11/26/23 DXY Daily Outlook11/26/23 DXY Daily Outlook
#DXY #DailyOutlook
We tapped into the 4H-FVG(L), into the YOP again, and took out the PDL PWL with the move up during the over night sessions and into the NY session. We left a new 4H-FVG through the lows taken out, a new 4H-OB, a Price gap on the 1H LTF and in the process of trading down into the PWH from 8/30.
This will be our biggest news release, however, we do have a few #FOMC speakers but not Powell. We also have Richmond Manufacturing Index numbers #RMI and the S&P/CS Composite-20 HPI y/y at 9:00am.
10:00am
USD
CB #ConsumerConfidence
101.0 102.6
XXX/USD bullish
USD/XXX bearish
#BullishCase: A bullish move on Dollars means that we are seeing a LTF move through the 4H-FVG. Once we move through it we see that price uses the 4H-FVG as an IFVG setup to the upside. We then target the previous -POIs, the PDH from Monday and back into the 4H-IFVG range.
#BearishCase: A bearish scenario is a bit more probable at the moment still. We left fresh -POIs and we can look to take setup off of each of these, the Price Gap, the 4H-FVG, 4H-OB, and as you can see on the 1H TF these same POIs are available as well.
1H chart
4H chart
D chart
WOP
11/28/23 US30 Daily Outlook11/28/23 US30 Daily Outlook
#US30 #DailyOutlook
No trade today! Too choppy for my liking and the price is just ranging to with entries that don't meet my requirements. We took out a PDL and tapped a PWH and made a PDH. We took liquidity from both the long (BSL) and the short side (SSL). Our closest HTF POI is the W-RB/D-OB and we're in the wicks but we haven't tapped into the body yet so, still think that this will be our POI to consider. The over night sessions were probably the cleanest but the entire NY session was choppy.
This will be our biggest news release, however, we do have a few #FOMC speakers but not Powell. We also have Richmond Manufacturing Index numbers #RMI and the S&P/CS Composite-20 HPI y/y at 9:00am.
10:00am
USD
CB #ConsumerConfidence
101.0 102.6
#BullishCase: The bullish case is the LTF BSL($) that is above us and a move into the following: WOP, price completely through the PWH, the PDH from 11/26, and into the W-RB/D-OB.
#BearishCase: The bearish case is PDH and back into the 1H+OB from 11/22 (Do you see it?). If we trade through this swing low with impulse, then I will aim for the PDLs from Thursday and Friday and then into the D-OB(L).
1H chart
4H chart
D chart
11/12/23#NAS #DailyReview #WeeklyOutlook
Last week was a weird week with the drop on Thursday and then price on Friday setting the Weekly High after trading into the D+VIB and near the Weekly low. We also traded through the D-OB and if it is going to continue to the upside may use this as a new POI. Dollar moved up the entire week pretty slowly but the Bonds pulled back and that caused the buy on Friday. Tuesday we'll have CPI and Wednesday we'll have PPI and Retail sales. Then Thursday we will have Unemployment Claims so that will definitely move the markets on those days for sure.
#1 Taking the PWH should be the first move and we might see price move into this 4H+FVG to move higher from there.
#2 Selling for now isn't an option at the moment but taking the sell into the +FVG on the lower time frame may be a move on the 15m chart and below.
4H chart