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Whales

End of January / Beginning of February scenario to come?This is an idea of mine that I had a few days ago when over 10k BTC were margin shorted at $7300. I noticed that a similar occurrence happened around the 26th of January when BTC was at $11k and this was one of the main reasons I shorted heavily between $7300 and $7400. A huge amount of Bitcoin was shorted at the end of January right before it suddenly dropped to $6k within 11 days. If a similar scenario plays out now, we could be seeing much more blood to come and I will remain bearish until I see at least a large amount of those shorts have closed.
BITFINEX:BTCUSDShort
by TheCryptoRuler
THE END TIMES ... BTC should we be so bullish?Hello everyone. The picture becomes clearer each day. Well, some will look at my chart and say it's not that clear, not with all those lines! LOL. Focus people ... don't worry about all the dashed support lines, just look at the bold red and bold blue. Here's a quick explanation: - we could go down from right here. - I do see room for it to go up to around 7600 where the all time high trend line sits (dark maroon line). - we need a correction soon, question is how far. - one possible movement to look out for is a small correction now and then a double top in around 2 weeks, which simply follows the trend of all the other peaks. So we could get stuck below 7500 before it comes down. - so I think we correct up or sideways now to CBOE ETF decision date. I'm assuming a delay will be announced Sep 17th, which is one week before the deadline of Sep 24th. That red zone is where I think we will get news from SEC. - if the decision is positive, we go bull market ... and need to change our tune. - if there is a delay or even worse, a rejection of the ETF ... get ready for 4.5k to 5k. Now, you should know, there are obviously MANY more scenarios that aren't on my plot ... I don't want to confuse everyone, so I just put up my most probably bull and bear scenarios. For instance, I hear people talk of going to 10k now ... yeah, if these whales keep buying and pushing the price up (thanks Bitfinex) ... maybe. But I really don't see any fundamental reason for going to 10k now ... think of it like a business ... why would you invest right now? If you knew something fundamentally changed (like an ETF is approved), sure, then it makes sense ... but lacking this decision, what is different from yesterday? Oh you might say we tested 5700/5800 twice ... yeah, who cares? We can test it again, in fact if you know it got there, that would say it can get there again if nothing's changed. Anyhow, I partially closed some longs, and am hoping/waiting for 7500 - 7600 to close more longs. Then wait to see what the market does, anticipating we will need to correct, and possible go to the bottom. I don't expect a wild bounce from 4.5k ... reason is, whales will need lots of time to accumulate. This would keep us sub 6k for a while, and then we take off as the ETF is approved, maybe at the end of the year to prepare for a 2019 launch. SEC can delay until March next year though ... so it all depends on how much time the whales need to accumulate. Remember only a fool relies on one potential outcome. Do not use this info for trading/investments/financial decisions. For educational purposes only.
BITFINEX:BTCUSD
by MAGICMARK
7
DADDY`s Whales do like 200MA and Golden Cuts!# Check THIS!Hey guys, an iddition to my post below in the comment section! BTC is really fighting with these god damn 61,8% Retracement-Levels and lieks to sell them. In addition, we still have a bearish market forming lower highs at 200 Moving Average. Will we defend 7.000 and stay inside that range? Or do we finally break out of this Downtrend? Is 61,8% Retracement-breakout the key? ;-D We will see. Peace and good trades Irasor Trading2ez Wanna see more? Don`t forget to follow me! Any questions? Need education or signals? PM me. :-)
BITFINEX:BTCUSD
by Trading2ez
BTC Cool Off? Shorts high- Switch it upBTC shorts are at one of the highest points since they began. Altcoins are in the dumpster, morale is low in a lot of the crypto community. Market caps dwindling. How would a whale/s play this? Well, quite a few ways, but I'll go out on a limb and say what I think will happen-- consolidation within range. Volume is very low, momentum lacking. DMI is hugging. At the mercy of the whales. Right now, on h4 we're below both 12& 26day ema, right around the 12. Seller volume decreasing and trend strength weak. Bear's game all the way. Perhaps a trap of some shorts with a spike into 64-65? At this point we see a lot of scalping. I won't even rule out a push up to the 68-7 range after a few days of tightening, though I find it unlikely. Now, Dragging things out into consolidation might be the best option. Let people believe the bottom is found and things are cooling off for the next upward wave. I see tighter movements as volatility restricts without massive liquidity. I've watched the last 2 major waves play out similarly, but tighter price ranges each time, offering an upward price movement for relief for the downtrodden. Is the Hype waning? A weeding out of less seasoned individuals? Who knows. I'll keep watching support of 5777 to 5300 range and 51- below if the bears decide to steamroll. In this particular market, there isn't much that can surprise me. I think going the "expected" straight down route is less profitable for the Big movers. It's a matter of how much money is placed on which direction. Again, overall...I see no massive upward price action coming any time soon, but "massive" is relative, after all. Do not expect 10k BTC ANYtime soon.
BITFINEX:BTCUSD
by CNotes1234
1
The Reason Why YOU Are Fish Food For WhalesThe Reason Why YOU Are Fish Food For Whales That's exactly how most people react, who are greedy and don't understand the market. Once Bitcoin is in high, many think it would only go up. As soon as Bitcoin is in the deep, many think you could buy cheaper later. But mostly the opposite happens. You can see how easy you can become fish food for whales. You actually buy their expensive coins and later sell them cheap. Over time, you will lose more and more money until you end up with nothing left. That's when a bull market really starts. A tip: If you want to change something, think differently than others.
BITFINEX:BTCUSDEducation
by EWHALE
17
The start of May will be a bloodbath for BTCThe start of May will be a bloodbath for BTC, the whales need to dump so get ready!!! Still heading up short term to the $9800 range before we are on our way down to $5680. We will be on track to retest the 19k area highs in July, Altcoins will perform better this year for sure, but without this big girls rebound we are SOL in any digital currency instrument. Finding creative patterns in charts on Tradingview! Not advice for investing lol, but I am one to watch ;)
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by selby_exchange
6
INCEPTION BTC EDITIONStudent of the game! TRIANGLES FOR DAYYYYYSSS. INSIDE OF TRIANGLE INSIDE OF TRIANGLE! It looks like the power is in the hands of the bears as is to me. A pop upwards would rally shortly with a bigger fall. As you can see, what I was saying in the video I posted earlier....theres stronger sell presence than there is buy (arrows). BTC is playing a game inside of our minds at the moment. Manipulation has to stop somewhere before 11,7 for sure. I am willing to hold out on gains though it is very tempting to jump in but why gamble in a market you can try to read. Better to play chess while everyone else is playing checkers. I refuse to buy until the language of the charts clears up and we have established a confirmation on which direction is which. I don't like blaming whales for things on the charts but the reality is that they do carry power and either we play into what looks like a pop higher every time until they burn us bad or we wait out their game and sacrifice minor gains for safer major ones coming up. Alts I am also looking to get into other than BTC : NEO and NCT (polyswarm) Stay Frosty, Keep the Patience
BITFINEX:BTCUSD
by dhillon7800
H&S AND A BIG ALT FOMOFriends When I see the chart at 1 or 2 minutes, I examine the relationship between volume and price with a magnifying glass. What I observe is a predominance of bearish muscle strength over the bullish forces. I see it not only because of the red volumes bigger than the green ones (3 to 7 times more powerful), but I also see it because of the effort it takes for the green volumes to be able to go up in price at key moments. A lot of green volume for little price increase. That means that the bulls are holding back the price. At the same time and from a broader perspective, I see that just at this moment it seems that we are going down, the main ALTs have had incredible price increases creating a great FOMO. What I believe is that the bears' war booties will be all the FOMO of the ALTS (many exchanges do not have ALTS / U $ S stop lose, they only have stop loss ALT / BTC). The whales know it and there the trap to keep their money. I also see that the whales do not want to go to 12K because at those levels the sharks and dolphins (which are not now) come into play so that it would be more difficult for them to manipulate the market. Now the whales manipulate it because they are alone. My analysis is a mixture of indicators and psychology because we must not forget that TA is a human psychological game above all things. Only for educational purposes. If you are agree with my idea, give me a Like :)
Short
by sergio00
19
are you losing sight of the MACRO? whales cracked!do you really think whales look at the 1m 5m 15m charts? lets look at the macro picture here the green triangle is a TYPICAL whale consolidation triangle 1. look at the volume boxes representing whale movement which align perfectly with the edges of the triangle 2. whales are tricky and do opposite of what most people think 3. they BUY when there is FEAR in the market... when MOST people were calling 6k/5k scenarios (death cross bla bla bla) they BOUGHT! 4. they SELL when there is HOPE in the market... when MOST people are OPTIMISTIC (like now somewhat!) even if u dont agree with this... please SET A STOP LOSS!!!! now to support my TA a. while path is most probable b. breakout can occur of this triangle but whales will consolidate out this triangle IMO (thinner arrows) c. thicker arrows are MORE probable scenarios. d. watch out for huge volumes which usually always confirms WHALE movement i put a lot of effort into this TA please leave me a like it means a lot to me and cost you nothing thank you :D
BITFINEX:BTCUSD
by vivekmessikumar
15
BTCUSD- Fear not the whales! Staying afloat amidst manipulationOH NO THE WHALES ARE MOVING THE MARKET!!!! Yes, yes they are. But that doesn't mean you have to watch your stops get swallowed up like a helpless krill! All jokes aside, I hardly ever post about bitcoin as I'm an Ether guy myself, but there really is some highly suspect moves in the BTC market as of late. D4 did a great job of covering some of the suspect zones (link to his chart is provided) and in the comments you can find some secondary commentary and an accompanying chart showing some additional evidence of possible manipulation. But lets be real, if you're trading cryptos and keep your head in the game, you already knew this was happening. On to the good stuff! So today we're going to: Check out one of my methods for staying away from disastrous losses from liquidated stops while whales move the market Look at some possible paths for BTC over the next day or so Oogle some obescenely beautiful channel movement Staying Afloat ***This is just what I personally do to manage my trades during heavy manipulation, it is neither perfect nor without risk; but if you stay proactive about watching the market you should be able to minimize the likeliness of taking losses in a whale sell off. I truly cant stress this one enough: Monitor to break even before you even consider dropping a stop. If you're trading 4 hours or greater bars, drop down your usual trade time cycle to half of its usual value and do your best to check the market often for dramatic shifts. (I usually trade 4 hour charts, in this market I drop to two and do my best to check every 4 hours at most). Place very loose stops (I usually push down my normal stop as much as 6-8% lower DONT LOSE YOUR HEAD! whales moving the markets can be scary to watch, but they're relatively easy to pick out. You can see how many major "whale moves" correct rather rapidly (likely after minnow positions are liquidated), HODL is never a trade strategy, but a calculated short term hold for indications of a market shift is a completely viable strategy; possibly even keeping you from the way too common "buy high, sell low syndrome") Possible Paths Blue seems unlikely with the dropping volume against the sharp recovery that just occurred Green is what I would really like to see and would be the "healthiest", id be more bullish on a pump to the 100% fib after some strong consolidation along the channel than a low volume jet upwards. I dont think this scenario is too likely considering weve been moving channel bound for upwards of two weeks. If it does though, we're looking at some good support at both $8750 and $8000 (~%50 fib of current channel bound cycle) Channels can be a beautiful thing Theres not too much to this one, I just love examples of market geometry and technicals playing out in fromt of me. Really the channels began forming shortly after the recent cycle low reversal. It's interesting to note that both the high/low cycle shifted by a single channel each time the fib ratios were reached. Stay frosty, and learn to fight the whales fellow crypto traders! -------------------------------------------------------------------------- DISCLOSURE: This analysis is meant for educational purposes only. You trade at your own risk! Austin Doyle CTO
BITFINEX:BTCUSD
by UnknownUnicorn1613901
TRUST the whales, LOVE the whales, BE th.. no.Go with the whales. I want to start an open discussion on the psychological side that whales love to manipulate so nicely. (this goes for little whales on alts as well) We all know that whales eat tiny fish that are really tasty. And so if you don't want to be eaten do not stand in their way. It's as simple as that. But the natural question that occurs in one's minds is, How do I know when a whale wants to eat (me)? Bitcoin is at its crucial/crux point for the last few weeks and one could argue that the crux is always the present moment but let us leave that for another discussion maybe. We all seen the recent "anomaly" in crypto that occurred on 2018-04-12 where whales killed many standing fish and furthermore attracted a lot more from alts so that they can get in at lower prices. It was an amazing move and an isolated case concerning Bitcoin and ALTS/BTC pairs (the ALTS/USD prices went up along with BTC/USD). There was to be expected a big move from the whales after such a long stagnant period. The point that I am trying to get across is think like a whale: "If the market is going for some time on a more or less straight line how can I f*** up the market and make nice profit? OOo look FISH (mmmmm) :) that are still in FUD and FoMO and don't really know where to go... let's kill some." See, in this case, you just had to wait them make the first move and buy some cheap alts (ALTS/BTC pairs or ALTS/USD pairs as well) and probably swing trade them. Don't try to resist them and understand that they always want to squeeze the most out of the market and in the current state of the market even more so. That is one of the reasons why is still think we will get to see a lower BTC bottom. I won't get into prices on this educational idea, for that you can check/follow:
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by qqqpoilove
BITCOIN - WHALES WILL CRASH ITGet ready for yet another "crash" on BTCUSD! In accordance to my last markup, USD will strengthen against most major pairs. This bull run to 9k is seemingly looking like a bull trap. The crash will be it's final move, before the massive pumps begin to take us to the moon again. Major Bitcoin whales (Banks, Private Investors, and Institutions) will pump and replace their buy positions with sells (@9k-9.5k) It will most definitely hit 6k and below. Do not fear, this is NOT the death of BITCOIN. The major players just want the masses and smaller investors to pull out so they can buy up our coins. Get ready to buy low once again. Please do your own due diligence before entering the markets and use this markup as education/reference!
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by avraamdemetriades
NOT OUT OF THE WOODS YETRight now, it's make or break for Bitcoin. We are currently testing December's resistance line. On the Auto-Scale, we broke through that line already, but not on the logscale. The overall sentiment is bullish and I don't get why to be quite honest with you. Yes, we had a 30% increase in two weeks. Yes, we are forming higher highs and higher lows short term. However, that does NOT change the fact that we are far away from being in a bull market. People tend to forget what the longterm price action is telling us. Notice how each time the RSI reached 60 level while price touched the resistance line, BTC dropped big time . We've been forming lower highs since December . What's so bullish about that? Additionally, I see BTC forming a huge rising wedge on the daily chart, which, combined with the afore mentioned factors, is anything but "obviously bullish" . The 12.500$-11.200$ has proven to be a key zone multiple times. I'm going to turn bullish, once we get a sustained breakthrough at that zone. Right now, I see three potential scenarios for BTC. 1 . Price fails to break through the resistance and we get a nasty drop towards a new low (I'm anticipating 5.500$ - 5.000$) and see how things go from there. 2 . We get a low volume break through and form some sort of a double top at the blue zone ( 9.000$ - 9.300$ ) and fall below the rising wedge, forming a new low. 3 . We actually get a trend reversal (less likely in my oppinion) and retest the 11k$ level. Anyways, right now is not the time to take either long or short positions. Whales are doing their thing and the overall price behavior is anything but predictable right now. Price is increasing, while volume is decreasing. There are random pumps & dumps taking place. Before taking any positions, I highly recommend everybody to WAIT for a UPSIDE/DOWNSIDE CONFIRMATION. That's it from my side, I'm going to keep you guys updated! Regards Shaheen
BITFINEX:BTCUSD
by ShaheenFahmy
10