Could this be the fall of the Dollar???The dollar is about to break the last significant structure on the monthly time frame. We have seen the dollar dropping over the last few months after its reaction from the last swing high.
Market structure shows price creating lower lows and lower highs which are confirmed by endless BOS. We can see a clear 11min OB has been left from the last low that price created once it tapped into the 18h demand which may allow us a buying opportunity to buy the dollar up to the 1h supply where we will continue to see it fall to it's untimely demise.
previous price action from this 18H however, didn't create much movement despite the fact it also took ASL liquidity possibly suggesting buying power in the market has no strength what so ever. We have to also consider the possibility price may not even be able to push back up but rather fall targeting the Asian lows as this would be considered a magnet for price movement.
Whatsnext
BTC/USDT The September Fall and October Rise.Crypto's Rollercoaster: My Bold Take on What's Next
Every time I sip my morning coffee and scroll through the latest crypto news, I can't help but feel a mix of excitement and apprehension. Let me share my two cents on where I think we're headed.
Firstly, Binance and its fellow centralized exchanges (CEX) remind me of that popular kid in school who everyone wanted to be friends with. But here's the thing: for the crypto playground to truly flourish, we might need to find new friends. Their towering presence feels like a boulder blocking the path to the much-anticipated spot ETFs. I've got a gut feeling that as long as Binance wears the crown, we might be waiting a while for that ETF approval.
Now, remember those days when we'd eagerly trade Pokémon cards in the schoolyard? That's how I view the liquidity game. Traditional finance (TradFi) used to be that kid with the rarest cards, but now, they're holding back. With major central banks acting all grown-up and tightening their grip, the fun days of easy trades seem like a distant memory. For crypto to be the cool kid again, DeFi needs a makeover. It should feel like finding that rare holographic card in your cereal box, not just another common card.
Speaking of school, economics class taught me about the ebb and flow of global economies. Right now, it feels like we're in a tough exam period. With interest rates playing hard to get and real yields acting all high and mighty, it's tempting to stash our lunch money (read: investments) under the mattress. But here's my prediction: a few bad report cards (economic data) might just be the summer break we're waiting for.
Lastly, remember the drama when someone owed someone else lunch money? That's the vibe I get from the current forced sellers in the crypto market. But gossip has it that once the air clears around these debts, we might see a happier playground.
To wrap up my morning musings, crypto feels like that thrilling rollercoaster ride we dared each other to take. It's got its ups and downs, but boy, what a ride it's been! And I, for one, am strapped in and ready for the next loop.
Warning !!! Potential Reversal Zone in BTC !!!Hello Guys !!! Let's to be honest. We are in a Potential Reversal Zone in daily time frame. They are 40000$ resistance level, touching the downtrend line, breakout the uptrend line and its pullback and under EMA 20 !!! It should be noted that the probability of price reduction is much higher. I hope this analysis will be useful for you in the coming days. much love <3
Does Chainlink Have enough Momentum to Push Through this Wave?Projection of Links Wave Movent and its consistent significantl loss of momentum after every wave. Only at the beginning did it throttle through. Is this the next major push?. Possible collapse after $34 yet again. But looks like we may have the cloud in our favor. We'll see.
ADA DOUBLE BOTTOM BULLISH ON WEEKLY CHART **LONG**ADA/CARDANO Looks to have a comfortable position settling around the $1.30 range. With recent trends and other Bullish movements, Cardono seems to be finding support and beginning its upward momentum back up to its previous all time high.in the next few weeks. Looking at a possible $2.90 area. And a retrace back to $1.97. Remember this is a LONG entry and becoming rich and famous doesn't happen over night. This also is just my view and not financial advice. Good luck and Happy New Year!
ETH USDT : Resistance and SupportHey Guys, hope you are doing well.
As a part of Aglogains daily trade series, I've entered a trade at 2225 a few days ago.
Clearly, there is
Local Support - 2266
Local Resistance - 2328
What do you guys think will happen in the near future? I'm still bullish for the near term.
I would love to get your thoughts on this guys.
"One more Pump, Before She Slumps" ???I am using ETH here because that is what I happened to be trading today, and I initially I drew some trend lines on November 16th, 2020 trying to get a feel for where we are at relative to the 2017 bull market cycle. At the time, it was pretty obvious what was about to happen. But I am not so sure what happens next... If historical patterns rule the world, then we get one or two more pumps and then it's over. But the world has changed, and there are more variables to consider this time which were not present after the last BTC halvings:
- Institutional adoptions
- Elon Musk
- Covid and our ]Brave New World ....
- Blockchain is now a well accepted technolofy
- Global fiat economies are becoming obsolete
- Everything is remote and IT is the sector to be in
- Bitcoin hit $61,000 and this could totally just be a dip.
Is the euphoria fizzling out, or some of us simply have PTSD? PS Never published an idea before, have mercy. What do you thinkj? One more pump before she slumps, or are we sailing smooth to at least 100k, or higher? This cannot possibly just go on forever, can it? I am very much split on that. I tend to think that while the world has changed -- this cannot sustain forever. "What goes up... "
Four scenarios for NIOAfter a sharp drop in price, the momentum equals, which is a positive signal. The RSI has also fallen gently, which means a positive side. There are also strong support levels for the GAP at Dec. 11 and 15. I think four scenarios are possible.
1. The NIO drops to $ 36 or $ 30 and the price recovers over time.
2. The fall stops at the support level and the price moves sideways.
3. The price drops to $ 60, bounces off the resistance level, drops to $ 44 and below, thus creating a head and shoulder pattern, then a serious price correction would be expected.
4. The price moves further in the yellow channel, moving away from the level of support and resistance, thus creating a solid and long base to emerge from it to new heights.
5. The most unrealistic scenario in the next week the price reaches +70.
3 Market Movements- Range, Volatile, Trend.Today , I will be showing the 3 kinds of movement in the market (besides our classic up , down , sideways ) ,how to spot them, and how they tend to intervene with one another.
Range ;
When price is sitting in a range, that means it tends to be moving sideways , usually due to indecision amongst big investors.
I usually don't trade if price is moving in a range, however if you scalp you can catch huge R/R by buying at the bottom and selling at the top.
Trend :
The more safe, slow, and practical market to trade in. When price is moving in a trend, it tends to be moving *smoothly*. What I mean by this
is that while price is respecting the trend, it gradually moves to the desired location. This usually provides decent R/R with decent probability.
Fast Moving/Volatile :
This is the most dangerous market to trade if you're not experienced, knocking SL' clean out. When market is moving very volatile and fast, that's
usually due to more positions being added amongst traders. If you're not on the right side of the tug of war while these positions are being filled, you will suffer.
When price moves fast, it tends to stop fast also. TP' are harder to calculate during these times.
Bitcoin - A Look At the PastHow you ever considered what happened in the past when you're looking at the present or wondering about the future? You might not have looked at it the same way I'm looking at it. Just thought I'd share. Good luck trading.
Total disclaimer: I do not short trades or leverage trade. I own .00002278 Bitcoin I bought for a quarter ($0.25) over a year ago and .000371 Bitcoin I got free over the past 3 months just for shopping at 1 of 900 locations online. Send me your email address and I'll send you back a link so you can too.
EURUSD - WHAT'S NEXT?This is an exploration of the weekly time frame. I expect (not predict) more eventual downside for the EURO, at a rate faster than any devaluation of USD.
Disclaimers : This is not advice or encouragement to trade securities. No predictions and no guarantees supplied. If you make decisions based on opinion expressed here and you lose your money, kindly sue yourself.
EOSUSD: optimistic scenario..what's next?Already with bulls since around 3 price level.. unreal. P/L around 40%, what should i do?
Should i close the position now? Don't think so..
1. Cryptocurrency market is breaking out, this month already had 5 posts regarding BTC, BCH, TRX, ETC and ETH..
2. EOS volume profile provides most traded area in the last 6, 3 and 1 month, so in my opinion selling around 3.8 price level is decent..
3. In this case i am risking 17% (with 23% profit in my pocket) with R:R ratio 3,8..
4. If we think from another point of view i have two options: 100% vs. 23%
5. Nothing more to add.. am i loosing this time..? No.)
Feel free to share your opinion/open positions via comment and follow me to stay updated.
BTC - What to do ? It's very simple.Hi guys,
I will share my view on the current market, and tell you what I personally do.
This said, I am a hobbyist, so this is not a financial advice.
This will be quick, simple and without ambiguities.
WHAT TO DO
Those support and resistance lines are very important.
If prices breaks from the top green line, go long or buy.
If prices breaks from the bottom red line, go short or move to USDT.
Do not forget your protection stop.
More or less useless TECHNICAL ANALYSIS - WHAT TO EXPECT
Margin Traders
On Bitfinex, there are clearly more shorts opened meaning the global mood is bearish.
Rsi Divergences
You know my Rsi indicator, that's two long signals in a row !
3 EMAs
A very rare 200 and 50 days EMA cross. However we can see the volume is decreasing (at least on Coinbase) and that this cross doesn't look quite convincing, it's rather already slowing down to reverse like in May 2018.
CONCLUSION
We have both bullish and bearish indicators. Just wait which support or resistance is broken and follow the sheep herd.
INDICATORS USED
FREE
Good luck !