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WTI-OIL

#OIL #OOTT UpdateI think I just decoded the oil chart. I have been contemplating a rise to $90+ because I expected ABC flat where I now see WXY combination of zigzag, zigzag and triangle. The chart now perfectly aligns with Brent where wave [ B] did make lowest low presumably shaping a symmetrical triangle whereas WTI is working on a running triangle. That means that we have only strong push left upwards from current low which should come either as a straight impulse or an expanding diagonal which will be extremely annoying.
TVC:USOIL
by Fomenka
Trading the range on WTI (CL1!)Oil prices are trading quite erratically on the daily chart, making it a much less appealing market to trade on that timeframe. But that doesn't mean we cannot find potential inflection points at the intraday level. Monday's opening gap has been filled, and earlier losses on Tuesday were fully recouped to print a bullish pinbar on the daily chart which found support just above $70. We're not looking for a huge move, but we see the potential for prices to have another crack at the $73, and the 3-wave retracement towards $71 looks appealing for a swing trade long. Take note of the HVN (high volume node) around $72.64 which could act as a magnet should momentum eventually turn higher. We're not sure the actual swing low is in yet, so we're looking for higher volumes accompanied by one or more bullish reversal candles on the hourly timeframe or lower, to hint at a swing low. And if it can form above or around the $71 support zone it could provide an adequate reward to risk ratio for a cheeky long.
NYMEX:CL1!Long
by CityIndex
1
USOIL Medium Term UpdateI promised in the previous post that I would discuss medium-term charts. I've been calling for an abrupt rise in ABC flat for a while now. However, price movements develop much more slowly than the human brain expects. I believe I read about this bias in books by R. Prechter on the fundamentals of Elliott Wave analysis. This time, there is another layer of uncertainty because Brent did not follow WTI in the flash crash on May 4, which marked the local bottom (wave B low) for WTI but not for Brent. While my expectation of the impending impulse wave C matches the WTI chart perfectly, it is not the same for Brent, where I anticipate an ending diagonal to complete the correction. This weekend is the much-awaited OPEC+ meeting. However, as I mentioned in my previous post, I suspect limited progress in production-cut talks or a tepid market reaction to any agreed cuts. OPEC core members are grumbling about the cuts as Russia's seaborne exports hit all-time highs to markets that OPEC countries consider their fiefdom, forcing them to redirect volumes to the EU, missing out on shipping. Therefore I doubt OPEC+ can come up with a decision that will drive oil prices sharply higher in June-July and keep them elevated by the end of the summer. OPEC+ decisions usually lag the market developments and tend to cause short-lived fluctuations at best (though painful when unexpected). Instead, war drums and EU discussions about the 11th sanctions package could be the catalysts. The EU is considering prohibiting EU entities from purchasing refined products made of Russian oil. Read - India can no longer buy cheap Russian crude to produce diesel and ship to the EU. I have some ideas about what it could mean for energy markets in the long run, which I will elaborate on in a website article.
TVC:USOIL
by Fomenka
WTI CRUDE OIL: Triangle breakout revealing the trend.WTI Crude Oil is failing on the 4H MA50 and maintains a dangerous Triangle on the 4H timeframe on neutral technicals (RSI = 44.789, MACD = -0.040, ADX = 23.667) which can breakout either way. So far it is supported by an HL trendline like the March pattern but if this breaks, which would mean downward breakout for the Triangle, we will sell, after the 4H MA50 gets rejected as a Resistance, and target the S1 (TP = 64.00). If the Triangle breaks upwards, we will buy and target the 4H MA200 (TP = 76.00). Prior idea: ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
TVC:USOIL
by InvestingScope
6
Oil One Step From a Major Buy SignalThursday brings us a short update on brent oil. This instrument has been heavily bombarded recently by the macro data, not only for oil, but also the macro data for the USD. Let’s start with the one for oil. Yesterday’s inventories. Data came in hot (bullish for oil) as the number were significantly below expectation, showing a decrease of 4.5 mln barrels from the previous week. Well, how about that? As for the USD, yesterday’s less hawkish FED was bearish for the dollar, so again, bullish for instruments quoted in the dollar like our oil. So, we had two positive sets of information for oil and yes, brent used it wisely. Oil One Step From a Major Buy Signal As was widely expected, the Federal Reserve raised its policy rate by 75 basis points (bps) at the July meeting, taking the target rate range to 2.25%–2.5%. This is just below the Fed’s estimate for a neutral policy stance in the longer run (2.5%). At the press conference, Chair Jerome Powell said that “modestly restrictive” monetary policy is warranted by the current economic fundamentals, including elevated inflation, and mentioned that another outsize rate hike may be necessary at the next meeting in September in order to ensure monetary policy is restrictive. The overall movement of gold prices was bearish since inflation numbers rose and the U.S dollar index moved bullishly. However, there might be a change in the situation as gold prices currently moving upward while the U.S dollar index stalled and the stock market is trading slightly lower. If gold prices could continue the bullish movement and close above $1,800 then the bullish trend is set to continue. Silver prices bounced from the $18.50 support level and made a bullish close yesterday. There is a bullish continuation in today’s trading session which brings the price near the $20.00 handle. If the price could maintain the bullish pressure and continue upward to close above $21.35 then the price will start a new bullish trend. Crude oil prices situation is not good for the bull as the price could not maintain the bullish pressure. There is a bullish attempt today but the price currently trading below the opening level. If the price is pushed lower and closes below $95.25 then traders will prepare for a bearish continuation. How far will OIL GO UP? Well, if you ak this question then you are no professional, experienced trader, but a naive one, and have not understoad the purpose of trading. Keep it simple. Keep your stops alert.
OANDA:BCOUSDLong
by DaveBrascoFX
WTI OIL Very strong long-term Buy opportunity.WTI Oil (USOIL) hit the last remaining targets as pointed out on our April 24 idea: In fact, this completed our long-term 3 target approach as presented on our analysis three weeks ago: That has come after a Double Bottom buy almost 2 months ago (March 16), which falls into our usual long-term swing trading approach that we apply successfully on our activities: Right now we are on a similar buy opportunity like that idea above almost 2 months ago, as not only did the price bounce aggressively on the 64.50 Support (previous Low) but also the 1D RSI got oversold (30.00) and is rebounding. That has been a common feature on all previous Lower Lows within the long-term (8-month) Channel Down pattern that started on the August 30 2022 High. Every bullish leg towards the Channel Down Top, has always hit at least the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line). That is currently at 75.66 but declining aggressively and we expect contact to be made at 73.90, which is the top of the 5-month Pivot Zone (that has been a Support for 3 months straight). The previous Lower High (April 13) was made exactly on the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) which is the long-term Resistance, so it is very likely to hit that level also on the long-term but until then we will have our outlook updated. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
TVC:USOILLong
by TradingShot
2
USOIL - large downside likely due to increase in retail longsUSOIL has been very volatile in the past 2 weeks due to news surrounding further cuts in oil production by OPEC nations. However there has been a large sudden increase in retail long positions and this likely means we see further downside before any resumption of upside. There is a lot of liquidity to be grabbed around the HKEX:69 - HKEX:70 level (H12 OB). There is also a small probability that new lows could be made given the big imbalance in liquidity.
TVC:USOIL
by SeleCTCapital
1
WTI. The upward movement is coming.At the moment, the trading instrument is probably in the correction phase, but the correction is nearing completion, as we are told by the formed liquidity pool, upon crossing of which we will break the downtrend. Based on my vision of the market, I can add the following, in order for the price to start an upward movement, which the formed liquidity pool indicates to us, market participants need to increase the volume of purchases in the discount zone, which starts below the price mark of 74.00, which, I believe, will affect price chart in the form of a price reduction, where we will enter the market to buy. Entry into positions is carried out only when a confirming pattern is formed. Dear friends, if you have any questions about the description, please write in the comments.
OANDA:WTICOUSDShort
by NikitaMarket
WTI breaks out of consolidation, $90 up next?WTI broke out of consolidation and closed above its 200-day EMA and resistance zone. The OBV (on balance indicator) confirmed the breakout with a move to a new cycle high, and volumes (whilst below average) are turning higher to show buyers stepping back in. Furthermore, we saw a gap ahead of the consolidation above HKEX:79 , although using classic definitions it doesn't quite fit into 'breakaway' or 'runaway' gap category. Regardless, we've seen a 30% rally from the March low with a gap along the way, OPEC+ cut oil production, and the trend points higher. With that said, the 200-day MA is capping as resistance, so bulls may want to wait for a break (or daily close) above the level. But overall, the risks appear skewed to the upside. - The bias remains bullish above 79 and an initial move to 90, then the 93.60 highs - Wednesday's low could be used for tighter risk management
NYMEX:CL1!Long
by CityIndex
WTI Crude - Step 1) $88 --> Step 2) $58.When it comes to oil, it was supposed to do the super moon back to $120 thing when Xi Jinping and his Chinese Communist Party finally stopped welding people in their homes and going full blown technocratic social credit while humans tried to "fight" Wuhan Pneumonia (COVID-19), but for one reason or another, the pump never got off the ground. Probably because a whole lot more than the 87,468 people Xi and his CCP claim to have died from the disease are actually dead, and so demand is just legit in the toilet and industry can't get going, because China has big time problems stemming from its 23-year-long persecution of Falun Gong, which includes the unprecedented crime of live organ harvesting (they've done it to Uyghurs too), and the Party's outright fetish for human rights, freedom of speech, and freedom of belief abuses. Being bullish on "China" is a totally separate thing from being bullish on "the Chinese Communist Party." One is extremely wise, while the other is totally moronic. Totalitarian regimes never last a long time, and the Party has already had more than a century. Clinging to Marxism is like clinging to the Titanic when it's 5/6ths of the way under the water. When it comes to WTI oil, both the fundamentals and the price action are strange. This is a commodity that you don't want to be very bearish on after it traded at literally $0 during 2020's western COVID pseudopandemic theatre hysterics. Yet, while oil also isn't liking to go down, it isn't liking to go up. In October, I had a pretty accurate call that WTI would plink the $70 range. WTI Crude Oil / CL1 - Accumulation Before Global Conflict And a pretty good call in September too when everyone was convinced oil could never trade low again WTI Crude / CL - An Intervention: Saving Blind Bulls But the ultimate endgame of the calls, $50, has not manifested. It seems as if perhaps these prices won't manifest, and it's almost time for the uppy. There's some problems with this narrative, however. The key factor is that the United States and its vassal states (including Canada) are the world's largest producers of oil, by far. Russia and OPEC combined are really the only challengers, but the US has the advantage in that you need the USD to buy oil, and so ultimately the Biden Administration is the legit market maker. The problem with the bull thesis is that the SPR was filled at $29.70 over the years while Biden and friends sold half of it off in the $80s and $90s. This inherently tells you not that they're trying to destroy themselves, but just that they're short on crude oil. The news in December, right after oil wicked the $70 mark, was that the Biden Admin was buying it all back . But then in January, the tune changed as the US Government said "The bids didn't come in low enough, so we haven't bought yet." Media says they want to buy around $70. And this brings us to our very strange price action in WTI. Crude has a gap at $85-86 and combines with a Dec. 1 pivot around $83, while recent trading activity was a triple top of successive lows at $82~. Then we dumped to $72, but did not make a new low, and have since bounced back to $80. All of this combines to give us no reason to believe that a hybrid short-killer/breakout trader-crusher play is not about to be made around the $88 level. This gives us 10% to the upside, which is really quite nice to work with when WTI trades 1,000 barrel lots and you also have access to the leveraged ETFs like UCO and SCO. But the bottom is not in. Look at the weekly candles. Oil just hasn't retested the long-term trendline from late 2021, and in combination with the US Government having been unwilling to refill the SPR at $75+, should give you all the reason in the world to be extra cautious with going long as more than a scalp. Under $60 **combining** with media chatter that Democrats are refilling the SPR is where you want to go long. And if you do it right, you'll get the bottom for what will quickly turn into $180. 2023 is going to be a wild year starting in July. If humanity makes it to 2024, it will be even more of a ride. TL;DR: Long to $88 --> Short to $55, and start treating Bloomberg's Javier Blass like Jim Cramer. Trade against the narrative. Be patient. It's too early for the next moon, yet $120 in '22 was no top. This should combine with natural gas being on the cusp of pumping: Natural Gas? More Like Natural Go. 4-Handle Coming Be careful, and trade safe.
NYMEX:CL1!Long
by LordWrymouth
6
WTI CRUDE OIL: Major 1D MA200 test after 7 months.WTI Crude Oil is about to hit the 1D MA200 on nearly overbought 1D technicals (RSI = 68.113, MACD = 1.880, ADX = 54.309) for the first time in 7.5 months (August 30th). This is a critical technical junction as 83.50 is also the top of the R1 Zone and the High of December 1st. With the RSI also approaching the HH trendline, we are going short on WTI and target first the 0.618 Fibonacci level (TP = 72.00). The downtrend can be deeper but this needs to be confirmed. The current bearish signal will get confirmed once the price crosses under the 4H MA50, which has been supporting for 3 weeks. Prior idea: ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
TVC:USOILShort
by InvestingScope
2
WTI-Oil 2nd April Wti-Oil is another pretty simple setup with a continuous bullish movement up to the nearest supply, we may see a breakdown from that zone but of course if we don't see a breakdown we will look towards the new bullish range that would of been created to make another move higher... from open iam looking for price to drop down giving us a reason for a shift higher after a small breakdown. We'll be closely monitoring market openings and price action throughout the week. If you find this analysis useful, let us know in the comments below and hit the boost button to show your support. Here's to a successful week of trading!
OANDA:WTICOUSD
by PipSurfingSociety
1