WTI OIL Strong cyclical support zone can push it to $110.WTI Oil (USOIL) is having a strong correction, along with the majority of the markets due to the fears of an economic slowdown. In times like these, it is always productive to zoom out and look at the long-term perspective, preferably a multi-year one.
On the current analysis we look at the 1M time-frame, which offers useful insight on Oil's Cycles. As you can see, the 1M MA50 (blue trend-line) and 1M MA100 (green trend-line) form a formidable Support Zone that hasn't seen a monthly candle closing below it since March 2021.
In cyclical terms it appears that the market is around a state similar to the consolidations of July 2009 - September 2010 and April 2002 - September 2003 (green arcs). They both offered a minimum rise of +65% to +70% following a Bullish Cross formation on the 1M MACD.
As a result, we are ignoring the short term weakness in the market and turn buyers long-term, targeting $110.00 (+65%).
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. **
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
💸💸💸💸💸💸
👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
WTI
Hellena | Oil (4H): Short to support area 72.631 (Wave 3).Dear colleagues, I am still hoping for a downward movement, it's just that I have revised the wave formation because the price has gone quite high.
At the moment, I believe that the price is now completing the movement in the senior wave "2". After reaching the resistance area of 84.00 - 85.00, I expect the beginning of the big wave "3"!
Therefore, I suggest to take what happened as an opportunity to enter a short position in the most profitable way!
Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
The Leap - D3The Leap competition is live and so is Pinchpips.
Focusing on the behemoth of OANDA:WTICOUSD and $OANDA:XAUUSD.
Not typical markets but testing swing zones on the instruments to check efficacy on a daily TF.
SZ are set for OANDA:WTICOUSD but price action determines entry
Currently ranked 2716.
www.tradingview.com
Crude Oil (XTIUSD) Make or Break LevelAs per my analysis WTI Crude Oil is at make or break level. 72.47 is now a trend live of 3 month candle low, if it breaks then we can expect for more downside up to 68.40. If price sustained and take support from 72.47 the we can see upside move to 82.08.
Note: This is my personal analysis, only to learn stock/commodity market behavior. Kindly do your analysis/ research to take any trade. Thanks & Regards.
USOIL Trading IdeaBased on Simple Technical Analysis ( Trendline + Support & Resistance )
Risk Disclaimer:
Please be advised that I am not telling anyone how to spend or invest their money. Take all of my analysis as my own opinion, as entertainment, and at your own risk. I assume no responsibility or liability for any errors or omissions in the content of this page, and they are for educational purposes only. Any action you take on the information in these analysis is strictly at your own risk. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Past results are not indicative of future returns. Good luck :-)
West Texas Oil / Problems in the Middle East?Hey traders
We have oil here at critical zone will it break up or down?, a big pullback on middle east worries, I think things will calm down, and possibly we will get another leg drop, so I will be selling oil back down.
Please like comment and follow cheers
This chart material is for education purposes only / Demo account should be traded only.
CRUDE OIL (WTI): Support & Resistance Analysis
Here is my latest structure analysis and
important support & resistance levels to watch and trade on WTI Crude Oil.
Resistance 1: 78.5 - 78.8 area
Resistance 2: 80.2 - 80.5 area
Resistance 3: 82.8 - 83.7 area
Resistance 4: 84.0 - 84.5 area
Support 1: 74.6 - 75.2 area
Support 2: 72.4 - 72.8 area
Consider these structures for pullback/breakout trading.
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
WTI Oil H4 | Approaching pullback resistanceWTI Oil (USOIL) is rising towards a pullback resistance and could potentially reverse off this level to drop lower.
Sell entry is at 79.03 which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 50.0% Fibonacci retracement level.
Stop loss is at 80.63 which is a level that sits above the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level and a pullback resistance.
Take profit is at 76.38 which is a pullback support.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 68% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd, previously FXCM EU Ltd (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 73% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com):
Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com
Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
WTI crude oil recovered nearly 5%, supported but still limitedTVC:USOIL rebounded sharply nearly 5% on Wednesday, far from the nearly 2-month low reached on Tuesday after the assassination of the leader of Hamas in Iran, investors fear the conflict in the Middle East could widen and the volume US crude oil inventories boosted. The Federal Reserve sent the market a signal in September to cut interest rates, and the US Dollar index dropped sharply, also creating momentum for oil prices.
Government data showed US crude inventories fell by 3.4 million barrels last week, while the market expected a decline of 1.1 million barrels. Crude oil inventories fell for the fifth consecutive week, the longest consecutive decline since January 2021.
The news that Hamas leader Ismail Haniyeh was assassinated in Iran has increased tensions in the Middle East overnight. The US Dollar Index fell 0.4% on Wednesday, which also supported oil prices. The Fed kept interest rates steady but left open the possibility of reducing borrowing costs at its next meeting in September.
The Joint Ministerial Monitoring Committee (JMMC) of the OPEC+ alliance consisting of the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) and allies including Russia will meet today (Thursday). The alliance is expected to maintain current production policies and lift some output cuts starting in October.
During this trading day, investors also need to pay attention to deeper market developments regarding the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision, pay attention to new news on the geopolitical situation, pay attention to the US ISM manufacturing PMI for July and initial unemployment numbers. US claims for the week ending July 27.
On the daily chart of WTI crude oil, despite a very strong recovery since the lower edge of the confluence price channel with the 0.786% Fibonacci retracement level, WTI crude oil is currently limited in its recovery by the Fibonacci 0.50%.
Meanwhile, the bearish structure is still unaffected with the price channel as the main trend and pressure from the 21-day moving average (EMA21).
As long as WTI crude oil maintains price activity within the channel and below Ema21, the technical outlook remains bearish with notable technical levels listed below.
Support: 77.10 – 75.07USD
Resistance: 78.52 – 79.94USD
WTI extends rally to form bullish signI think today's big reversal qualifies as a key reversal day on oil. The rally means WTI is forming a three-bar reversal pattern on its daily time frame. Prices have been supported by further sharper-than-expected drop in US oil stocks, suggesting US driving seasons is well and truly underway. A close above the shaded area on the chart in the next couple of days would further boost the appeal of WTI on the long-side. Longer-term, we will need to see a clean breakout from the converging trend lines for prices to establish a clear directional bias.
By Fawad Razaqzada, market analyst at FOREX.com
US Crude Oil Prices Hover at $82: Bearish Setup in Sight?US crude oil prices continue to fluctuate within a sideways trading range, currently hovering around the $82.00 mark. This consolidation phase has presented an intriguing supply area, suggesting a potential bearish movement in the near term.
In this context, it's essential to consider the positions of various market participants. Commercial traders, who often include producers and large institutions, are maintaining a bearish stance. This bearish sentiment from the commercial side contrasts with the behavior of retail traders, who are currently in buying mode. This divergence between commercial and retail positions can be a significant indicator of potential market direction.
Given the current market conditions, we are monitoring this supply area for a bearish setup. On a daily timeframe, the possible targets for this bearish movement are the next demand areas. These zones represent potential levels where buying interest might re-emerge, providing support to the prices.
While there isn't a strong seasonal trend supporting a bearish continuation, statistical analysis suggests that there could be a bearish impulse lasting until mid-August. This potential decline aligns with historical patterns, even though the current market lacks a definitive seasonal bias for a prolonged bearish trend.
The interplay between commercial and retail traders' positions provides a nuanced view of market sentiment. Commercial traders' bearish outlook, combined with the retail traders' bullish stance, creates a dynamic environment that could lead to significant price movements. This scenario highlights the importance of closely monitoring market sentiment and positioning to identify potential trading opportunities.
In conclusion, US crude oil prices remain in a sideways range around $82.00, with an interesting supply area indicating a possible bearish movement. The contrasting positions of commercial and retail traders add complexity to the market outlook. Despite the absence of strong seasonal trends, statistical analysis suggests a potential bearish impulse until mid-August. Traders should remain vigilant and consider these factors when developing their trading strategies in the current market environment.
✅ Please share your thoughts about Crude Oil in the comments section below and HIT LIKE if you appreciate my analysis. Don't forget to FOLLOW ME; you will help us a lot with this small contribution.
Texas Oil to continue in the downward move at market price?WTI - 24h expiry
Our short term bias remains negative.
Our bespoke support of 77.06 has been clearly broken.
Previous support at 77.50 now becomes resistance.
We look for a temporary move higher.
We look for losses to be extended today.
We look to Sell at 77.50 (stop at 78.30)
Our profit targets will be 75.50 and 75.15
Resistance: 77.13 / 77.50 / 78.00
Support: 76.60 / 75.80 / 75.4
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
WTI Oil H4 | Pullback resistance at Fibonacci confluenceWTI oil (USOIL) is rising towards a pullback resistance and could potentially reverse off this level to drop lower.
Sell entry is at 77.35 which is a pullback resistance that aligns with a confluence of Fibonacci levels i.e. the 23.6% and 61.8% retracement levels.
Stop loss is at 78.90 which is a level that sits above the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level and a pullback resistance.
Take profit is at 75.43 which is a pullback support.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 68% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd, previously FXCM EU Ltd (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 73% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com):
Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com
Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Oil prices losing strength due to China's economic slowdown
Oil prices continue to trend downward, as are expectations for increased U.S. oil production and pessimism about the Chinese economy. Expectations are growing that oil prices will gradually fall following reports that new wells will be drilled in US shale fields, and the costs for them will drop significantly by about 10% this year alone. Meanwhile, the economic slowdown in China, the world's largest crude oil importer, is also putting downward pressure on oil prices. China's oil imports in June fell 10.7% amid disappointment that the PBoC's rate cuts were not large enough to boost the Chinese economy.
USOIL (WTI) has been trending downward over the past week, falling to the 75.10 level. After death-crossed, both EMAs rapidly widen the gap and send out a typical bearish signal. If USOIL fails to hold the 75.00 support, where the trend line intersects, the price could fall further to 72.50. Conversely, if USOIL advances toward the 76.80 resistance after recovering EMA21, the price may gain upward momentum toward the 78.20 level.
2024-07-29 - priceactiontds - daily update - oilGood Evening and I hope you are well.
comment: Lower low again after market formed a perfect double top with Globex high, which was couple of ticks above Globex open. Market is going down but barely. Bears taking profits at new lows and wait for market to go higher again before they sell it. 1h 20ema is a roller coaster. Need to trade small, have wide stops and wait for decent pullbacks.
current market cycle: trending trading range or broad bear channel, whatever you prefer to call it
key levels: 74 - 78
bull case: Bulls buying new lows and making money. That’s about it. They are too weak to push to make new highs and bears will probably stop at bigger resistance which I think is below 74.
Invalid below 73.
bear case: Bears in control but they are taking profits at new lows and thats why the channel down is so broad and we have two sided trading. Play the bear channel until it’s clearly broken. Do not try to be a rocket scientist here and start with macro schmackro stuff about oil. It’s going down, look for shorts. Be Forest Gump and not Cathie Wood.
Invalid above 78.
short term: Bearish. Play the channel.
medium-long term: We are seeing the big triangle playing out between 72 and 86 (could also be 87 but for now I see the spike above 83 as a failed breakout of the triangle. We hit the lower trend line and now we will test back up to above 83. —will update this Wednesday
current swing trade: Still short since 82.69.
trade of the day: Selling the double top Globex and EU high at 77.6. Had to get short latest at bar 42 but better 41 since it was also a head & shoulders or the top of the trading range. More than enough reasons to sell.
CRUDE OIL WILL FALL|SHORT|
✅CRUDE OIL is trading in a
Downtrend and the price
Broke the key horizontal
Level of 76.50$ which is now
A resistance and the breakout
Is confirmed so we are bearish
Biased and we will be expecting
A further bearish continuation
SHORT🔥
✅Like and subscribe to never miss a new idea!✅
Oil Moves At The End Of July..Over a mid-long term period we have seen Oil slowly close in on its price range.
This comes as the Market awaits a larger sentiment inflow and move either largely up or down.
In my previous posts on Tradingview, I mentioned it short various times, so our bias remains the same on any rises.
Any longs, really, need a larger fall to key support levels below.
WTI Oil - 4HWTI oil completed its second bullish leg and has now formed a reversal setup. The price action shows that WTI missed the ascending channel support and is currently consolidating below the previous support zone, which has now turned into a resistance level. This suggests a potential bearish outlook as the price struggles to regain upward momentum.
With the recent break of the ascending channel, it is expected that WTI may continue its downward trajectory. The consolidation under the new resistance zone indicates seller strength, and further declines could be seen if the price fails to break back above this resistance. Traders should watch for key support levels around $81 and $78 for potential buy signals or continuation of the bearish trend.
WTI rebounds after larger crude drawdownAfter falling sharply in the last few days, crude oil prices were trying to form support as WTI tested its technically-important 200-day average following the release of US oil inventories data. The data showed a larger-than-expected drawdown of 3.7 million barrels on the headline front. Stocks of oil products (gasoline and distillates) and crude inventories at Cushing all showed drawdowns too. In theory, oil prices should find some support on the back of these numbers. However, with global economic data remaining soft this week, demand concerns continue to hold back oil prices. So, a clear bullish signal is needed to encourage the bulls to step back in on oil.
If we see any distinct bullish reversal signals on WTI or Brent, then this would suggest that at least some buying could be on the way in the days ahead, as the previous selling pressure is potentially replaced by buying. Let’s see if that happens today.
By Fawad Razaqzada, market analyst at FOREX.com