GOOGLE:BAT/BALCK SWAN/Wolfe WaveGOOGLE:BAT/BALCK SWAN/Wolfe Wave
Google/Alphabet is one of the “Magnificent Seven” and the performance of recent months is indisputable. However, even though the fundamentals are all green, there may be a "Black Swan" nestling within Mountainview society, this black swan might even have the face of the Department of Justice. Indeed, for several days, judges have been digging into the past to find out whether Google would not have abused and used financial manipulation to obtain this dominant position in search engines.
Whether we subscribe to this conspiracy theory or not, we cannot neglect the fact that the government will want to make an example and deprive Google of its current privileges - such as, for example, being the default search engine at Apple - this hypothesis could even justify the probability of a severe correction, even if, in the long term, it should not have too much impact either. Add to that the fact that the Magnificent Seven are tired after their 2023 rally and you have a "perfect storm" looming over Mountain View.
Woz
SOX : Trendline to watch!!!!Trendline to watch!!!!
Indeed, the “SOX” semiconductor index, known as a leading indicator, seems to be showing signs of weakness. Although it has returned to its uptrend line, we can still be wary of Wolfe waves which indicate a possible breakout. Not to mention that major components like “Intel” or “Nvidia” are either very high and overvalued (Nvidia), or have experienced a fairly phenomenal series of consecutive increases (Intel). Breaking the uptrend could be a negative signal for technology and especially for the market as a whole.
DAX: Bearish BUTTERFLY DAX: Bearish BUTTERFLY - Beyond the technical aspect, we can see that the DAX will spark a huge bullish rally following Madame Lagarde's interest rate hike announcement. As far as I remember, interest rate increases rarely increase 1% at the same time. Today's excuses for "buying rising rates" include: “We buy because we feel the upward cycle is over, and this makes stakeholders happy.”
But no one brings up the fact that we didn't expect this raise. Because we had the same feeling at the previous ECB meeting - that there would be no more rate hikes - and today we share the same story and everyone believes it. There is something rotten in the merchant kingdom, and if they realize it, the sanctions will be terrible.