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WTI Oil H4 | Potential bullish bounceWTI oil (USO/USD) could fall towards a pullback support and potentially bounce off this level to rise towards our take profit target. Entry: 75.866 Why we like it: There is a pullback support that aligns with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level Stop Loss: 74.128 Why we like it: There is a pullback support that aligns close to the 50.0% Fibonacci retracement level Take Profit: 79.364 Why we like it: There is a swing-high resistance level Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
VANTAGE:USOUSDLong
by VantageMarkets
a daily price action after hour update - wti crude oilGood evening and i hope you are well. Here is a quote from my substack on Monday about oil: "Most interesting market today. I do believe its a breakout of the bear channel, beginning 2023-09, if bulls can generate follow through tomorrow/Wednesday. The trend line on higher time frames is more of an area than a narrow line with exact prices. But we are there and had a strong bull day. This could be leg 2 of a 3 legged move and a measured move target could bring us to around 80 again. That would certainly make a whole lot of bears cover and fuel the rally probably further. I’d be very cautious with shorts here and look for strength. short term: sideways to up" Being prepared pays. Daily close above 75 and market is accelerating. 80 is my next target but i don’t think we get there without a pullback first. PB could be deep to the lower bull wedge around 75.5 but if we get there, the odds that it holds are excellent. short term: very short term, sideways to down but ultimately bullish for target 80. from there i wait for market to show new impulse. medium-long term: up trade of the day: that 1h 20ema held since Wednesday before us open. look for longs.
NYMEX:MCL1!Long
by priceactiontds
The Red Sea tensions - all you need to knowThe West Texas Intermediate crude oil has trended mostly sideways for over a month, moving between $68 and $75 per barrel. Yet, while the situation in the Middle East and the Red Sea continues to deteriorate, the oil market keeps growing increasingly ignorant of the dangers of a broader war in the region that could further disrupt the transit of goods and oil through (other) important shipping chokepoints and impact the oil supply (remember, the Middle East region accounts for about one-third of global oil supply). To put into perspective how bad the situation in the Red Sea has become (following the start of the Israel-Hamas War), here are a few numbers: the number of cargo ships and oil tankers transiting through the Bab el-Mandev Strait fell by approximately 50%, and the volume of the cargo (measured in metric tons) dropped by about 67% between 7th October 2023 and last Friday (with most of the decline starting in mid-December 2023 after major shipping like companies halted transit through the Red Sea). In addition to that, since the start of the year (until last Friday), the United Kingdom Maritime Trade Operation reported thirty-five instances of either attack, hijacking, incident, or suspicious approach in the area. Furthermore, about a week and a half ago, the United States and the United Kingdom finally decided to take more aggressive steps against Houthi’s harassment, launching airstrikes on their positions in Yemen. In response to that, the rebels vowed to continue fighting the United States and Israel (and their allies), executing multiple new attacks on commercial and military vessels in the regional waters (the terrorist group also announced a safe passage for Russian and Chinese ships). In essence, Houthi’s attacks against the United States Navy equal a declaration of war, something the United States is trying to deny as it attempts to avoid an all-out war with Houthis and other proxies of Iran (and potentially Iran itself; do not forget this is a highly political question for the United States as it would mean higher prices of oil and a likely return of rising inflation). Nevertheless, with Israel’s administration being opposed to stopping its campaign against Hamas in Gaza, it is improbable there will be any relief from Houthi’s attacks anytime soon. In fact, a lack of diplomatic efforts to end the Israel-Hamas War and to resolve the Red Sea crisis keeps increasing the risk of new parties entering the conflict and letting the war spiral out of control. As this has tremendous implications for the oil market (with the broader war being a highly bullish catalyst for the oil price), monitoring the situation in the Red Sea remains a high priority. However, as this scenario still remains only a speculation, our price target of $65 per barrel remains unaffected (at least for now); in the short term, though, we expect the USOIL to continue oscillating between $68 and $75 (and perhaps even breaking temporarily above this range). Illustration 1.01 Illustration 1.01 displays the daily chart of the USOIL. Yellow arrows indicate significant events in the Middle East. It can be observed that oil rose only slightly in response to the eruption of the Israel-Hamas War on 7th October 2023, and then quickly reversed the direction. Once Houthi rebels began to ramp up their attacks on commercial and military ships in November 2023, oil ticked higher only a bit and then resumed a decline (it is important to note that Houthis were causing problems in the region already before the war). Then, in mid-December 2023, major shipping companies started to halt the transit of their ships through the region. Since then, the USOIL has trended mostly sideways (despite tensions continuing to rise). Technical analysis Daily time frame = Neutral Weekly time frame = Neutral Please feel free to express your ideas and thoughts in the comment section. DISCLAIMER: This analysis is not intended to encourage any buying or selling of any particular securities. Furthermore, it should not be a basis for taking any trade action by an individual investor or any other entity. Your own due diligence is highly advised before entering a trade.
TVC:USOILShort
by Tradersweekly
2
⚡️Strifor || USDCAD-23/01/2024Preferred direction: BUY Comment: The shorter-term view for the USDCAD currency pair is directed upward. The US dollar is still strong, and further strengthening is expected this week. The most likely scenario is growth from current levels. Less likely is a retest of the support area at the 1.34000 level. The long target is located at the level of 1.36000 ; considering a target above this level is still risky. Thank you for like and share your views!
Long
by Strifor
1
Hellena | Oil (4H): Long to resistance area of 76.08.Dear Colleagues. I hope you listened to my advice and took a great profit from the last forecast. And now I am considering the continuation of the upward movement. I suppose that the price will reach at least the resistance area of 76.08. Before this movement it is possible to form a corrective wave 2 in the area of 50%-61.8% Fibonacci levels of 71.66. Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
TVC:USOILLong
by Hellena_Trade
27
Time to Brace for GDP (and USD) Downside Surprise?Time to Brace for GDP (and USD) Downside Surprise? This Thursday marks the release of the initial estimate for the fourth quarter of 2023 GDP in the United States. If predictions hold true, there will be a noticeable deceleration in economic growth, with the market anticipating an annualized growth rate of 2%, a significant drop from the previous quarter's 4.9%. This slowdown underscores the impact of the Federal Reserve's interest rate hikes on the economy. Chief economist Ian Shepherdson from Pantheon Macroeconomics suggests a higher likelihood of a downside surprise in the GDP figures, potentially leading to a decrease in the US dollar. Commodity currencies might be some of the best to watch in this scenario, with US oil hitting prices not seen since Christmas 2023. However, not all banks share Shepherdson’s viewpoint. Here are the growth expectations from some major banks: ING: 2.5% Deutsche Bank: 2.3% Wells Fargo: 1.7% Goldman Sachs: 2.1% Citi: 2.0%
TVC:DXY
by BlackBull_Markets
Brent D1 swing trade bulls 35% buy/hold setup🔸Today let's review the daily chart for brent oil . Noteworthy bounce in progress after accumulation near lows, speculative XABCD setup in progress. 🔸XABCD is defined by point X at 97.45, point A at 73.70, point B at 93.85, point C (confirmed) at 76.85, point D in progress at 105.30. speculative trade setup with advanced entry reversal at point C. 🔸Recommended strategy for BULLS: buy/hold near market, or buy dips near point C, TP bulls is point D at 105.30, 35% gains potential (unleveraged). swing trade setup, patience required. good luck, traders! 🎁Please hit the like button and 🎁Leave a comment to support our team! RISK DISCLAIMER: Trading Futures , Forex, CFDs and Stocks involves a risk of loss. Please consider carefully if such trading is appropriate for you. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Always limit your leverage and use tight stop loss.
TVC:UKOILLong
by ProjectSyndicate
1
WTI H4 | Potential bullish bounce off 50% FiboWTI oil (USOIL) is falling towards a pullback support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher. Buy entry is at 72.754 which is a pullback support that aligns with the 50.0% Fibonacci retracement level. Stop loss is at 72.00 which is a level that sits under the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level. Take profit is at 74.681 which is a multi-swing-high resistance. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 67% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd, previously FXCM EU Ltd (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 72% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com): Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
FX:USOILLong
by FXCM
WTI H4 | Falling to 50% Fibo supportWTI oil (USO/USD) is falling towards a pullback support and could potentially bounce off this level to rise towards our take profit target. Entry: 72.402 Why we like it: There is a pullback support that aligns with the 50.0% Fibonacci retracement level Stop Loss: 70.938 Why we like it: There is a multi-swing-low support that aligns close to the 78.6% Fibonacci projection level Take Profit: 74.861 Why we like it: There is a pullback resistance level Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
VANTAGE:USOUSDLong
by VantageMarkets
USOIL Trading IdeaBased on Simple Technical Analysis ( Trendline + Support & Resistance ) Risk Disclaimer: Please be advised that I am not telling anyone how to spend or invest their money. Take all of my analysis as my own opinion, as entertainment, and at your own risk. I assume no responsibility or liability for any errors or omissions in the content of this page, and they are for educational purposes only. Any action you take on the information in these analysis is strictly at your own risk. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Past results are not indicative of future returns. Good luck :-)
FX:USOILLong
by ShahedZare
WTI H4 | Falling to 78.6% Fibo supportWTI oil (USOIL) is falling towards a pullback support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher. Buy entry is at 71.194 which is a pullback support that aligns with the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement level. Stop loss is at 69.900 which is a level that sits under a swing-low support and the 78.6% Fibonacci projection level. Take profit is at 74.216 which is a multi-swing-high resistance. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 67% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd, previously FXCM EU Ltd (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 72% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com): Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
FX:USOILLong
by FXCM
⚡️Strifor || BRENT-18/01/2024Preferred direction: SELL Comment: Sell-deal by oil is also relevant. Recent events in the OPEC arena did not have a positive impact on oil, and the decline continued. At the moment, the transaction has been moved to breakeven, and part of the profit has been fixed. However, on Thursday, there is a good opportunity to take a closer look at short-term short. The main trigger for this will be the continued formation of balance. The target for the fall of such a short-term deal coincides with the medium-term deal at the level of 72.36 . It should be noted that the instrument continues to trade near the minimum of last year, which is very dangerous for buyers since today, most likely, the long-term trend will be directed exactly below this threshold of last year. Thank you for like and share your views!
TVC:UKOILShort
by Strifor
1
⚡️Strifor || BRENT-11/01/2024Preferred direction: Neutral Comment: There is no particularly interesting situation in the medium term for oil yet, but we can say that there are still more signs of sell. After all, the instrument is in a downward global trend. The current accumulation after a small downward impulse is filled with purchases (long-orders), that is, there is a resource for moving down. As a target, we can consider the support level of 72.36, which is the minimum of the previous year. Regarding the longer term, most likely we will see updates to this low in 2023, and then an attempt to recover above this level. Thank you for like and share your views!
TVC:UKOIL
by Strifor
1
WTI Oil H4 | Falling to Fibo confluence supportWTI oil (USOUSD) is falling towards a pullback support and could potentially bounce off this level to rise towards our take profit target. Entry: 71.224 Why we like it: There is a pullback support that aligns with a confluence of Fibonacci levels i.e. the 78.6% retracement and the 61.8% projection levels Stop Loss: 70.041 Why we like it: There is a swing-low support that sits under the 78.6% Fibonacci projection level Take Profit: 73.516 Why we like it: There is a pullback resistance level Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
VANTAGE:USOUSDLong
by VantageMarkets
WTI OIL Bullish squeeze. Strong rally incoming.WTI Oil (USOIL) is under a heavy technical squeeze as it has been trading for days within the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line as Resistance) and the 1W MA200 (red trend-line as Support) and the width has now gotten extremely tight that a break-out is inevitable. The very same squeeze was last spotted on July 03 2023, when the price marginally broke above the 1D MA50 but failed to close above it, only to rally over it two days later. This is what happened on Friday. With the 1D RSI also on Higher Lows (i.e. Bullish Divergence) as in July, we expect a bullish break-out that as with the July rally, will reach at least the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level. Our Target is 82.50. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
TVC:USOILLong
by TradingShot