WHEATUSD
Wheat Has Completed A Bearish Butterfly and AB=CD PatternI had an order set to short 1 pip above the current high of the day and didn't get picked up. I have since moved the order to the high as shown in the chart. Risk:Reward is pretty nice and looking left (further left than on this chart) there is some structure which supports this as a supply zone.
Wheat has been looking pretty bullish so it would probably be advisable to wait for a bearish signal on a lower time frame. Let me know what you think about Wheat!
MW1! @ daily @ closed last 8 days higher, while every day
This is only a trading capability - no recommendation !!!
Buying/Selling or even only watching is always your own responsibility ...
.zip (with PDF`s) @ my Google Drive
Closings Bullish (32 Commodities)
drive.google.com
Best regards :)
Aaron
Wheat 2618 Trade Opportunity 01/11/2016I previously shorted wheat 1 pip from the top and it was a very nice trade (although I closed too early around 3.99 or so). Price bounced from the .382 fib of the larger up move but the price action in the current area looks weak. I am looking to re-open shorts at the levels in the chart but only if no warning signs are present -- big bullish candles, oversold RSI , etc.
This is not meant to be a trading signal so please do not use it as one -- I still have very much to learn as a trader and none of my ideas are trading advice. That said I always appreciate any comments and feedback on my charts and ideas!
Wheat -- near long opportunityProbably soon there will be nice long opportunity, at least for correction. Closely watching & bought small part for medium term.
C wave as an ending diagonalThe C wave correction ended at 0.382 fib (yellow) of the previous impulse down. Looking for continuation of down move to 1.272 fib (yellow). Wheat doesn't give much chance to enter, once it drops, it drops quick. So don't miss it.
Wheat may be ready to begin a new trend upWheat, on an 8H chart, has broken through key short term resistance last week. Beginning 9/12, ADX had signaled a period of price consolidation which has lasted until 10/13 when price broke through resistance.
This price action and ADX consolidation is reflected on the daily chart too. It is possible that price may have more upside potential before a pullback happens and an entry long could be attempted
The weekly chart, though it has not broken out of resistance or have had it's TSI and RSI turn positive, these two indicators may be showing some key divergences looking at the 2014/09/22 low and recent 2016/08/29 low. Should these areas of divergence hold, i'm looking for the upper line of resistance to be challenged. A key thing to watch on the weekly ADX is if price does move up does the +DMI cross up over the -DMI and the ADX move up above 20. There are a couple of scenarios that can play out should this happen which include either 1) a new bull trend as upper resistance breaks or 2) a drop off of the upper resistance with the ADX above 20 and the -DMI/+DMI swap signaling a change in dominance.
Q: Is this the beginning of an up trend or just another spike on weekly to touch upper resistance? Hard to tell for now and weekly will hold answer over next couple of months.
For now , I'm looking to enter long with dec wheat call but waiting to see if price pulls back first. Ideally, on the 8H chart, the +DMI and -DMI converge toward each other briefly with price pulling back to moving averages.