04/12/23 Weekly outlookLast weeks high: $44745
Last weeks low: $42371
Midpoint: $39998
BITCOIN reaches just shy of $45K in what has been a huge continuation of the bullish trend we've experienced all of this year. A pattern I have noticed and one that can usually be seen in market environments similar to this is:
1. Strong move, usually only a few candlesticks.
2. Consolidation, sideways movement at new level.
3. Repeat first two steps.
With each step up, consolidation is getting longer and the rally shorter which shows the market is running out of people willing to go long at this price as selling pressure increases drastically.
At the time of writing priced has fallen 7% as the new week has started, with a new lower low, printing a new lower high could show the trend shifting towards short term bearish.
This would be healthy for a week or two in my opinion as there hasn't been a healthy correction for a while, 32.5K retest is the obvious place for price to want to retest as new support, this would also be bad for alts as leverage gets flushed out potentially. Now if BTC stagnates the altcoins will have a chance to run as profits flow into altcoins. The range midpoint is a very important level that will determine short term direction.
Weeklyoutlook
04/12/23 Weekly outlookLast weeks high: $40446.2
Last weeks low: $38576.9
Midpoint: $36707.5
Going into the final month of the year BTC continues its march into the 40k region after flipping 38.5k (Midpoint) as new support. After the 5th attempt at flipping the key area bitcoin finally managed to breakthrough and with that a surge towards and beyond 40k soon followed.
42K is a huge HTF level for BTC, major reactions in price movement often start at 42k and so it's prone to volatility. During the 2020-2021 Bullrun price bounced off 42k as resistance on the way up, then it was support on the way down multiple times throughout that cycle. Currently there is a large bearish Orderblock located there and so I would predict that only a huge news event/ ETF approval or the halving itself would push us safely beyond this and claim it as new support.
For now I am very hesitant to open any new longs, either we consolidate at the current level under major resistance in which case this is a great time to take profits and look to make plans to rebuy lower down as price drops off.
For this week I'm looking at where I can get entries going into the new year, the ETF approval is on the horizon along with the halving. Binance has in a way been cleansed and so there really isn't anything holding back a full scale Bullrun.
Half the supply & many times more the demand, thanks to BlackRock and other investment groups. We may only get one or two more opportunities for a great entry on a 2 year hold.
27/11/23 Weekly outlookLast weeks high: $38451.2
Last weeks low: $37035.2
Midpoint: $35619.1
Bitcoin continues its choppy price action as the 38.5k resistance remains intact despite 4 separate attempts to break above.
This type of price action has allowed other altcoins to run up double digit gains, however the microcaps and meme coins are benefiting the most in recent days and that usually spells a big move for BTC is coming soon.
Consolidation under key resistance along with multiple attempts chipping away at the key level point towards a break above 38.5k soon. If this were the case I do think care would need to be taken in going long as the bulls do seem to be running out of steam as of late as investors/traders look to sell positive news instead of adding to longs, a sign of an exhausted rally.
Personally I think a bull trap would be the most painful move the market could make here, a swing fail pattern taking liquidity above resistance before falling back down and giving us a healthy correction going into the new year, perhaps targeting 32.5k area.
We also still have the looming ETF decision which would kickstart the real Bullrun, however I do believe should that happen there would be more FUD on the lead up to that decisions so institutional investors can get BTC at a better price. It did seem like that was the goal with the BINANCE hearing last week however the market did not react as negatively as the SEC would have hoped.
11/26/23 NAS Weekly Outlook11/26/23 NAS Weekly Outlook
#NAS #WeeklyOutlook
Last week did as expected by continuing to take out highs. We were busy Sunday to Wednesday and stalled out on early market closure because of the holiday. Next week should be busy with a lot of news and we may also get some early reports on Black Friday and Cyber Monday sales. We have news to watch out for everyday up until Friday at 11am when Powell speaks. However, we don’t have #NFP until next Friday. So #powell, #UnemploymentClaims, #PCE, #gdp, #Consumerconfidence, will be the big news releases to watch out for
#BullishCase: The bullish case will be how we respond to the FDL from Friday. We have price tapping the low at the moment and we will need to watch out for how price responds to the 4H+FVG range we are in. On the LTF, we should see a new +POI form and we can use this to aim for the +LP($), Friday’s PDH and back in the W-FVG.
#BearishCase: The bearish care will also revoke around the PDL from Friday. Since we are in the 4H+FVG range, we will need to see an impulse through the low on the LTF and aim for the PDL lows from Wednesday and Thursday.
1H chart
4h chart
D chart:
W chart
11/26/23 DXY Weekly Outlook11/26/23 DXY Weekly Outlook
#DXY #WeeklyOutlook
Last week did as expected by continuing to take out highs. We were busy Sunday to Wednesday and stalled out on early market closure because of the holiday. Next week should be busy with a lot of news and we may also get some early reports on Black Friday and Cyber Monday sales. We have news to watch out for everyday up until Friday at 11am when Powell speaks. However, we don’t have #NFP until next Friday. So #powell, #UnemploymentClaims, #PCE, #gdp, #Consumerconfidence, will be the big news releases to watch out for
#BullishCase: A bullish move on Dollars means that we are seeing a LTF move through the 4H-FVG. Once we move through it we see that price uses the 4H-FVG as an IFVG setup to the upside. We then target the previous -POIs, the PDH from Friday and back into the D-IFVG range.
#BearishCase: A bearish scenario is a bit more probable at the moment still as we have a PDL from Friday within a few points below us and last week’s PWL as well. The initial moves of the week will need to be how we handle the 4H-FVG made on Friday near the YOP. If we get a reaction within that range we can see continuation to the down side from there.
XXX/USD bullish
USD/XXX bearish
1H chart
4H chart
D chart
W chart
11/26/23 SPX Weekly Outlook11/26/23 SPX Weekly Outlook
#SPX #WeeklyOutlook:
Last week did as expected by continuing to take out highs. We were busy Sunday to Wednesday and stalled out on early market closure because of the holiday. Next week should be busy with a lot of news and we may also get some early reports on Black Friday and Cyber Monday sales. We have news to watch out for everyday up until Friday at 11am when Powell speaks. However, we don’t have #NFP until next Friday. So #powell, #UnemploymentClaims, #PCE, #gdp, #Consumerconfidence, will be the big news releases to watch out for
#BullishCase: Currently taking the PDL, however, below this low are the following +POIs, a D+B and two 4H+FVGs. On the LTFs, we need to see how price reacts below this PDL and on the LTF if we get new +POIs with these ranges.
#BearishCase: The PDL from Friday is also our POI for the sell setup as well. We need to watch the LTFs for an impulse through the low and on the LTFs once we trade through the low wait for a fresh -POI for a LTF setup.
1H chart
4H chart
D Chart
W Chart
11/26/23 US30 Weekly Outlook11/26/23 US30 Weekly Outlook
#US30 #WeeklyOutlook
Last week did as expected by continuing to take out highs. We were busy Sunday to Wednesday and stalled out on early market closure because of the holiday. Next week should be busy with a lot of news and we may also get some early reports on Black Friday and Cyber Monday sales. We have news to watch out for everyday up until Friday at 11am when Powell speaks. However, we don’t have #NFP until next Friday. So #powell, #UnemploymentClaims, #PCE, #gdp, #Consumerconfidence, will be the big news releases to watch out for
#BullishCase: The bullish case is to take the PWH on each of the time frames. There are -POIs above us that are still our HTF draw. We tapped a W-FVG around 16000 and are in the moment fading into a 4H+FVG that we have already traded up from. On the LTF, after we take the PDL we made on Friday, we will need to watch how price reacts with the FVG on the LTFs
#BearishCase: The bearish case is the PDL from Friday as well. If we trade through this low with impulse, then I will aim for the PDLs from Wednesday and Thursday on the LTFs
1H chart
4h chart
D chart:
W chart
11/26/23 US30 Weekly Outlook11/26/23 US30 Weekly Outlook
#US30 #WeeklyOutlook
Last week did as expected by continuing to take out highs. We were busy Sunday to Wednesday and stalled out on early market closure because of the holiday. Next week should be busy with a lot of news and we may also get some early reports on Black Friday and Cyber Monday sales. We have news to watch out for everyday up until Friday at 11am when Powell speaks. However, we don’t have #NFP until next Friday. So #powell, #UnemploymentClaims, #PCE, #gdp, #Consumerconfidence, will be the big news releases to watch out for
#BullishCase: The bullish case is to take the PWH on each of the time frames. There are -POIs above us that are still our HTF draw. In the case of US30 we also have a W-RB(rejection Block)/D-OB that is just above the last PWH.
#BearishCase: The bearish case is the LTF -LP($) from the 1H TF. If we trade through this swing low with impulse, then I will aim for the PDLs from Thursday and Friday.
1H chart
4h chart
D chart:
W chart
20/11/23 Weekly outlookLast weeks high: $38023.9
Last weeks low: $36284.2
Midpoint: $34544.4
Bitcoin starts the week at almost exactly where it started the previous week, just hovering above the 37k it means BTC had a net neutral price action over the last 7 days. However, midweek saw a 10% range create the highs and the lows before contesting the midpoint.
After a strong rally for BTC it looks like 38k is resistance and with ETH struggling to match other altcoins in terms of %gains it leads me to believe that people have rotated their BTC profits and skipped ETH instead preferring to go to newer L1's and smaller cap coins, despite the news of BlackRock's new ETHEREUM ETF proposal. These newer projects haven't experienced a bull market before and tend to have a bigger potential return.
For this reason price action leads me to believe that we're getting to the stage of the mini cycle where a lot of people are looking to reinvest the profits they've taken into BTC at lower prices but others want the run to carry on. I think longing into 38K resistance would be difficult, and the market looks to punish late longs generally. Weekly RSI is 74, daily RSI has just dropped below the overbought area after multiple bearish deviations.
All TA leads to a retracement and a local high is already in, However, this is sometimes a Fundamental analysis vs Technical analysis battle where the logical answer doesn't always play out and emotions ride high.
I'm looking for diagonal support to be held as well as the midpoint from last weeks range to reassure BTC's strength, consolidation under the 38k resistance would be primed to break above and target the 40k big even level.
11/19/23 DXY Weekly Outlook#DXY #WeeklyOutlook
Next week is Thanksgiving holiday so, historically that week can be a hit or miss and especially given the fact that we don't have a lot of news this week so I would tread lightly. We don't have any red folder news until Wednesday and that is going to be an early release of #UnemploymentClaims , #DurableGoods, and #ConsumerSentiment. On Tuesday we do have #ExistingHomeSales which will ll be something that's an economic gauge more so than something we may want to trade off of, but we can see what happens on Tuesday. After Wednesday, there's not really much going into Thursday and Friday because Thursday is a holiday, although we do close out the week with #PMI.
Probability for dollar this week looks like we will definitely take out the PWL last week that I was sitting at 103.815. We are sitting inside a D+FVG but we have the yearly opening price #YOP just about 0.31% below us and that may be what we’re drawn to at least to tap it. We could see some LTF moves to the up side but the daily and weekly charts are pretty heavily favored to the downside meaning that:
XXX/USD bullish
USD/XXX bearish
D chart
11/19/23 SPX Weekly Outlook#SPX #WeeklyOutlook:
Next week is Thanksgiving holiday so, historically that week can be a hit or miss and especially given the fact that we don't have a lot of news this week so I would tread lightly. We don't have any red folder news until Wednesday and that is going to be an early release of #UnemploymentClaims , #DurableGoods, and #ConsumerSentiment. On Tuesday we do have #ExistingHomeSales which will ll be something that's an economic gauge more so than something we may want to trade off of, but we can see what happens on Tuesday. After Wednesday, there's not really much going into Thursday and Friday because Thursday is a holiday, although we do close out the week with #PMI.
We set the PWL inside of a 4H+FVG and never came back near it. We expanded and created +FVGs on the Daily, 4H, and 1H that held price near the WHs once the #cpi news release on last Tuesday. If we stay in inverse correlation to the dollar I would assume the PWHs are still our targets on the HTF. Nothing is really standing in the way of of us pushing higher into them and if we see any LTF moves to the downside I’d take them with the logic that we are trading into bullish points of interest POIs .
#BullishCase: We see price stalling and react to a LTF POI and bounce to take the PWHs out. I would look for any recent bullish order blocks or fair value gaps and look for price to react there.
#BearishCase: We are pushing up hard over the past 3 weeks and all the down moves, even the ones that seem to be setting us up for lower price have been bought back up. LTF moves at fresh bearish POIs from the 4H or 1H are the only sell setups I’ll probably look for and doing so with the #BullishCase in mind. We closed out Friday to the downside and we have two PDLs and into the FVGs, and these would be my short terms downside targets.
1H chart
4H chart
D Chart
11/19/23 NAS Weekly Outlook#NAS #WeeklyOutlook
Next week is Thanksgiving holiday so, historically that week can be a hit or miss and especially given the fact that we don't have a lot of news this week so I would tread lightly. We don't have any red folder news until Wednesday and that is going to be an early release of #UnemploymentClaims , #DurableGoods, and #ConsumerSentiment. On Tuesday we do have #ExistingHomeSales which will ll be something that's an economic gauge more so than something we may want to trade off of, but we can see what happens on Tuesday. After Wednesday, there's not really much going into Thursday and Friday because Thursday is a holiday, although we do close out the week with #PMI.
We set the PWL inside of a 4H+FVG and never came back near it. We expanded and created +FVGs on the Daily, 4H, and 1H that held price near the WHs once the #cpi news release on last Tuesday. If we stay in inverse correlation to the dollar I would assume the PWHs are still our targets on the HTF. Nothing is really standing in the way of of us pushing higher into them and if we see any LTF moves to the downside I’d take them with the logic that we are trading into bullish points of interest POIs .
#BullishCase: We see price stalling and react to a LTF POI and bounce to take the PWHs out. I would look for any recent bullish order blocks or fair value gaps and look for price to react there. We have a W-FVG that is my main target for us on NAS
#BearishCase: We are pushing up hard over the past 3 weeks and all the down moves, even the ones that seem to be setting us up for lower price have been bought back up. LTF moves at fresh bearish POIs from the 4H or 1H are the only sell setups I’ll probably look for and doing so with the #BullishCase in mind. We closed out Friday to the downside and we have two PDLs and into the FVGs, and these would be my short terms downside targets.
1H chart
4h chart
D chart:
11/19/23 US30 Weekly Outlook#US30 #WeeklyOutlook
Next week is Thanksgiving holiday so, historically that week can be a hit or miss and especially given the fact that we don't have a lot of news this week so I would tread lightly. We don't have any red folder news until Wednesday and that is going to be an early release of #UnemploymentClaims , #DurableGoods, and #ConsumerSentiment. On Tuesday we do have #ExistingHomeSales which will ll be something that's an economic gauge more so than something we may want to trade off of, but we can see what happens on Tuesday. After Wednesday, there's not really much going into Thursday and Friday because Thursday is a holiday, although we do close out the week with #PMI.
We set the PWL inside of a D+OB and never came back near it. We expanded and created +FVGs on the Daily, 4H, and 1H that held price near the WHs once the #cpi news release on last Tuesday. If we stay in inverse correlation to the dollar I would assume the PWHs are still our targets on the HTF. We set an equal high EQHs with the PWH from 8/28/23. Nothing is really standing in the way of of us pushing higher into them and if we see any LTF moves to the downside I’d take them with the logic that we are trading into bullish points of interest POIs . We are inside of a W-OB (not drawn) and D-OB but the is holding and setting up to push higher.
#BullishCase: We see price stalling and react to a LTF POI and bounce to take the PWHs out. I would look for any recent bullish order blocks or fair value gaps and look for price to react there. We have EQHs that is my main target for us on US30
#BearishCase: We are pushing up hard over the past 3 weeks and all the down moves, even the ones that seem to be setting us up for lower price have been bought back up. LTF moves at fresh bearish POIs from the 4H or 1H are the only sell setups I’ll probably look for and doing so with the #BullishCase in mind. We closed out Friday to the downside and we have two PDLs, SSL, and into the FVGs, and these would be my short terms downside targets.
1H chart
4h chart
D chart:
11/12/23#NAS #DailyReview #WeeklyOutlook
Last week was a weird week with the drop on Thursday and then price on Friday setting the Weekly High after trading into the D+VIB and near the Weekly low. We also traded through the D-OB and if it is going to continue to the upside may use this as a new POI. Dollar moved up the entire week pretty slowly but the Bonds pulled back and that caused the buy on Friday. Tuesday we'll have CPI and Wednesday we'll have PPI and Retail sales. Then Thursday we will have Unemployment Claims so that will definitely move the markets on those days for sure.
#1 Taking the PWH should be the first move and we might see price move into this 4H+FVG to move higher from there.
#2 Selling for now isn't an option at the moment but taking the sell into the +FVG on the lower time frame may be a move on the 15m chart and below.
4H chart
11/12/23 SPX Weekly Outlook#SPX #DailyReview #WeeklyOutlook:
Last week was a weird week with the drop on Thursday and then price on Friday setting the Weekly Low and high. Dollar moved up the entire week pretty slowly but the Bonds pulled back and that caused the buy on Friday. Tuesday we'll have CPI and Wednesday we'll have PPI and Retail sales. Then Thursday we will have Unemployment Claims so that will definitely move the markets on those days for sure.
#1 Taking the PWH should be the first move and we might see price move into this 4H+FVG to move higher from there.
#2 Selling for now isn't an option at the moment but taking the sell into the +FVG on the lower time frame may be a move on the 15m chart and below.
4H chart
11/12/23 US30 Weekly Outlook#US30 #DailyReview #WeeklyOutlook
Took out the PWH and traded into a W-FVG up to the mid point at 34300.6. The 1H/4H+FVG is sitting right at the W-FVG(L) at 34098.9 and if we move up this is likely where I may look for a move up. Tuesday we'll have CPI and Wednesday we'll have PPI and Retail sales. Then Thursday we will have Unemployment Claims so that will definitely move the markets on those days for sure.
#1 main goal is the PWH for an initial upside move
#2 Pushing down into the +FVG that is the downside move on the LTF but, I want to see if the move is pushing down to move up from there.
4H chart
13/11/23 Weekly outlookLast weeks high: $38156.9
Last weeks low: $36342.2
Midpoint: $34527.4
Bitcoin continues it's strong march towards 40k with another week of positive price action. Last week we had a bit of a flush out, mainly to liquidate some late longs and hit a few stop losses which is necessary to reset margin traders and is healthy for the market.
For now I think the momentum is with altcoins as bitcoin slows down and profits rotate into ETHEREUM and other large caps alts. Then cycling down to the mid caps and smaller market cap coins.
The ETH/BTC chart is worth keeping an eye on, it will give us a good indication of strength. Blackrock filed for an ETF for ETH last week too which gives investors added confidence that the BITCOIN ETF will be approved soon.
Another big week ahead for the crypto market as a whole, the sentiment is generally euphoric at present, this in the past has been the downfall of people as they get greedy so it's important to take profits at times.
CPI & PPI news events this week also, could see more volatile price action during these announcements especially now that more volume has returned to the market.
06/11/23 Weekly outlookLast weeks high: $36088.7
Last weeks low: $35064.8
Midpoint: $34040.8
Last week price consolidated after it's considerable rally the week before, we have a mini range between 34k as support and 36k as resistance. As price has stagnated profits have trickled down the crypto ladder towards strong altcoins such as SOLANA, and more recently lower cap plays which is usually a sign that the cycle is coming to an end and that money will return to BTC, however it is difficult to say at this current moment in time if price will continue to push upwards or will we get a correction.
General market sentiment seems to point towards the bull market has returned and it's up only from here. I am not so sure that is the case but the fact that we have been consolidating at this level for quite some time now without a pullback does give further evidence for that.
For now I think it would be very risky, the time to be HTF bearish was all of last year. To enter shorts at this stage without solid confirmation of weakness, instead taking profits going into HTF resistance levels would make the most sense. As for the side-lined traders this is were FOMO is your biggest enemy, yes the market looks strong right now and there hasn't been any pullbacks to jump on. I'm keeping a close eye over the week for BTC dominance against altcoins, and news on the ETF's.
30/10/23 Weekly outlookLast weeks high: $36748.0
Last weeks low: $33314.9
Midpoint: $29881.7
Bitcoins crazy rally continues after smashing through the 32k resistance that has limited BTC's progress all year. After 18 months and multiple HTF attempts to reclaim the level the bulls have managed it, and by doing so a FVG has been created.
This FVG starts at 31850 and ends at 32500, which is the HTF S/R level. I've said before I'd like to see a retest of this level to see if this rally is serious in the long run or if it's more of a fakeout. That retest would also see price fall below the supporting trendline. This isn't the end of the world but it does give an indication that the bulls are running out of fuel and that the trend may be turning. For now it's a no trade zone while we're experiencing LTF chop between the midpoint and 0.75 range line.
It's also worth noting that SBF is taking the stand in court currently. This may not mean much but it only takes one comment for the market to react.
23/10/23 Weekly outlookLast weeks high: $30629.8
Last weeks low: $28832.6
Midpoint: $27035.3
Bitcoin finished the week with a massive 11.1% increase and a weekly high of 13.28% greater than weekly open.
The way in which BTC had that huge initial gain at the beginning of the week was due to Cointelegraph issuing a false report that the Blackrock ETF had been approved when in in fact it's still under consideration with the decision deadline in March '24.
This false news created a large wick, and the majority of the time wicks get filled, in this case price slowly and consistently filled the wick over the remainder of the week.
We are now looking at a possible SFP of this local high given at 30600 from that early week wick. Price has broken out above and is now back under. For this mini rally to sustain itself price can not be accepted under the red trendline in my opinion. Maintaining bullish price structure going into the heavy resistance area of 32k is key if this rally is to continue. I still think there is one last crash just to truly crush the impatient and for smart money to load up for the bullrun ahead which is almost in site now.
Weekly Bias for SPX - 10/1/2023Weekly Chart: Traded into last week's bearish engulfing candle and then took out its low.
Traded into a +POI (W+FVG), wicked near MT at 4236.6
Weekly Idea: Because we are bearish but entered into this +POI, with may get a bounce but would look to see if the PWL is taken out for a continuation lower. For now, I'm 505/50 on this mainly because of the W+FVG. A bullish scenario would need to be revisited
Daily Chart: Price took out the PWL and set a low on the Daily in the W+FVG, however, price bounced from the area without making a new high. This is logic to stay on the downside for now. Another thing to note, Friday's close is at the mid point of the weekly range, Weekly high 4347.4, Weekly Low 4243.2, and Weekly mid point 4295.3, finally Weekly close/ Friday closing price 4295.3.
Daily idea: Because of the close and the price failing to make a new high this give reasoning to at least look for the price to take out the PDL and -LP ( $ trend line liquidity) with best case scenario, price taking out the PWL. A bullish scenario would need to be revisited
4H Chart/Idea: We have a 4H-OB and 4H-FVG, one the LTF, do we have price return to mitigate this area? The +breaker is hold price up for now and this will be the first thing that I look at for a response of what price decides to do. The low was made in a +POI, a +OB but will it hold?
02/10/23 Weekly outlookLast weeks high: $28351.8
Last weeks low: $27165.3
Midpoint: $25978.9
As September and with that Q3 comes to a close BTC saw a late price rally of 4.4% in a single hourly candle to finish the month strong.
Going into Q4 I still expect a sell off and revisit of the yearly open. With credit card debt at levels comparable to that of the 2008 financial crisis, as well as a 22-year high for FED interest rate, no confirmation of ETF approval and still 6 months out from the halving. These points all lead me to believe there will be one final flush out.
For this week I'm looking for weakness in BTC to potentially go short, however the stop loss would be tight. 32.5K is still a massively pivotal and would be a key area to watch.
ALT's such as LINK have served as a top signal for BTC in the past, currently LINK has rallied 40% in the last 2 weeks to reach local high, if the pattern stays true then that could be an early sign of where the rest of the market will end up in the coming weeks.
Weekly Bias for DXY/GU - 10/1/23Weekly Chart: DXY and GU both have reach POI, on DXY a W-OB and on GU a W+FVG. In this scenario, I'd be looking for DXY to see how we respond to the PWH if we fail to take it out and trade back into last week's range, I'll look to the downside potentially. If we trade through it, the +LP at 107.993 will be the next draw. GU will have to deal with the W+FVG and the YOP which may be a tough task.
Weekly Idea: DXY's strength be the thing I'm watching. This is a good area to fall from and that will spring GU to the up side. A fall lines up with the YOP holding price up on GU. However, if we take out the high on DXY, GU reaches into the YOP
Daily Chart: The first draw is the PDH on DXY and the PDL on GU. We will need to pay attention to how the engulfing candles made on Thursday on DXY/GU are handled and this will be a range that the LTF will need to deal with.
4H Chart: DXY has a small 4H-FVG but the one above it is the one I'm interested in. The PDH has already been taken out and the response to the highs are what I'm looking for. On GU, the PDL hasn't been taken yet but its at risk so, I'll be looking at how price reacts to all of the +POIs (D+FVG,4H+Breaker, and the 4H+FVG, 4H+OB). If DXY fails to push through PDH, well look for price to trade into the 4H+FVG and and the same time I'll be looking at price inside of the 4H-FVG on GU.