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Widening

GOLD → it is on widening patternhello guys. as you can see gold is forming a fake divergence on the RSI indicator! on the other hand, it is forming a widening pattern too. we can wait until the pattern breaks or we can get a short position on the upper yellow area. the target is $2470. __________________________ ✓✓✓ Always do your research. ❒❒❒ If you have any questions, you can write them in the comments below, and I will answer them. ❤︎ ❤︎ ❤︎And please don't forget to support this idea with your likes and comment
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by melikatrader94
4
BTCUSDT → short term analysishello guys! I've published the perspective of BINANCE:BTCUSD : now let's dive into a short time frame: Current Price: $69,781 Chart Overview: - Resistance Levels: - Immediate resistance at $73,612. - Next target at $77,604. Trend Analysis: - Bullish Trend: Bitcoin is in a clear uptrend, trading within a widening wedge pattern. - Corrections: Two minor correction areas are identified: 1. Around $70,000. 2. Near $73,000-$73,612. Price Patterns: - Widening Wedge: Indicates increasing volatility with higher highs and higher lows. - Potential Breakout: Price action suggests a bullish breakout toward $73,612 and potentially $77,604 after minor corrections. Key Observations: - Support Levels: The support from the widening wedge pattern is holding strong, providing a solid foundation for further gains. - Minor Corrections: Expected corrections around $70,000 and $73,000 should provide re-entry opportunities for traders. Conclusion: - Bullish Continuation: The overall trend is bullish with a high likelihood of reaching $77,604. - Trading Strategy: Consider buying on dips near $70,000 and $73,000, targeting $73,612 and $77,604. Actionable Insights: - Monitor for corrections around $70,000 and $73,000 for potential buying opportunities. ___________________________ ✓✓✓ Always do your research. ❒❒❒ If you have any questions, you can write them in the comments below, and I will answer them. ❤︎ ❤︎ ❤︎And please don't forget to support this idea with your likes and comment
Long
by melikatrader94
30
Good analysts are not always good traders [Principle vs Emotion]#TommyLecture #PrincipleofTrading #TheoryofTrading #Emotion #Management Hello traders from all over the world. This is Tommy. How were your trades lately? The market was quite unpredictable recently showing high level of fluctuation which makes it harder for us retail traders to follow up. It sort of seems like a sideway trend in a big horizontal box but also within that, it also keeps surprising us time to time by showing extensive bullish or bearish rallies at unexpected price and time zones. In this foggy arena, we traders make decisions to minimize risks based on strict criteria and standards of our own. Whether you are a long-term holder, a swing trader, a daily trader, or a scalper, we must take at least some risk for reward(return) and there is no complete risk-free strategy, market, or product in this world. Despite all these uncertainties in the market, as long as proper risk reward ratio and win-rate are secured in every trade, traders eventually will end up profiting theoretically and this is what makes trading different from gambling. To some people, what we do might seem like gambling on certain direction of trends and price action zones, but it surely is different from that we deal with numbers and consistency based on a highly reliable source called ‘Technical Analysis’. Since all of us are humans carrying emotions, we often tend to narrow our sights desperately expecting only the best scenario. We easily get disturbed just by thinking about the unwanted results or potential losses and ignore the risks that we have to face every time. However, there are thousands of possible scenarios that can happen, and the market is not always on our side. Just remember that there can only be two possible outcomes for every trade we take; we either win or lose. There is nobody on Earth who can win every trade maintaining 100% win-rate (Even you, Elon Musk!). Whether you like it or not, we are destined to encounter circumstances when market is just totally not on your side and if you are a wise trader, you would normally admit this very situation as soon as possible. Just because market did not flow as expected, it doesn’t mean that you suck trading. Good traders are not the ones that win every single trade but are the ones that can maximize their profit when market is on their side and minimize the losses when market is against their side. Nevertheless, there are some traders, many actually, who just hate to admit the fact that they are losing during position and they start to let their emotions kick in. Unfortunately, now or later, these types usually end up being in worse situation. In this world, establishing and following consistent principles is much more important than analyzing the market (TA or FA). No matter how good you are at analyzing market, if you keep breaking promises to yourself, you eventually won’t be the survival in this market. I have seen so many traders thriving but end up losing all their money with just one tiny mistake. Always keep in mind that there are many traders who win 99 times and lose everything just by one simple mistake, letting their emotions be involved. Emotion in fact, is the biggest risk here. For example, if you designed your stoploss and target price, execute your trade as you have planned. Don’t change your mind being agitated by lowering your stoploss or exiting position before reaching the target price. Also, if you have set your daily profits and losses, do comply! I have seen so many traders who could not just admit their loss and become irrational, insisting to take more trades and eventually losing much more. You should be familiar with calling a day if the maximum loss for the day, week, or month has been reached. I know very well more than anyone that you desperately want to recover all the losses and I even know that by 50% chance, you will successfully restore all the loss. However, by 50% chance you won’t. This terrible situation will seduce you to lose control, make biased judgement, and you will probably end up regretting. Observing many of my fellow traders, students, and followers, I have performed some researches deeply about psychology and mentality of traders. When and where do most of the retail traders start to not obey their principles and in what process? Compared to the past, in recent market with numerous untraditional patterns and phenomenon, there are much more variables that easily lure traders to trade with emotions. In technical perspective, widening/broadening pattern, V-shaped bounce, long-tailed candle, double SR flip and master pattern, etc. are some of the major occurrences that weren’t quite common in the past. From these unfamiliar price momentum and flow, traders are highly likely to lose their temper and break their principle especially when they face these cases: stoploss hunting, bull/bear trap, target price missed closely, entry price missed closely, and breakout entry hunting, etc. To illustrate in depth about the fundamental process why emotions are regarded as poisons when trading, I developed a simple model that depicts the relationship between trade setup phase and performance. In this world, ideally, if we can manage emotions perfectly like robots, our trading performance (profit or loss) should not affect the trading preparation/setup phase (Designing EP, SL, TP based on the deducted trend) and thus it would be a causal relationship where an independent variable (preparation phase) affects the dependent variable (performance) only in one-way. However, the more we let emotions kick in by breaking our principles, the more it becomes correlated between these two variables. In other words, as we fail to control our emotions, the performance will no longer be independent, and start to affect our judgement when setting up our next trades, either positively or negatively. This will eventually create a vicious cycle where factor A affects B, B affects A, and A affects B again, getting worse and worse just like sinking into a swamp. Therefore, as a wise trader whose task is to manage risk, it is integral to be able to cut this cycle before things get worse. We should know how to stop with a small loss, before it becomes a big loss due to that cycle. Hence, it is extremely critical for us to properly design and obey the strategies consistently and carefully and regardless of the latest trading outcome, we should be as neutral, objective, and prudent as possible. Which set of principles, strategy, and mindset should be adopted to effectively eradicate emotional trades? I hate to say this, but the answer would be different depending on your trading preferences and your economical/technical/physical conditions. So first you need to know yourself. Here’s a fun fact; this thing called ‘trading’ lets you learn deeply about yourself that you did not even know before. Pretty cool huh? It explicitly lets you know how greedy, fearful, doubtful, and jealous you are under this social system called capitalism. Once you find out about yourself through decent self-reflection, you then need to figure out your trading propensities and the strategies you are fond of. It is definitely going to be different for everyone. For some traders, a high RR ratio & low win-rate strategy might suit and vice versa for some else. Some long or short, some short-term or long-term, and some high or low leverage. It is significant to find the optimal combination of trading strategies, theories, and indicators as well as trading products and platforms, that fits your trading preferences and behaviors. To give you a tip, make habit to always consider the risk first, before the reward. Consider the status when you lose money rather than thinking about the profit. In this way, you will naturally get a sense of weighting risks that you are facing. By prioritize risk over rewards, you will be less affected by negative emotions when you actually lose trading and will also help you efficiently manage your risk in advance. Let's all become a wise and smart trader who are always prepared for the worst possible scenario. Remember, it’s not the win-rate that makes you a successful trader. It’s all about minimizing loss and maximizing profit. Thanks for reading my post. Your subscription, comments, and likes are the biggest inspiration for me.
Editors' picks
BITMEX:BTCUSD.PEducation
by Tommy_Trader
77
[Bitcoin] Possible scenarios in future#Bitcoin #Daily #ElliottWave #Scenario #Tommy - These are some of many scenarios that I am personally considering from the Elliott Wave Theory perspective. Numerous technical factors that are observed frequently especially in recent financial market such as widening patterns, stop hunting price action, parallel channels, and master patterns have been taken into account. Let's take a look at each one. - Let’s start with A, my most bearish scenario. This is a wave counting where the whole bullish wave from $32.9K low formed in January, is regarded as a big dead-cat bounce, expecting another bearish wave cycle. I interpreted the sideway structure that came out after January as a green wave B within the 5-3-5 ABC correction. If we see another bullish trend breaking top of the black channel above, possible target prices for wave B are $53.6k~$54.8k and $57.2k~$58.4k. In a bigger picture, red wave C can be targeted at $22.3k~$23.6k and $17.8K~$19.5K which can also be considered as possible resistances. This scenario becomes more likely if bottoms of the black and green channel fail supporting. - Scenario B is my bullish counting that assumes $32.9K low as the end of the corrective wave cycle and regarding the bullish wave after as an impulsive. It seems that support of the red upward trend line is currently being tested and if successfully supported, we cannot exclude the Leading Diagonal wave 1 scenario. If it fails supporting and cause more bearish momentum, I would say $37.8K~$39.5K is a significant zone which is a confluent zone of the black channel bottom and HVP(High volume peak) level. This scenario is to be ignored if Bitcoin makes a swing low, breaking $32.9K and forming LL(Lower Low). If somehow Bitcoin becomes very bullish making a higher high, the target prices for the impulsive wave can be deducted as $72.5k-$74.0k and $77.5k-$79.0k. - The following two scenarios have considered wave structure above $28K as 3-3-5 Flat Correction. Scenario C has taken widening or broadening patterns into account which are commonly observed these days. Considering 3-3-5 Expanded Flat correction, this scenario expects to break the $28.9K bottom, making a V-shaped price action at the stop-hunting level and the bottom of the disjoint channel. If the $53.6k~$54.8k resistance fails rejection, this wave counting becomes invalid. The green wave 5 or red wave C can be targeted at $22.3k~$23.6k and $17.8k~$19.5k below. - Scenario D is similar to C, but has a shorter green wave 5, meaning Truncated wave 5 or C is expected. This very case interprets the wave structure as a running flat corrective and expects to not break the bottom of the black or green channel below. $37.8K~$39.5K would be a decent target range. If bottom of the upward channels fails supporting, $29.1k~$30.8k which is the bottom of the smaller widening pattern formed after $32.9k, can also be considered as a short-term support zone. - (Summary) The most imminent point to pay attention currently is to confirm whether the red bullish trend line can successfully support. The next support levels to keep our eyes on are around the bottom of the black and green channels. However, if this zone breaks, I would become very bearish expecting price to drop and reach $28.9k which is a very important LVP(Low Volume Peak) pivot level. If the market becomes worse making another huge drop, the area where the lower widening pattern and the stop-hunting level overlap around $22.3k~$23.6k and $17.8k~$19.5k, would be one of the most attractive buy zones. If additional bullish rallies are observed, the resistances to consider in between are $53.6k~$54.8k and $57.2k~$58.4k. Lastly, in a much bigger picture, if Bitcoin successfully swings high making a new historical high, I would say $72.5k~$74.0k and $77.5k~$79.0k are areas to expect some rejections.
by Tommy_Trader
1
When will the rising beam of Russia and Ukraine end?#Bitcoin #4 hour #Binance #Tommy - 4 hours of Bitcoin. BTC broke the blue downtrend channel upwards on 3/1, but BTC re-entered the channel again without showing any retest support at the top. - Since then, BTC is moving towards lower highs and lower lows with resistance from the black inward trend line. In the case of a break above this intrinsic trend line, I think the upper part of the widening pattern and the upper part of the blue downtrend channel overlap the resistance zone. - The corresponding resistance section is 40 .5k~41.1k, and it is a section that we are paying attention to as it is located at pre-LVP , 200 EMA of 4 hour, and black rising channel EQ. If BTC reaches it before 3/9 21:00, you can respond with a sell position, but if BTC successfully break through that section, additional buying may occur. - The additional resistance section we are looking at is 42.8k-43.5k, where several LVP, the 0.705-0.786 retracement of the downtrend, and the short-term upside channel retest overlap. - One part of concern is that, like the image above, these days, Expanding triangle patterns often appear. In the current situation, if BTC cannot successfully break through the trend line and go to lower the low once again, there is a high possibility that BTC will flow into a similar state to the 2/20~2/24 down wave. - 34.9k~35.5k, the 1st support section, where the lower triangle (lower widening), green short-term downtrend line retest, pre-LVP, black uptrend channel bottom, and 1.13~1.272 stop-hunting extension level of the uptrend pass at the same time It is under consideration and is valid until 3/12 19:00. - If this support line breaks, it is likely to show that the second support section, 32.2k~32.8k is open. Reaching this far means that the 32.9k, which is the major bottom, has been breached, so if there is no significant rebound, it is better to respond while clearing the volume (split stop loss)
by Tommy_Trader
BTC is a finest SL hunter these days. #BTCUSDT #Binance #Daily #Midterm - What a sharp drop! Bitcoin was rejected thoroughly at 52K zone which is around bottom of the major orderblock formed around early May 2021. - I have addressed this very resistance gathering technical factors such as numerous upward trendlines, top of the parallel channels, and projection/expansion/retracement levels of the wave structures. - In my Elliott Wave perspective, since Bitcoin has failed swing high, I am leaning slightly more towards the 52K high being the end of the wave B and thus expecting another bearish wave to come which then would be wave C. - In a shorter term, make sure to consistently check whether bottoms of the yellow and white channels are valid. - From the fact that the bottom of the recent dip happens to be located at the LVP(Low Volume Peak), I will definitely be more bearish if bottom of the yellow channel fails supporting. - Here are some of the areas that I find them attractive to enter long position if we observe more drops: 37K~38K (Valid until 9/18), 33.2K~34.8K (Valid until 10/05). - If these supports are broken later, according to many wave theories and methodologies, I strongly expect Bitcoin to rally down to test the mid-term bottom around 29K. The ultimatum support that I am considering is around 23K~25K. - Lastly, if Bitcoin sort of forms widening or broadening pattern and make an HH, the next resistance that I deducted is 56.5K~58.5K.
by Tommy_Trader
How I see ADA's immediate future in 4H chartWe are at the the point where ADA is going down to support once again at 0.03850 price zone. Just for a short time :) This pattern- ascending widening wedge is 80% of times bearish. But I believe that we will bounce from the support zone right back up and then going to real bull season again. Right at the time when BAKKT is going live. Like always, place a Stop Loss for your trades -> ALWAYS! Just my 5 cents, not a trading advice!
Long
by viilutaja