WTI CRUDE OIL: Turned bullish again after the 1D MA50 rebound.WTI Crude Oil turned bullish again on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 59.281, MACD = 0.570, ADX = 33.404) as even though it breached through the 1D MA50 yesterday intraday, it managed to close the day over it and extend today with a green candle. It was not ideal that the rejection on Tuesday took place on the 1D MA200 but yesterday's 1D MA50 rebound has restored the bullish sentiment. We turn bullish again (TP = 80.00) all the way to the one year LH trendline and the 0.786 Fib.
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WTI-OIL
WTI OIL 1D MA200 rejection giving the perfect sell.WTI Oil (USOIL) hit our 76.00 Target as presented on our September 24 idea (see chart below):
Today even though the price breached the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line), it has since been forcefully rejected. This is not a surprise as all medium-term rallies coming off a Support level bounce since June 2023, were all rejected on the short-term on the 1D MA200. The July 13 2023 one got rejected back to its 0.382 Fibonacci retracement level, while the January 29 2024 one dived lower to the 0.618 Fib.
The 1D RSI (red circles) indicates that we are currently exactly on such a rejection sequence. As a result, we turn bearish on WTI, expecting at least a 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) breach at 72.50, which is a Target marginally below the 0.382 Fib.
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WTI CRUDE OIL: Last short term buy.WTI Crude Oil is neutral on the 4H technical outlook (RSI = 51.729, MACD = 0.500, ADX = 25.961) as it pulled back to the 4H MA50 intra day. The fact that it held, suggests that it remains the short term support of this uptrend that is targeting the 4H MA200 (TP = 72.50) where so far we have had three straight rejections since August.
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CRUDE OIL (WTI) Intraday Bearish Confirmation
Update for our yesterday's setup on WTI Crude Oil.
The price successfully retested a broken structure.
Our intraday bearish confirmation is a breakout of a support line
of a bearish flag pattern on an hourly time frame.
The fall will continue now at least to 72.1
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Waiting for WTI rebound. H4 30.08.2024 Waiting for WTI rebound
Oil WTI has been flattening with pullbacks all week, which is exhausting. My top-up was knocked out together with the rest of the last buy. Although the total plus came out due to partial fixation. Now the price is back to the key support area, it went down to the buyers' zone 73.34-72.63 and near the specified 1/2 margin. There are no large volumes, which is confusing, but they can make a buyback. Therefore, you should look here for confirmations on your strategy. If pushed the zones below, then the price will go to 71.
WTI Oil - 4HWTI oil completed its second bullish leg and has now formed a reversal setup. The price action shows that WTI missed the ascending channel support and is currently consolidating below the previous support zone, which has now turned into a resistance level. This suggests a potential bearish outlook as the price struggles to regain upward momentum.
With the recent break of the ascending channel, it is expected that WTI may continue its downward trajectory. The consolidation under the new resistance zone indicates seller strength, and further declines could be seen if the price fails to break back above this resistance. Traders should watch for key support levels around $81 and $78 for potential buy signals or continuation of the bearish trend.
USOILOil analysis
Time frame 4 hours and 12 hours
Middle oil oil broke and stabilized its 12-hour trading range. Now it has formed a new 4-hour trading range, the supply and demand areas of which are clear in the picture. The price is expected to return to the limit of $80.7 and move towards the target of $84 by filling the FVG.
Can Oil soar on June 2 OPEC+ cut hopes? Can Oil soar on June 2 OPEC+ cut hopes?
WTI crude futures and Brent continue to recover from three-month lows. The rebound is potentially driven by expectations that OPEC+ will extend its output cuts of 2.2 million barrels per day into the second half of the year during its June 2 meeting.
Additional support for crude prices came from the start of the U.S. summer driving season and a weaker dollar.
Further data on the demand side will come from upcoming U.S. PCE to gauge the Federal Reserve's future monetary policy. A softer-than-expected reading on the PCE could increase the possibility of interest rate cuts, and potentially enhance the demand for energy.
Deutsche Bank has maintained its Brent forecast at $83 per barrel for the second quarter and $88 for the second half of the year, assuming OPEC+ will sustain its current production policy on Sunday.
Should prices move above the $80 level, WTI could test the 50-day moving average just above $81.1. The RSI suggests there is still room for prices to rise before reaching the overbought zone. Conversely, if prices fall below the $78 range, they might stabilize around the $76 mark.
Let's see if it can climb back above the 78-dollar markEASYMARKETS:OILUSD
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Hellena | Oil (4H): Long to resistance area of 87.47.Dear Colleagues, at the moment the price has made a strong downward movement. I suppose that the price is in wave "4" and can continue its movement to the support area of 80.22, but I consider only long positions, because the price can make a reversal at once. I recommend to work with pending orders.
The nearest target is the resistance area at 87.47.
Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
Oil looks to be repeating itself... Bullish fundamentals are potentially setting up 'higher-for-longer' oil prices.
I think we might see a retrace down to the trend-line area given how far we have extended. Although, in any case be ready to jump on a bullish move.
If we start creating downtrend structure then sentiment might have shifted, noting US / EURO growth rates / interest rates are also being looked at by institutions as key demand factors.
Falling to overlap support WTI (OIL) has just reacted off the resistance and could fall to overlap support that lines up with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Alternatively, if price breaks above the pivot, it could continue to rise to the next resistance level
Pivot: 82.33
Support: 80.91
Resistance: 83.54
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Disclaimer:
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CRUDE OIL Broke The Rising Support! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
CRUDE OIL was trading along
The rising support but now we
Are seeing a bearish breakout
And the breakout is confirmed
So we will be expecting a
Further move down
Sell!
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Check out other forecasts below too!
Hellena | Oil (4H): Long to 100% Fibo lvl 81.85. Dear colleagues, earlier I wanted to write a forecast with a deep correction, but after reviewing the data I suppose that the price will go higher. I assume that it will be wave 2, but for now I expect a small correction to the support area of 78.88. Then I expect an upward movement to the area of 100% Fibonacci extension at 81.85.
Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
Hellena | Oil (4H): Long to resistance area of 79.37.Dear colleagues, I assume that the price has started another five-wave structure. At the moment I suppose that the price may test the area of 50% Fibonacci level of 76.73, then I expect the price to come to the resistance area of 79.37.
But maybe wave 2 will not happen and we will see an extension of wave 1.
Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
Hellena | Oil (4H): Short to support area of 71.21Dear Colleagues, price is in a pretty strong downward movement. I suppose that the price fall will continue and after confirming the fall I will redraw the Elliott waves. So far, I assume that the price will reach the support area of 71.21.
Before this decline, it is possible that the price will update the maximum a little more and reach the resistance area of 75.28. But all my thoughts are only about short positions.
Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
Hellena | Oil (4H): Long to resistance area 79.37(Wave C again).Dear colleagues, the price has confidently reached the previous target of 79.37. Now the price is in correction and I suppose that the price will test this area again. It may even retest the high of 79.30. After that, most likely, I will consider a downward movement, but more on that later.
Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!