#WMT has walmart exhausted itself with this rally?Walmart, the retail behemoth, seems to have exhausted itself with the superb run seen in the share price from a low of $149 to $170 since the end of last year. We have a demark 9 exhaustion sell signal followed by bearish divergence (Price higher high not confirmed by lower high in the RSI). In addition we have seem the MACD cross down which could be suggesting weakness in momentum in the days ahead. The last two candles on the chart have engulfed 8 days of action above $169 so the likelihood is that we now retrace to the first big level at roughly $166 which co-incides with the 20dma, 23.6% fib and the uptrend from the December lows. Should this trendline break, further weakness can be expected to the 38.2 and 50% retracement levels of approx. $163 and $160
WMT
Walmart's Earnings Report: Navigating Market Reaction and...Walmart's Earnings Report: Navigating Market Reaction and Embracing Growth Opportunities
Walmart's recent earnings report sparked a market reaction that many deemed an overreaction, considering the positive trajectory revealed in the company's outlook for 2023. Despite initial disappointment from Wall Street, there are three compelling reasons to believe that Walmart's potential in the remainder of 2023 remains robust.
Solid, Though Mixed, Growth:
Walmart showcased its impressive sales trends with a 5% increase in comparable-store sales for the third consecutive quarter. This growth, though slightly decelerated, demonstrated a balanced approach between increased customer traffic and higher average spending. Notably, Walmart continued to gain market share in the grocery segment and expand in health and wellness. While there was a deceleration in general merchandise sales, the overall growth trajectory remained positive.
Financial Resilience:
Despite a nominal dip in operating income, Walmart's financials demonstrated resilience, attributed to a strategic shift in the timing of a sales event. Adjusting for this, the operating profit margin experienced positive momentum. The company reported a significant surge in cash flow, reaching $19 billion, providing Walmart with the financial strength to invest in growth initiatives, maintain price leadership, and offer returns to shareholders through dividends and buybacks.
Guidance for Future Growth:
Walmart's forward-looking indicators suggest promising growth ahead. The strategic reduction in inventory by $1 billion reflects the company's agility in understanding demand trends, crucial as the holiday season approaches. Looking to 2023, Walmart adjusted its sales growth projection to 5% to 5.5%, a notable increase from the previous range of 4% to 4.5%. While the earnings forecast remained unchanged, the adjusted guidance indicates robust profit growth and a modest increase in the operating profit margin.
Despite shares lagging in performance compared to the market, with a 10% increase in 2023 versus the market's 17%, this relative discount presents an additional reason for investors to favor Walmart. As the company approaches the holiday season cautiously, it maintains strong customer traffic and rising profit margins. Combined with a growing dividend payment, these factors position Walmart for positive investor returns in the foreseeable future.
Previous Idea:
Walmart's Bold Move: A 3-for-1 Stock Split to Empower Associates
Walmart Inc. (NYSE: NYSE:WMT ) has recently announced a significant development in its financial strategy – a 3-for-1 stock split. The decision, driven by a commitment to inclusive shareholder participation and a desire to align with founder Sam Walton's vision, reflects Walmart's ongoing dedication to its associates and a long-standing legacy of fostering financial health. We will delve into the details of this strategic move, its implications for investors and associates, and the broader context within which Walmart (NYSE: NYSE:WMT ) operates.
Empowering Associates through Accessibility:
At the heart of Walmart's decision lies a commitment to its associates. With over 400,000 participating in Walmart's Associate Stock Purchase Plan, the 3-for-1 stock split aims to make share ownership more accessible. Walmart's President and CEO, Doug McMillon, echoes Sam Walton's belief that keeping share prices within reach for associates is crucial for fostering a sense of unity and shared success. By reducing the share price through the stock split, Walmart (NYSE: NYSE:WMT ) is encouraging its workforce to actively participate in the company's growth journey.
Historical Context and Sam Walton's Vision:
Walmart's decision to split its shares resonates with the principles laid down by its founder, Sam Walton. Walton believed in the power of unity and famously said, "We're all in this together. That's the secret." The stock split aligns with Walton's vision of creating opportunities for associates to benefit from the company's success. Walmart's (NYSE: NYSE:WMT ) focus on its associates' financial health, coupled with a commitment to providing good jobs and attractive benefits, underscores a tradition that spans over six decades.
Practical Implications for Investors:
For existing shareholders, the stock split means a distribution of two additional shares for every share held. This not only dilutes the share price but also increases the total number of outstanding shares from approximately 2.7 billion to 8.1 billion. The move is expected to make Walmart's (NYSE: NYSE:WMT ) stock more attractive to a broader range of investors, potentially enhancing liquidity and market participation.
Market Reaction and Technical Outlook:
Technically, Walmart's stock is currently in a rising trend channel, indicating increasing optimism among investors. The recent break above the resistance level at $165 signals a potential upward trajectory. Investors are likely to respond positively to the stock split, viewing it as a strategic move that reinforces Walmart's commitment to growth and inclusivity.
Conclusion:
Walmart's (NYSE: NYSE:WMT ) decision to undergo a 3-for-1 stock split is a strategic move with deep-rooted connections to its founder's vision and a commitment to associates' financial well-being. As the company enters a new phase with an increased number of outstanding shares, investors and associates alike are poised to benefit from this bold initiative. The stock split not only aligns with Walmart's (NYSE: NYSE:WMT ) historical principles but also positions the retail giant for continued success in an ever-evolving market.
Walmart: Almost there 🏁Over the past few trading days, the Walmart stock has continued along its path toward our magenta Target Zone (between $164.10 and $170.42), steadily recovering from the drastic sell-offs that happened in mid-November last year. Our Target Zone should now be reached soon, and we expect wave (2) to conclude there, which is why our Zone presents an opportunity to open short positions. Those who open short trades should consider the possibility (33%) of our alternative scenario, though: it calls for the dark green wave alt.(B) to head much higher, even above $173.08.
WALMART SUPER CYCLE PEAKThe chart posted is that of WMT Walmart I am now stating this stock bull run from1985 has ENDED first target 122 a final low is 85 a share I saw this forming on the weekly and was in court the other day and wanted to post but was exhausted .This should drop like Meta and last year
WALMART One of the steadiest stocks you can buy!Walmart / WMT broke through the 1day MA50 and is testing the bottom of both the short and long term Channel Up patterns.
This is the first technical buy entry of this sequence, with the second being on the 1day MA100 and as long as no 1day candle closes under it.
Buy and target 168.00 (Fibonacci 1.236 extension).
Note: The 1day RSI also has clear Support levels that you can use in combination with the MAs.
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WMT, Ascending-Triangle-Formation, BREAKOUT Incoming!Hello There!
Welcome to my new analysis about WMT on the 2-hour timeframe perspectives. As I mentioned in previous ideas the stock market currently is in a highly mixed condition with many stocks being bullish and having breakout potentials while others make better short candidates. The approach with a total-return trading is to make profits in all states of the market either to the up or downside and therefore pick setups on the long as well as short-side. In this case I spotted a important price-action-dynamic with WMT that is likely to lead to a major breakout towards the short side. Especially, with the dynamic setting up here this has a massive potential to turn into a considerable opportunity to move forward within the next times.
As when looking at my chart now WMT is forming this major ascending-triangle-formation with the continued wave-count within the formation and the waves A to D already completed. Now as WMT is edging higher within the triangle it is going to approach the upper boundaries in combination with the main all-time-high resistance from where a pullback is highly likely once the wave-count has been completed. This means that once WMT pulled back off the upper levels and breaks out below the lower boundary it is going to setup the further bearish continuations as marked in my chart with the breakout-setup.
Once the breakout has shown up WMT is going to set up the next wave C within the main wave-count reaching from A to C. Especially once the trend acceleration below the 45-EMA as well as 100-EMA emerged this is going to point towards the lower levels and further bearish volume to accelerate. Once the whole formation has been completed it will activate targets seen within my chart within the 155 level. Once these targets have been reached there is also the possibility for a continuation if the main double-top-formation should complete with a huge breakout below the 155 level. Especially, considering the dynamic to show up with huge bearish momentum this has a high possibility to convert into a further bearish continuation therefore the stocks stays on the watchlist as a main short-candidate.
Thank you for watching my analysis. Support from your side is greatly appreciated.
VP
XLP - Staples are lagging the market XLP has had horrific downside price action over the last several weeks.
As it approaches the Weekly 200 MA I do anticipate a bounce to occur.
Not many sectors are near the weekly 200 MA.
Buying this at the Weekly 200 MA has proven to be a great long term entry for investors.
If a bounce occurs and bearish consolidation on the weekly chart occurs, this sector will likely be a good short side play.
I would never short this sector now since its had a big decline. A bounce is more favourable at this point.
WBA in a long trend down SHORTWBA is Walgreens. On the daily chart it is down about 50% from the highs of late 2019, the
summer of 2021 and winter of 2021. WBA may be suffering from not keeping up with online
mail-order prescription filling and online in general. Like others, it may be suffering from
potential downside of litigation related to the opioid epidemic.
Mark Cuban and his Cost Plus Drugs may be having an impact on WBA . Merely a reasonable
conjecture on my part. WBA beat earnings for three years of quarters prior to this most recent
one. Importantly, on the long-range volume profile WBA is below the POC line where most
traders prefer to trade. It is even farther below the POC line of the near term volume profile.
The other indicators show ongoing or even accelerating bearish momentum.
I will short WBA in what I think will be a long-duration swing trade. I will look into put option
contracts as well.
RAD - Is there such a thing as a safe SHORT?If there was ever a thing such as a safe short- I think it would be Rite Aid (RAD)
As shown on a monthly chart, RAD triple topped in 2015=2017 and has been in a decline
every since. It has shed 90% of its market cap in the intervening 6-8 years. Now, it is
fundamentally fighting for survival. This is because as a weaker drugstore retailer and
the rise of Walgreens, CVS and others as well as RAD's role in the opioid epidemic
( I have insider knowledge) RAD is now filing for bankruptcy protection against
claims and litigation which will vastly outstrip its liability protections. All confirmations
on the monthly chart ( high validity given the time frame) considered in context, RAD
is near to its death bed. The judge will be ing the rights of shareholders against the rights
of litigants ( which include Medicare, Medicaid and state governments). The shareholders will
loose and loose very badly. I will go short in a stock trade and take a large put option position.
There is no need to buy call options here for backside protection. The writing is on the wall.
DLTR reverses up on pre-earnings move LONGDLTR has earnings in 3-4 trading days. On the 30 minute chart it has been sideways
and maybe a little down for this past week which is par for the course given the
general market. In the last trading day, price bounced up from the lower of
the two Bollinger band set at 2.618 standard deviations below the mean basis
band. The ZL MACD lines are upgoing and crossed over the zero-line. The
ADX lines both negative direction and positive direction are flat and ad the zero
level. The BB Oscillator demonstrates the bounce at the Friday morning open.
I will take a long trade in DLTR in the next three days anticipating that trader
interest and a little greed will push the price higher. I may take a call option as
well. If you want to know which call I may have an interest in taking, please leave
a comment.
$WMT Outperforms $SPY and $XLP: A Weekly Comparative AnalysisDetails:
Walmart ( NYSE:WMT ): Over the weekly time frame, Walmart saw an impressive gain of 22.51%, highlighting a strong trend in its stock performance.
S&P 500 ( AMEX:SPY ) : This ETF tracks the S&P 500 Index, a benchmark for 500 of the largest companies in the U.S. stock market. During the same period, AMEX:SPY recorded a gain of 16.17%.
Consumer Staples ( AMEX:XLP ): AMEX:XLP represents the Consumer Staples sector of the S&P 500, focusing on necessities like food, beverages, and household goods. It rose 15.61% in the weekly time frame.
Comparative Analysis:
NYSE:WMT vs. AMEX:SPY : Walmart outperformed the broader market ( AMEX:SPY ) by 6.34%.
NYSE:WMT vs. AMEX:XLP : Walmart's growth outshines the Consumer Staples sector ( AMEX:XLP ) by 6.90%.
Technical Indicators:
50-Day Exponential Moving Average (EMA): At present, NYSE:WMT is trading above its 50-day EMA, located around the $156.00 price mark. This divergence from the mean value might point to an overextension, particularly since the stock has reached all-time highs for the past five consecutive days.
Bollinger Bands & RSI: Walmart's stock is brushing against the upper Bollinger Band, hinting at possible overbought conditions. This is further corroborated by an RSI nearing 70, signaling that a pullback might be on the horizon.
Conclusion:
The combination of strong weekly gains and the current technical indicators presents a complex picture for $WMT. While the stock's performance has been robust, some signs point to potential overextension. Investors and traders must weigh these factors carefully and consider their strategies accordingly. The data and analysis presented here serve as valuable tools for understanding the stock's dynamics and planning future moves.
#WMT Straddle/Trade planStraddlle detected up to 15-Sep.
Based on our team's research of the options market, we expect buy activity at the support level or sell activity at the resistance.
We primarily consider levels to be activity zones, but not to be a super-fine level for establishing a limit order. Use them in com
Walmart in a bullish channel.Walmart - 30d expiry - We look to Buy at 154.33 (stop at 150.33)
Price action continues to trade around the all-time highs.
Trading within a Bullish Channel formation.
We look to buy dips.
The primary trend remains bullish.
Trend line support is located at 154.
This stock has seen good sales growth.
Our profit targets will be 164.33 and 166.33
Resistance: 159.50 / 161.00 / 163.00
Support: 157.50 / 155.00 / 154.00
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Will it hit my $TGT?With NYSE:TGT struggling to find its footing after its May downturn, it's due for good news. The upcoming earnings report might be the catalyst needed to challenge the persistent downward trend. Despite lagging behind NASDAQ:AMZN and NYSE:WMT , TGT is working hard to regain ground it suffered from overstocking issues and inefficient offloading strategies like promotions and sales, logistics updates, and donations. Anticipate news about these strategies, and potential dividend increases to attract new investors.
Bullish Case - TGT, currently range-bound, is trying to incorporate pandemic-related impacts into its pricing. It's at least a $150 stock and should be valued accordingly. The downtrend is a reaction from major investors who want resolution to existing issues and a plan for longevity. They've had plenty of time to address these issues.
Bearish Case - It's a range-bound distribution phase. Note how it's retracted over 50% of its gains from the pandemic low. Typically, continuation is 38%, but it's even surpassed the .618 golden ratio. It would be wise to avoid complications and let sleeping dogs lie. Claiming it would return to pandemic levels is too aggressive, but a price just above $100 should attract stronger supporters for a rebound.
Conclusion - TGT isn't a fan favorite, and understandably so. However, the aggressive pullback is noteworthy, even WMT didn't face this level of pressure. The chart below shows a substantial divergence, presenting an opportunity. At this point, the ball is in TGT's court. How they act in the latter half of the year will determine their fate.
Bullish - 140.27
Bearish - 125.25
WMT benefits from consumer confidence LONGWMT may be benefiting from the potential suspension of federal rate hikes potentially
giving consumers more buying confidence and maybe a stabilization of credit card rates
as another form of relief. On the 4H chart, WMT is showed with a pair of anchored VWAP
bands set at the beginning of a prior breakout on June 30th and the pivot high on July 5th.
Price had descended to the third deviation green lines below the mean VWAPs zone ( black
lines) but has now ascended to the first deviation blue lines below the mean VWAPs.
WMT is in an early VWAP breakout at this point as price approaches the mean VWAP.
The MFT RSI indicator of Chris Moody shows both low and high TF RSIs now above the 50 level
and the low higher than the high demonstrating bullish momentum. The zero-lag MACD
is also confirmatory showing a line cross under the histogram on July 11th.
I find WMT suitably set up for a swing long trade. I will seek out the best entry on the
15-30 minute time frame by identifying a privot low from which to enter. The target
is the red second deviation lines above the mean VWAP zone at $158.25. A call options
trade would be for $157.00 with a 9-10 DTE.
Walmart (WMT) | The Long-awaited Breakout!Hi,
Waited for the end of June and we got the highest monthly candle close in Walmart history!
The area between $150 to $154 has been like a nightmare for WMT. As you see in the image it has tried many many times to make a breakthrough. Finally, it happened, barely but still, the price of Walmart has got the confirmed move, at least I like to think like that.
Literally, investors are ready to pay higher prices for WMT stock, we got that "letter" from investors, we take it as a sign and we are ready to make a buy from the current prices to $145.
This idea shows also how important is technical analysis! No matter what the WMT stock does from now but if you invested before that breakout (after the price reached the first time $150), then your money has been stuck for half a year to two years (depending on when you discovered it) in this asset! In the meantime, you see that almost the entire market is rallying.
So, if you have such a strong area, as Walmart has there around $150, then it is always wise to wait for a little letter from investors that they are ready to pay the first time, atm within three years, the highest price than before!
As the JPMorgan survey says: more profitable is to buy when the market has made an all-time high than on any random day. Again, it will confirm that the timing/technical analysis plays a key role in investment decisions!
* Considering technical analysis then the optimal buying zone should stay from current prices to $145.
* First target is $180 and currently the major one should stay around $200
Good luck,
Vaido
WALMART in need of a short term technical correction.Walmart has been trading inside a Channel Up since March and just formed a Higher High Top, same as on May 10th.
The main Support is the MA100 (1d) and long term the MA200 which is holding since October 21st 2022.
Trading Plan:
1. Sell on the current market price.
2. Buy at 152.00 as long as the candle is closing over the MA100 (1d).
Targets:
1. 152.00 (bottom of the Channel Up and 0.5 Fibonacci level).
2. 164.00
Tips:
1. The RSI (1d) also formed a pattern that is consistent with market tops since 2022.
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