DLTR reverses up on pre-earnings move LONGDLTR has earnings in 3-4 trading days. On the 30 minute chart it has been sideways
and maybe a little down for this past week which is par for the course given the
general market. In the last trading day, price bounced up from the lower of
the two Bollinger band set at 2.618 standard deviations below the mean basis
band. The ZL MACD lines are upgoing and crossed over the zero-line. The
ADX lines both negative direction and positive direction are flat and ad the zero
level. The BB Oscillator demonstrates the bounce at the Friday morning open.
I will take a long trade in DLTR in the next three days anticipating that trader
interest and a little greed will push the price higher. I may take a call option as
well. If you want to know which call I may have an interest in taking, please leave
a comment.
WMT
$WMT Outperforms $SPY and $XLP: A Weekly Comparative AnalysisDetails:
Walmart ( NYSE:WMT ): Over the weekly time frame, Walmart saw an impressive gain of 22.51%, highlighting a strong trend in its stock performance.
S&P 500 ( AMEX:SPY ) : This ETF tracks the S&P 500 Index, a benchmark for 500 of the largest companies in the U.S. stock market. During the same period, AMEX:SPY recorded a gain of 16.17%.
Consumer Staples ( AMEX:XLP ): AMEX:XLP represents the Consumer Staples sector of the S&P 500, focusing on necessities like food, beverages, and household goods. It rose 15.61% in the weekly time frame.
Comparative Analysis:
NYSE:WMT vs. AMEX:SPY : Walmart outperformed the broader market ( AMEX:SPY ) by 6.34%.
NYSE:WMT vs. AMEX:XLP : Walmart's growth outshines the Consumer Staples sector ( AMEX:XLP ) by 6.90%.
Technical Indicators:
50-Day Exponential Moving Average (EMA): At present, NYSE:WMT is trading above its 50-day EMA, located around the $156.00 price mark. This divergence from the mean value might point to an overextension, particularly since the stock has reached all-time highs for the past five consecutive days.
Bollinger Bands & RSI: Walmart's stock is brushing against the upper Bollinger Band, hinting at possible overbought conditions. This is further corroborated by an RSI nearing 70, signaling that a pullback might be on the horizon.
Conclusion:
The combination of strong weekly gains and the current technical indicators presents a complex picture for $WMT. While the stock's performance has been robust, some signs point to potential overextension. Investors and traders must weigh these factors carefully and consider their strategies accordingly. The data and analysis presented here serve as valuable tools for understanding the stock's dynamics and planning future moves.
#WMT Straddle/Trade planStraddlle detected up to 15-Sep.
Based on our team's research of the options market, we expect buy activity at the support level or sell activity at the resistance.
We primarily consider levels to be activity zones, but not to be a super-fine level for establishing a limit order. Use them in com
Walmart in a bullish channel.Walmart - 30d expiry - We look to Buy at 154.33 (stop at 150.33)
Price action continues to trade around the all-time highs.
Trading within a Bullish Channel formation.
We look to buy dips.
The primary trend remains bullish.
Trend line support is located at 154.
This stock has seen good sales growth.
Our profit targets will be 164.33 and 166.33
Resistance: 159.50 / 161.00 / 163.00
Support: 157.50 / 155.00 / 154.00
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Will it hit my $TGT?With NYSE:TGT struggling to find its footing after its May downturn, it's due for good news. The upcoming earnings report might be the catalyst needed to challenge the persistent downward trend. Despite lagging behind NASDAQ:AMZN and NYSE:WMT , TGT is working hard to regain ground it suffered from overstocking issues and inefficient offloading strategies like promotions and sales, logistics updates, and donations. Anticipate news about these strategies, and potential dividend increases to attract new investors.
Bullish Case - TGT, currently range-bound, is trying to incorporate pandemic-related impacts into its pricing. It's at least a $150 stock and should be valued accordingly. The downtrend is a reaction from major investors who want resolution to existing issues and a plan for longevity. They've had plenty of time to address these issues.
Bearish Case - It's a range-bound distribution phase. Note how it's retracted over 50% of its gains from the pandemic low. Typically, continuation is 38%, but it's even surpassed the .618 golden ratio. It would be wise to avoid complications and let sleeping dogs lie. Claiming it would return to pandemic levels is too aggressive, but a price just above $100 should attract stronger supporters for a rebound.
Conclusion - TGT isn't a fan favorite, and understandably so. However, the aggressive pullback is noteworthy, even WMT didn't face this level of pressure. The chart below shows a substantial divergence, presenting an opportunity. At this point, the ball is in TGT's court. How they act in the latter half of the year will determine their fate.
Bullish - 140.27
Bearish - 125.25
WMT benefits from consumer confidence LONGWMT may be benefiting from the potential suspension of federal rate hikes potentially
giving consumers more buying confidence and maybe a stabilization of credit card rates
as another form of relief. On the 4H chart, WMT is showed with a pair of anchored VWAP
bands set at the beginning of a prior breakout on June 30th and the pivot high on July 5th.
Price had descended to the third deviation green lines below the mean VWAPs zone ( black
lines) but has now ascended to the first deviation blue lines below the mean VWAPs.
WMT is in an early VWAP breakout at this point as price approaches the mean VWAP.
The MFT RSI indicator of Chris Moody shows both low and high TF RSIs now above the 50 level
and the low higher than the high demonstrating bullish momentum. The zero-lag MACD
is also confirmatory showing a line cross under the histogram on July 11th.
I find WMT suitably set up for a swing long trade. I will seek out the best entry on the
15-30 minute time frame by identifying a privot low from which to enter. The target
is the red second deviation lines above the mean VWAP zone at $158.25. A call options
trade would be for $157.00 with a 9-10 DTE.
Walmart (WMT) | The Long-awaited Breakout!Hi,
Waited for the end of June and we got the highest monthly candle close in Walmart history!
The area between $150 to $154 has been like a nightmare for WMT. As you see in the image it has tried many many times to make a breakthrough. Finally, it happened, barely but still, the price of Walmart has got the confirmed move, at least I like to think like that.
Literally, investors are ready to pay higher prices for WMT stock, we got that "letter" from investors, we take it as a sign and we are ready to make a buy from the current prices to $145.
This idea shows also how important is technical analysis! No matter what the WMT stock does from now but if you invested before that breakout (after the price reached the first time $150), then your money has been stuck for half a year to two years (depending on when you discovered it) in this asset! In the meantime, you see that almost the entire market is rallying.
So, if you have such a strong area, as Walmart has there around $150, then it is always wise to wait for a little letter from investors that they are ready to pay the first time, atm within three years, the highest price than before!
As the JPMorgan survey says: more profitable is to buy when the market has made an all-time high than on any random day. Again, it will confirm that the timing/technical analysis plays a key role in investment decisions!
* Considering technical analysis then the optimal buying zone should stay from current prices to $145.
* First target is $180 and currently the major one should stay around $200
Good luck,
Vaido
WALMART in need of a short term technical correction.Walmart has been trading inside a Channel Up since March and just formed a Higher High Top, same as on May 10th.
The main Support is the MA100 (1d) and long term the MA200 which is holding since October 21st 2022.
Trading Plan:
1. Sell on the current market price.
2. Buy at 152.00 as long as the candle is closing over the MA100 (1d).
Targets:
1. 152.00 (bottom of the Channel Up and 0.5 Fibonacci level).
2. 164.00
Tips:
1. The RSI (1d) also formed a pattern that is consistent with market tops since 2022.
Please like, follow and comment!!
WalMart stock is accelerating!WalMart stock is accelerating!
This chart shows the weekly candle chart of Wal Mart stock since the end of 2019. The graph overlays the golden section above the 2020 low point. As shown in the figure, the low point of Wal Mart stock in May this year just stepped back to 1.382 in the golden section of the figure, and the low point of the past three weeks just stepped back to 1.618 in the golden section of the figure! This shows that Wal Mart shares are in the early stage of accelerated growth, and the rate will probably break through the previous high! The next strong pressure level is the 2.000 position in the golden section of the graph (around 164.7)!
WMT Walmart Options After The EarningsIf you haven`t bought WMT Walmart here:
Or sold it here:
Now Analyzing the options chain of WMT Walmart prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the $155usd strike price Calls with
an expiration date of 2023-7-21,
for a premium of approximately $4.10
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
Looking forward to read your opinion about it.
Target TGT Is it a buy or sell?TGT is presently selling off as a consequence of a social media retail boycott of sorts which
developed after the Bud Lite episode. In the meantime, it had decent earnings despite the
impending or present recession. The volume profiles show previously the highest volume of the
trading range was $ 155 but now it has fallen to $139. So should a trader consider the earnings
and buy this discount or instead pay attention to sentiment and short TGT?
Dollar General (DG) a recession stock is Trending UpDG had a swing low in mid-March. While it has retraced well, it is still 15% below the YTD high
On the 2H chart, the retracement uptrend is accompanied by a persistent volume of about 2X
that of March and before. I am supposing that with an early or light recession underway, value
sensitive consumers are delivering DG more revenue from its retail operations and will continue
to do so. The zero-lag MACD is showing a buy signal; I will take a long position and watch
for signs of overextension or loss of directional strength as an exit in due time.
WMT symmetrical triangleWhat we can see on the chart is the symmetrical triangle which is neutral formation therefore we should wait with taking position as it may breakout to the upside or to the downside.
How to trade:
Enter long or short position once the price breakout of the triangle.
Targets for longs and shorts are shown on the chart.
In order to avoid trading the fake breakout, look for a volume surge.
Good luck
Walmart primary trend remains bullish.Walmart - 24h expiry - We look to Buy at 139.11 (stop at 134.61)
Levels below 140 continue to attract buyers.
The primary trend remains bullish.
This stock has seen good sales growth.
Preferred trade is to buy on dips.
A higher correction is expected.
Our profit targets will be 150.11 and 152.11
Resistance: 150.00 / 151.12 / 153.00
Support: 148.15 / 147.00 / 145.00
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Signal Centre’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Signal Centre.
WMT - Rising Trend Channel [MID TERM]- WMT is in a rising trend channel in the medium long term.
- WMT has broken a resistance level in the short term and given a positive signal for the short-term trading range.
- WMT has broken up through resistance at 146.
- Overall assessed as technically positive for the medium long term.
*EP: Enter Price, SL: Support, TP: Take Profit, CL: Cut Loss, TF: Time Frame, RST: Resistance, RTS: Resistance to be Support LT TP: Long Term Target Price
Verify it first and believe later.
WavePoint ❤️
Walmart diamond top / H&S with targets below $WMTHead and Shoulders. Diamond top. Insider selling to the max. Bank nonsense. The drop to create bottom of diamond dwarfs the covid drop. Walmart would theoretically do well wen recession but not sure if the stock will hold up based off these technicals.
Walmart (WMT) Has A Falling Wedge!Wal-Mart (WMT) has a falling wedge on the daily timeframe. The stock closed above the 200MDA 2 days in a row (last Thursday and Friday)! On the second day it also closed above the 50MDA! Last but not least, the second day closed with more buying volume and pressure than the day prior. Also, the upper trend line of the falling wedge pattern, was touched three times! Therefore, the aforementioned confluences are strong signals for price to increase over the next few weeks.
Harmony,
MrALtrades00
*This is not financial advice.
Is it a good time to invest in Walmart stock?Amidst the global economic and political turmoil marked by high inflation and surging interest rates, some things remain constant, like people buying groceries at Walmart. However, the stock price of the world's largest retailer by revenue has dropped by 13% from its all-time high in April last year. The question is whether it's a good time to invest in the company or hold back.
In the fiscal year that ended on January 31, 2022, Walmart's revenues stood at $611 billion, a 6.7% increase from the previous year. The same-store sales in the US or comps increased by 6.6%, and the e-commerce revenue in the country rose by 12%. Sam's Club warehouse brand sales also increased by double-digit percentages.
Despite its already vast base, Walmart's revenues grew at a rapid pace, but the macroeconomic factors weighed on its margins. Gross margins fell from 25.1% in the fiscal year 2021 to 24.1% in the fiscal year 2022. Operating margins also fell from 4.5% to 3.3%. The rising costs of commodities and supply chain costs are responsible for this decline.
During the Q4 2022 earnings report, the CEO stated that "In periods of inflation like this one, middle-income families, lower-middle-income families, and even wealthier families become more price sensitive." He also said, "Because of its price structure, Walmart should still be in a good position to perform well." The management expects the company's revenues to grow by 2.5-3% in the fiscal year 2023, which is more aligned with its historical performance.
Walmart is an attractive investment for several reasons in the current economic and market environment. It's a stable and long-established company that has been in business for over 60 years. The company's massive size allows it to offer low prices continuously, which is particularly important during economic downturns.
Additionally, Walmart is a consistently profitable company, with a net income of $11.7 billion last fiscal year. The company's bottom line looks appealing in times when investors favor solid assets over speculative growth stocks. Moreover, the company has been paying dividends since 1974, and the payments have increased each year. The management has enough flexibility to keep increasing the payout.
On the other hand, some investors may choose not to invest in Walmart. The company's scale is an advantage, but it also means that it has limited reinvestment opportunities. Its sales have grown at an average annual rate of 2.7% over the past decade, in line with the US GDP growth rate. The company doesn't seem to have any room for expansion to outpace the economy.
Furthermore, Walmart's stock price has only risen by 93% over the past ten years, compared to the S&P 500's growth rate of 152%. The company's inability to outperform the market during a time when asset prices were at their best due to quantitative easing does not bode well for its future earnings potential.
Finally, Walmart's current valuation may not justify its price. The company's stock trades at a trailing price-to-earnings ratio of 33, which is more expensive than the broader market. Moreover, at a projected price-to-earnings ratio of 23, Walmart's stock also trades at a premium compared to its competitors, such as Target. This discrepancy doesn't seem reasonable, given that Target has grown its earnings faster than Walmart over the past ten years and had higher average margins.
In conclusion, while Walmart's stock can be a good portfolio backbone and provide investors with a steady stream of income, it's unlikely to generate significant returns in the coming years.
WALMART : Fundamental View and Technical Analysis. It appears that more high-income consumers are now shopping at Walmart, which could be a sign of the growing economic pressures caused by rising interest rates, high inflation, and increased gasoline prices. Walmart recently reported its Q4 earnings, which showed strong revenue growth globally, with sales up almost 8% in constant currency terms to $164 billion. Sales at comparable stores (comp) were up over 8% YoY, while sales at Sam's Club were up 12% and 22%, respectively. E-commerce sales also saw a notable increase of 17% in the US.
However, Walmart's growth in sales seems to be largely driven by price increases in groceries, with food inflation rising above the national rate. This could suggest that consumers are buying only the essentials, as sales for other merchandise like toys, electronics, home goods, and clothing have declined. Walmart predicts that US sales will grow a maximum of 5%, and earnings will fall to a range of $5.90 to $6.05 per share.
While these challenges are concerning, Walmart still looks capable of continuing to gain market share even during a potential recession. In fact, its strength in groceries is worth noting, with comparable sales growing by tens of percent. However, since food inflation rose in the mid-tenths of a percent, well above the reported national inflation rate, it appears that retail sales growth is indeed driven by price increases.
Moreover, more than half of the increase in grocery prices is attributable to high-income consumers who find it necessary to shop in the lower market. While this may be a long-term advantage for Walmart, as many of these new customers may stay with the company after inflation finally subsides, it suggests that these are particularly difficult times. When even high-income households are saving, it's a worrying sign for the rest of us.
It's worth noting that Walmart is returning more cash to shareholders than it is generating in free cash flow, which may concern some investors. Cash earnings for the year rose to $12.2 billion, but Walmart paid out $6.1 billion in dividends and repurchased $9.9 billion worth of stock for a total of $16 billion. This is not what investors would like to see from the retailer for a long period of time.
If you're an investor, you may want to consider using this opportunity to invest in protective stocks that may survive or even prosper during a downturn. While Walmart may not be a discount stock, it could still be a long-term refuge from any storm. However, a National Association for Business Economics survey warns that 58% of economists believe there is more than a 50% chance of a recession in the next 12 months, with 33% predicting it will come in Q2 and 21% believing it will start in the third.
Overall, it's clear that Walmart's strong revenue growth is a good sign, but the challenges it faces, such as declining profits and the potential for a market downturn, cannot be ignored. As consumers continue to buy only the essentials and high-income shoppers opt for discounted groceries, it's important to stay vigilant and prepare for any potential economic challenges ahead.