WTI OIL Channel Up rejection shows strong pull-back nextPattern: Channel Up on 1D.
Signal: Sell as the price got rejected on the Higher Highs trend-line of the Channel Up. This will be confirmed once the 1D MACD makes a Bearish Cross.
Target: The 4H MA200 initially (red trend-line) and the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) in extension where yuo can shift to a buy.
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WTI-OIL
WTI Oil An interesting fractalWhat do you think of this fractal on the 1W time-frame? The price action since mid 2020 resembles that from early 2017 to mid-late 2018. During that time, WTI started off a Channel Down (blue), then as it broke above the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) it rose aggressive and after it broke above the 1W MA200 (orange trend-line) as well, it entered a a 9 month Channel Up (green) that eventually led to the October - December 2018 collapse. During that Channel Up, a 1W Golden Cross got formed.
Since mid 2020, the price seems to be following the 2017/2018 sequence. We are currently inside the (green) Channel Up. Even the RSI and MACD are printing similar sequences. Will another 1W Golden Cross emerge that will lead the Channel Up to a blow-off top? What do you think?
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Technical analysis update: WTI oil (4th June 2021)Technicals such as RSI, MACD and Stochastics are all bullish. In addition to that ADX shows signs of awakening. Price continues to rise and on 3rd June USOIL’s price reached 69.37 USD. We think there is high probabillity that USOIL will reach our short term price target of 70 USD within next week. Because of that we would like to update our medium term price target for USOIL to 72.50 USD.
Our thought from 1st June 2021:
Here we see that previous resistance was taken out. Prior resistance level currently acts as support.
Our thought from 24th May 2021:
Here are some prior developements.
Disclaimer: This analysis is not intended to encourage buying or selling of any particular securities. Furthermore, it should not serve as basis for taking any trade action by individual investor. Your own due dilligence is highly advised before entering trade.
CRUDE OIL (WTI) Structure Analysis & Next Goal 🛢️
Fundamentals keep pumping Crude Oil.
The price managed to violate a key weekly resistance cluster and close above that.
Now it looks like the market will go higher.
The next key resistance on my radar is 74.85 - 76.85 structure.
It is based on 6 years' market high.
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WTI ShortWe dont really post trade ideas as we are day traders and most of our trades are pretty quick, but since we have a little extra time right now we are sharing this WTI short.
We believe there are good to great indications that WTI could achieve a small reversal in its up trend and move closer to the 10 day EMA (purple)
We are in a strong uptrend, but we have formed a lower high and we do have a potential H&S setup here, so the odds of a short sell move have increased.
In anycase, the SL is always there to stop us :D
WTI OIL Is $100 a realistic price target?A lot of talk has been made lately around popular assets like Gold's strength, the selling on BTC and the weakness of the USD while few have been paying attention to WTI Crude Oil's long-term carts. WTI has silently broken above its Historic Lower Highs trend-line (that has been in effect since the July 2008 Market Top) and is on a sustainable trade above it. This key advancement may have very important implications on the long-term, as with the DXY on a continuous fall, it appears that after decades, we may finally see Higher Highs on Oil.
On top of that, last month, the 1W chart formed a Bullish Cross (BC) between the MA50 (blue trend-line) and the MA100 (green trend-line). Since 1995, we have had seven 1W MA50/100 Bullish Crosses and all but one delivered a Higher High. In the 4 most recent ones in particular, 3 times the price reached at least the 1.5 Fibonacci extension counting from the previous bottom. The 1.5 Fib extension currently sits at 102.50.
Is this sustainable break-out from the Historic Lower Highs along with the 1W BC, good news for oil producers? Do you think $100 is realistic in the near future? Feel free to share your work and let me know in the comments section!
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WTI OIL Buy the 1D MA50 pull-backPattern: Channel Up on 1D.
Signal: Buy once contact is made again with the 1D MA50 or the RSI enters its Buy Zone. The entries have been consistent since March 23.
Target: 72.00 (around the 1.5 Fibonacci extension).
Previous WTI plan:
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Oil is going higher!Clear ascending triangle formed on the WEEKLY, oil will go to $80 in the coming weeks!!
Let's Sell Oil at Range TopOil rebounded and recovered losses from last week but is once again resisted at the top of the entire symmetrical triangle.
Commodity prices have been somewhat cooling off a little as China clamps down on hoarding of supply which could somewhat cool off the oil market for a short while.
Traders may consider selling at the range top now with very limited risk on the upside and a pretty good reward if it goes down even to the equilibrium level just below 64.
WTI Bullish Cypher WTI Bullish Cypher
TP1 66.16$
SL 65.13$
U.S. crude exports fell last week to around 1.8 million barrels per day (bpd), their lowest since October 2018, while crude inventories declined 0.4 million barrels versus an expected 2.8 million-barrel draw, according to weekly government data.
crude exports plunged on signs of a speedy economic recovery and upbeat forecasts for energy demand.
WTI OIL Buy SignalPattern: Channel Up on 4H.
Signal: Buy as the price entered the 4H MA50 (blue) - 4H MA100 (green) range, which has been a Buy Zone before.
Target: 67.50 (just below the 2 month Resistance). With a little more risk you may pursue the 1.618 Fibonacci extension, depending on where the price bottoms now.
Most recent WTI signals:
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Technical analysis update: WTI oil (28th April 2021)West Texas Intermediate oil is consolidating in neutral trend since 8th March 2021. Since then, price action took WTI back to its 20-day moving average and 50-day moving average which suggests that consolidation might be near its end and upward movement can be anticipated. This is further supported by reversal in RSI. Our price target for short term is 65 USD per barrel.
Disclaimer: This analysis is not intended to encourage buying or selling of any particular securities. Furthermore, it should not serve as basis for taking any trade action by individual investor. Your own due dilligence is highly advised before entering trade.
WTI OIL Emerging 4H MA50/100 Golden Cross. Rally ahead?Simple fractal comparison on WTI as the price is consolidating since the March 23 low and is approaching the Higher Lows trend-line that started on December 01.
As you see the current price action is quite similar to the late October - early November one. After the 4H MA50 crossed below the 4H MA100, a bottom was formed a few days later. Once the two crossed again on a Golden Cross this time, the very aggressive rally of December - March was initiated. We are on a similar situation right now. Has the March 23 MA50/100 Death Cross priced the Bottom? And if yes will an emerging MA50/100 Golden Cross kick-start a rally?
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WTI OIL should avoid this fractal at all costs.I don't call it Fractal of Doom for nothing. As you see WTI Oil hit the 2 year Resistance trend-line (red zone) that was first created on the April 23, 2019 High, and got strongly rejected on March 08, 2021. This is a Triple Top (counting the Jan 08, 2020 almost hit). A common characteristic of all three rejections is that after the initial drop, the price consolidated (orange rectangle) around on the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line). On the first 2 occasions, a bigger fall took place after this consolidation. Will it happen again this time?
It is worth pointing out also the important of the 50.00 - 51.00 zone (blue) as a long-term Support. It didn't only hold from January 2019 to January 2020 (broke due to the COVID pandemic) but also on January 2021. If the bigger fractal fall comes after the current consolidation, will that (blue) Support Zone hold again and cause another lengthy sideways period between this and the (red) Resistance?
I am really interested to read your opinions on it.
P.S. See the RSI similarities
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OIL on an uptrendOIL on an uptrend
Good luck for your trades.
This post does not provide financial advice. It is for educational purposes only! You can use the information from the post to make your own trading plan for the market.
But you must do your own research and use it as the priority. Trading is risky, and it is not suitable for everyone. Only you can be responsible for your trading.
WTI OIL Rebound on the 1D MA50Pattern: Fibonacci Channel on 4H.
Signal: Buy as the price hit the 1D MA50 (green dotted line) and rebounded while the 4H MACD made a Bullish Cross.
Target: 69.00 (the 2.0 Fib extension) and 72.00 (the 2.5 Fib extension).
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OIL Next Target 66Right now we have a good set up for oil. Bull flag currently showing confirmation, sideways momentum gathered enough pressure to move further upwards. Main target 66 with resistance in between. Entry should have been at 64. If you missed that, buy the upcoming pull back.
RSI and MACD in indicting 'bullish', and not overbought.
My set-up is based on intraday trading, I do not intend to hold my positions long.