Wolfe-wave
BTCUSD BULLISH WOLFEBULLISH WOLFE : On bullish wolfe targets change with time :
STOPLOSS : When price intersects RED line . (or ORANGE who loves risk)
SELL : When price intersects GREEN line.
Hardest resistance : 16000
RSI DIVERGEANCE : A small RSI divergence which i draw black on price and rsi chart.
NOTE :It will not update. This analysis only a formation technical analysis. All news , regulation etc overlooked.
BTC - possible end of the major correction (H4/Daily)Hello All!
What looked like an almost free fall at certain point today for BTC is currently halted.
The price re-tested Dec 2017 lows and bounced back being supported by really high stopping volume at point 5 of the grand Wolfe-wave.
However, it is hard to say if this is really the long-awaited end of correction or just a dead cat bounce - in the last case, BTC is likely to re-test strong demand zone at 9k which had already provided the base for the previous major move before (purple WW in the bottom left corner).
XLM/Stellar bullish idea (H4/Daily)As major BTC correction is still ongoing, most cryptos are following this course and XLM is no exception.
Stellar* formed well-established point 4 of the current Wolfe-wave which was backed by significant volume spike.
If the price continues its present descend, it is likely that it will re-test the indicated support level and form point 5 before resumption of the uptrend.
Bitcoin in a Wolfe Wave pattern - Elliott Wave & beyondBTC in a possible WW pattern.
Market eyes line 1-4.
Technicals of WW:
1 - Points 1-2 should be FARTHER apart than points 3-4
2 - Point4 should exist WITHIN the range of Points 1 and 2
3 - The lines defined by these points should be referred to as Line 2-4 and Line 1-3
4 - Line 2-4 and Line 1-3 should CONVERGE always
5 - IF Lines 2-4 and 1-3 converge DOWNWARD (as in this case), expect a significant rally to occur ONCE price reaches point-5 (RARE), or Point-5' (MOST COMMON) - This would constitute a BULLISH WW
6 - IF Lines 2-4 and 1-3 converge UPWARD (opposite to this case), expect a significant rally to occur ONCE price reaches point-5 (RARE), or Point-5' (MOST COMMON) - This would constitute a BEARISH WW
7 - A NEW line should be defined, connecting Point-1 and Point-4.
a) Points 1-2 are connected by a zig-zag ( a simple a-b-c pattern in this case) and points 3-4 are connected by a flat 3-3-5
INDICATORS confirmation:
4hr MACD bullish divergence
WW Model eyes line 1-4.
XRP bullish setup (m30/H1)After tremendous bullish run, Ripple entered correction phase and formed another Wolfe-wave.
Really high stopping volume at points 3 and 5 are confirming the validity of the pattern.
It is possible that the price will retest the recent low and will form double point 5 or even get to the indicated support line. If this is the case, it'll form another wave which is still bullish in nature.
If not, the price will stay within indicated blue pattern and will continue the already established uptrend.
BTC LONG PROJECT (H1)Hello, All!
After reaching almost 11.5k, BTCUSD reversed back to its current lows thus forming slightly disproportional, but valid Wolfe wave pattern.
Its validity is being confirmed by solid volume spikes at key points indicating strong demand zone.
Fundamentally speaking, nothing is currently preventing BTC from keeping its previous pace and reaching new highs.
THE IMPORTANCE OF VOLUME ANALYSIS: Part IIThe wave is currently finalized and is working as planned:
I ended the previous post pointing at the lack of the volume required to confirm trend reversal at supposed point 5.
And in fact, for quite a while the price kept slowly drifting up and down without substantial moves in any direction.
This situation lasted until bearish volume spike on 07/11 that initiated real trend reversal.
It is also necessary to point out that though that spike was only medium in nature, but the change in its volume compared to previous data was sudden and drastic.
Later the volume changes were driving the price accordingly up and down, but most importantly the local bearish trend was established and continued successfully.
Currently, the price is close to the crossing of the line 2-4 at which volume dynamics should be carefully monitored as this may provide a good tip if this is really the end of the analyzed downtrend.
If you have any questions, feel free to ask in comments or PM me.
USD Index/DXY SHORT PROJECT (Daily)Good day, All!
The daily bearish DXY project is currently forming.
Once point 5 is shaped, it can provide quite an interesting short opportunity.
If this pattern works, it may also signify the continuation of the major bearish trend which started back in the beginning of 2017:
GOLD H4/DAILY TRADE (BUY)Classic bullish Wolfe wave is being shaped at Daily and technically speaking it is looking quite promising.
However, it contradicts the previous short setup which is working right now:
Once gold reaches point 5, it will be at the very same area as previous resistance line II-IV.
The outcome of this fight will decide further long-term trend.
GOLD BEARISH SETUP (DAILY/WEEKLY)Good day and night, All!
The gold is approaching the previous major resistance area around 129x/130x and is forming the new bearish wave. If the resistance withstands this 3rd breakthrough attempt again, it can become a very attractive opportunity for shorts to be opened. If successful, most likely this will happen in next few days after the peak formation around point V.
Good luck and profitable trading week!