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China's money supply explodes.China's revision of its M1 money supply calculation in January 2025, which now encompasses individual checking accounts and assets held in non-bank financial institutions, seeks to deliver a clearer understanding of liquidity within its economy. The reported surge from $67 trillion in December 2024 to $112 trillion in January 2025 has ignited discussions, with some viewing it as a strategy to obscure underlying economic issues, such as a potential deflationary debt spiral. The People's Bank of China has declared a "moderately loose" monetary policy for 2025, aiming to boost the money supply and lower interest rates to foster economic growth, a move that may be connected to the M1 recalibration. This shift takes place against a backdrop of broader macroeconomic adjustments, including a 5% GDP growth target and initiatives to stabilize the real estate sector, as detailed in China's 14th Five-Year Plan for 2025.
ECONOMICS:CNM1Long
by BallaJi
BILI Projects to $100Bilibili Inc. is a leading provider of online entertainment tailored for the youth of the People's Republic of China. The company boasts a diverse array of digital offerings, including professionally produced user-generated videos, mobile gaming experiences, and enhanced services like live streaming, occupationally created videos, audio dramas on Maoer, and comics available through Bilibili Comic. Additionally, Bilibili offers advertising solutions, IP derivatives, and various other services. The company is also involved in business and technology development, e-commerce, and the distribution of videos, comics, and games. Established in 2009, Bilibili Inc. is based in Shanghai, China. Bilibili is currently priced at $20.81, indicating it may be undervalued according to discounted cash flow analysis, which suggests a fair value of $28.84. Although there has been notable insider selling recently, the stock remains 28% below its estimated fair value and is projected to achieve profitability within the next three years, surpassing average market growth rates. While the anticipated revenue growth of 10.2% per year is not as robust as one might hope, it still outpaces the overall US market's growth rate of 8.9%.
NASDAQ:BILILong
by BallaJi
The W1DOW maker is looming. BEAR MARKET watch. Look at that August Monthly hammer candle after the Yen carry trade wobble. The Global Dow jones index is at an all time new high This rise is BASED on a wall of #FIAT capital that has been clicked and borrowed into existence. And speculation of an AI revolution But Money creation is not wealth creation. An general AI will be deflationary, as more decisions outsourced from Humans to the "mainframe" :0 Most of my idea's I have shared on assets have been to the upside even after bearish down moves. Stocks, Gold & Crypto. Right Back in 2020 I shared a thesis of a Roaring 20's echo meltup and here we are melting up ... Yet the party must end sometime so we watch and have one foot in and foot out from this point. Secular Bull markets have a lifespan of 15-18 years ... and this one has required multiple rounds of QE (liquidity injections) to achieve this run. So we will are looking for #BTC hit $100k the Russell 2000 to make new high's, before setting the stage for a bear market that could be quite extraordinary.
DJ:W1DOW
by BallaJi
Massive US Growth Will Decouple Many Global MarketsPlease watch this video to learn my viewpoint on where real opportunities exist for traders. For many months, I've suggested that the US markets could double or triple over the next 5 to 7+ years. Some people laugh at my expectations, but others seem to "get it." In this video, I try to explain why my expectations are valid and why I believe the "crash-dummies" will continue to trap traders into believing each new high reached is a fantastic selling opportunity. Please watch this video and listen to what I'm trying to share. I don't see the markets as a risk related to a massive financial or global crisis (although it could happen). I see the markets as shifting/changing related to a post-COVID coupling/decoupling event - very similar to what happened, briefly, in the 1990s. A decoupling event would shift global economics to a point where global assets move away from determined risk factors and towards safety/security. That means the US stock market, as long as the US Dollar & US economy stays relatively strong, would be the most logical in-demand asset for the next 2~5+ years. It is straightforward when you consider what is happening. I hope this helps you understand where opportunities exist and how important it is to rethink what is unfolding right now. Get some. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold
AMEX:SPYLong
by BradMatheny
2
75: China Export Analysis - Fundamental and Technical OverviewThe European Union (EU) and the United States have increased scrutiny and imposed higher tariffs on Chinese imports, particularly electric vehicles and strategic materials like gallium and germanium. These measures are designed to protect domestic industries from what are perceived as unfair trade practices and subsidies by the Chinese government. Additionally, the EU's new Critical Raw Material Act and battery regulations aim to reduce dependency on Chinese imports and secure supply chains for critical technologies. These regulatory changes have led to a noticeable decline in Chinese exports to the EU. In response, China has imposed export restrictions on key materials, further straining trade relations. These geopolitical tensions and trade barriers have significantly impacted China's export figures. Currently, China's export trend is showing a downward trajectory. The export figures have struggled to reach the $350 billion mark and are at risk of dropping significantly lower, potentially towards the $140 billion level. Chart Overview: Trend Line: A clear downtrend is visible on the chart, with lower highs and lower lows indicating sustained pressure. Support and Resistance Levels: Resistance: The $350 billion level is the upcoming resistance. That has not yet been reached. Support: Immediate support is observed around $250 billion. A break below this level could accelerate the downward move towards $140 billion. Will We Reach $350 Billion or Go Lower? Given the current economic and geopolitical landscape, it seems still likely that China will reach the $350 billion export mark in the near term because there has not been a really corrective wave in the chart. But the downward pressure from increased tariffs, export restrictions, and the EU's push for supply chain independence are significant hurdles. If these conditions persist, a further decline is a plausible scenario.
ECONOMICS:CNEXP
by SeventyFive-Invest
FTSE 100 Can 2.5X versus the GBP In Dollar terms. We have analysed the FTSE100 #UKX the GBPUSD and UK Housing on a big time frame scale before. Here we have the FTSE 100 and the UK companies which have pricing power versus #Sterling which we know is heading to sub $1 As we have expectations of the #GBPUSD to target 0.71 in a head and shoulders target close to a 50% drop from current levels! British citizens are living in a inflationary nightmare. A potential lifeboat is investing their way out. NOT SAVING .. as saving in a ever worthless #Pound is only compounding your loss of purchasing power.
TVC:UKXLong
by BallaJi
2
Has the Twilight Zone with the World Markets ended? -DOWN we go!If you've just been a position (swint trader) with shares this year. You'll know it's been bvery difficult and challening. We've seen world markets move in a sideways motion which I like to call the Twilight Zone. FTSE 100 - UK- DAX 30 - Germany CAC 40 - France ASX 200 - Australia It breaks down, it goes back up into the range. It breaks up and it goes back down into the range. The only semblance of hope right now is that the price has broken BELOW the range and has remained below the 200MA Blue LIne. This means, the markets are more likely to be and stay in the downtrend for the next couple of weeks and months. And we might need to look to short (sell) more than we go long and buy. The overall trend is down right now, but for how long? We as traders can only react and anticipate based on what we see in front of our eyes. It's all we can do really with strict money management principles to preserve and protect.
TVC:SA40Short
by Timonrosso
MSCI World Index Fund WCA - Possible INV H&SIndex: MSCI World Index Fund Introduction: Hello everyone! Today, we are looking at the MSCI World Index Fund to gain a broader perspective on the global equity market environment. Based on our current analysis, we can see the formation of a classic technical pattern, signaling a potential reversal from the preceding downtrend. Analysis: Over the past 371 days, the index has seemingly been forming an inverted head and shoulders pattern, a well-known reversal pattern suggesting a change from a downtrend to an uptrend. The horizontal neckline of this pattern lies at 120$. While the symmetry between the shoulders isn't perfect, it's worth noting that when the right shoulder is slightly higher than the left one, this is often seen as a bullish sign. Furthermore, the right shoulder has formed distinctly above the 200 EMA, adding weight to the potential bullish reversal. Currently, the price appears to have broken out above the neckline, paving the way for a calculation of a possible price target upon the successful closing of the weekly candle. However, it's crucial to remember that the weekly candle must close above the neckline; otherwise, we could be dealing with a premature breakout. Assuming a valid breakout, our calculated price target would be 142, equating to a potential price increase of approximately 18.5%. This provides a favorable opportunity to explore long setups in general. Conclusion: The MSCI World Index Fund's technical analysis points to a potentially bullish reversal. Should the current breakout confirm, the ensuing uptrend could present opportunities for investors looking for long positions. As always, remember to conduct your own due diligence and implement appropriate risk management strategies when investing. Thank you for tuning into this analysis. Please like, share, and follow for more insights into the market. Happy trading! Best regards, Karim Subhieh
AMEX:URTH
by KarimSubhieh
GOLD 12/5: Keep watching SELL to the price area around 2000Gold prices remained pressured on Thursday for the second straight day despite a weaker US economy. The reason may be related to the market rushing into the US Dollar amid concerns about the expiration of the US debt ceiling and the collapse of the banking system. The news becomes even more important and negatively impacts risk appetite as the US Treasury has signaled the possibility that the Federal Government could default on its debt as soon as June 1 unless the debt ceiling is raised. Gold prices confirmed the pennant break on Thursday, indicating a bearish bias in the metal. The metal's downtrend break also justifies the upbeat signals from the Moving Averages Convergence and Divergence (MACD) indicator, as well as the steady Relative Strength Index (RSI) line, is set at 14. TVC:GOLD SELL GOLD zone 2020 - 2023 Stoploss: 2027 Take profit 1: 2015 Take profit 2: 2010 Take profit 3: 2005 BUY GOLD zone 2005 - 2000 Stoploss: 1995 Take profit 1: 2015 Take profit 2: 2030 Take profit 3: 2040
TVC:GOLDShort
by DNA_TradingFX
2
Has the news of the Queen affected the Pound? GBP/USD It was announced today that the Queen has passed away today after a 70 year reign. We look at whether this has affected the pound. For GBP/USD the market has not been affected as significantly as traders may have thought, considering the overall negative market sentiment. The pound dollar continues to consolidate within the range indicated with the daily RSI beaten down into oversold territory. Will there be breakouts in the coming days?
G
by BlackBull_Markets
(Tutorial) World Markets & their affect on Indian Stock Market!Hello Traders/Investors, Lets learn World Stock Markets and How it affect us in India on Daily/Weekly and even on long-term basis. Note: this topic is specifically for Traders (specially Day traders) and also Investors might find it interesting read. - US is called mother market and we're (i.e. Indian stock market) child market. - US market gives a queue on how world and our market would perform based on it. - Sectors like Banks (Dow Jones Bank index) n Tech/IT (NASDAQ) work pretty hand in hand with rest of world in terms of giving us a idea of direction towards which sector can have chances of moving by how much %age today. - - SGX Nifty , its a Nifty's Future contract which is traded in Singapore Exchange and gives a good idea on start of our markets. SGX Nifty timings : 6.30 AM to 11.30 PM - Asian markets specially South Korea, Hang Seng n Japan market we should watch carefully in morning to track the direction of markets. We belong to pretty much similar basket. - European Markets, CAC, DAX and FTSE we should get a median of these 3 exchanges to know how much %age they're moving. Just an observation here, our Indian markets usually stay closer to DAX movement. - Emerging markets (short form : EMs) : Emerging markets generally do not have as highly developed market and regulatory institutions as those found in developed nations. Market efficiency and strict standards in accounting and securities regulation are generally not on par with advanced economies (such as those of the United States, Europe, and Japan). - Some of the most rapidly emerging countries include Brazil, Turkey, Russia, India, and China. Also some oil rich nations are also part of this list. - To get a holistic picture of world markets.. get a queue from yesterday's closing of world markets specially US alongwith US futures which are very important. - Then, in mornings look at Asian Markets n SGX Nifty to understand where our markets might open. Around afternoon when European markets open you get an idea where our Indian market might stabilise n close. Also, we can look at European futures to get idea on where Euro markets might open. - Lastly macro economic data like Commodity prices specially Crude oil , USD INR n Dollar Index give a clarity on the markets. Higher Dollar n lower Rupee would cause panic in stock markets usually. Similarly, higher crude oil prices indirectly reduces countries foreign reserves n also affect business due to rising transport costs causing more expenses n less income. - Cryptos movements can also affect markets now days, a big downmove on cryptos n hit many stop losses n cause for margin calls n hence companies might have to liquidate other assets of individuals like stocks etc. go get back their money. - Honest mentions: Sometimes some macros are in news, then in those days stock markets start mimicking their charts.. it can b currency pair USDINR , US 10yrd BOND yield, Crude OIL sudden surge or drop in prices and most recently, NIFTY is pretty closely mimicking the US30 futures chart trend on day trades. - My personal hack: I do all my Technical Analysis on these charts n not just on NIFTY and BANKNIFTY etc. I draw all the Supply n Demand zones, Channels, Trendlines etc. to get queues from them to implement it on my trading in Intraday in India. Usually it works like a charm! World major stock markets timings in IST (i.e. Indian Standard Timings) : North America Stock Exchange Timings: Country Stock Exchange Opening Time (Indian Timing) Closing Time (Indian Timing) US NASDAQ 7 : 00 PM 1 : 30 AM US NYSE 7 : 00 PM 1 : 30 AM Canada TMX Group 8:00 PM 2:30 AM European Stock Exchange Timings: Country Stock Exchange Opening Time (Indian Timing) Closing Time (Indian Timing) UK London Stock Exchange 1 : 30 PM 10 : 00 PM European Union Euronext 12:30 PM 9:00 PM Germany Deutsche Borse 12:30 PM 2:30 AM Switzerland SIX Swiss Exchange 1:30 PM 10:00 PM Spain BME Spanish Exchange 1:30 PM 10:00 PM Asia-Pacific Stock Exchange Timings Country Stock Exchange Opening Time (Indian Timing) Closing Time (Indian Timing) Australia Australian Security Exchange 5:30 AM 11:30 AM Japan Japan Exchange Group 5:30 AM 11:30 AM Hong Kong Hong Kong Stock Exchange 6:45 AM 1:30 PM China Shanghai Stock Exchange 7:00 AM 12:30 PM China Shenzhen Stock Exchange 7:00 AM 12:30 PM Taiwan Taiwan Stock Exchange 6:30 AM 11:00 AM South Korea KRX Korean Exchange 5:30 AM 11:30 AM India NSE and BSE 9:15 AM 3:30 PM You can google n find most of Live market details on many websites, I usually enjoy Investing .com for their simple UI and charts. Please take all positions at your own risks and these are my personal views on analyzing markets. I'm not responsible for any losses incurred by you! Regards, Anshul
NSE:NIFTYEducation
by simplyansh
Terra (LUNA) eyes top position in staked value Terra (LUNA) eyes top position in staked value after overtaking Ethereum, Solana still ahead. Terra ecosystem’s native coin LUNA is ranked the second in staked value with approximately $31.42 billion. Leading the list is Solana with approximately $31.55 billion according to data provided by Staking rewards. Ethereum has dropped to the third position after holding the top position for a long time. The total staked value in Ethereum is estimated at $26 billion. Numbers don’t lie. Ethereum killers are winning from a number of perspectives. The ETH ecosystem needs to support thousands of transactions per second in order to eliminate the high cost and low throughput currently choking its scalability. Thanks to the Beacon chain, which introduced staking in the Ethereum ecosystem, there is hope for the smart contract veteran to come back in the future. Mind you, according to data provided by etherscan on a staking contract, there is 10,035,650.000069000000000069 Ether in balance, valued at approximately $26 billion. What was once a rumor is now the reality in the crypto industry. Terra (LUNA) is headed for the top seat and is likely to emerge as the winner. The Terra ecosystem offers its users a comprehensive and firm way of earning passively through staking. The fast-growing LUNA market has been attributed to the genius way of balancing its pack of stablecoins through supply and demand. Additionally, it costs relatively less to send value on the Terra blockchain than on the Ethereum ecosystem. The smart contract market is blazing hot with projects that desire to lead in users’ and developers’ growth. Of note, the Cardano (ADA) ecosystem is also in the race and has approximately $18.6 billion in staked value. AVAX, DOT, and BNB follow closely with $15 billion, $11 billion, and $6 billion in staked value respectively.
L
by gibsonlookey
Bitcoin Surges 9% Bitcoin Surges 9% Following Treasury Department Leak On Tuesday evening a statement from US Secretary of Treasury Janet Yellen intended for release on Wednesday was leaked regarding President Biden’s executive order on Bitcoin and ”cryptocurrency”. Immediately following the release on the Treasury’s website the statement was removed, but circulated Bitcoin Twitter at a rapid pace as Bitcoin has pumped over 9% to $42,400 as of this writing. The statement from Yellen is now available on the US Treasury website, but access was removed rather swiftly leaving this for those searching for Yellen’s statement.
FTX:BTCUSD
by gibsonlookey