Wheat
After Dividends GIS Raised Prices...Will They CRUSH Earnings?Is GIS part of the global Supply Crunch? After several months our GIS retail play is holding up nicely but will they crush earnings? It seems they're poised to knock this out the park on 12 21, but anything could happen. Please DYOR before jumping in to GIS, read their prospectus & recent SEC filings, so there are no surprises. Full disclosure considering cutting bags here. We're done at the grocery store this quarter, & may look to rotate back into sectors that are down.
Are Wheat & Biofuels Supply Plays?Took positions in BG last year, & ended up trading out too soon. Here is a good dip & options are cheap, not trading advice just a MACRO play. As long as food prices are going up & Russian Export Taxes are increasing then Wheat Grain & Biofuels might still be valid fundamentally. Bunge is a global player so please check out their Fundamentals, SEC Filings & Prospectus before investing real money, also it costs nothing to check price action for a few weeks or months before making a decision. That's how lots of analysts make their very best decisions. In fact the way I came across BG was from bad information about an alleged Silver Squeeze. Don't follow hype, do your own research & make the best decisions for you & your investment goals.
wheat will have to enter it's cyclewheat has a 6month cycle, between northern and southern emisphere crop, looks like it will begin a supercycle, like all commodities.
by a thecnical point of view, it's forming a H&S. wheat is a quite "dangerous" commodity to trade so i don't think it's a good idea entering before the pattern ends it's forming and starts going down from that neckline, multiple false breakouts are to expect once the price is bellow the neckline. i don't think it's a coincidence that the natural target of the pattern coincides with a round number (600), witch has been a strong resistance and support in the past.
Wheat & Sudden FloodsAs we all know we had several flash floods this year and most probably we will have them more in coming years. Those flash floods are affecting the agricultural fields badly. Let me clarify; Once the flash flood hits a region top soil is removed and it goes to seas. So next season on that land becomes less productive. These kind of effects will make the prices of Wheat and other agricultural commodities higher. And each passing day we experience that many farmers leave their farms as they can't compete with big companies.
Wheat Futures Attempted a Breakout Last Week.Long term trend still intact. Trend continuation expected.
I've been expecting a breakout from this wedge pattern for a couple weeks. Last week, the breakout did happen, but price returned to close the week back inside the wedge. I still hold that the technical pattern is extremely bullish. Fundamentals for wheat are also bullish with rising fertilizer and energy costs.
One way to gain exposure to wheat futures is through the Teucrium Wheat Fund, ticker WEAT. This fund is not suitable for intraday or even shorter term swing trading due to low liquidity and large spreads. Over the long term however, the fund tracks the wheat market very well.
Continuous KC WheatCont KC Wheat - Monthly: New highs recorded this week within .04 of a 38% retracement target off the 2008 high and the 2019 low. Should KC Wheat decide to move higher yet, the 50% target is a $1.50 higher at 8.87. WOW, it sure seems like a mile to get there but as you can see on the monthly chart, when wheat decides to move it usually does in quick regards.
Support is the blue Tenkan line at 6.70 with further risk down at 5.73
COMMODITIES - RICE ZR1 - Breakout ImminentLine of Least Resistance determined by Underlying Conditions in my Global Macro Campaign.
Price Action Behavior suggests short attack taking advantage of sellers at previous breakout, to accumulate for next wave... which is building up quickly.
I will know if my suspicions are correct at the median line.
US-China tensions will make the supply scarce, and NATO + allies' free trade agreements are under pressure due to pandemic handling. I speculate a global shift towards domestic production, if not military tensions... Nations will most certainly need to stockpile food!
Other Commodities of interest:
Coffee:
Wheat:
Soybeans:
Corn:
GLHF
- DPT
WEAT UpdateSlowly crushing all levels put out previously
There is absolutely nothing going against this trade:
1. Inflation is positive for the price
2. Logistics and all of the shipping BS is positive
3. Winter is coming...can harvest more supply until next year
4. What am I missing?
5. You know what happens after you put a claw like looking rounding bottom like this?
It is just getting started. Plenty of notice given.
Is Wheat Ready to Rock?OANDA:WHEATUSD recently hit a high around the $7.16USD area and has been in a small downtrend since. It looks like it may be ready to head back upwards and test resistance again after a nice bounce off of support.
Entering around the $7 mark would give us about a 2.37% retrace up to resistance and would be a perfect bounce off of the 0.5 fib.
RSI on the 30 minute and 4 hour charts both look like they are in a position to support this move. Stoch RSI also appears to be in a spot to “roll over” on both time frames mentioned.
* This Content is for informational purposes only. You should not construe any such information or other material as investment, financial, or other advice.
Wheat aiming at ATH this summer> Wheat (Triticum aestivum L.) is the most important crop in the world in terms of area harvested, and is one of the world’s staple foods. It provides about 20 % of the total dietary calories and proteins worldwide.
> However, wheat has a defect, each degree-Celsius increase in global mean temperature, on average, reduces the global yields of wheat by 6.0%. Other important cereals are also affected; rice by 3.2%, maize by 7.4%, and soybean by 3.1%.
medcraveonline.com
medcraveonline.com
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Now, without science, it is clear that Wheat futures are in middle of a brakeout.
It seems speculators and market makers are already all over it for fundamental and technical reasons. I expect old high to be tested by end of the summer (late September).
WHEAT - Purple War Zone!WHEAT is overall bullish trading inside our blue and brown rising broadening wedges so we will be looking for Trend-Following Buy setups as it approaches the lower trendlines.
So the highlighted purple circle is a strong area to look for buy setups as it is the intersection of the brown trendline and blue trendline.
As per my trading style:
I will be waiting for it to approach the highlighted purple circle area to look for buy setups (like a double bottom, trendline break, and so on...)
Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich