WMT: Retraced into an optimal buy zone$WMT has retraced back down into support here, and it is an attractive buy for anyone using @timwest's methodology and indicators.
I'm looking to average into a long position here next week, buying into support, adding into strength, or even averaging down if we test lower support levels...as long as holding above this zone we're in good shape.
There's a 9 week uptrend active, as per Time@Mode, so, until this signal expires, or if we fail to hold support at the mode where most of the accumulation happened, prices are likely to trend up from here.
Best of luck,
Ivan Labrie.
WMT
Bullish Divergence Transforms to Near End to Oversold ConditionsAT40 = 17.3% of stocks are trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs) – 10th day of oversold period following 4-day oversold period
AT200 = 29.5% of stocks are trading above their respective 200DMAs
VIX = 23.4
Short-term Trading Call: bullish
Commentary
The small bullish divergence to start the week received follow-through in the form of a big rally day in the stock market. AT40 (T2108), the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs), jumped from 11.9% to 17.3%. Suddenly, it looks possible for the stock market to bring an end this week to this extremely extended oversold period (AT40 above 20%). AT200 (T2107), the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 200DMAs, came to life by hopping from 25.4% to 29.5%. AT200 even slightly broke through its steep downtrend.
{AT40 (T2108) surged from the lows to the oversold threshold.}
{AT200 (T2107) bounced enough to sneak a peak above its relentless October downtrend.}
So far, the S&P 500 (SPY) is down 4.5% for this 10-day old oversold period. The index is down 3.7% from the start of the first oversold period which is only separated from the current period by one trading day. If the oversold period had ended today, the S&P 500’s performance would have been in-line with historic 14-day long oversold periods and under-performed historic 10-day oversold periods. In both cases projections are for less weakness.
{The performance of the S&P 500 for a given oversold duration (T2108 below 20%).}
In other words, there is a decent case to be made that the breakout from this oversold period will come with another big rally day for the S&P 500. It will need to be a big move to break out of the current steep downward trading channel formed by the lower Bollinger Bands (BBs).
{The S&P 500 (SPY) rallied for a 1.6% gain that perfectly matched the previous day's open and close lower.}
The NASDAQ gained the same percentage as the S&P 500 but its range of motion was not nearly enough to nullify the previous day’s fade and selling. The Invesco QQQ Trust (QQQ) gained 1.7% but also failed to nullify the previous day’s pressure.
{The NASDAQ rallied for a 1.6% gain but still sits well within the downward trading channel formed by the lower Bollinger Bands (BBs).}
{The Invesco QQQ Trust (QQQ) rallied 1.7% but still sits within a steep downward trading channel.}
The volatility index, the VIX, only fell 5.5% and closed at 23.4. It is still at elevated levels (above 20) so the stock market remains very vulnerable to wide swings and sharp selling, but at least the intraday high did not reach the recent highs.
The iShares Russell 2000 ETF (IWM) rallied for a 2.1% gain. Unlike the other major indices, IWM managed to tap the upper bound of its downward trading channel. IWM hugged this line in the selling that led to the current levels. Follow-through buying would represent a very important breakout.
{The iShares Russell 2000 ETF (IWM) is making another attempt to break out from its downward trading channel former by its lower Bollinger Bands.}
Although I did not get the volatility spike I wanted to trigger more aggressiveness, I still treated the rally as a validation of the bullish signs from the previous day. I focused on my shopping list even as I took my profits on my latest tranche of SPY call options (expiring Friday). I loaded up on CSX Corporation (CSX) calls, a calendar call spread on Intel (INTC), and of course I implemented my Facebook (FB) pre-earnings trade (twice!). I also decided to get aggressive with small caps given the abundance of beaten up small caps I saw with big gains on the day. I started accumulating call options on IWM expiring in 2 1/2 weeks. I capped off my hedges with a put spread on Boeing (BA) which rallied right to its 200DMA and an obligatory put option on Caterpillar (CAT). From here, I can stay 100% focused on the bullish buying opportunities…while of course keeping in my peripheral vision the on-going (technical) market risks that I have covered in previous Above the 40 posts.
Walmart Short Idea. With BTCGoing to short Walmart. There is no reason for this thing to keep rising, just look at the earnings, all on the down yet the stock price keeps rising? I think this is a technical pull back to the golden area of fibs. Can enter anywhere here with a stop of around 107.5. Target the $75 area for a nice gain. Look at the ideas, everyone is buying and when that happens?
While the crypto market is doing nothing I am using BTC to play these markets at simplefx.com (my referral link) with margin, use 100x leverage for 10x on this asset. 50x for 5x.
When in profit lock in with a stoploss.
WMT Bottom Facing All-Time High and Trade WarsWMT has been in a bottoming formation most of this year. The big gap up was HFTs taking advantage of those who trade on earnings news. Notice how quickly profit-taking follows. The all-time high is strong resistance.
Walmart is one company that is stating it will face revenue and earnings problems due to the Trade Wars and new Tariffs on the Chinese goods it imports. Since this is a discount retail store, the tariffs will eventually force the company to either find another country to import goods from or raise the cost of its imported goods, which is a far more likely scenario. That means US consumers who buy products from Walmart will start to see an increase in the cost of any products or goods imported from China. This could take effect as early as this holiday season. WMT may try to delay some cost increases until next year, but the increase in import costs will be passed onto consumers at some point.
S&P 500 Historic All-Time Shines Cautious Light On Opportunities"The S&P 500 printed its first all-time high in 7 months just in time for a record bull market. The good mood underlines new trade opps."
S&P 500 Historic All-Time Shines Cautious Light On Opportunities drduru.com $SPY $QQQ $IWM $XRT $XLF #VIX $BA $BBY $CAT $BIDU $CSCO $DKS $HIBB $FB $GE $M $MTCH $NFLX $NIB $QCOM $RDFN $Z $TOL $TSLA $WMT $YELP #AT40 #T2108
$WMT Rounding Bottom - Golden Cross Imminent$WMT Walmart - Five month long rounding bottom nearing completion. 50d/200d ema golden cross appears to be imminent. Monitoring for break through $90.00 resistance level for confirmation.
Medium term target - $98.00 (assumes solid earnings report mid-August)
Note: Information analysis, not investment advice.
Is TDOC a takeover target of AMZN?For all fundamental reasons the success of Teladoc is noble but you can see from this accumulation/distribution chart that someone is heavily accumulating the stock. There are multitude of reasons this could be happening. One super exciting and others very typical of trading in growth companies.
So let's start with my far flung idea. Amazon is pushing aggressively to get into the healthcare space. There was talks of Amazon buying a large insurance provider such as Aetna. A much more reasonable acquisition, and one that would be the perfect fit to stair-step them into the space is Teladoc. Teladoc conducts medical exams entirely online and over the phone. They boast almost 20 million customer accounts around the world and have an opportunity in the U.S. alone to do at least 75 times their current volume of consultations. What better place for people to find that than the Wal-mart of the online world. Amazon. For that matter if Wal-mart took notice they would also be a suitor.
Catalyst 2: Short interest. For a long time short traders were rooting for Teladoc to fail because they were spending heavy to acquire competitors and pushing growth over all else. Well those bets have not paid off at all. As a matter of fake with an estimated 38% of the float short we could see a short squeeze for the record books playing out before our eyes.
Catalyst 3: The future prospects for TDOC without it being sold. Even with no buyer TDOC has grown over 100% this year with their own internal marketing push and the acquisition of their second biggest competitor. They are insurmountably the leader of the pack in tele-medicine. They are the uber of doctors if you will. They are in the critical mass stage. Twenty million customers turns into 50 million real fast when people start to tell their friends how their doctors 'visit' fell from $160 to $40. There is no doubting it is a disruption of the mega status quo and several of those companies have gone on to be worth 60-100 billion dollars. That is a 30x-50x from today's 3.8 billion dollar value.
*** These opinions are my own and not meant to be financial advice. I am currently long TDOC calls.
WMT Daily Bull Div Presents Buy OpportuntiyWMT bull div presents buying opportunity. WMT is 25% below all time high, a pullback that has occured with little or no upward mean reversion. Following our MACD and RSI bull div on the daily I expect to see some upward mean reversion here. A tight stop presents itself below local lows where there is very little volume. Target is 23% FIB/daily volume profile node OR just hold it forever since WMT is pretty safe stock.
Walmart (WMT) - Flipping The Cart ! - 5/18/2018Unfortunately Walmart is not Amazon and nobody should expect its stock to rise by buying a loss making company in the name of growing market share. Walmart's acquisition of Flipcart ( Indian online seller like Amazon ) is a lottery for Flipcart's owners and headache for Walmart's share holders. Important question is how can one compete with a company which really doesn't want to make profit !! So as the things were standing, in coming years, Flipcart might have gone bankrupt after fighting with Amazon.
In this scenario, WMT can be sucked back to its previous boring range of $60 +/-10. In fact boring ranges of good companies are more easy and lucrative to trade. Can't wait for that !
Walmart Bull + $85 TargetWalmart's earning reports are due within a week and they are coming up as close competitors to Amazon. They recently acquired Flipkart in a needy but brilliant move to try taking more control in the emerging e-commerce market. Given that they were positively skewed to the left and are now facing a negative correlation, it may not look good. However, the recent acquisition of Flipkart, the market share they already owned in the retail industry and the fact that many of their retail competitors are losing ground looks like positive market potential. However, some analyst could claim these as assumptions or informational bias in looking at the outcome of the data. That being said, given the recent trend-lines in price with medium risk, an $85 short call seems imminent and highly likely.
Wal-Mart $2 Bucks from Strong Support, Entry into India. . .Many believe India and China are the future of retail.
Wal-Mart seems to agree, and on 5/9 announced a $16 billion USD bid for a 77% stake in Flipkart, India's premier online retailer.
Wal-Mart paid up to beat out Amazon for this exposure to Asian retail. Will it be worth it?
Luxury retail is in great demand but everyday retail is struggling, especially in the United States. Wages remain stagnant, consumers are turning more and more to debt, and western countries don't offer much in the way of growth for retailers (indeed, several retailers have been driven to bankruptcy in recent years). Wal-Mart provides a place for the everyday consumer to buy everyday products, but margins can only continue to compress as: 1. the cost of goods rises with a consumer that can't handle increased costs passed onto them, and 2. WMT fights to reorganize to take market share in attractive online and Asian markets.
Wal-Mart needs to catch up to compete with Alibaba and Amazon in markets with growth potential, and seems to be taking the right steps to do so. In the short-term, that could be bad for share price - or is the "bad" already baked in, and are traders\investors ready to pay up for Wal-Mart stock?
Wal-Mart has to compete for its share of fruitful markets, even if it means margin compression.
Looking at the technicals, Wal-Mart has abruptly fallen to near strong support in and around $81 USD. WMT reports Q1 2018 earnings on 5\17, and it's conceivable the numbers can't come in much worse than the downside upset from Q4 2017's earnings call back in February. Is disappointing news baked in to the price already, with Wall Street already expecting a little pain as Wal-Mart transitions into the company it needs to be to take on Amazon and Alibaba in shifting online and global markets?
WMT paid up to jump in to growing East Indian (and Chinese) retail - it more or less had to, and "had to" isn't a good place to be when negotiating deals - but will an exploding Asian retail scene lead to explosive moves upward in the price of WMT shares? The move up may or may not be today or tomorrow, but presently, the company's decisionmaking seems to bode well for Wal-Mart's future.
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Thanks again!
See it on the site: holsturr.com/category/markets/charts/
** For speculative and research purposes only - good luck! **
WMT- Is the Bottom in?? WMT looking like a good longer term buy from this area. Sitting at pretty significant price action support but technicals may have more downside left in them, although they could just as easily fire to the upside from here. Long with a stop around the $82 area if which broken I would look for another long entry in the mid 70's.