Wheat Futures (DEC 2021)3 wave pattern
Two patterns completed, 3 joining wave patterns completed. Making the next wave either a 3 wave or a 5 wave.
It traded to a retracement zone of 0.5% which is the point of entry in a corrective pattern for some of us
Currently, futures short covering is an extra condition to go long,
LONG
Wheatfutures
Wheat aiming at ATH this summer> Wheat (Triticum aestivum L.) is the most important crop in the world in terms of area harvested, and is one of the world’s staple foods. It provides about 20 % of the total dietary calories and proteins worldwide.
> However, wheat has a defect, each degree-Celsius increase in global mean temperature, on average, reduces the global yields of wheat by 6.0%. Other important cereals are also affected; rice by 3.2%, maize by 7.4%, and soybean by 3.1%.
medcraveonline.com
medcraveonline.com
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Now, without science, it is clear that Wheat futures are in middle of a brakeout.
It seems speculators and market makers are already all over it for fundamental and technical reasons. I expect old high to be tested by end of the summer (late September).
Wheat bearish trendIf gives breakdown below the Rising Wedge short for given targets.
Also targets can act as support and reversal zone. Follow red/ green arrows according to price action.
Wheat Futures September 2021 ContractThe pattern is currently doing a sideways or consolidation in 1 HR and below. It looks like the selling pressure is present unless if its breaks the red line resistance with a strong buying force. Other confluence for shorts are:
1) Pattern making a reversal at a 61.8 Fibo level
2) Seller coming in, can be seen in Volume
3) Bullish momentum getting less and less
4) Price break 100MA, but yet to respect it.
Entry guidelines:
- I will wait for the price to break the trendline and the support area before going into a position targetting 160-170 ticks below.
Good luck!
WHEAT - SHORT; Continued SELLing for the foreseeable future"Margin pressures; How to survive in an over-provisioned environment." - Was the topic/title of a recent grain cash traders' conference. What does that tell you?...
In short, industry insiders do not expect to see daylight (i.e. profits) as far out as 2025! - And that concludes the essence of all that was said during that get-together.
(Try that on for "inflationary pressures" .)
December Wheat Double Top - Could we be headed back around $6.70
Wheat markets appear to be in the middle of a confirmed double top . IF resistance in the area of $7.17/bu holds, we should be headed back to the $6.70/bu area.
From a technical perspective, the chart shows a classic double top set up with the lower point being violated, a short pullback higher, followed by a further decline. This should set the target in the $6.70 area.
Fundamentally, wheat markets appear overvalued as well. They have been dragged around by corn recently due to the substitution by feed aspect. Recently corn markets have also come under pressure as the market anticipates a large increase in plantings next year, both domestic and globally.
SHORT XWM21 (Wheat Futures May21)We have been on a bull run in the wheat market since June of last year. However the past couple months we hit a high followed by consolidation between 635-685. We formed a double top and price is looking pretty heavy. We broke out of a multi-month support level and price came back to test this area and looks like it is now a new resistance. Looking to take partial profits at 580, 540 and perhaps even a move to take out the lows made at June 2020.
WHEAT Good Signal SellI am a consultant for anyone who needs a consultant, I see that WHEAT Corp will GODOWN IN FEW MINUTES when the market open
1, When you decide to use my ideas in your trading, please contact me to inform you of some things and monitor the position together without specifying a take profit or stop loss, we will decide when to open and close the position
2 (When I set the take profit and stop loss in a number that does not mean that the price will reach it, I gave a buy or sell signal only according to the analyzes I made in the chart and delete it later, in the order to share it with you so that you have a clear picture and read it clearly, thank you!)
3, you can try me for one or two weeks to decide to work with you and give you signals about buying or selling WHEAT
Rising agricultural prices bode well for NutrienWith prices for corn futures, wheat and soybeans on fire, the prospects for fertilizer companies like Nutrien have never been better. The stock trades at only 1.4x book value and pays a 3.5% dividend yield. Earnings surprises (like the prior two quarters) are likely to continue.
Buy Signal: 601'6Signal comes from our model-
Geometric Markov Model : In probability theory, a Markov model is a stochastic model used to predict randomly changing systems. Markov Models are used in all aspects of life from Google search to daily weather forecast. The randomly changing systems we focus on are the equity, futures, and forex markets. The geometric element of the model is the fractal wave structure you can find on any chart you look at across any market and across all time dimensions.
Our model focuses on the current wave formation (current state)- geometric price formation along with its volume and volatility over a given time period and using that information to predict the future state- future price movement.
GRAIN SPREADS; Kansas Wheat - CBOT W - 2x Corn; Weekly long termCBOT:KE1! CBOT:ZW1! CBOT:ZC1! CBOT:ZS1!
KE (Kansas City) Wheat - CBOT (World) Wheat
These tend to be extremely reliable signals, indicating long term trends / changes, as Wheat itself has a relatively long (~7 year) cycle. (Wheat growing regions spreading from (north) pole to (south) pole.)