The support is not broken:upYesterday's long positions in crude oil yielded good profits, and after taking profits, crude oil experienced a temporary decline. Currently, the medium to long-term strategy for crude oil is still biased towards long positions. The chart shows two support levels and two possible trends. Aggressive traders can go long now, but they should be mindful of their position sizes. Conservative traders can watch and wait for the next move.
From a technical analysis perspective, crude oil rose then fell yesterday, with the highest rebound reaching the 78.0 resistance level and then declining below the 4-hour midline. It fell again at the end of the day, and closed at a low point. The daily chart closed with a bearish K-line, forming a continuous downward trend. From the daily K-line structure, the continuous decline suggests a further decline. However, overall, it is still oscillating within a wide range of 72.0-82.0, and may return to the lower range, but breaking through will be difficult. It may also end up oscillating after a downward probe. The 4-hour chart continues to decline below the midline, and the step-by-step downward trend continues. Yesterday's high point of 78.0 is the critical point for short-term bears and also the short-term defense point for the midline Bollinger band. Below this point, traders can consider short positions. The overall break of the hourly chart support level of 76.0 has turned into short-term resistance. Taking into account yesterday's rebound and subsequent decline, today's trading may repeat this type of oscillating downward trend, with only the strength of the rebound determining the entry point for short positions.
In summary, for short-term trading in crude oil today, it is recommended to focus on the resistance level of 78.0-79.0 and the support level of 74.0-73.0.
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WTI-OIL
Crude long-term viewI count crude as wave circle C of a larger wave 4 that started in 2008. So far it looks like wave 1 of circle C is complete and crude is papering for a bounce in wave 2 (somewhere to 95-100 zone). Overall target for the larger wave 4 is in the 20-25 range. We then should expect a sharp rally to 200 level into 2027-28.
WTI CRUDE OIL can rise in the next 2 months back to $110 accordiWTI Crude Oil has been trading in the past two months on the Rising Support that emerged on the March 2021 Low. The longer it holds, the more likely a medium term (2 month) rebound is, back to the Resistance Zone and $110.
The reversal on the 1week MACD also supports that.
If the Rising Support breaks, the 1week MA200 will be the last level of Support before the Oil market collapses long term to the $35 Support Zone.
P.S. Short term still looks like the analysis below:
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WTI OIL Perfect shortCrude Oil crossed under Support A on Friday but today is rising and hit the 1day MA50 again. We followed a very successful model last time as indicated below for selling high and buying low:
Based on this, today's rise is the countertrend rebound that both of the previous short constructs followed. We believe it will be short lived and serves as a new sell point. We target 73.50.
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WTI Potential for Bearish Drop | 1st February 2023Looking at the H4 chart, my overall bias for WTI is bearish due to the current price being below the Ichimoku cloud , indicating a bearish market.
Looking for a pullback sell entry at 79.070, where the 38.2% Fibonacci line is. Stop loss will be at 82.525, where the recent high is. Take profit will be at 72.607, where the recent lowis
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, as general market commentary, and do not constitute investment advice. The market commentary has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research, and it is therefore not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of dissemination. Although this commentary is not produced by an independent source, FXCM takes all sufficient steps to eliminate or prevent any conflicts of interest arising out of the production and dissemination of this communication. The employees of FXCM commit to acting in the clients' best interests and represent their views without misleading, deceiving, or otherwise impairing the clients' ability to make informed investment decisions. For more information about the FXCM's internal organizational and administrative arrangements for the prevention of conflicts, please refer to the Firms' Managing Conflicts Policy. Please ensure that you read and understand our Full Disclaimer and Liability provision concerning the foregoing Information, which can be accessed on the website.
WTI Potential for Bearish Drop | 1st February 2023Looking at the H4 chart, my overall bias for WTI is bearish due to the current price being below the Ichimoku cloud , indicating a bearish market.
Looking for a pullback sell entry at 79.070, where the 38.2% Fibonacci line is. Stop loss will be at 82.525, where the recent high is. Take profit will be at 72.607, where the recent lowis
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, as general market commentary, and do not constitute investment advice. The market commentary has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research, and it is therefore not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of dissemination. Although this commentary is not produced by an independent source, FXCM takes all sufficient steps to eliminate or prevent any conflicts of interest arising out of the production and dissemination of this communication. The employees of FXCM commit to acting in the clients' best interests and represent their views without misleading, deceiving, or otherwise impairing the clients' ability to make informed investment decisions. For more information about the FXCM's internal organizational and administrative arrangements for the prevention of conflicts, please refer to the Firms' Managing Conflicts Policy. Please ensure that you read and understand our Full Disclaimer and Liability provision concerning the foregoing Information, which can be accessed on the website.
WTI Potential for Bearish Drop | 31st January 2023Looking at the H4 chart, my overall bias for WTI is bearish due to the current price being below the Ichimoku cloud , indicating a bearish market.
Looking for a pullback sell entry at 79.070, where the 23.6% Fibonacci line is. Stop loss will be at 82.525, where the recent high is. Take profit will be at 72.607, where the recent lowis
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, as general market commentary, and do not constitute investment advice. The market commentary has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research, and it is therefore not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of dissemination. Although this commentary is not produced by an independent source, FXCM takes all sufficient steps to eliminate or prevent any conflicts of interest arising out of the production and dissemination of this communication. The employees of FXCM commit to acting in the clients' best interests and represent their views without misleading, deceiving, or otherwise impairing the clients' ability to make informed investment decisions. For more information about the FXCM's internal organizational and administrative arrangements for the prevention of conflicts, please refer to the Firms' Managing Conflicts Policy. Please ensure that you read and understand our Full Disclaimer and Liability provision concerning the foregoing Information, which can be accessed on the website.
Quick setup on OIL; LONG.Quick technical setup on OIL .
Bounce from the H4 ichimoku cloud . TARGET: W1 KIJUN.
Additional confirmation from luxalgo indicators on D1 and H1; H4 begins to generate signal.
Breakout of the trend line on D1 and H1. In addition, on D1 there is a test of the trend line and closing of the price above. STRONG BUY.
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Jarosław Dzwierzyński
@sapiensaureus
Manticore Investments
WTI OIL: Top of Rising Wedge. Trade the rejection or the break.WTI Crude Oil hit the top (HH 1) of the Rising Wedge and got rejected initially but today we see a strong push back to the top. The 1D technicals are bullish (RSI = 61.888, MACD = 1.310, ADX = 33.690) and probably is what's pushing the price back to test the HH 1 again.
Until the time the HH 1 breaks, we are staying neutral, but with more bearish bias. Those will be confirmed if the 4H MA50 breaks, which is the bearish trigger. Then we will sell with TP = 77.00 - 76.00, depending on the 4H MA200 as well. Then as long as the Rising Wedge and HL 1 hold, we will buy again with TP = 82.50 (R1). Break below HL1 will be an additional sell with TP = 72.50 (S2).
The bullish trigger is the R1 whose top is 83.30. Above it we will buy with TP = 87.00 (R2).
Previous analysis:
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WTI Oil Macro LevelsGood Evening Everyone,
Please watch the entire video to understand my break down and thesis.
As always trade safe set stops set takes and make sure you are always using appropriate risk for your RR.
Happy Trading + Safe Trading = Profits
I'll get back to posting more frequently if we can give this video some love!!!! Cheers
WTI OIL LONG Falling Wedge Looks like OIL could be setting up for a nice long
Falling wedge on the weekly
Bullish divergence on the 3Day and down
Bullish Bat on the 4 H
Any pull back on WTI ill be looking to buy
I'll also be looking for a possible swing failure pattern of the last low
If we can reclaim the Value area then more upside is probable
WTI OilUSWTI chart on the 3D/Weekly time frame.
-Oil is difficult to predict, so political
-Short term bear
-Weekly rounding over but the monthly trend is still up
None of this should be interpreted as financial advice, I am not a professional or certified financial adviser! all charts, and or analysis' are my personal opinions and observations only!