Crude Oil (WTI)This looks like it is poised to head back into a well established $70-$80 range (and then some!). Anticipated long-term USD strength, as well as extended Global economic weakness bodes well for an enduring price weakness outlook.
Technically, Crude is at a major pivot, both, at the top of a rising daily channel, as well as at the top of a descending weekly channel trend line, resulting in a significant confluence region - both of those having price-negative connotation.
The Daily (main signal);
SHORT on any reversal!
... and the 240 min. (secondary signal);
Wtianalysis
WTI trade analysis
Crude oil fluctuated upward last week, with the lowest at 86.6 and the highest at 90.7. The weekly closed at 90.3. From the weekly perspective, oil prices will continue to rise. On the daily line, the price fluctuated upward. In summary, the operation ideas this week are mainly callbacks. During the day, The four-hour line fluctuates upward. The hourly line fluctuates in a range. In summary, the main trend during the day is shock and upward. Let’s first look at the 88-91 range.
WTI 's rally could just be getting startedThe more we look at market positioning on WTI, the more we suspect that oil may be dominating headlines as we head into 2024.
In recent weeks we can see that large speculators and asset managers have been increasing long exposure and reducing shorts, which is the ideal scenario for a bullish trend. Yet net-long exposure for both sets of traders remains low by historical standards, and therefore shows no immediate threat of the move higher being extended. If anything, it could look underbought considering OPEC's desire to support prices.
And when you consider oil is rising despite the stronger US dollar, you get to appreciate how strong the rally could get if the dollar's rally were to falter. Either way, with a rising US dollar and oil prices, 2024 could get messy and perhaps risk assets will get their reckoning once more.
WTI Upside target 91.5
Crude oil continues to rise in the direction of the trend. Any intraday adjustment before reaching the new target of 91.50 is an opportunity to continue to be bullish in the short term. Of course, since the overall increase has been huge enough, the current space above is limited. Another one is in this round. It is the end of the rise, so it is not advisable to be overly bullish.
The operation suggestion is to wait for 89.50 to buy first line, stop loss at 89, and target 90.80~91.50. If it rises directly to 91.50, we will look at the pressure signals and decide whether to buy the top.
WTI Target breaks through 90
The overall trend of crude oil rose and fell back yesterday. After a slight rise, the bulls were unable to come out of the decline, but the bullish direction remained unchanged. After all, the bullish form on the daily line was good, and the moving averages were also arranged by bulls. If there is an unexpected second bottom, the bullish trend can continue. . Therefore, it is recommended to be directly bullish on 88.7, add positions to 88.3, lose 87.8, and look at 90-91. As long as the daily MA10 position does not break, the bullish idea remains unchanged. If it breaks below, it will face adjustments. We can then watch for a pullback. It may be a slow rising trend during the day!
US OIL / WTI Analysis 14Sep2023US Oil has a very strong bullish, by always forming new high. If at the end of this clock, a bullish candle is formed which is quite thick, it is likely that the price will continue to the right price of 91 in the Fibo extension area of 0.786 and contact with the channel line. We see again how the market reaction in the price area.
US OIL / WTI Analysis 10Sep2023The movement of US oil has been very bullish in recent months, it seems to be seen to be peak for a few moments ahead. If you look at the Elliot Wave series that occurs, Wave 5 is likely to end. If you want to Short, it's better to wait for prices to fall to the reversal and retrace areas.
US OIL / WTI Analysis 2Sep2023This week's US oil price movement is so constant. Bullish signal is very strong. The closure of this week finally forms a new high structure. If at this time the price leads to Wave 5, then there are several extension fibo targets that we can pay attention to. Possible prices to move to fibo extension 0.786 in the price range of 92
WYI overall analysis
The overall trend of crude oil yesterday was like a roller coaster, but last night it formed a V-shaped reversal. It fell below the 79.5 resistance within the day and rebounded again, but failed to break through the previous day's low of 77.6. We went long at the low point of 77.6, and successfully ushered in a big rise, with a stop profit of 78.6! From the daily line, the moving average is still in a short position, but the two closing lines are very long, indicating that the double-bottom support below 77.6 is effective, mainly because H4 came out of the stop loss trend and then fell back. A golden cross appeared on the moving average, and oil prices fell. If it breaks through the middle rail, the adjustment of crude oil is over. You can safely look at the points around 78.6, increase your position at 78.1, hold 77.6, pay attention to 79.5-80.1, and continue to increase your position.
US OIL WTI Analysis 17Aug2023Prices move towards Fibo Extensions 1, which intersect with Fibo Extensions 1,618, and then there is currently a correction. If the Elliot notation is still appropriate, then the price should be there at this time, Wave 4. With there still being the potential for bullishness, you can find an area for Long in SND below.
US Oil / WTI Analysis 30July2023Following last week's analysis, still in accordance with the price movement for next week. US Oil still looks very bullish with a tilt trend close to 45 degrees and at the closure of the week with full bullish candle shows the support of the buyer is still very strong. The closest target is currently in the price range of 83-84 which at that price is in contact with 2 areas of Fibo Extensions (Fibo Cluster)
WTI OIL / US OIL AnalysisUs oil is quite interesting. The movement is now in accordance with the analysis that I gave a few weeks ago.
There are things that are repeated here, namely the price of forming a curve bullish again. The possibility is the price of bullish is quite high, if we pull the fibo extension, then the possibility of the price of pursuing fibo extensions 1. Fibo Extension 1 is more or less parallel to Fibo Extensions 1,618 from Wave 1. Could be, Wave 3 will move to the area. Take the opportunity to Long when the price is corrected.
🚨 WTI HIGH PROBABILITY SELL SETUP SOON 🚨🚨 WTI HIGH PROBABILITY SELL SETUP SOON 🚨
* Here we can see clearly the next potential moves for West Texas Intermediate Crude Oil, in coming days or week.
* Im thinking there might be a Down Trend Move happening FIRST to form the Inverse Head & Shoulder Reversal Pattern before the Huge Bullish Move to Up Trend.
* I've labelled where i can see the Inverse Head & Shoulder that MIGHT happen or not.
* I've got Multiple SELL trades to look at.
* First SELL position is going to be a quick SCALPING move to execute.
* EP(SELL): 70.263
* TP: 69.910
* No SL provided for this trade, use your own discretion.
* Nest EP(SELL) is for the Next potential Big Drop to form the Shoulder.
* EP(SELL): 69.623
* TP: 68.951
* TP2: 68.016.
* No SL provided for this trade, use your own discretion.
* Keep your eye close on your trading positions.
* Happy pip hunting traders.
* FXKILLA *
🚨 WTI HIGH PROBABILITY BUY SETUP 🚨🚨 WTI HIGH PROBABILITY BUY SETUP 🚨
* Here we can see clearly the next potential move for West Texas Oil in coming trading week.
* It's going to be worth keeping a close eye on this trade, as WTI can generate tremendous profits if it is right trade.
* EP(BUY): 69.701
* TP: 70.747
* TP1: 71.550
* TP2: 72.153
* SL: 68.547
* Keep your eye close on your trading positions.
* Happy pip hunting traders.
* FXKILLA *
USOIL Top-down analysis Hello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
WTI Crude Oil Sell TP = 42.67On the weekly chart, the trend started on March 13, 2022 (linear regression channel).
There is a high probability of profit, since the channel is not yet closed. A possible take profit level is 42.67 ( this is the minimum take profit value, but it has a high percentage of payoff ).
But don't forget about SL = 98 .
Using a trailing stop is also a good idea!
Please leave your feedback, your opinion. I am very interested in it. Thank you!
Good luck!
Regards, WeBelieveInTrading
US OIL 3June2023I assume that if wave 2 is complete, and I draw a fibo extension from wave 1 to wave 2, then the distance of wave 3 if we take it at the level of 1.618 it will be parallel to the previous HH level. I believe the price is likely to continue to rise, and will look for the right area to buy.