Brent D1 swing trade bulls 35% buy/hold setup🔸Today let's review the daily chart for brent oil . Noteworthy bounce in progress
after accumulation near lows, speculative XABCD setup in progress.
🔸XABCD is defined by point X at 97.45, point A at 73.70, point B at 93.85,
point C (confirmed) at 76.85, point D in progress at 105.30. speculative
trade setup with advanced entry reversal at point C.
🔸Recommended strategy for BULLS: buy/hold near market, or buy dips near point
C, TP bulls is point D at 105.30, 35% gains potential (unleveraged). swing trade setup,
patience required. good luck, traders!
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WTI-OIL
WTIUSD_4HWest Texas crude oil 4-hour and mid-term time frame analysis The possibility of the formation of ABC corrective wave, which is currently expected to be in wave B, and after the end of the range, it will continue to rise towards the number and range of $78 and $80 as wave C. The main and important support number and range is $70.70.
WTI CRUDE OIL: Consolidation before a long term rally.WTI Crude Oil is neutral on the 1D time-frame (RSI = 48.178, MACD = -0.770, ADX = 19.024) as the price continues its fierce consolidation within the 1D MA50 (Resistance) and 1W MA200 (Support). In fact the 1D MA40 has been unbroken since October 23rd 2023 and when it breaks we expect a strong rise like the July 5th 2023 breakout. A strong consolidation similar to today's preceded the July 5th breakout.
Consequently, when the price does cross over it, we will go long and targwt the symmetrical Resistance (TP = 83.50), which has been the target twice before inside 2023.
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WTI Crude Oil: An Emerging Trading RangeThis morning’s jobs report came in stronger than expected, and oil prices rallied. The 216k December NFP gain topped the +175k estimate, though revisions to the two previous months were sharply negative – a trend we saw throughout 2023. Average hourly earnings verified hotter than what economists were forecasting. At +4.1% on a year-on-year basis, workers are now earning about a full percentage point above the current inflation rate. Compared to the 6-month annualized Core PCE rate, you could argue that real wages are positive by 2.2% versus December 2022.
Amid a strong labor market and ahead of next week’s CPI report, commodity prices are treading water. WTI hovers in the low $70s, and I assert that a new trading range has developed between $68 and $79. Trend-following traders may be frustrated by this sideways price action, but more stable energy costs could be a boon to the corporate world, right as the Q4 reporting season gets underway a week from today.
For now, this $11 WTI range will be one to watch as 2024 progresses. A breakout through it would portend an upside measured move price target to about $90, based on the $11 range height. A bearish breakdown could lead to a dip into the FWB:50S per barrel of WTI. With very high domestic oil and gas production and wavering global demand for oil amid a possible slowdown in GDP growth over the first half of the year, there are certainly some bearish supply/demand factors at play. Still, ongoing tensions in the Middle East have led to a surge in shipping container day rates, and further geopolitical escalations is a bullish catalyst to watch over the coming weeks.
For now, I see more trendless action taking place in crude oil.
WTI OIL Bearish below the 1D MA50.WTI Oil (USOIL) got rejected two days ago near the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line), which has been the downward Resistance since October 24, despite the fact that the price marginally broke above the 3-month Channel Down.
As long as it stays below the 1D MA50, the trend is bearish and we will target the 68.00 Low. On the long-term though, this is a huge Buy Zone since March but the price only rallied sustainably when a 1D candle closed above the 1D MA50. The 1D RSI is technically repeating the December 2022 bottom pattern, but we will only engage in buying above the 1D MA50, in which case we will target 82.50, which is a level reached both on the March and July's rallies.
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Hellena | Oil (4H): Long to resistance area of 74.15. Dear colleagues, after analyzing the chart I realized that wave 5 has either already ended or will end soon. The price can still reach the support area of 68.06, but I will consider only long positions with the aim to reach the resistance area of 74.15.
Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
WTI - H4 - Area for Long!WTI is again in the value area and good for long positions.
Manage your risk and set some buy limit in different prices like 70.5 - 71.5 - 72.5
By manage your money wisely you can earn money with out worrying about losing your money.
If this area breaks and oil falls more don't panic!
Just keep your positions and buy in the lower levels
WTI → Oil prices drop as the USD recovers, OPEC cutsThe outlook has turned bearish for the WTI. This is mainly because the Relative Strength Index (RSI) and Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) reside deep in negative territory and as the price is seen below its 20,100 and 200-day Simple Moving Averages (SMA). This indicates that on the shorter and broader scales, the sellers are dominating.
Resistance Levels: $75.00, $76.15 (20-day SMA), $77.00
Support Levels: $72.80, $72.30, $71.00
Hellena | Oil (4H): Long to resistance area 79.77.Dear colleagues, I decided to update the idea. The price pushed off perfectly from the support at 74.23. At the moment I expect the upward movement to continue with the same target of the resistance area at 79.77.
Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
WTI CRUDE OIL Buy signal under the 4hour MA50WTI Crude Oil / USOIL is trading inside a Channel Down for almost 2 months.
The recent Lower Low on its bottom is so far replicating the previous one on October 6th.
Today's sudden decline made a symmetric pull-back as on October 12th.
This is the final short term buy opportunity before the price approaches the top of the Channel and the 4hour MA200.
A crossing over the 4hour MA50 will confirm the buy.
Target 79.50, which is under Resistance A, like the Lower High of October 20th.
Previous chart:
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Crude Oil to $160?😳 (Stop Harbouring Iranian Petroleum Bill)The U.S. House of Representatives has passed a bill called ‘Stop Harbouring Iranian Petroleum’. The purpose of the bill is to do all the following listed above🔺
But in more simple terms, the plan of the U.S. government is to pull Iran into the war & shift blame onto them, for the genocide currently going on in the Middle East. They’ll say Iran is funding the war & the only way to stop that is by blocking & putting a price cap on Iranian Oil. They do this knowing Iran will likely block off the ‘Strait of Hormuz’ as a retaliation.
What happens now? Saudi countries can no longer use the Strait of Hormuz to export their Oil, which’ll create supply shortage for Western nations. This’ll lead to Crude Oil prices shooting higher & forcing more people towards electric vehicles & products📈
USOIL (WTI) BUYING ON DIPS HELLO TRADERS,,,
As i can see this chart of USOIL it is moving same as we had predicted in our previous analysis
Israeli & Gaza War Tensions are driving Gold and Oil prices in bullish trend and we can see a Wyckoff Pattern on the base of technical view the support is holding the price of oil and i am expecting it will boost to the upside for completing this technical pattern...
History will repeat, like the 1973-1974 war, where all the Arab countries stopped the supply of OIL. Can we see the same thing in 2023-2024 as war is at its peak? If the same happens, the OIL price will shoot to 120-130 barrels directly .
this is just an trade idea with Technically + Fundamentally view Kindly share Ur thoughts on US OIL so it will help alote traders community we appreciate Ur love and support
Stay tuned for more updates
WTI BEARISH OUTLOOKOil prices dropped over 2% as U.S. crude stockpiles rose, signaling weakened demand. Additionally, concerns about the global economic outlook led to a broader sell-off in equities. Brent crude futures fell by 2.2% to $88.13 a barrel, while U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude futures slid by 2.7% to $83.13 a barrel. These price declines were driven by a combination of rising inventories, reduced demand, and economic uncertainties, highlighting the impact of geopolitical tensions and broader market sentiment on oil markets.
The market's attention has been fluctuating between geopolitical factors, including the conflict in the Middle East, and macroeconomic concerns, such as U.S. Treasury yields nearing 5% and the pace of economic growth. These uncertainties are affecting oil demand and prices, making it a volatile and complex market. Additionally, the article touches on issues related to the energy transition, with companies like Shell cutting jobs in its Low Carbon Solutions business, and Siemens Energy seeking government support for its wind-turbine unit.
On a technical side, the daily graph had formed a Three Black Crows pattern 2 days ago, which is a reliable predictor of continuous down movement, technical indicators as MACD and RSI are also in the sell zone.
If this trend continues, the price might reache levels of 79.64, while as a pivot point might be considered 84.34, from where the price might go to 87.82 levels.
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Swing trade long for WTIWe saw the pullback into the support area we were waiting for, around the 200-dar EMA on the 4hour chart and weekly pivot point. A bullish engulfing candle also formed at the end of the session, and whilst prices have gapped lower at the open, we're now looking to enter long and target the resistance zone around $90.
WTI Oil Bounces Cleanly Off Key Support – Uptrend in the Making⚪ WTI has firmly established an uptrend, with a breakthrough above the first supply zone while consistently respecting the uptrend trendline.
⚪ Notably, a recent rejection of the second supply zone took place. The positive aspect, though, is that after the breakout we witnessed a precise bounce off the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement support, indicating the uptrend's continuation.
⚪ This suggests that WTI might be on the brink of a substantial upward move. As a result, heading towards one of two Fibonacci resistance levels situated at $102 and $115.
As always, we are sharing our trade setup in the channel!
Hellena | Oil (4H): Long to resistance area at 87.89.Dear colleagues, I assume that the price will still make an upward movement at least to the resistance area of 90. It will do it either immediately or after correction to the support area at 84.26. In any case, I expect the price to rise in the coming week.
Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!