$140K USD for Bitcoin in 2025!!! It appears as though Bitcoin is trading in a descending channel, with a potential breakout happen in the near term.
BTC has tested the downward sloping resistance of a descending channel pattern multiple times, each time BTC is creating a lower high & a lower low, which is inherently bearish.
The williams alligator is also displaying a bullish cross & the bands are widening in an upward direction, which is a bullish indicator.
Bullish cross on the KST as well. I have placed upward arrows at each bullish cross in the recent past showing a direct correlation to upward price swings.
Williamsalligator
Indicators for trading using Bill Williams' Profitunity strategyI published 3 indicators for trading using Bill Williams' Profitunity strategy. For each indicator, I have added a visual and detailed description in English and Russian. In this post I will briefly describe these indicators and how I use them together.
AFDSA indicator (Alligator + Fractals + Divergent & Squat Bars + Signal Alerts)
Includes Williams Alligator, Williams Fractals, Divergent Bars, Market Facilitation Index, Highest and Lowest Bars, maximum or minimum peak of the Awesome Oscillator, and signal alerts based on Bill Williams' Profitunity strategy:
Bullish and Bearish Divergent Bar Signal + Squat Bar + Green Bar + Fake Bar + Awesome Oscillator Color Change + AO Divergence.
Crossing the green line (Lips) of an open Alligator.
Formation of a fractal.
Signal about the breakdown of the last upper or lower fractal.
Signal about the appearance of a new maximum or minimum peak of AO in the interval of 140 bars from the last bar.
I also added an Alligator display for the higher timeframe, for example, if the chart timeframe is 1 hour, then the higher timeframe will automatically be 4 hours, if the chart timeframe is 4 hours, then the higher timeframe will be 1 day, etc.
AOE Oscillator (Awesome Oscillator + Bars count lines + EMA Line)
Includes the Awesome Oscillator with two vertical lines at a distance of 100 and 140 bars from the last bar to determine the third Elliott wave by the maximum peak of AO in the interval from 100 to 140 bars according to Bill Williams' Profitunity strategy. Additionally, a faster EMA line is displayed.
I also added display of the AO line for the lower timeframe instead of the EMA line if the Moving Average Line values (method, length and source) are equal to the Awesome Oscillator values in the indicator settings. For example, if the chart timeframe is 1 day, then the lower timeframe will automatically be 4 hours, if the chart timeframe is 4 hours, then the lower timeframe will be 1 hour, etc.
VBCHL indicator (Visible bars count on chart + highest/lowest bars, max/min AO)
The indicator displays the number of visible bars on the screen, including the prices of the highest and lowest bars, the maximum or minimum value of the Awesome Oscillator. The values change dynamically when scrolling or changing the scale of the chart, but with a delay of several seconds, so this feature is included in a separate indicator so as not to slow down the work of other indicators.
Indicator settings
In the AFDSA indicator I use the following settings:
By default, the Squat Bar is colored blue, and all other bars are colored to match the Awesome Oscillator color, except for the Fake bars, which are colored with a lighter AO color. But I also enable the display of "Green" Divergent bars in the "Green Bars > Show" field.
I enable the display of Alligator for higher timeframes in the "Alligator for higher timeframe > Enable" field.
In the indicator style settings, I disable the display of the highest and lowest bars, maximum and minimum AO peak labels, because these labels are also displayed by the VBCHL indicator depending on the number of visible bars in the chart window.
Only after opening a position, I enable all additional alerts in the “Enable all additional alerts” field (after changing this field, you need to re-create the alert for the current chart): crossing the green line of an open Alligator, formation of a fractal, appearance of a new maximum or minimum AO peak.
In the settings of the AOE oscillator, I enable the display of the AO line for the lower timeframe instead of the EMA line, setting the same values in the fields for the Moving Average Line (method, length and source) and Awesome Oscillator.
In the VBCHL indicator settings, I only enable the simple display text style for labels in the "Simple display text style for labels" field.
As a result, when analyzing the current chart, I immediately see all the signals on the chart, the location of the bars relative to the Alligator on the higher timeframe and changes in the Awesome Oscillator on the lower timeframe. And thanks to the VBCHL indicator, I quickly select the desired timeframe for analyzing the 5-wave Elliott impulse, focusing on the interval of 140 bars, and immediately see whether there is divergence between the maximum AO peak and the following lower AO peak in this interval.
Ascending Triangle breakout for CRSP....It appears as though CRSP is forming a micro ascending triangle that is likely to result in bullish momentum....
The Williams Alligator is widening to the upside and there was recently a bullish cross.
This is inherently bullish, but could always change in an instant....
TSLA 120 minutes Chart Moving Average pullbacks for Short EntryTSLA has been trending down in a channel since it marked the first trading day of this new year.
The chart is set up on a 120-minute time frame with the Williams Alligator indicator of
SMA10 SMA20 and SMA50 ( offsets 10, 5, & 2). In a strong downtrend, the averages are parallel
with SMA50 higher then SMA20 and SMA 10. For a good short entry, the price should pullback (
and up) through the SMA10 but not through the SMA20. An entry is taken when price falls
back through the SMA10. The supertrend may be reversing if any of the lines cross in a
golden fashion or price crosses the SMA20 or SMA50. On the chart, red down arrows mark the
best six entries YTD. There have been no exits despite any shorting pullbacks such as the past
day or so more or less from some news catalyst delivered by a certain fund manager to protect
her glut max and maybe wallets of clients. This strategy is well suited for a low intensity low
effort & minimal screen time type trader of shares or options to strike a balance overall and
profitable one at that with more simplicity and less complexity with noise and indicator
overload tuned out.
You don't need Heikin AshiHeikin Ashi is a popular trend indicator.
The open values of Heikin Ashi point out the potential trend reverse price level.
However, not all chart services privide Heikin Ashi.
In fact, there is an another way to estimate the open values of Heikin Ashi.
It is SMMA.
William Alligator uses 3 SMMA at a time.
We can set
Offset = 0
Lips = 2
Teeth = 8
Jaw = 32
Lips , also SMMA(2), estimate the open values of Heikin Ashi of the current timeframe.
Teeth and Jaw are the preview of the open values of Heikin Ashi in higher timeframes.
Structure: False OutNotice the Alligator overlay, and the declining High fractals while the Alligator increases (Lower Price/Higher Indicator). With the steepe Low above the Teeth, a bear exit requires standard divergence: not reverse bearish. With this exit being flawed, price should return to the false out...the Highs become the bull buy line...the false Low exit is now the bull stop line.
Renko: SweetSweetLuciaThis indicator is good, it can be utilized for timing entries and exits.
The Cross symbol, is the opening (Bearish or Bullish).
The Square symbol, is a pivot crossing (Bearish or Bullish).
The moving averages, aide the price wave identification.
The settings for Renko:
Seven Bars: a recent wave count with a line graph, on Bollinger Band breaches.
Traditional: seems more responsive.
OHLC: to include inside bars.
JSDA is showing bullish momentum! Ascending Triangle?Bullish cross on the KST where I've placed a blue thumb up.
Bullish cross on the Williams alligator with widening brands to the upside, inherently bullish indicator.
Playing peekaboo with the 200DMA.
A break above the 200DMA & 55c to 70c incoming real quick, maybe entering the cannabis sector is the type of move that will eventually attract volume to the newly CSE listed ticker for Jones Soda. Lots of great reviews on Mary Jones IN California.
Expect strong resistance at 80c if bullish momentum continues into the new year.
The trend is your friend, let it run!!The bullish momentum is undeniable since breaking above the 200 DMA in September.
Bullish cross on the William Alligator in September coinciding with the 200 DMA bullish cross.
On the Williams alligator, the bands expanding/widening in an upward motion, inherently bullish. But if I am commenting on the stock a Grizzly bear is lurking in the bushes...
8-dollar resistance, 18-dollar resistance, then 28, trade-ups and downs, it's. going to be a rollercoaster!
QQQ Decade-Long Trend BrokenThe Nasdaq 100 has closed under the blue gator (SMMA) for the first time in over a decade. This means we're likely to see several months of downtrend following until the AO has had a zeroline cross and possibly a hidden divergence with the '08 lows. Minimum price target is around the "covid lows" with wave-e ending around June of next year.
Biil Williams Aligator Indicator Explanation on BTC MarketCapHello Friends.
Today we will explain Aligator indicator on BTC Marketcap Chart.
this post has 2 purpose:
1)BTC marketcap analyze
2)Learn how Bill Williams Aligator indicator works
First lets see how this indicator works:
The Alligator indicator is composed of three smoothed moving averages.
It is named ‘alligator’ because it mimics the feeding habit of the animal and can help traders
pick out the best times to ‘feed’ on the pips available in a trending market.
Here are the lines that constitute the Alligator indicator:
Alligator’s Jaw
This is a 13-period smoothed moving average.This line is typically visualised in blue.
Alligator’s Jaw = SMMA (median price, 13, 8)
Alligator’s Teeth
This is an 8-period smoothed moving average. This line is typically visualised in red.
Alligator’s Teeth = SMMA (median price, 8, 5)
Alligator’s Lips
This is a 5-period smoothed moving average. This line is typically visualised in green.
Alligator’s Lips = SMMA (median price, 5, 3)
Trading Rules:
When the lines are intertwined or converging, it implies that the market is ranging (the ‘alligator’ is sleeping).
The longer the alligator sleeps, the hungrier it will wake up; prolonged consolidation will imply a massive breakout.
The alligator’s lip will be the first to move (crossing above or below the jaw) when it is waking up, which denotes the
Begining of a new trend.
An upward movement implies an uptrend might be forming, whereas a downward movement implies that a potential downtrend is starting.
A trend will be confirmed when the alligator’s teeth cut through the lips.
This will be the signal to buy in a confirmed uptrend or to sell in a confirmed downtrend.
The signal to take profits will come when the lines start to converge again, which will mean that the alligator is now about to repeat the sleep cycle.
Now lets see what happened in BTC marketcap According to this Strategy:
We can see awakening of aligator from 9 march 2020 untill 12 april 2021.
it shows a strong uptrend and aligator lines divergence.
I show it with a Green Ellipse in chart.
after that aligator go to sleep for a while from 12 april 2021 to 18 jan 2022.
so we can see a Range in price and aligator lines converging.
I show that with a Yellow Ellipse in chart.
after that we see aligator lips and teeth breaks jaw and aligator awake in a downward trend
so we approch a bearish market and i show that with a Red Ellipse.
no one know how much this cycle last.
after this section i think aligator go to sleep again and after that awake upward.
please protect your capital and know about market cycles.
we could see new bottoms so we must manage our risk.
after that when diffrent conditions confirm uptrend we can buy again.
Remember:
Buy expensive but confident
!!!NOTE!!!
MY POSTS ARE NOT TRADING AND INVESTING ADVISE.
SO DO ON YOUR OWN OPINION AND CONSIDER MARKET RISKS.
Thank you all for reading this article hope that be useful for you.
share me your opinion in comment please.
Is 100k still in play? A rising wedge forms when the price’s movement consolidates between two sloping trend lines collectively displayed as a triangle.
These sloping lines are basically support and resistance levels that move in a converging pattern (the lower line is the support line, while the upper one is the resistance line).
The support and resistance lines both point towards an upwards direction. The support line usually has to be a bit steeper than the resistance one.
The lines are constructed by connecting two or more separate highs and lows.
Bearish cross on the KST.
Bearish cross on the Williams Alligator.
If the lower trendline doesn't hold 20k is likely the next support level.
If the lower trendline does hold 80k is the next higher high in the long-term trend, sell at the upward resistance.
It's hard to consider this an ascending triangle but I've drawn a dark blue line to represent the horizontal resistance, it's moderately crude
Is Bitcoin trading in a Giant Descending Triangle?On the RSI there appears to be a noticeable divergence, there's a series of higher lows forming an ascending triangle.
The price is displaying a series of lower highs forming a descending triangle.
A bullish divergence or bearish divergence?
A bullish divergence occurs when prices fall to a new low while an oscillator fails to reach a new low. This situation demonstrates that bears are losing power, and that bulls are ready to control the market again—often a bullish divergence marks the end of a downtrend.
Bearish divergences signify potential downtrends when prices rally to a new high while the oscillator refuses to reach a new peak. In this situation, bulls are losing their grip on the market, prices are rising only as a result of inertia, and the bears are ready to take control again.
On the KST there has been a bearish cross on a 1-year chart. In this 5-year chart, it appears as though a bearish cross is on the verge of occurring near term on the Williams alligator.
It's always possible this pattern plays out as a Giant Bullish Flag, expect to see a re-test of the baseline of support & possibly a fake-out to the downside before breaching the horizontal resistance and re-testing ATH's.
Descending Channel for GBR?It appears as though GBR is displaying some bearish indicators coinciding with a price decline into a descending channel.
The Williams Alligator is showing a bearish cross and the bands widening pointing to the downside showing bearish strength.
Descending Channel for GMG?GMG has been on one hell of a ride, I've been holding this company since before the halt when it was CUSPIS Capital, unfortunately, I sold a majority position way too early once the halt was lifted after nearly 6-7 months.
It appears as though the share price is consolidating into a Descending Channel on a log scale chart and more of a falling wedge on a % gain chart, either way, GMG will need to breach the downward sloping resistance and turn it into support to negate continued bearish momentum.
If support is lost on the pattern look for support around the price ranges where I've placed horizontal red lines which display some previous areas of confluence.
The Williams Alligator is showing bearish strength at the moment, ideally, you want the lines of the Williams Alligator pointing upward which typically happens after a bullish cross, this happens when the green line crosses over the red line upward.
On the DMI there is a bearish cross where I've placed the downward pointing arrow.
In the upcoming week, the DMI looks prime for a bullish cross.
TNYBF has broken flush to the upside of a descending channel.It appears as though TNYBF has broken the downward sloping resistance of a descending channel, and upon back-testing old resistance, it has turned into support for the time being.
The Williams Alligator bands are widening to the upside which is inherently bullish and exactly what traders look for in healthy uptrends or a defined shift in momentum.
On the DMI we've seen a bullish cross where I've placed the downward green pointing arrow.
EDUCATION: Williams Alligator IndicatorHello, dear subscribers!
Today's topic is Williams Alligator (WA) Indicator, which is very important and efficient trading tool at any timeframe.
Definition
WA consists of three lines:
Jaw = Moving average with length 13 and offset 8
Teeth = Moving average with length 8 and offset 5
Lips = Moving average with length 5 and offset 3
But you can choose your own settings.
This indicator usually use for trend confirmation and works perfect with other indicators, which will be examined in next topics.
How to trade with Williams Alligator?
Alligator has 2 states: slleping and feeding time. The yellow areas demonstrate the sleeping time, when the lines are intertwined. During this period is not recommended to trade. When the lips start rapidly move down it means the downtrend start. After this the jaw starts open and the feeding time confirmed. When the red candle closed lower than all three MA lines, this is the perfect moment to entry short position. The exit condition is the crossover the lips and teeth lined, but you can do it earlier - when the price broke up the lips or teeth lines.
For the long position the opposite is true, the lips line have to rapidly move up and be above other MA lines.
Summary
1)Define the alligator sleeping time
2)Find the moment when lips line starts to move down and below other lines for short and move up and above for long
3)Wait the candle close below/above all three lines for short/long and entry position
4)Exit the position when the lips line crossed the teeth line
This indicator is also has not perfect performance in sole use, but with other indicators it can bring a great profit. We will talk about it next time.