BTC H&S Completed My last btctrade got stopped out. The market has been moving sideways for a while and longs on bitfinex have increaased dramatically. I think whales have been accumulating the past week and are ready to move the market soon. Move stop to profit once neck line is broken (not pictured)
Whales
BTC Range Bound and DownLike the tile says I am looking for $BTC to be range bound to short over the next ten to twenty weeks. $BTC was trapped in this very location back in 2017 where it spent nine weeks and traded from early August to the middle of October before it broke out of its range. $BTC is still holding under the 200 Exponential Moving Average (EMA) where it broke under back in February of 2018 which is significant because $BTC has not been under the 200 EMA since August of 2015. I am using a logarithmic scale on my chart because I have it on good authority that the institutional investors use this type of scale to make technical analysis decisions. Whats the importance of how institutional money uses charting to conduct technical analysis? It's important because it's institutional money that is pushing and driving the market. How can that be, you ask? Well, the crypto space is like the wild wild west. An unregulated decentralized space that's prime for old school market manipulation. Truly a shark's wet dream. Think about it for a minute. Who knew that the CME and the CBOE were going to launch $BTC futures contracts and be given approval to do so? Not many people that's who. The Winklevoss twins knew and many of their friends and family not to mention the top leaders and members of the SEC, FINRA, CFTC, CME and the CBOE just to name a few. It probable took two to three years of work, research and technological innovation to stand up these new financial instruments. Then they partner with Gemini? Why would Wall Street use Gemini's auction price for bitcoin to quote their $BTC futures contracts? Gemini is by far not the best or largest exchange by volume or any other factor for that matter. One could speculate that the twins are obedient servants to the master and will heel at command!
Only the top big money traders were invited to trade the open of the contracts launch. How do I know this? When I found out the contracts went live I tried to trade them through my TD Ameritrade account and was rejected so I called customer support and was politely told to pound sand up my ass because my money was no good at the bar! That's when I realized that some of the investors that we invited to trade it first were like cut bait and just there to provide equity for the sharks. You know how the old saying goes right? If you look around the table and you cant find the mark then the mark is you. This also helped me avoid getting caught up in the FOMO and getting trapped in positions where I would have to DCA like crazy just to get back to break even. See this old pump and dump has been around along time and it goes back tens of thousands of years. It's human psychology and the Oligarchy are masters of that psychology and the manipulation there of. If you go and look at the CFTC commitments of traders reports you will see the smart money was heavy short from jump street and are still heavy short. Add that information with the massive advertising campaign that started back in August 2017 and led up to the contract open and you have a classic boiler room pump and dump. Which was also perfect timing to get paid just before Christmas. I'm sure that in the small circle of the Oligarchy the Christmas of 2017 will live in infamy.
You can relate this back to the Bugs Bunny Cartoon's. If you can't beat 'em, join 'em! The Oligarchy realized the power of Bitcoin and the future implications that the loss of control over the established monetary system would have on their way of life and their suffocating choke hold over humanity. They realized that the spark had already been lit and the revolution is on! Since they were not invited to the party they devised a plan to slow the train down long enough to jump aboard and ride to uncharted territory. They paid their whores well just look at the twins and others like Jamie Dimon and how he sold that ass like a dirty gutter slut! Yea I said it Bitch!
The institutional money (Sharks, Whales, Oligarchy) have been buying physical $BTC since they made the decision to launch Bitcoin Futures contracts over three years ago. When price peaked over $19,000 they were taking profits selling physical $BTC on the exchanges and shorting $BTC futures contracts via the CBOE and the CME. The $BTC price back in 2015 averaged around $250.00 a Bitcoin. That's the primary reason Bitcoin could fall back between $1,000 to $1,500 because there is no big money to defend price until much lower levels. One week after the $BTC Futures contract opened on December 19, 2017 there were 828 contracts long compared to 2,199 contracts short. The 828 long's were controlled by 18 individual traders compared to the 2,199 short's that were controlled by just 9 individual traders. This correlates perfectly to market statistics that have proven year over year that the majority of traders loose money and the masses are generally wrong.
The point of my post is to say that personally I will be moving forward with caution. I will be watching the CFTC's Commitment of Traders weekly reports and waiting for a change in Relative Volume (RVOL). As the chart shows big moves are signaled buy spikes in RVOL. We are still in a active pattern of short pressure signaled by the recent spike in RVOL on the bear candles that I have illustrated above. Stay safe Crypto Soldiers and keep the faith because this is the future of money and they know it. They are riddled with fear each and every day because they know the gig is up and its just a matter of time until mankind unites and overthrows the taskmaster! Power to the people, all people. Viva La Crypto!
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BTCUSD edging upwardUsing the same chart as posted yesterday you can see how BTC price movements retested it's 50/200 moving averages. Great scalping opportunities from the first break down to now and they'll continue. Use your 5minute and 1 minute charts to confirm and ladder your stop limits on upward plays. It Looks like 50ema has slightly crossed 200 as typing. Expecting some pullback and short consolidation to begin. Watching TL's and movement on 1&5 min. Also, I'm watching hourly ma/ema ranges and gaps. If bulls can hold positions even with retesting and If higher highs and low's continue I'll watch for low 3700 areas to be targeted.3500 and 3480 range should be retested. Not at all unlikely not for 3400-3460 to be retested...holding those zones and the 200MA is key for bulls. RSI overbought across lower tf's
BTC – are whales and institutions accumulating?So Guys!
As the market is a bit recovering some of you probably wonder whether whales and institutions accumulate crypto assets.
Well, this is a good question and quite difficult to find an easy answer.
Professionals are highly cautious in accumulating new assets and often invest in a way that it has minimal impact on the short-term price trend of the asset or the currency.
The don’t buy 1000 BTCs in one moment. They use bots to execute a trade with the small pieces such as 100/ 1000 USD. Simply they don’t want us to know they are accumulating.
The sign of accumulation might be the fact that the price is very low right not. Whales and institutions have enough money to control the price of a certain asset. During accumulation, they take care of the lowest price as possible. Once they finish, the price might explode.
Moreover, institutional investors tend to invest in speculative assets through the over-the-counter (OTC) market. In the case of Bitcoin, due to its lack of liquidity, institutional investors have to rely on trusted custodians like Coinbase Custody and Fidelity Digital Assets to purchase or sell large sums of BTC. OTC market operators and custodial solution providers are not obliged to share their trading volumes and as a result, data held by OTC exchanges are rarely released to the public.
Currently, the demand for Coinbase Custody, Bakkt, and Fidelity DIgital Assets is one of the limited ways to justify institutional demand for crypto and recently, Bakkt confirmed that the demand is growing rapidly.
This is clear that many crypto projects are still developing, delivering milestones, making agreements with big tech giants hiring new people. This whole ecosystem is growing rapidly which is not reflected in the price yet thus it is a big sale-off. Purchase now will pay off in 2019. No doubt about that.
The whole technical analysis is on the chart.
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The Road To TOM LEE Target of 15,000$ STARTS HEREYou need to be careful as real volume from hedge funds and big actors is entering the market silently as you were deceived by this false breakdown which was resulted due to thanksgiving so they will thank all stupid panic sellers that sold them for non dreamt levels to make them 5x-10x by end of year!!
GOOD LUCK ALL SMART INVESTORS!!
Bitcoin phenomenonTechnically, a downward trend and a sharp change in direction for the price of $6k will not be. This time the story will repeat, but already in a different time interval, a sharp increase during the half year, as it was not last expected, to make the next multiple volume of purchases, we'll need the same multiple time interval.
In search of plankton
Today, at a price of $6,500 per unit, bitcoin trading volumes are declining because there is actually no one to buy it from anyone. Since its emission is limited, the spread is beyond the spread, commission over commission it flows in one "smart" hands and it becomes not interesting for the community. Moreover, in fact, most of it is already on the stock exchanges and some of them, judging by the publications, do not allow withdrawing funds even in cryptocurrency, which is nonsense for the blockchain itself and in turn not only undermines the trust of users, but also runs the risk of in justice finders. In any case, the price will fall.
The manipulators who are keen on the game should not lose sight of the fact: the more bitcoins is in one hand, the less it is interesting to others. The phenomenon of Bitcoin, in contrast to its surrogates, is that personal interest in it directly depends on the public. Whatever “news” is created, it is obvious that in the present conditions they are not able to stimulate the intentions of the real economy adherents. In order to change the situation, Bitcoin will first have to be re-distributed, decentralized for its intended purpose, or as they say now: scale until the price drops to acceptable, i.e. now, taking into adjusted for inflation, it will be somewhere in the range of $ 1-4k (depending on how quickly the measures are taken and new ideas* are voiced to improve the industry).
If you entered the cold water to the waist, then most likely you will dive. No matter how much one would like, whales just need to dive into the depths, it will be very natural, and then its ascent to the next logical summit will take 5-10 years.
Bitcoin is enough
* - Follow me for new fundamental ideas for Bitcoin
REQ BTC BINANCE. Are the whales there? Taking a look at this coin on the recent few months view... it appears to have hit a bottom and that there are forces seeking to consolidate motion within the Orange trend line channel. Subsequently a recent pump has pushed the total gains since the reversal point (see point A ) to near 113%, indicated great performance overall...
However... the recent momentum that follows the green trend line needs to break out of the orange trend line channel before we can see how these gains will hold.
If the movements of the whales are enough to get the smaller level traders keeping that orange channel alive then we potentially can see a pump emerging along the green trend line.
However, if this recent pump fails to produce steady motion along the orange trend channel and we move back to test it's bottom we will see a correction to the bottom of these past few months sideways action.
These 2 WHALES told me BTC is about to PUMPBelow you will find the chart with log scale so you can see both whales in one frame.
By using the curve tool to form support and resistance lines we can see what I call the "Whale Fractal".
It is basically a fractal from the past which played out in the last correction in 2014.
How Does the "Whale Fractal" work:
The base of it all is that markets move in sine waves.
This means they constantly go up and down.
When a sine wave starts to go up again the prices have to curve up again and this is what we are seeing right now.
The gradient of the sine wave at the bottom is obviously 0 and now look at the last triangle (or the curve).
And as you can see the gradient is also 0 right now.
This fractal consists of 3 falling wedges followed by one descending triangle (with an H&S pattern inside the descending triangle).
These triangles start very steep and get flatter over time.
I expect the next Bull Run to start when we get to the fin of the whale (crossover of the two curves).
The whale fractal is basically a combination of sine waves and squeezing buyers and sellers (which means bearish momentum is gone).
This is very interesting to me:
What is very interesting to note is that both the descending triangle and the H&S pattern are both bearish patterns.
However, in the whale fractal, they are actually signaling the beginning of the fin of the whale (which means an incoming reversal).
Both of these bearish patterns will probably shake out a lot of people and this where the market pops off again.
Where others see a bear and depression I see a whale and profits.
This, of course, would also work in the other direction (Dolphin Fractal) which would be the same fractal but just flipped upside down indicating downside momentum.
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Never trust Volume Profile on Crypto.I just like to show you something I saw on Binance order-book.
This is big buy orders (support lines) arrangement on Binance before they disappear from order-book.
i.imgur.com
One thing I don't like about Binance is they don't show the whole order-book or market depth.
They hide the big part of it from public and this lets the whales do what they want.
This is at time of current drop, there was a big buy on 6500 but they picked it up and let the price go down.
i.imgur.com
And this is current big buy order at 6400:
i.imgur.com
This is the reason why most of the time I put stop-loss under support line or Fib's levels they get filled then price go up. They pickup their big buys to let price go down and buy our cheap tokens then sell them a little higher to ourselves. Yeah.
I must setup a trader BOT to save my money.
PERFECT setup but you get dumped? I`ll show you why! :-)#WhalesHey guys,
here quick another video about situation we`ve all experienced and why we get dumped though our analysis and setup was perfect. :-)
WHEN THE BIG PLAYERS dump you!
Hope you enjoy it! :-)
Peace, happy learning and good trades
Irasor
Trading2ez
Wanna see more? Don`t forget to follow me.
Any questions? Need signals or more education? PM Me. :-)
End of January / Beginning of February scenario to come?This is an idea of mine that I had a few days ago when over 10k BTC were margin shorted at $7300. I noticed that a similar occurrence happened around the 26th of January when BTC was at $11k and this was one of the main reasons I shorted heavily between $7300 and $7400.
A huge amount of Bitcoin was shorted at the end of January right before it suddenly dropped to $6k within 11 days.
If a similar scenario plays out now, we could be seeing much more blood to come and I will remain bearish until I see at least a large amount of those shorts have closed.
THE END TIMES ... BTC should we be so bullish?Hello everyone.
The picture becomes clearer each day. Well, some will look at my chart and say it's not that clear, not with all those lines! LOL.
Focus people ... don't worry about all the dashed support lines, just look at the bold red and bold blue.
Here's a quick explanation:
- we could go down from right here.
- I do see room for it to go up to around 7600 where the all time high trend line sits (dark maroon line).
- we need a correction soon, question is how far.
- one possible movement to look out for is a small correction now and then a double top in around 2 weeks, which simply follows the trend of all the other peaks. So we could get stuck below 7500 before it comes down.
- so I think we correct up or sideways now to CBOE ETF decision date. I'm assuming a delay will be announced Sep 17th, which is one week before the deadline of Sep 24th. That red zone is where I think we will get news from SEC.
- if the decision is positive, we go bull market ... and need to change our tune.
- if there is a delay or even worse, a rejection of the ETF ... get ready for 4.5k to 5k.
Now, you should know, there are obviously MANY more scenarios that aren't on my plot ... I don't want to confuse everyone, so I just put up my most probably bull and bear scenarios. For instance, I hear people talk of going to 10k now ... yeah, if these whales keep buying and pushing the price up (thanks Bitfinex) ... maybe. But I really don't see any fundamental reason for going to 10k now ... think of it like a business ... why would you invest right now? If you knew something fundamentally changed (like an ETF is approved), sure, then it makes sense ... but lacking this decision, what is different from yesterday? Oh you might say we tested 5700/5800 twice ... yeah, who cares? We can test it again, in fact if you know it got there, that would say it can get there again if nothing's changed.
Anyhow, I partially closed some longs, and am hoping/waiting for 7500 - 7600 to close more longs. Then wait to see what the market does, anticipating we will need to correct, and possible go to the bottom. I don't expect a wild bounce from 4.5k ... reason is, whales will need lots of time to accumulate. This would keep us sub 6k for a while, and then we take off as the ETF is approved, maybe at the end of the year to prepare for a 2019 launch. SEC can delay until March next year though ... so it all depends on how much time the whales need to accumulate.
Remember only a fool relies on one potential outcome.
Do not use this info for trading/investments/financial decisions. For educational purposes only.
DADDY`s Whales do like 200MA and Golden Cuts!# Check THIS!Hey guys,
an iddition to my post below in the comment section!
BTC is really fighting with these god damn 61,8% Retracement-Levels and lieks to sell them.
In addition, we still have a bearish market forming lower highs at 200 Moving Average.
Will we defend 7.000 and stay inside that range?
Or do we finally break out of this Downtrend?
Is 61,8% Retracement-breakout the key? ;-D
We will see.
Peace and good trades
Irasor
Trading2ez
Wanna see more? Don`t forget to follow me!
Any questions? Need education or signals? PM me. :-)
BTC Cool Off? Shorts high- Switch it upBTC shorts are at one of the highest points since they began. Altcoins are in the dumpster, morale is low in a lot of the crypto community. Market caps dwindling. How would a whale/s play this?
Well, quite a few ways, but I'll go out on a limb and say what I think will happen-- consolidation within range. Volume is very low, momentum lacking. DMI is hugging. At the mercy of the whales. Right now, on h4 we're below both 12& 26day ema, right around the 12. Seller volume decreasing and trend strength weak. Bear's game all the way.
Perhaps a trap of some shorts with a spike into 64-65? At this point we see a lot of scalping. I won't even rule out a push up to the 68-7 range after a few days of tightening, though I find it unlikely.
Now, Dragging things out into consolidation might be the best option. Let people believe the bottom is found and things are cooling off for the next upward wave. I see tighter movements as volatility restricts without massive liquidity.
I've watched the last 2 major waves play out similarly, but tighter price ranges each time, offering an upward price movement for relief for the downtrodden. Is the Hype waning? A weeding out of less seasoned individuals? Who knows.
I'll keep watching support of 5777 to 5300 range and 51- below if the bears decide to steamroll.
In this particular market, there isn't much that can surprise me. I think going the "expected" straight down route is less profitable for the Big movers. It's a matter of how much money is placed on which direction.
Again, overall...I see no massive upward price action coming any time soon, but "massive" is relative, after all.
Do not expect 10k BTC ANYtime soon.
Bad news for CowsPeople selling their altcoins to buy bitcoin (ETF FOMO), Alts going down and down but bitcoin price doesn't increase? My guess is whales selling their bitcoin right now to this ETF FOMO and when nobody expect it they short the whole market to buy their bitcoin back at a discounted price
(100% Profit possibility) Risk/Reward 4:31In April 19 we can see a possible whale buying huge amount of coins. Now a bullish trend started.
BTC Bounces Off Previous Trendline - Buy Zone ReachedFrom my previous chart Here: You can see on the CURRENT chart at top BTC is bouncing off the down trend line as support.
-Time-frame of previous chart moved to the right to match when the drop occured
-Bought in the 6600's HODLing until $9k ish
-Look for BTC to bounce off the trend line again then a whale purchase will occur