight range and should wait for the next impulse to come! If we fall, then we`d see a classic trend-continuation. ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Conclusion and nice prices to trade: Sell below 11.050 or below the 50 MA @ 10.971! Buy @ 11.289 or above 11.300! ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- AND as always: Don`t just randomly trade. Wait for your triggers, confirmations.. and.. yeah I guess you know what I mean. I wish you a great start into the next trading-week! ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- LEAVE A LIKE AND A COMMENT - I appreciate every support! =) Peace and good trades Irasor Wanna see more? Don`t forget to follow me. Any questions? PM me. :-)
XETR:DAX
by Trading2ez
4