Bullish or Bearish?FX:USOIL NYMEX:CL1!
Big surprise! In today reached my goal it was for the week as shown in the graph listed below.
Looking at the indicators and ociladores we see the possibility of the market continue to grow, I believe that to $ 50, but stay tuned to market changes in the next days, I'm optimist about the bull on the market.
WTI-OIL
#Dollar Showing Weakness, Intermediately OverboughtThe U.S. dollar went bid following rhetoric from Federal Reserve officials that a potential rate hike could occur in June, following hotter than expected inflation data.
However, after posting on pending technical weakness here, the dollar has retreated slightly over the last few days. Price action as traded neatly within a descending channel on the daily chart, and potential signals of another move downward are pending:
The daily RSI has broken through an indicator support level, and the stochastic indicator is signaling a highly overbought condition. If price price action continues to falter, a sell signal below 80 could trigger selling pressure.
The DMI is about to form a bearish convergence, which would indicated bearish price action will take over.
In order to regain upward momentum, the DXY would have to close above channel resistance near 95.66; 96.55 will be key resistance point in order to challenge 98. If selling pressure does occur, DXY will likely seek out 93.80 (50% fib retracement from current minor uptrend)
The long-term macro dollar theme continues to be deflationary. It is important to note, a spike in inflation has been a late cycle occurrence. Every U.S. recession since the mid-1950s has seen an increase in inflation (after previously declining).
We must also include that as the global economy continues to slow, global central banks will look to continue monetary easing this will at least support the greenback. Furthermore, as the U.S. economy rolls over, a deflationary spiral is expected to occur.
MacroView is still expecting the U.S. economy to reach recession between Q2-3 once final data revisions occur.
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As always, comment and post charts. We love to talk markets!
Falling Stars and Rhino CatchersI had hoped to take a few days to get back into the water... But looks like we need to jump on this big Bombora.... It could play out for a while. Funny how these things form. We need to get a pretty good run from the first drop in. Bros with Rhinos will soon join the crew. We are going short with a stack of bones. Let's just hope we avoid a rail bang...
I see stars... Falling stars in the chart. We are going Short now, picking up stacks with each cut. Be safe bros.
USOIL crude WTI bearish divergence in H4 RSI overbought SHORTUSOIL crude WTI bearish divergence in H4 RSI overbought SHORT
With no real vision in sight to decrease the current oilpumping capacities,
I expect USOIL to get back to reality and at least make a short move back to its uptrendline from february lows.
40 is surely in the cards. A move below might open the door for 38 and further 35.
Where is the second entry point for Oil?The first entry level for Oil was when price bounced from MA100. Price moved higher with MACD and RSI confirmation. It was not clear exactly, was it a beginning of new up trend or not? But prices moved higher and closed above MA20. The high of the day will be the second entry point for those, who waited for more confirmations. Now we have MACD and DI confirmation for long trades. Weekly chart also shows that it's time for buying.
Aggressive Sell Set Up for Oil!Please read all the commentary on the chart.
Also please refer to my previous posts and "big picture" view of daily charts to understand the context of this aggressive sell possibility.
Short term - Bearish (1-2 weeks)
Medium term - Bullish (6 months+)
Alternative aggressive buy -
Buy Oil with a stop below 41.11 and a target of at least 41.85.
MayBe a better SetUps as we all can`t imagine it35.80 USD: 2.Target (292 Chance)
33.97 USD: 1.Target (109 Chance)
32.88 USD: last Price
32.21 USD: last Support (67 Risk)
You can use the support levels as stop-loss price level.
And both targets also even as take profit price leves too, if you want.
But take care! Think about it - and create your own opinion! It`s your own decision...
Change/Risk Ratios are 1.63 C/R Ratio (1st) & 4.36 C/R Ratio (2nd)
Change/Risk Ratio = 1.Target/Support & 2.Target/Support
Best regards!
Aaron