WMT
Dollar General (DG) a recession stock is Trending UpDG had a swing low in mid-March. While it has retraced well, it is still 15% below the YTD high
On the 2H chart, the retracement uptrend is accompanied by a persistent volume of about 2X
that of March and before. I am supposing that with an early or light recession underway, value
sensitive consumers are delivering DG more revenue from its retail operations and will continue
to do so. The zero-lag MACD is showing a buy signal; I will take a long position and watch
for signs of overextension or loss of directional strength as an exit in due time.
WMT symmetrical triangleWhat we can see on the chart is the symmetrical triangle which is neutral formation therefore we should wait with taking position as it may breakout to the upside or to the downside.
How to trade:
Enter long or short position once the price breakout of the triangle.
Targets for longs and shorts are shown on the chart.
In order to avoid trading the fake breakout, look for a volume surge.
Good luck
Walmart primary trend remains bullish.Walmart - 24h expiry - We look to Buy at 139.11 (stop at 134.61)
Levels below 140 continue to attract buyers.
The primary trend remains bullish.
This stock has seen good sales growth.
Preferred trade is to buy on dips.
A higher correction is expected.
Our profit targets will be 150.11 and 152.11
Resistance: 150.00 / 151.12 / 153.00
Support: 148.15 / 147.00 / 145.00
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Signal Centre’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Signal Centre.
WMT - Rising Trend Channel [MID TERM]- WMT is in a rising trend channel in the medium long term.
- WMT has broken a resistance level in the short term and given a positive signal for the short-term trading range.
- WMT has broken up through resistance at 146.
- Overall assessed as technically positive for the medium long term.
*EP: Enter Price, SL: Support, TP: Take Profit, CL: Cut Loss, TF: Time Frame, RST: Resistance, RTS: Resistance to be Support LT TP: Long Term Target Price
Verify it first and believe later.
WavePoint ❤️
Walmart diamond top / H&S with targets below $WMTHead and Shoulders. Diamond top. Insider selling to the max. Bank nonsense. The drop to create bottom of diamond dwarfs the covid drop. Walmart would theoretically do well wen recession but not sure if the stock will hold up based off these technicals.
Walmart (WMT) Has A Falling Wedge!Wal-Mart (WMT) has a falling wedge on the daily timeframe. The stock closed above the 200MDA 2 days in a row (last Thursday and Friday)! On the second day it also closed above the 50MDA! Last but not least, the second day closed with more buying volume and pressure than the day prior. Also, the upper trend line of the falling wedge pattern, was touched three times! Therefore, the aforementioned confluences are strong signals for price to increase over the next few weeks.
Harmony,
MrALtrades00
*This is not financial advice.
Is it a good time to invest in Walmart stock?Amidst the global economic and political turmoil marked by high inflation and surging interest rates, some things remain constant, like people buying groceries at Walmart. However, the stock price of the world's largest retailer by revenue has dropped by 13% from its all-time high in April last year. The question is whether it's a good time to invest in the company or hold back.
In the fiscal year that ended on January 31, 2022, Walmart's revenues stood at $611 billion, a 6.7% increase from the previous year. The same-store sales in the US or comps increased by 6.6%, and the e-commerce revenue in the country rose by 12%. Sam's Club warehouse brand sales also increased by double-digit percentages.
Despite its already vast base, Walmart's revenues grew at a rapid pace, but the macroeconomic factors weighed on its margins. Gross margins fell from 25.1% in the fiscal year 2021 to 24.1% in the fiscal year 2022. Operating margins also fell from 4.5% to 3.3%. The rising costs of commodities and supply chain costs are responsible for this decline.
During the Q4 2022 earnings report, the CEO stated that "In periods of inflation like this one, middle-income families, lower-middle-income families, and even wealthier families become more price sensitive." He also said, "Because of its price structure, Walmart should still be in a good position to perform well." The management expects the company's revenues to grow by 2.5-3% in the fiscal year 2023, which is more aligned with its historical performance.
Walmart is an attractive investment for several reasons in the current economic and market environment. It's a stable and long-established company that has been in business for over 60 years. The company's massive size allows it to offer low prices continuously, which is particularly important during economic downturns.
Additionally, Walmart is a consistently profitable company, with a net income of $11.7 billion last fiscal year. The company's bottom line looks appealing in times when investors favor solid assets over speculative growth stocks. Moreover, the company has been paying dividends since 1974, and the payments have increased each year. The management has enough flexibility to keep increasing the payout.
On the other hand, some investors may choose not to invest in Walmart. The company's scale is an advantage, but it also means that it has limited reinvestment opportunities. Its sales have grown at an average annual rate of 2.7% over the past decade, in line with the US GDP growth rate. The company doesn't seem to have any room for expansion to outpace the economy.
Furthermore, Walmart's stock price has only risen by 93% over the past ten years, compared to the S&P 500's growth rate of 152%. The company's inability to outperform the market during a time when asset prices were at their best due to quantitative easing does not bode well for its future earnings potential.
Finally, Walmart's current valuation may not justify its price. The company's stock trades at a trailing price-to-earnings ratio of 33, which is more expensive than the broader market. Moreover, at a projected price-to-earnings ratio of 23, Walmart's stock also trades at a premium compared to its competitors, such as Target. This discrepancy doesn't seem reasonable, given that Target has grown its earnings faster than Walmart over the past ten years and had higher average margins.
In conclusion, while Walmart's stock can be a good portfolio backbone and provide investors with a steady stream of income, it's unlikely to generate significant returns in the coming years.
WALMART : Fundamental View and Technical Analysis. It appears that more high-income consumers are now shopping at Walmart, which could be a sign of the growing economic pressures caused by rising interest rates, high inflation, and increased gasoline prices. Walmart recently reported its Q4 earnings, which showed strong revenue growth globally, with sales up almost 8% in constant currency terms to $164 billion. Sales at comparable stores (comp) were up over 8% YoY, while sales at Sam's Club were up 12% and 22%, respectively. E-commerce sales also saw a notable increase of 17% in the US.
However, Walmart's growth in sales seems to be largely driven by price increases in groceries, with food inflation rising above the national rate. This could suggest that consumers are buying only the essentials, as sales for other merchandise like toys, electronics, home goods, and clothing have declined. Walmart predicts that US sales will grow a maximum of 5%, and earnings will fall to a range of $5.90 to $6.05 per share.
While these challenges are concerning, Walmart still looks capable of continuing to gain market share even during a potential recession. In fact, its strength in groceries is worth noting, with comparable sales growing by tens of percent. However, since food inflation rose in the mid-tenths of a percent, well above the reported national inflation rate, it appears that retail sales growth is indeed driven by price increases.
Moreover, more than half of the increase in grocery prices is attributable to high-income consumers who find it necessary to shop in the lower market. While this may be a long-term advantage for Walmart, as many of these new customers may stay with the company after inflation finally subsides, it suggests that these are particularly difficult times. When even high-income households are saving, it's a worrying sign for the rest of us.
It's worth noting that Walmart is returning more cash to shareholders than it is generating in free cash flow, which may concern some investors. Cash earnings for the year rose to $12.2 billion, but Walmart paid out $6.1 billion in dividends and repurchased $9.9 billion worth of stock for a total of $16 billion. This is not what investors would like to see from the retailer for a long period of time.
If you're an investor, you may want to consider using this opportunity to invest in protective stocks that may survive or even prosper during a downturn. While Walmart may not be a discount stock, it could still be a long-term refuge from any storm. However, a National Association for Business Economics survey warns that 58% of economists believe there is more than a 50% chance of a recession in the next 12 months, with 33% predicting it will come in Q2 and 21% believing it will start in the third.
Overall, it's clear that Walmart's strong revenue growth is a good sign, but the challenges it faces, such as declining profits and the potential for a market downturn, cannot be ignored. As consumers continue to buy only the essentials and high-income shoppers opt for discounted groceries, it's important to stay vigilant and prepare for any potential economic challenges ahead.
LOWE'S - Look For Longs. $245 Is the Target for ShortsQuick read, for once.
Lowe's is down 7% following ER. Another ER dump. This is really notable for a few reasons:
1. Big moves on the first of the month always make me think reversals
2. Lowe's isn't really bearish on monthly or weekly bars
3. The real short setup for economic disaster is in the $240 range
4. Dump swept out weekly/monthly/daily sellside pivots
5. Gap fill
6. Overall market is not as bearish as it was during last Lowe's ER dump
7. Equities market makers love to "gamma squeeze" rip the other way after a little bit.
However, the weekly bars do show a three drives-style pattern
But it's only the wicks over range equilibrium and it's never traded to a deep premium, which is what you really want to see before new lows are going to be set.
Monthly shows that this isn't a bear market, either.
March 31 $200 calls lost $8.5 on the news.
You still have to be super careful because of geopolitical risks:
1. The Chinese Communist Party has not reported a single COVID case since Jan. 10, and this is almost impossible to be real. The reality is that the CCP is likely very, very weak right now and could fall at any time.
2. Elon Musk has warned, which confirms with multiple other sources, that Russia is about to launch a very large scale offensive in Ukraine. He would know because Starlink is the only thing keeping Ukraine with even a shred of hope in the battle. Equities down, commodities up is what that will result in, just like when the war was launched last year.
3. When it's time for the CCP to go, and it's going to happen very soon, you can expect there to be a clash between the India-Russia-Saudi/BRICS type entities and the United States/NATO globalists because everyone wants China. All the "hawkish" chatter on "China" (note it's rarely ever against the CCP itself) (("China" is not "the CCP")) from America is gearing up to take over the Mainland by way of the globalist groomed Chinese nationals it has parented so as to install all the woke globalist things and completely ruin what little is left of the country's 5,000 year culture as they go for a real New World Order/One World Government
With the way everything is acting I kind of suspect Lowe's may not be finished dumping, but imo this is one of those situations where one should "be greedy only when others are fearful."
$186 would be a really sweet entry and you have to sit on your hands for 2 or 3 months or at least roll out your winners.
See my Nasdaq/SPX/Dow calls for thoughts on the markets at large and potential timing.
July is the target for when things really get scary.
Waste Managment to break from a range.Waste Management, Inc - 30d expiry - We look to Buy a break of 155.81 (stop at 152.21)
The primary trend remains bullish.
Price action continued to range between key support & resistanc
ence for trading is higher highs and lows.
A break of the recent high at 155.49 should result in a further move higher.
This is curremtly an actively traded stock.
Our profit targets will be 164.81 and 165.81
Resistance: 153.50 / 155.66 / 160.00
Support: 150.00 / 148.55 / 145.00
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Signal Centre’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Signal Centre.
Walmart in an effort to regain recent losses Shares in Walmart Inc (symbol ‘WMT’) made a relatively aggressive rally in October and November only to lose some of these gains in December until early February. Currently the price seems to be making a correction to the upside but the real question is if this is actually a correction or a new bull run. The company’s earnings report for the fiscal quarter ending January 2023 is set to be released on Tuesday 21st of February, before market open. The consensus EPS for Q1 is $1,51 compared to Q1 2022’s $1,53.
‘Walmart announced recently they are closing down 7 underperforming stores across 3 states. The retail giant is taking measures to be at its prime especially after continuous decline in its share price in the last couple of months.’ said Antreas Themistokleous, an analyst at Exness 'The current ratio of the company (its ability to repay short-term liabilities) is at 93% which is negative news for the investors since a good ratio would be above 100%.
On the technical side the price is trading exactly on the upper band of the Bollinger bands indicating great volatility for the company share and also trading above all moving averages and the daily bullish trendline.
The Stochastic oscillator is moving up but not in the extreme overbought level just yet so a continuation to the upside for the price is very likely. If this is the case then we might see some resistance around the $148 area which is just above the 23.6% of the daily Fibonacci retracement level.
In the case of a move down the first point of support will be possibly seen around the $141 area just above 50% of the Fibonacci and the 100-day moving average.
Walmart support could prove difficult to breakdown.Walmart - 30d expiry - We look to Buy at 138.44 (stop at 133.86)
Levels below 138 continue to attract buyers.
The medium term bias is neutral.
138.27 has been pivotal.
Preferred trade is to buy on dips.
The stock is currently outperforming in its sector.
Support could prove difficult to breakdown.
Our profit targets will be 149.88 and 152.88
Resistance: 142.00 / 145.61 / 147.86
Support: 138.17 / 135.00 / 130.00
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Signal Centre’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Signal Centre.
$WMT: I see only going up from here.Price action seems very bullish.
Divergence of MACD and crossing over of 9ema with 21ema is very bullish momentum.
For Education:
Financial metrics to consider:
Revenue and earnings growth: Walmart has consistently recorded positive revenue and earnings growth over the past few years.
Gross margin and operating margin: Walmart has stable margins, but they are lower compared to other retail companies due to its low-price strategy.
Debt and liquidity: Walmart has a strong balance sheet with low debt and good liquidity.
Economic factors to consider:
Consumer spending: Walmart is heavily dependent on consumer spending, which can impact its revenue and earnings growth.
Competition: Walmart faces intense competition from both brick-and-mortar retailers and e-commerce companies, and must continuously innovate to stay relevant.
Demographic shifts: Changing demographics, such as aging population and increasing urbanization, may affect Walmart's target market and growth prospects.
Please note that the following information is for educational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. It is important to thoroughly research and consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions, including the purchase of stocks.
BBBY Bed Bath and Beyond - A High Risk Scalp Is All That's LeftBed Bath and Beyond is a classic case of why you stay the hell away from Reddit, which is partially owned by the Chinese Communist Party's Tencent, and good for very little besides indoctrinating readers with atheism, socialism, Marxist-Leninism's garbage, and a lot of pornography.
I remember during the $10+ August run seeing posts on WallStreetBets and the BBBY subs encouraging people to buy and file paperwork with their brokers for self custody because Buy Buy Baby was supposed to get split off and lead to a moon mission.
Also, RYAN F'IN COHEN!!!!
Other fun posts were propaganda like "Wow this BBBY store just opened near my house! Bullish!" and "Bought my entire family a membership for Christmas xD."
Reddit is not social media. It's a social marketing and social influencing platform where communities are organized from the ground up by professional public relations firms.
Enlighten to it, already.
If you risk your money on the basis of what some alpha-schtick avatar with slicked back hair, a suit, and sunglasses says, you really can only blame yourself when you wind up holding a 95% loser, which is what this thing has become.
Reuters reported on Jan. 5 that BBBY is on the verge of missing a $1.5 billion debt payment on Feb. 1, which will give it 30 more days before it will default, and is on the verge of bankruptcy.
And over the course of 2 days, you lost 47%.
Earnings is coming up on Jan. 10, and for those who bought $1.80 and $1.30 thinking you got a deal, the all time low isn't far away at 88 cents, which was the first month BBBY traded for all the way back in 1992.
You should absolutely expect Bed Bath and Beyond will post dumpster fire numbers with heavy warnings to investors about how things are about to get a lot worse before you buy the dip.
That being said, the only potential profitable trade on this thing before it declares bankruptcy is for it to do something like the piece of trash Upstart Holdings, another Reddit pump and dump, did on its last earnings after it reported a 200% miss on EPS, with a good old fashioned dump and squeeze before falling even farther towards the 12th Layer of Hell.
And the good news is that if you don't get stopped out, you might get lucky and get a retracement to the daily trendline at roughly $2.40 that you can sell at, if the markets go wild on a Thursday CPI miss and whatever ostensibly bullish narrative Wall Street wants to pump FOMC rate hikes with.
SPX500 / ES / SPY - Enjoy the Party While It Lasts
But what I would like to point out to you is that BBBY declaring bankruptcy means that the stock will approach $0.00 legit. In the best case scenario, you might get a buying opportunity before it gets delisted so that you can hold your bag until someone buys its assets and maybe the stock will be worth something again if they don't just liquidate the chain to pay creditors.
A good example is found in Hertz HTZ
It fell from $20 to 0.44 cents and got delisted, and stayed that way for almost 2 years. Then it was worth a lot.
This is called "gambling" not "distressed investing," however.
Another chance you have is found in the precedent of this piece of crap APE "All People Equal" (Thanks Karl Marx and Mao Zedong! Absolute egalitarianism and class struggle is sooooooooo cool!!!!) from the AMC split, which absolutely annihilated really, really bad short sellers trying to pile on to $0.00 once it fell into the 0.60s.
You might also get this kind of squeeze on BBBY if there is news that it somehow won't miss its debt payments, and then $3.50 is incoming. Maybe RYAN F'IN COHEN will Superman and cape in to save the day.
Bed Bath and Beyond is another one of those garbage-style retail outlets that existed to hustle stuff made in the Chinese Communist Party's factories to Americans and Canadians, and now that it's been replaced in usefulness by stuff like Amazon, truly has limited value as a business model.
Amazon AMZN - Manufacturing Support
But they have a lot of stores and a lot of infrastructure, so maybe someone will come along and buy them on the cheap, resurrect BBBY, split Buy Buy Baby, and you'll make a fortune.
If not, you can always complain about Ken Griffin and Citadel with the Redditor Wumao that you still think are fellow bagholders because you don't want to sober up and get off the damn computer already.
Look, if you take this trade, it's a scalp. And it's a risky scalp that might be nice. You literally need to buy the earnings crash, wait and see if Nasdaq wants to go up on Jan. 12, and get out in a profit.
This isn't something to buy and hold, no matter how some "alpha" kid with a bored apes NFT for a profile picture barks about how they "like the stock."
Good. Grief. Don't. Hold. This. Piece. Of. Crap.
Some influencer might "like the stock," but don't you "like" your money?
You can't take BBBY shitcoins to the grocery store to buy rice and you can't take them to the gas station to buy gas.
Never forget this. And never forget to ditch Reddit and the Chinese Communist Party forever.
Get off the computer and go outside more. You'll trade better and lose less/make more money, too.
$TGT for long term?it was a tough 2022 for $TGT due to shortage of inventory or overstock inventory. their black Friday sales wasn't impressive along with their Christmas sales. on top of that, the inflation is making it hard for the consumers to spend their money.
despite the inflation, consumers learns to spend their money in smarter way. $TGT manage to control their inventory in the right way and slowly replenishing their shelves in the meaningful way. within the couple of months target got upgrade and downgrade
twice for from hold to buy and outperform. stock price of target is very attractive right now and might me a good for long term hold.
$TGT typical price move is about $2.00 to $4.00
Below is my price level entry and exit for intraday trading or scalp play.
the stock looks extended in 1hr chart. I suggest to wait about 30min to 1hr at the
opening bell before following the stock.
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For calls; buy above $161.49 and sell at 163.27 or above
For puts, buy below $158.34 and sell at $157.27 or below
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Bot generated technical analysis:
Last price: 160.12
1st resistance level: 161.70
2nd resistance level: 163.27
1st support level: 157.90
2nd support level: 155.67
Honorable mentions: $WMT technical looks good and momentum still looks solid.
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Hi and welcome to this free technical analysis . ( mostly momentum play )
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WMT - Broadening Wedge - BearishWMT is currently showing an ascending broadening wedge pattern on daily timeframe. An ascending broadening wedge is a bearish reversal chart pattern. Where the upper line is the resistance line and the lower line is the support line. As we can see in the chart that its moves increase with higher magnitudes. This pattern should be traded when the price breaks out of the support line.
In our opinion, it´s likely for the price to retrace and break out of the support line. When the price breaks out of the support line, a short position can be taken and the target can be targeted.
All the details are shown on the chart.
Goodluck!
WMT Walmart Inc. Options After The EarningsLooking at the WMT Walmart Inc. options chain after the earnings, i would buy the $145 strike price Puts with
2023-1-20 expiration date for about
$3.65 premium.
If the options turn out to be profitable Before the earnings release, i would sell at least 50%.
Looking forward to read your opinion about it.
WALMART may be approaching the end of this rallyWalmart Inc. (WMT) has been rising since the low of the June 13 2022 weekly (1W) candle. Along the way it broke above the key Resistance of the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) and after it held the 1W MA200 (orange trend-line), it has established both as Support levels long-term.
There are however two longer term patterns to consider that supersede those MA periods, and those are the Megaphone pattern since November 2020 and the Higher Lows trend-line/ Zone since November 09 2015.
As the 1W RSI enters the Resistance zone that is holding since 2016 and only broke once, we have to start considering that the top is near especially as the price is approaching the Higher Lows zone of the Megaphone. As you see since 2016, every major test of the 1W RSI Resistance Zone hit at least the 1W MA50. This suggests that if you bought Walmart a few weeks back, you may start looking to book profits and re-buy lower either on the 1W MA50 or even a little lower, the closer to the Higher Lows trend-line, the better.
If the price breaks first above the Megaphone's top (Higher Highs trend-line), it is an instant buy and a new bullish pattern will emerge.
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