WTI OIL Long idea after pullback Hello traders!
Curently watching Oil closely as it appears it's starting to have a clear direction after Iraq's recent statements of not be willing to cut production. Currently short but will start to look for long entry if the current run will show deceleration at Fib levels; bonus points if 50EMA will meet price at 0.382. It's also worth noting that MACD is showing massive divergence.
WTI-OIL
USCOIL / WTI SHORT-TERM SHORT TRADEI can see a clear trend reversal after hitting a major resistance point at $50. This leads me to believe than in the short-run there is enough room for oil to tumble. Scenario #1 is that there is a weekly window during which oil will fall to around $45 and bounce off. Scenario #2 is that oil tumbles down to its previous major level of support at $29. Overall I have a bearish sentiment on oil. This mainly stems from OPEC's inability to regulate supply. More specifically, I see no intention from S.A. to cut its supply. This leads me to think that the market will revaluate oil at around $30. That is mainly due to S.A.'s ability to produce oil at a cost of $20-25 -per barrel which in the short term will create a market failure.
Oil completes inverse head and shoulderOil prices have completed inverse head and shoulder formation. On the weekly chart we can clearly see prices tested neckline level of $51.90
A successful breach of inverse head and shoulder would give us upside target of $77.70, which as of now appears over ambitious and could possible happen only if we get a bigger OPEC output cut.
On the other hand, failure to reach a deal at a time would mark failure at neckline level, which in itself is a highly bearish formation.
WTI and Long Trades Here is an example how we could catch this up movement and make good profit. Entry level 1 - price bounced from Senkou A and RSI confirmed price reversal. Entry level 2 - price broke the cloud and we got reversal signal from Senkou B. Rising ADX confirmed breakout and up movement. Entry level 3 - price bounced from Tenkan with confirmation from RSI. DMI shows strong up movement.
You can get such signals if you use Sunrise Trading Strategy. For more information, please send me PM or leave your questions in comments.
WTI Upside Technical Analysis:
We can see that an inverse head and shoulders pattern is developing on the weekly chart. Assuming price breaks the neckline at around 50.60, we can expect upside potential towards 60.
Fundamental Analysis:
OPEC agreeing on a production freeze will help to support oil prices in the near future. Also with the FOMC holding off raising interest rates for September has also helped maintain a reletively soft USD. Which should further support oil prices.
Above the resistance level: 47.73Above the resistance level: 47.73
But there should be a walk in the descending triangle pattern.
If you have good news or speculation, then touched 47.73, even beyond is entirely possible, Paul is resistance above.
After the final results of the international energy conference next week, week 3, high probability not reach an agreement, then OK, just go 5 3 Adjust the waves of the stock market rose, the downward trend is continuing up.
Overbought, heavy resistance around the 50 buck areaExpecting slowdown of recent rally after breaking out of the downtrend channel two weeks ago.
RSI, Stochastik are overbought and Bollinger Bands indicate a slowdown in the recent move.
Also, middle to end of August is a seasonal which was confirmed now.
Options to work IMHO: sell call spreads
US Oil - Poised to break 200-DMA
Oil’s failure to take out $41.86 (38.2% of Feb low-June high) and a slide to $40.80 despite having bounced off from 200-DMA on Friday suggests the bearish force remains strong and prices could test and actually break below 200-DMA level of $40.47.
Such a move would expose $40.00 handle.
On the higher side, only a day end closing above $41.86 would signal short-term bearish invalidation.