WTI H4 | Fibo confluence?Looking at the H4 chart, the price is currently at our sell entry of 72.56, which is an overlap resistance along with a 50% Fibonacci retracement and 127.20% Fibonacci extension. Our stop loss will be at 74.68, which is slightly above the swing high resistance. The take profit level will be at 71.46 along with a 23.6% Fibonacci retracement
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WTI-OIL
USDCAD Outlook 28 March 2023The USDCAD traded strongly to the downside as the price failed to break beyond 1.3745 and fell beyond the support level of 1.3650.
This move lower was due to a combination of the renewed weakness of the DXY but more because of the surge in oil prices.
WTI traded up from the 69 price level, breaking beyond the near term high of 71.40 to reach the round number level of 73. This move is due to increasing supply concerns as Russia's sea-borne crude-oil flows have fallen to 3 million barrels a day and as European natural gas prices are higher due to strikes in France.
As WTI consolidates just below 73, if the upward move continues toward the next resistance are of 75, further downside could be anticipated for the USDCAD, with the next key support level at 1.3560.
However, watch out for a potential hesitation of the downside at the 1.36 price level.
WTI OIL Channel Up aiming at the 1D MA50.WTI Oil (USOIL) transitioned from the Inverse Head and Shoulders (IH&S) pattern we described last week to a Channel Up:
Our target remains 74.50 on the medium-term which makes both a Higher High on the Channel Up while filling a 2.0 Fibonacci extension, which is the technical target for the IH&S.
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WTI H4 | Potential reversal from 38.2%?Looking at the H4 chart, price has reached our sell entry at 70.380 along with a 38.2% Fibonacci retracement. If the price were to reverse from here, it could potentially drop to our take profit level at 67.02, which is an overlap support. The stop loss will be at 72.80, which is just slightly above the swing high resistance.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, as general market commentary, and do not constitute investment advice. The market commentary has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research, and it is therefore not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of dissemination. Although this commentary is not produced by an independent source, FXCM takes all sufficient steps to eliminate or prevent any conflicts of interest arising out of the production and dissemination of this communication. The employees of FXCM commit to acting in the clients' best interests and represent their views without misleading, deceiving, or otherwise impairing the clients' ability to make informed investment decisions. For more information about the FXCM's internal organizational and administrative arrangements for the prevention of conflicts, please refer to the Firms' Managing Conflicts Policy. Please ensure that you read and understand our Full Disclaimer and Liability provision concerning the foregoing Information, which can be accessed on the website.
WTI OIL Inverse Head and Shoulders cementing the bottom.WTI Oil (USOIL) is forming an Inverse Head and Shoulders (IH&S) pattern on the 4H time-frame, which is a technical bottom and bullish reversal formation. The 4H RSI is on a Higher Lows trend-line, indicating an uptrend and already above the 50.00 neutral mark. One last pull-back to the 65.70 Symmetrical Support is possible, before a strong rally targeting the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line). Our target is 74.50.
This is an update to our last week analysis:
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WTI CRUDE OIL Bottom is near. Start buying.WTI Crude Oil is at the bottom of a Channel Down pattern.
Comparison with the November 22nd fractal shows there might be one last Low left but already the Risk/Reward is appealing going long.
Trading Plan:
1. Buy on the current market price.
Targets:
1. 72.00 (on Fibonacci 0.5 and Pivot 2).
Tips:
1. RSI (4h) is forming similar bottom pattern as November's.
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WTI BEARISH OUTLOOKWTI had fallen for 3 consecutive days in Wednesday. The bank crisis is calling banks to deleverage their positions, pulling back on their exposure on oil and causing the price to fall.
International Energy Agency (IEA) is also reporting that the current situation in the oil market is a situation of oversupply, while Russia is looking for buyers for its oil.
The price of WTI broke the support of the rising wedge pattern and continues to drop. Both MACD and RSI indicators are confirming the pattern as well.
If the current scenario continues, the price might reach levels of 62 or even 54.
In the opposite scenario the price might reach levels of 77.5 and pivot into an uptrend.
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WTI Futures: Will Weak Demand Continue As Inflation Ease?Hello Fellow Oil Futures Trader, Here's a Technical outlook on WTI Futures!
Support the channel by giving us thumbs up and sharing your opinions in the comment section below!
Chart Perspective
WTI Futures is breaking out of the neckline of a triangle pattern. Breaking out of this pattern indicates a potential trend continuation from previous bearish bias. The MACD Indicator already made the death cross. The death cross signals a possibility of downside movement to the target area ahead.
Macroeconomic:
1. Rate Hikes across the globe slowed down the economy, weaken commodity demand
2. China manufacturing slowdown
All other explanations are presented on the chart.
The roadmap will be invalid after reaching the target/ resistance area .
"Disclaimer: The outlook is only for educational purposes, not a recommendation to put a long or short position on the WTI Futures"
The support is not broken:upYesterday's long positions in crude oil yielded good profits, and after taking profits, crude oil experienced a temporary decline. Currently, the medium to long-term strategy for crude oil is still biased towards long positions. The chart shows two support levels and two possible trends. Aggressive traders can go long now, but they should be mindful of their position sizes. Conservative traders can watch and wait for the next move.
From a technical analysis perspective, crude oil rose then fell yesterday, with the highest rebound reaching the 78.0 resistance level and then declining below the 4-hour midline. It fell again at the end of the day, and closed at a low point. The daily chart closed with a bearish K-line, forming a continuous downward trend. From the daily K-line structure, the continuous decline suggests a further decline. However, overall, it is still oscillating within a wide range of 72.0-82.0, and may return to the lower range, but breaking through will be difficult. It may also end up oscillating after a downward probe. The 4-hour chart continues to decline below the midline, and the step-by-step downward trend continues. Yesterday's high point of 78.0 is the critical point for short-term bears and also the short-term defense point for the midline Bollinger band. Below this point, traders can consider short positions. The overall break of the hourly chart support level of 76.0 has turned into short-term resistance. Taking into account yesterday's rebound and subsequent decline, today's trading may repeat this type of oscillating downward trend, with only the strength of the rebound determining the entry point for short positions.
In summary, for short-term trading in crude oil today, it is recommended to focus on the resistance level of 78.0-79.0 and the support level of 74.0-73.0.
Welcome to the discussion channel and express your thoughts
Crude long-term viewI count crude as wave circle C of a larger wave 4 that started in 2008. So far it looks like wave 1 of circle C is complete and crude is papering for a bounce in wave 2 (somewhere to 95-100 zone). Overall target for the larger wave 4 is in the 20-25 range. We then should expect a sharp rally to 200 level into 2027-28.
WTI CRUDE OIL can rise in the next 2 months back to $110 accordiWTI Crude Oil has been trading in the past two months on the Rising Support that emerged on the March 2021 Low. The longer it holds, the more likely a medium term (2 month) rebound is, back to the Resistance Zone and $110.
The reversal on the 1week MACD also supports that.
If the Rising Support breaks, the 1week MA200 will be the last level of Support before the Oil market collapses long term to the $35 Support Zone.
P.S. Short term still looks like the analysis below:
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WTI OIL Perfect shortCrude Oil crossed under Support A on Friday but today is rising and hit the 1day MA50 again. We followed a very successful model last time as indicated below for selling high and buying low:
Based on this, today's rise is the countertrend rebound that both of the previous short constructs followed. We believe it will be short lived and serves as a new sell point. We target 73.50.
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easyMarkets WTI Oil Daily - Quick Technical OverviewDisclaimer:
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WTI Potential for Bearish Drop | 1st February 2023Looking at the H4 chart, my overall bias for WTI is bearish due to the current price being below the Ichimoku cloud , indicating a bearish market.
Looking for a pullback sell entry at 79.070, where the 38.2% Fibonacci line is. Stop loss will be at 82.525, where the recent high is. Take profit will be at 72.607, where the recent lowis
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, as general market commentary, and do not constitute investment advice. The market commentary has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research, and it is therefore not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of dissemination. Although this commentary is not produced by an independent source, FXCM takes all sufficient steps to eliminate or prevent any conflicts of interest arising out of the production and dissemination of this communication. The employees of FXCM commit to acting in the clients' best interests and represent their views without misleading, deceiving, or otherwise impairing the clients' ability to make informed investment decisions. For more information about the FXCM's internal organizational and administrative arrangements for the prevention of conflicts, please refer to the Firms' Managing Conflicts Policy. Please ensure that you read and understand our Full Disclaimer and Liability provision concerning the foregoing Information, which can be accessed on the website.
WTI Potential for Bearish Drop | 1st February 2023Looking at the H4 chart, my overall bias for WTI is bearish due to the current price being below the Ichimoku cloud , indicating a bearish market.
Looking for a pullback sell entry at 79.070, where the 38.2% Fibonacci line is. Stop loss will be at 82.525, where the recent high is. Take profit will be at 72.607, where the recent lowis
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, as general market commentary, and do not constitute investment advice. The market commentary has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research, and it is therefore not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of dissemination. Although this commentary is not produced by an independent source, FXCM takes all sufficient steps to eliminate or prevent any conflicts of interest arising out of the production and dissemination of this communication. The employees of FXCM commit to acting in the clients' best interests and represent their views without misleading, deceiving, or otherwise impairing the clients' ability to make informed investment decisions. For more information about the FXCM's internal organizational and administrative arrangements for the prevention of conflicts, please refer to the Firms' Managing Conflicts Policy. Please ensure that you read and understand our Full Disclaimer and Liability provision concerning the foregoing Information, which can be accessed on the website.
WTI Potential for Bearish Drop | 31st January 2023Looking at the H4 chart, my overall bias for WTI is bearish due to the current price being below the Ichimoku cloud , indicating a bearish market.
Looking for a pullback sell entry at 79.070, where the 23.6% Fibonacci line is. Stop loss will be at 82.525, where the recent high is. Take profit will be at 72.607, where the recent lowis
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, as general market commentary, and do not constitute investment advice. The market commentary has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research, and it is therefore not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of dissemination. Although this commentary is not produced by an independent source, FXCM takes all sufficient steps to eliminate or prevent any conflicts of interest arising out of the production and dissemination of this communication. The employees of FXCM commit to acting in the clients' best interests and represent their views without misleading, deceiving, or otherwise impairing the clients' ability to make informed investment decisions. For more information about the FXCM's internal organizational and administrative arrangements for the prevention of conflicts, please refer to the Firms' Managing Conflicts Policy. Please ensure that you read and understand our Full Disclaimer and Liability provision concerning the foregoing Information, which can be accessed on the website.
Quick setup on OIL; LONG.Quick technical setup on OIL .
Bounce from the H4 ichimoku cloud . TARGET: W1 KIJUN.
Additional confirmation from luxalgo indicators on D1 and H1; H4 begins to generate signal.
Breakout of the trend line on D1 and H1. In addition, on D1 there is a test of the trend line and closing of the price above. STRONG BUY.
Write by
Jarosław Dzwierzyński
@sapiensaureus
Manticore Investments