Wolfe-wave
" EURAUD " Scalping Buy Trade With 200 Pips Good Morning Trader's ,, New Week ,, And New Charts Together ,, Hope Be All Of U Always In Profits
Let's Explain This Scalping Trade On " EURAUD " On 15M Time Frame ,,
1- What The Trend Now ? IS Down Waiting For Break Out The Area And Trend To Change It To Up Trend
2- Why We Will Buy ? We Will Buy After Break Out The Trend Line And The Order Block Area ,, So We Have Great reasons To Buy
3- What IS The Recommendation Price To Break Out And Buy From It ? 1.44500
Stop Lose And Target On Chart
" EURJPY " Buy Trade ScalpingHi Trader's ,, How Area You Today ,, Hope U Be Fine
Now We Have New Trade On " EURJPY " Let's Explain The Chart Together ,,
1 - What Is the Main Trend For EURJPY ? Down Trend
2 - Why We Will Buy From This Area ? Because This Area Is ( Order Block Area - Golden Zone - Support Area )
3- What The Price We Can Enter From It ? 136.25 - 136.100
Target And Stop Lose On Chart ,, Don't Forget To Like And Comment
Clean bullish Wolfe Wave on $UNI.Missed out on the perfect entry on $UNI, but I will start accumulating now (even if we dip a little bit considering Bitcoin has a tendency to misbehave while ranging). Targeting around $8 as a target. Could be worth keeping some for after $8 if the market sentiment turned bullish in general.
Formation of clean bullish Wolfe Waves on BitcoinBullish Wolfe Waves appear on Bitcoin's 1 hour chart. This could be an indicator for short term reversal. Point 5 having a relative increase in trading volume makes me more confident in this setup.
I would be using the 1-hour Fair Value Gaps / Imbalances as areas to take some profits with my last target being the local high marked with a green line. Golden pocket doesn't look that significant as it was visited with a reaction prior but we might see another retracement there or from an area close below it if we decided to dive a bit deeper with point 5.
Bear in mind that FOMC is really close (pun intended!) and an interest hike might mess things up for those longing.
Trade safe.
Banknifty - Cypher PRZ at Wolfewave TargetBanknifty had wolfewave and near to its target , interesting thing is wolfewave target and cypher prz are at same level. Current supply is tested thrice (including current attempt to break) Looks like it will trap bulls by giving breakout ... Upside a significant supply with left shoulder is waiting to pull price down. Previous quasimodo failed to break low hence we can say strong low has formed. and also two flag limits below (one with FTR) shows strong demand and which is hard to break .
*Cypher might turn into shark so next potential reversal zone will be at 886
Amarajabat - Wolfewave with BAMMAmarajabat has wolfewave and supply in FL. Also a BAMM ... Two possibilities of rejection either it will react from supply under FL (Low) or react react from FL (High) which is aligned with LS and BAT PRZ... Very good RR setup...
BTCUSD expected Path (bigger picture)Recently I was following BTCUSD through its consolidation up until break of structure last Friday 6/10. That series was a local analysis/predictive tool using continuous-time markov chain (CTMC). This is a bigger picture analysis using charting techniques centered around supply/demand trendlines and a statistical method I developed in R studio that measures proportional range w.r.t. a displacement control chart (based on price action relative to the 9 and 20 day moving averages (as well as the relationship between those moving averages)).
There is a post from someone I follow that has what I think is the most accurate Elliot Wave coverage of BTCs count, which has some levels that align in the neighborhood what I am getting using this method. Here is a link to that post (@Nailed_it, hope you don't mind if I link this idea - if so lmk and I'll obliterate my post):
If you want the details follow that ^
Below is more of a general idea for upcoming path to expect using my method:
Black 2pt line is most likely path from here (dashed 1pt black line is alternative) - i.e. bounce to low 30ks (point target 31616.3) to test recent channel {the decision at low 30ks will differentiate which path is taken}:
- If rejected in low 30ks, which is higher probability, expect more downside to around 12-17k (point target 14278). This should mark the end of the corrective wave. From there my initial target to spark a rally is 41k by October 2022
- If continues after testing low 30ks, flip the expectation above (i.e. 41k first near term, then drop to ~14278k to complete the correction by October)
*Max downside risk I see is 6396, but notice I included 0 in this analysis chart (that's right, don't plan on it but don't count it out either hah)
**Upside point target, longer term, is 84799. This probably wouldn't be realized until 2023? We're not there yet but I'll update once I see which (if either) of these 2 paths play out... 2 roads diverged in a yellow wood, and BTC did what it wanted to ("BTC stay on the path"... "No way I'm not scared of the SPYDER, I control the SPYDER").
The images posted in the chart are interesting. Not going to go into details but as I mentioned above I essentially use average daily price w.r.t. control charts to obtain estimated ranges. The trajectories are generally pretty stochastic/random, but sometimes interesting patterns unfold at the end of price cycles that give insight into breakouts and breakdowns.. for BTC, back in July 2021 an Expanding Triangle emerged on the proportional range chart and then it took off to 60k. Currently, as of this morning, an Expanding Triangle just completed on BTCs proportional range chart... just something to think about, that's all I am saying. I am not saying it will breakout today because of this lol... but the setup for such a breakout is in the works (i.e. corrective cycle nearing the end).
Best to All
Contrarian Call Right Here. Optimal Bullish EntryThis is a typical bullish Wolve Wave that is on the final leg down currently. Expecting whipsaw reversal starting as soon as tomorrow, but main bullish price action will be around June 15 on the full moon (literally howl at the moon).
Expecting the yellow trajectory to play out and complete EW wave (5) around 430. The chart contains all the info you need to know, but there are a lot more dynamics at play here, mathematically/statistically, that have led me to feel highly confident about this.
- initial target is around 421-422, from there will retest ~415 and then make our way to 429-430
- the goal target is 448 by end of June ...and this makes sense with the confluence of wolve wave 1-4 projection and the ADX breakout "open long" target (stop loss 394)
- that DMI is low key bullish af, this is re-accumulation off the May 20 lows in 380s; stochastic RSI oversold and will give the escape velocity needed to reverse here and make explosive move to the upside
I'm playing the SPY June 17 411.00 calls and the June 27 429.00 calls, but this is not financial advice.
I am fully expecting the price to follow this yellow trajectory, so when you replay the bars at the end of June they'll perfectly coincide with this path, hah.
No Cap,
Prof. Lupin
Howl @ The MoonI posted a bullish idea for SPY (linked) where I did not go into detail about the wolfe wave - I am seeing major confluence with EWT, wolfe wave projection, bigger picture downtrend resistance, target via an indicator I love called "ADX Breakout", and time series forecast for both SPY and QQQ . There happens to be a full moon (a SuperMoon actually) on Tuesday Morning, June 14th, so if a Wolfe Wave gets us to intial target around that time that would be interesting. I'm not going to use any moon phase analysis here, but there is something about the moon that does in fact influence investor sentiment, albeit indirectly, though I am not expert on that subject.
This post zooms in on the Bullish Wolfe Wave and is intended for both price action projection near term and education purposes (I don't see many posts covering wolfe waves though they can be $$$ in making seemingly contrarian calls, such as this). In my counts I am using <1,...,5> for the Wolfe Wave and conventional EWC (Elliot Wave count) based on the degree.
Overview of Wolfe Wave (WW) :
Occurance
- An uptrend channel for a bearish Wolfe Wave
- A downtrend channel for a bullish WolfeWave
-Horizontal channels for consolidating price periods
Rules
Wave 3 and wave 4 remained in the channel created by waves 1 and 2.
Wave 1 and Wave 2 are symmetrical with waves 3 and 4.
Wave 5 goes above the trendline created by wave 1 and wave 3 for a bearish pattern.
Wave 5 goes below the trendline created by wave 1 and wave 3 for a bullish pattern.
Regular timings between waves. It means that the time taken to complete one cycle for the waves 1-3-5 is equal.
We can see in my chart that QQQ fits the bill here. There is a signal use to confirm wave <5> called "Wolfe Waves Signals " (Props to @NXT2017 for creating this wizard signal). I like it because it doesn't give frequent signals so when it occurs it is generally the real deal if the chart setup fits the bill.
Confluence
- EW intermediate count w(4) = WW <5>; projected w(5) aligns with the <1-4> projection at the expected time such that there is perfect symmetry with time between waves (see date ranges on chart). This sets up for an initial target of 317.90 by 6/13/2022
- EW primary count circle 3 aligns with the WW EPA @ ETA - EPA is the estimated price arrival, ETA is estimated time arrival and is established as the point in time where the WW support and resistance lines intersect. The level that these intersect is an equilibrium point where supply = demand; notice that E (expected <5>), w(4), and circle 2 all will occur right around this equilibrium level if we do in fact see a bounce from here and this plays out. This confluence gives us a Target of 341 by 6/29/2022 , and this is also the level of an "open long" target using ADX Breakout (not included here, there is already a lot going on didn't want to crowd the chart; also this target is at the 4H time frame, which actually makes sense with the time to target here). My time series ARIMA(0,1,0), p=0.23, upper 80%-95% PI for June 13 is 319.69 - 324.88 so the 317.90 initial target is reasonable, statistically. My upper 80-95% for June 27 is 334.90 - 348.14, so target of 341 is plausible as well.
- The downtrend line through the 11/21/2021 high and the 3/29/2021 high is the red line visible in this chart... so for those that have doubts about WW or EWT you can think of this projection as merely a test of downtrend resistance, which is very plausible considering how much time we have spent down in the gutter attempting to end this corrective wave.
The yellow path is illustrative, expecting an impulse from apprx. yesterday's low (i.e. <5> & (4) & circle 2 on chart) toward the initial target (i.e. (5) & <1-4> resistance). From there we will see an intermediate ABC corrective wave that will also serve the purpose of re-testing the WW upper channel to ensure old resistance has become support. After that I just drew a straight trajectory to the target at 341 (i.e. circle 3 & EPA @ ETA), however, this will either be a diagonal or an impulse - I'll update with expected levels is this plays out to intermediate (C).
Sincerely,
Not Jacob Black
GreyScale BitCoin Trust (GBTC)
I have never has any interest in Bitcoin nor its derivatives. I like the technology but believe we are still in its early days.
That is not to say however I don't follow it.
One equity way to position a Bitcoin view is with GreyScale Bitcoin Trust.
So currently on a weekly basis there there are two current bullish harmonic Patterns in play ... A Gartley and a Black Swan.
Additionally there is also evidence of a bullish Wolfe Wave in play which I have marked with a time and a target.
Our final inspection shows an upsloping Andrews Pitchfork which is also has been marked.
IMHO this technical analysis evidence suggests we have formed or in the process of forming a significant bottom.
That said, I will watch an comment on its progress. BTC may have one final push down to the $23,000 so my game plan is to enter an established GTBC rally just under the $23 level with a stop at approximately $the $17 level.
My target is around the $34 level.
If it works out that's good..
This is educational investment advice. Do your own due diligence and respect market trends and conditions which as any student of the crypto space can change rapidly .
See you in September.
S.