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WTI 69.40 BULLS / APPROACHING 72.50 free daily planAs discussed in yesterday’s plan over @ Voila's Oil Trading (substack) why 69.40 key level will be delivering a strong push towards our 1st top of range target - 72.50. WTI 4 hour: WTI is pushing off 69.40 our intraday support . This buying will need to sustain above the 69.77 daily pivot as we look for a definitive break of 70.35 today… towards the 72.50 major resistance. We should only be minimizing long risk if price action is indicative of a 69.40 level break here. It’s not right now as the 4hr shows a 20 ema (red) trend holding. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Trade Plan! Continued buying above 69.40, long to the next levels: - 70.35 , 71.70 , 72.50 Strong selling below 69.40, short to the next levels: - 68.00 Daily pivot is 69.77
TVC:USOILLong
by trad070
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FPMARKETS:WTILong
by Thief_Trader
2
WTI - oil on fire!WTI oil is above EMA200 and EMA50 in the 4H time frame and is moving in its downward channel. If the upward trend continues and the ceiling of the channel is broken, one can first look for positions to buy it and then look for positions to sell oil in the supply zone. A downward correction towards the demand zones will provide us with the next positions to buy oil with the appropriate risk reward. Oil prices climbed as tensions between Russia and Ukraine escalated. Following Ukraine’s announcement that Russia launched an intercontinental ballistic missile targeting the central city of Dnipro, Brent crude rose to $74 per barrel. Previously, Ukraine had primarily relied on long-range weaponry supplied by Western nations. If confirmed, this missile strike would mark the first use of such a weapon since its development during the Cold War era. In recent days, additional bullish signals for oil prices have emerged. Refinery product premiums relative to crude oil have reached multi-month highs. In the United States, as fuel producers along the coasts ramped up production to meet rising export demand, profit margins for converting crude oil into gasoline and diesel hit record levels. According to Reuters, OPEC+ is likely to maintain significant oil production cuts for an extended period due to weak global demand. Analysts and insiders suggest that the OPEC+ meeting in December will face major constraints in determining production policy. While increasing production amid weak demand could be risky, further cuts may prove challenging as some members push to raise output. OPEC+, which includes Russia and produces nearly half of the world’s oil, has repeatedly delayed its gradual production increase plans this year. Meanwhile, rising gas prices are creating tough challenges for European policymakers as they brace for a harsh winter. Javier Blas, a Bloomberg columnist, argues that Europe has yet to fully grasp the energy crisis stemming from Russia’s invasion of Ukraine. He asserts that the continent has mistaken recent strategic successes for mere weather-related luck, but the situation has now deteriorated. This points to another winter of high gas and electricity prices, placing significant pressure on energy-intensive industries. Many large-scale manufacturers have announced plant closures and asset write-downs, while households face surging retail energy prices. This inflationary trend will add further complications for the European Central Bank and the Bank of England. Wholesale gas prices in Europe have risen to €47 per megawatt-hour, twice the February lows and 130% above the 2010-2020 average. Wall Street has raised concerns that a second Trump presidency could negatively impact oil prices, arguing that producers might ramp up drilling and production before facing Biden-era regulatory pressures. However, another faction in Wall Street suggests this narrative is incomplete. Standard Chartered points out that the nature of U.S. shale oil production makes it difficult to sustain long-term supply increases. Unlike OPEC producers, whose output is often controlled by state-owned oil companies, U.S. production is dominated by several large corporations, independent producers, and private firms. This perspective aligns with Goldman Sachs’ analysis. In July, Goldman Sachs predicted that U.S. crude oil production would grow by 500,000 barrels per day this year, a slower pace compared to last year’s 1 million barrels per day increase. Nevertheless, the U.S. will account for 60% of non-OPEC supply growth, with the Permian Basin expected to grow by 340,000 barrels per day annually—lower than the initial forecast of 520,000 barrels per day made by Wall Street analysts.
TVC:USOILLong
by Ali_PSND
WTI Oil H4 | Potential bearish reversalWTI oil (USOIL) has reversed off a resistance zone and it could drop lower from here. Sell entry is at 70.81 which is a pullback resistance that aligns close to the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level. Stop loss is at 73.00 which is a level that sits above a swing-high resistance. Take profit is at 66.90 which is a multi-swing-low support. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 64% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com): Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
FX:USOILShort
by FXCM
Hellena | Oil (4H): Short to 100% Fibo lvl 62.238.Colleagues! If we believe the wave pattern, the price is now in a strong impulsive downward movement. I believe that the price will renew the lows and rush to the area of 100% Fibonacci extension to the area of 62.238. Wave 3 lower wave should be completed there. But we should not forget that the price is in wave 3 of the higher and middle order, which means that there are more chances for a downward movement! There are 2 possible courses of action: 1) The riskier one is to open a short position on the market. 2) Conservative - wait for the price to rise, and enter with less risk. Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
PEPPERSTONE:SPOTCRUDEShort
by Hellena_Trade
38
WTI H1 | Bullish Reversal Based on the H1 chart analysis, we can see that the price is falling to our buy entry at 68.24, which is a pullback support close to 50% Fibo retracement Our take profit will be at 70.11, a pullback resistance. The stop loss will be placed at 66.95, which is an overlap support level. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 64% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd, previously FXCM EU Ltd (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com): Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
FX:USOILLong
by FXCM
Usoil trade setupWest Texas Intermediate (WTI), the US crude oil benchmark, is trading around $69.30 on Wednesday. The WTI price trades flat after Ukraine used US ATACMS missiles to strike Russian territory for the first time. On Tuesday, Russia’s defense ministry said that Ukraine hit a facility in the Bryansk region with six ATACAMS missiles. In response, Russian President Vladimir Putin lowered the threshold for a possible nuclear strike. The rising geopolitical tensions could boost the WTI price for the time being. "This marks a renewed build up in tensions in the Russia-Ukraine war and brings back into focus the risk of supply disruptions in the oil market," ANZ Bank analyst Daniel Hynes said.
TVC:USOIL
by KingForex078
WTI OIL 4H RSI Bullish Divergence sending a strong buy signal.WTI Oil (USOIL) stopped yesterday's rebound on the 4H MA50 (blue trend-line) and is now on a small pull-back. Technically that is the Resistance level it needs to break if it wants to break-out aggressively towards the long-term Resistance Zone. There are high probabilities of doing so, as the 4H RSI formed Higher Lows, which is a Bullish Divergence against the Lower Lows of the price. In fact, it is the exact same formation as the October 01 Low that rebounded aggressively above the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement level. As a result, we are bullish on this one, targeting $76.00 (the 0.786 Fib currently). ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
TVC:USOILLong
by TradingShot
3
Oil prices rebound on geopolitical concerns in Eastern Europe After a week of decline, oil prices rose sharply due to increased geopolitical risks in Eastern Europe, including the possibility of long-range missile attacks. Meanwhile, the IEA has noted a decline in global oil demand due to China's slowing economic growth. They added that this trend may result in an oversupply of 1 million barrels per day in the global crude oil market next year. After testing a trend line, USOIL advanced to 69.00. However, the price remains below both EMAs and still maintains bearish momentum. If USOIL breaks below the trend line again, the price could fall further to the support at 64.80. Conversely, if USOIL breaches above EMA21 and the 70.00 threshold, the price could gain upward momentum toward the resistance at 73.30.
TVC:USOIL
by inkicho_exness
2024-11-18 - priceactiontds - daily update - oilGood Evening and I hope you are well. tl;dr oil - I talked about the previous low 66.72 extensively and today bears dipped below but bulls bought it with vengeance. We are on our way to 70 and a test of the bear trend line from the October high. I do expect the lows to be in and we go higher from here. Best for bulls would be to make 68 support and keep the market above, below I am probably wrong and we chop more at the lows. comment : If bulls get follow through to 70 tomorrow, bulls are in control again until they fail at the bear trend line (breakout above is possible). I do think the low 66.27 can hold. Right now it’s unclear if bulls are as strong as today looks because it’s only an expanding triangle over the past 5 trading days and bulls could not close today above the daily 20ema which is 20 points above us. So it’s possible that the descending triangle continues for more days before we get a breakout. Not much interest in selling this though. Will continue to long against 67. current market cycle : trading range (big triangle on the daily chart) key levels: 66 - 70 bull case: Bulls need follow through and test 70 tomorrow. A close above it would turn the market always in long and bulls in full control then. The bear trend line is the next target to break but until that happens, 70 is likely resistance and we go more sideways. Invalidation is below 66.27 bear case: Bears want to keep the trading range at the lows going since they are making new lows. Selling above 69 has been profitable for the past week and until that changes and bulls trap bears, we can expect bears to keep trying. Invalidation is above 71. short term: Neutral but looking for longs when it’s clear that bulls can keep the 1h ema support. Will otherwise wait for market to come down to 67/67.5 and scale into longs. No interest in selling. medium-long term - Update from 2024-10-20: No idea where this wants to go in the remaining 2 months of this year so I am neutral until we have a better pattern. The big triangle on the weekly chart is alive and until that changes, no more updates. current swing trade: Nope trade of the day: Buying the liquidity grap down to 66.27. The price action there on the very low tf was really interesting. Basically bears just left. Two more quick retries but only made higher lows and then a giant give up bar by the bears for 123 ticks on the 1h tf.
NYMEX:MCL1!
by priceactiontds
2
#202446 - priceactiontds - weekly update - wti crude oil futuresGood Evening and I hope you are well. tl;dr wti crude oil futures: Neutral until bulls do more. 66.72 is still the low to be broken if bears want more downside, otherwise it’s a descending triangle with clear support around 67. It does look like bulls need an event to help them. Every small rip is sold and it’s a matter of time until one side gives up and we see another breakout. Last thing I want to be is bullish on this but until we have a daily close below 67, it’s huge support. Quote from last week: comment: Market is now trying for 4 weeks to get below 73 and still failing. Friday’s bar is decent enough that bears could have given up and market has to drop down to 68 or lower to 67 to find more buyers. The trading range 68 - 73 is still not broken and until it is, that is the range to play. I just expecting bears to be stronger next week than the bulls. comment: Huge support around 67 and bears need a daily close below for lower prices. Bulls a daily close above 69 for 70 and potentially 70.4. No more magic to it and I won’t make stuff up for the fun of it. Market has no direction for weeks and the range is tighter than my food exit. As long as market does not drop below 66.72, bulls are ok but it’s really tough to make money as a bull in this. If bears break that price, we go 65 next, followed by 63.5. current market cycle: trading range (descending triangle) key levels: 67 - 71 bull case: At this point I am too lazy to come up with something for either side. I follow the range and past pattern. Last week was bearish and support held. Next week I expect trading above 69-71. I stop being lazy once the given range breaks. Maybe long range missiles onto Russian Oil depots will help this break out. Invalidation is below 66.7. bear case: Either break below 66.7 or give up again. Below 66.7 we see 65.74 and then 65 next. Invalidation is above 69. outlook last week: short term : Neutral again. Range is unbroken, play it until it breaks. → Last Sunday we traded 70.38 and now we are at 67.02. Bad outlook but will probably touch 70 tomorrow or Tuesday again. Probably was just off due to Sunday-Sunday. short term: Neutral. medium-long term - Update from 2024-11-10: Unless an event comes up, this will very likely close around 70 for the year. current swing trade: None chart update: Nothing worth mentioning.
NYMEX:MCL1!
by priceactiontds
USDCAD - CAD look at the oil market!The USDCAD currency pair is above the EMA200 and EMA50 in the 4H timeframe and is moving in its upward channel. Due to the location of this currency pair at the ceiling of the channel, you can save a part of your purchase position. The correction of this currency pair towards the demand zones will provide us with the next buying positions. Monetary Policy in Canada • Interest Rate Cuts: Goldman Sachs forecasts that the Bank of Canada will cut interest rates by 50 basis points in December (previous forecast: 25 basis points). It is expected that this downward trend will continue, reaching a terminal rate of 2.25% by June 2025 (previous forecast: 2.50%). Oil Developments in the U.S. • Crude Oil Production: U.S. crude oil production has reached 13.23 million barrels per day this year, slightly higher than the previous figure of 13.22 million. For 2024, production is forecasted at 13.53 million barrels per day (a minor decrease from the previous forecast of 13.54 million barrels). • Crude Oil Prices: The average price of Brent oil in 2024 is projected at $80.95 per barrel (slightly higher than the previous forecast of $80.89). For 2025, the average is expected to decline to $76.06 per barrel (previous forecast: $77.59). The average price of West Texas Intermediate (WTI) oil is estimated at $77 per barrel in 2024 and $71.6 in 2025, slightly below earlier projections. Oil Demand: • U.S. oil demand for 2024 and 2025 is estimated at 20.3 million and 20.5 million barrels per day, unchanged from previous forecasts. OPEC and Production Adjustments: • Lower Global Demand Growth Forecasts: OPEC has reduced its forecasts for global oil demand growth in 2024 and 2025 to 1.82 and 1.54 million barrels per day, respectively (previous forecasts: 1.93 and 1.64 million). • Increased OPEC Production: OPEC’s average crude production in October rose to 26. 53 million barrels per day, a 466,000-barrel increase from September, primarily due to higher output from Libya. Geopolitical Issues and Iran’s Oil Policies • Iran’s Response to Sanctions: Iran’s oil minister announced that plans have been developed to maintain stable oil exports to counter potential policies from Donald Trump’s administration. • Negotiations Between Iran and the U.S.: Iranian sources reported that Tehran postponed an attack on Israel after Trump’s election to facilitate potential negotiations. Messages conveyed through Baghdad included recommendations to avoid escalating tensions and create an opportunity for talks. Developments in Lebanon and Israel • Ceasefire negotiations in Lebanon are nearing conclusion. Israeli sources have confirmed alignment between the U.S. and Israel on the ceasefire agreement. However, Lebanon’s situation remains complex, with ongoing discussions between Hezbollah, the parliament speaker, the prime minister, and U.S. officials.
Long
by Ali_PSND
WTI oil making its way to lowest point of this year?The commodity is near a key are of support right now, so let's see if today's US economic data can continue boosting the US dollar. If so, WTI oil may end up traveling further south. EASYMARKETS:OILUSD TVC:USOIL Disclaimer: easyMarkets Account on TradingView allows you to combine easyMarkets industry leading conditions, regulated trading and tight fixed spreads with TradingView's powerful social network for traders, advanced charting and analytics. Access no slippage on limit orders, tight fixed spreads, negative balance protection, no hidden fees or commission, and seamless integration. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. easyMarkets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
EASYMARKETS:OILUSD
by easyMarkets
WTI set for breakdown amid supply, demand concernsAlthough oil prices were trading higher at the time of this writing, it is becoming increasingly difficult to foresee a big rally at this stage, without any supply-side shocks. WTI's price action has been quite heavy as it continues to make lower lows and lower highs. While it has held its own around the December 2023 levels of around $67.00 to $68.00 area, this could prove to be a temporary respite before we potentially see a bigger breakdown. Not only has oil broken the key $69.30 to $70.00 support range, which is now holding as resistance, sentiment towards oil is increasingly turning bearish amid growing signs of excess surplus from non-OPEC. Indeed, the oil market is heading for a surplus next year, according to the IEA. The agency is forecasting an excess of over a million barrels per day, mainly due to faltering demand from China. Once the driver of global oil consumption, China has seen demand shrink for six consecutive months, largely as its economy pivots to electric vehicles and high-speed rail. Growing supplies from the US, Brazil, Canada, and Guyana keep the market well-supplied, says IEA. Demand growth this year and next will stay subdued due to slower economic growth and clean energy transitions. OPEC+ plans to cautiously restart production, with a 180,000-barrel-per-day increase set for January, though they’ll reassess in December. With supply growth outpacing demand, the market is likely to stay comfortably stocked well into 2025. Against this backdrop, crude oil looks set for a sharp drop after drifting lower in recent weeks. By Fawad Razaqzada, market analyst with FOREX.com
FOREXCOM:USOILShort
by FOREXcom