WTI OIL (USOIL) Technical AnalysisUpon examining the WTI (West Texas Intermediate) crude oil chart, we observe a robust bullish trend, accompanied by a retracement to the 78.6% Fibonacci level. This significant pullback warrants attention, as price action appears poised for a deeper correction.
In our analysis, we consider historical price swings, taking into account seasonality patterns from previous years at the same time. By doing so, we explore the likelihood that institutional players may be positioning themselves to drive prices lower, targeting liquidity zones below previous support levels. Additionally, an imbalance is evident on the 4-hour timeframe.
Disclaimer: This technical analysis serves as an opinion and should not be construed as financial advice. Traders and investors should conduct their due diligence and seek professional counsel before making any trading decisions.
WTI (Crude Oil)
WTICO/USD, USD/JPY and AUD/USD on watch for me today.WTICO/USD:
• If price pushes up to and ideally just above our outer structure upper rayline, then regardless of how it does so I'll be waiting for a convincing impulse back down followed by a tight flag and then I'll be looking to get short with a reduced risk entry on the break of the flag.
• If price only pushes up to and ideally just above the upper rayline of our most recent piece of structure, then regardless of how it does so I'll once again be waiting for a convincing impulse back down followed by a tight flag and then I'll again be looking to get short with a reduced risk entry on the break of the flag.
• If neither of these setups present themselves then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises.
• If there's any ambiguity then I will not place either of these trades.
USD/JPY:
• If price impulses back down below the upper trend line of our most recent piece of structure, it does so in a convincing manor and a subsequent tight flag forms, then I'll be looking to get short with a reduced risk entry on the break of the flag.
• If this setup doesn't present itself then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises.
• If there's any ambiguity then I will not place this trade.
AUD/USD:
• If price impulses back up, it does so impulsively and in a convincing manner and a subsequent tight one hour flag forms, then I'll be looking to get long with a reduced risk entry on the break of the flag.
• If this setup doesn't present itself then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises.
• If there's any ambiguity then I will not place this trade.
No Forecast (WTICO/USD Trade Update).The market as it has for the whole of October is looking great frame a higher time frame perspective but very poor from a lower time frame one, at least in terms of opportunities which meet my plan. So this is just a quick trade update for you where the short trade that I placed yesterday on WTICO/USD is concerned.
Patience always pays folks and I'm in this game for the long haul, not with the intention of "getting risk quickly" like a large percentage of my fellow market participants are but with the intention of continuing to generate wealth for myself and my family steadily and when you let the market come to you as opposed to you chasing the market you'll feel empowered as I always do and this is going to increase your confidence in your trading ability as it has mine and it's this confidence and this mindset which is going to set you up for success as a trader.
Have a great weekend!
WTICO/USD and GBP/NZD on watch for me today.WTICO/USD:
• If price corrects and a tight one hour flag forms, then I'll be looking to get short with either a reduced risk entry on the break of the flag or a risk entry within it.
• If my entry requirements are not met then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises.
• If there's any ambiguity then I will not place a trade on this pair.
GBP/NZD:
• If price pushes up to and ideally just above our lower rayline and it does so correctively, then I'll be looking to get short with a risk entry either after a phase line break, or just below a one hour or a fifteen minute rejection from it.
• If my entry requirements are not met then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises.
• If there's any ambiguity then I will not place a trade on this pair.
GBP/NZD and SUGAR/USD on watch for me today.GBP/NZD:
• If price pushes up to and ideally just above our lower rayline and it does so correctively, then I'll be looking to get short with a risk entry either after a phase line break, or just below a one hour or a fifteen minute rejection from it.
• If my entry requirements are not met then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises.
• If there's any ambiguity then I will not place a trade on this pair.
SUGAR/USD:
• If price corrects and a tight one hour flag forms, then I'll be looking to get long with either a reduced risk entry on the break of the flag or a risk entry within it.
• If my entry requirements are not met then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises.
• If there's any ambiguity then I will not place a trade on this pair.
WTICO/USD, GBP/JPY, GBP/NZD and AUD/USD on watch for me today.WTICO/USD:
• If price corrects and a tight one hour flag forms, or it impulses down still further, it does so in a convincing manner and a subsequent tight one hour flag forms, then I'll be looking to get short with either a reduced risk entry on the break of the flag or a risk entry within it.
• If my entry requirements are not met then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises.
• If there's any ambiguity then I will not place a trade on this pair.
GBP/JPY:
• If price pushes up to and ideally just above the upper trend line of our most recent piece of structure and it does so correctively, then I'll be looking to get short with a risk entry either after a phase line break, or just below a one hour or a fifteen minute rejection from it.
• If my entry requirements are not met then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises.
• If there's any ambiguity then I will not place a trade on this pair.
GBP/NZD:
• If price pushes up to and ideally just above our lower rayline and it does so correctively, then I'll be looking to get short with a risk entry either after a phase line break, or just below a one hour or a fifteen minute rejection from it.
• If my entry requirements are not met then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises.
• If there's any ambiguity then I will not place a trade on this pair.
AUD/USD:
• If price pushes up to and ideally just above our upper rayline, then regardless of how it does so I'll be waiting for a convincing impulse back down followed by a tight one hour flag and then I'll be looking to get short either a reduced risk entry on the break of the flag or a risk entry within it.
• If my entry requirements are not met then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises.
• If there's any ambiguity then I will not place a trade on this pair.
NZD/JPY and WTICO/USD on watch for me today.NZD/JPY:
• If price pushes up to and ideally just above the upper trend line of our most recent piece of structure, then regardless of how it does so I'll be waiting for a convincing impulse back down followed by a tight flag and then I'll be looking to get short either a reduced risk entry on the break of the flag or a risk entry within it.
• If price only pushes up to and ideally just above our upper rayline, then regardless of how it does so I'll once again be waiting for a convincing impulse back down followed by a tight one hour flag and then I'll again be looking to get short either a reduced risk entry on the break of the flag or a risk entry within it.
• If my entry requirements are not met then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises.
• If there's any ambiguity then I will not place a trade on this pair.
WTICO/USD:
• If price corrects and a tight one hour flag forms, then I'll be looking to get short with a risk entry within the flag.
• If my entry requirements are not met then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises.
• If there's any ambiguity then I will not place a trade on this pair.
GBP/NZD, WTICO/USD and EUR/JPY on watch for me today.GBP/NZD:
• If price pushes up above our rayline, it does so impulsively and in a convincing manner and a subsequent tight one hour flag forms, then I'll be looking to get long with either a reduced risk entry on the break of the flag or a risk entry within it.
• If my entry requirements are not met then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises.
• If there's any ambiguity then I will not place a trade on this pair.
WTICO/USD:
• If price pushes down to and ideally just below our upper rayline and the last part of the move is corrective, then I'll be looking to get long with a risk entry either after a phase line break, or just above a one hour or a fifteen minute rejection from it.
• If price only pushes down to and ideally just below the lower ascending trend line or our most recent piece of structure and the last part of the move is corrective, then I'll again be looking to get long with a risk entry either after a phase line break, or just above a one hour or a fifteen minute rejection from it, but I'll be hiding my stop loss below our upper rayline for extra protection.
• If my entry requirements are not met then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises.
• If there's any ambiguity then I will not place a trade on this pair.
EUR/JPY:
• If price pushes down to and ideally just below our upper rayline and the last part of the move is corrective, then I'll be looking to get long with a risk entry either after a phase line break, or just above a one hour or a fifteen minute rejection from it.
• If my entry requirements are not met then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises.
• If there's any ambiguity then I will not place a trade on this pair.
WTICO/USD, USD/CAD, NZD/JPY and AUD/CHF on watch for me today.WTICO/USD:
• If price corrects and a tight one hour flag forms then I'll be looking to get short with a reduced risk entry on the break of the flag.
• If this setup doesn't present itself then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises.
• If there's any ambiguity then I will not place this trade.
USD/CAD:
• If price pushes up to and ideally just above the upper trend line of our most recent piece of structure, then regardless of how it does so I'll be waiting for a convincing impulse back down followed by a tight flag and then I'll be looking to get short with a reduced risk entry on the break of the flag.
• If price simply impulses back down, it does so in a convincing manner and a subsequent tight flag forms, then I'll again be looking to get short with a reduced risk entry on the break of the flag.
• If neither of these setups present themselves then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises.
• If there's any ambiguity then I will not place either of these trades.
NZD/JPY:
• If price impulses back up above our rayline, it does so in a convincing manner and a subsequent tight flag forms, then I'll again be looking to get long with a reduced risk entry on the break of the flag.
• If this setup doesn't present itself then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises.
• If there's any ambiguity then I will not place this trade.
AUD/CHF:
• If price impulses back up above our rayline, it does so in a convincing manner and a subsequent tight flag forms, then I'll again be looking to get long with a reduced risk entry on the break of the flag.
• If this setup doesn't present itself then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises.
• If there's any ambiguity then I will not place this trade.
WTICO/USD on watch for me today.WTICO/USD:
• If price corrects and a tight one hour flag forms then I'll be looking to get short with a reduced risk entry on the break of the flag.
• If this setup doesn't present itself then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises.
• If there's any ambiguity then I will not place this trade.
WTICO/USD, GBP/CHF and AUD/USD on watch for me today.WTICO/USD:
• If price pushes up to and ideally just above our outer structure upper rayline, then regardless of how it does so I'll be waiting for a convincing impulse back down followed by a tight flag and then I'll be looking to get short with a reduced risk entry on the break of the flag.
• If price simply impulses back down below the upper rayline of our most recent piece of structure, it does so in a convincing manor and a subsequent tight flag forms, then I'll again be looking to get short with a reduced risk entry on the break of the flag.
• If neither of these setups present themselves then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises.
• If there's any ambiguity then I will not place either of these trades.
GBP/CHF:
• If price pushes up to and ideally just above the upper trend line of our most recent piece of structure, then regardless of how it does so I'll be waiting for a convincing impulse back down followed by a tight flag and then I'll be looking to get short with a reduced risk entry on the break of the flag.
• If price only pushes up to and ideally just above the upper rayline of our most recent piece of structure, then regardless of how it does so I'll once again be waiting for a convincing impulse back down followed by a tight flag and then I'll again be looking to get short with a reduced risk entry on the break of the flag.
• If neither of these setups present themselves then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises.
• If there's any ambiguity then I will not place either of these trades.
AUD/USD:
• If price pushes up above our previous high, it does so impulsively and in a convincingly manner and a subsequent tight one hour flag forms, then I'll be looking to get long with a reduced risk entry on the break of the flag.
• If this setup doesn't present itself then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises.
• If there's any ambiguity then I will not place this trade.
USD/JPY, AUD/USD and WTICO/USD on watch for me today.USD/JPY:
• If price corrects and a tight one hour flag forms then I'll be looking to get short with a reduced risk entry on the break of the flag.
• If this setup doesn't present itself then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises.
• If there's any ambiguity then I will not place this trade.
AUD/USD:
• If price corrects and a tight one hour flag forms then I'll be looking to get long with a reduced risk entry on the break of the flag.
• If this setup doesn't present itself then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises.
• If there's any ambiguity then I will not place this trade.
WTICO/USD:
• If price pushes up to and ideally just above our outer structure upper rayline, then regardless of how it does so I'll be waiting for a convincing impulse back down followed by a tight flag and then I'll be looking to get short with a reduced risk entry on the break of the flag.
• If price only pushes up to and ideally just above the upper rayline of our most recent piece of structure, then regardless of how it does so I'll once again be waiting for a convincing impulse back down followed by a tight flag and then I'll again be looking to get short with a reduced risk entry on the break of the flag.
• If neither of these setups present themselves then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises.
• If there's any ambiguity then I will not place either of these trades.
EUR/CAD, WTICO/USD, EUR/AUD and USD/JPY on watch for me today.EUR/CAD:
• If price pushes up to and ideally just above the upper trend line of our most recent piece of structure, then regardless of how it does so I'll be waiting for a convincing impulse back down followed by a tight flag and then I'll be looking to get short with a reduced risk entry on the break of the flag.
• If price simply impulses back down below our rayline, it does so in a convincing manor and a subsequent tight flag forms, then I'll again be looking to get short with a reduced risk entry on the break of the flag.
• If neither of these setups present themselves then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises.
• If there's any ambiguity then I will not place either of these trades.
WTICO/USD:
• If price pushes up to give us a confirmed first top, it then pushes down to give us a confirmed second bottom and then it pushes back up to give us a confirmed second top and the last part of the move is corrective, then I'll be looking to get short with a risk entry after a phase line break on either the one hour or the fifteen minute chart.
• If price pushes up to give us a confirmed first top, it then pushes down to give us a confirmed second bottom and then it pushes back up to give us a confirmed second top and the last part of the move is impulsive, then I'll be awaiting a subsequent convincing impulse down followed by a tight flag and then I'll be looking to get short with a reduced risk entry on the break of the flag.
• If neither of these setups present themselves then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises.
• If there's any ambiguity then I will not place either of these trades.
EUR/AUD:
• If price pushes up, it so impuslively and in a convincing manner and a subsequent tight one hour flag forms, then I'll be looking to get long with a reduced risk entry on the break of the flag.
• If this setup doesn't present itself then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises.
• If there's any ambiguity then I will not place this trade.
USD/JPY:
• If price pushes up, it does so impulsively and in a convincing manner and a subsequent tight one hour flag forms, then I'll be looking to get long on the break of the flag.
• If this setup doesn't present itself then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises.
• If there's any ambiguity then I will not place this trade.
USD/JPY, GBP/CHF and WTICO/USD on watch for me today.USD/JPY:
• If price pushes up to and ideally just above our previous high, then regardless of how it does so I'll be waiting for a convincing impulse back down followed by a tight flag and then I'll be looking to get short with a reduced risk entry on the break of the flag.
• If this setup doesn't present itself then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises.
• If there's any ambiguity then I will not place this trade.
GBP/CHF:
• If price impulses down below the ascending trend line to the left, it does so in a convincing manner and a subsequent tight flag forms, then I'll be looking to get short with a reduced risk entry on the break of the flag.
• If this setup doesn't present itself then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises.
• If there's any ambiguity then I will not place this trade.
WTICO/USD:
• If price pushes up to and ideally just above our most recent high, then regardless of how it does so I'll be waiting for a convincing impulse back down followed by a tight flag and then I'll be looking to get short with a reduced risk entry on the break of the flag.
• If price simply impulses down below our most recent low, it does so in a convincing manner and a subsequent tight one hour flag forms, then I'll be looking to get short with a reduced risk entry on the break of the flag.
• If neither of these setups present themselves then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises.
• If there's any ambiguity then I will not place either of these trades.
GBP/AUD, WTICO/USD, AUD/USD and NZD/CHF on watch for me today.GBP/AUD:
• If price pushes up to and ideally just above our rayline, then regardless of how it does so I'll be waiting for a convincing impulse back down followed by a tight flag and then I'll be looking to get short with a reduced risk entry on the break of the flag.
• If this setup doesn't present itself then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises.
• If there's any ambiguity then I will not place this trade.
WTICO/USD:
• If price pushes up to and ideally just above the upper trend line of our most recent piece of structure, then regardless of how it does so I'll be waiting for a convincing impulse back down followed by a tight flag and then I'll be looking to get short with a reduced risk entry on the break of the flag.
• If price simply impulses down below our most recent low, it does so in a convincing manner and a subsequent tight one hour flag forms, then I'll be looking to get short with a reduced risk entry on the break of the flag.
• If neither of these setups present themselves then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises.
• If there's any ambiguity then I will not place either of these trades.
AUD/USD:
• If price pushes up above our most recent high, it does so in a convincing manner and a subsequent tight one hour flag forms, then I'll be looking to get long with a reduced risk entry on the break of the flag.
• If this setup doesn't present itself then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises.
• If there's any ambiguity then I will not place this trade.
NZD/CHF:
• If price pushes up above our most recent high, it does so in a convincing manner and a subsequent tight one hour flag forms, then I'll be looking to get long with a reduced risk entry on the break of the flag.
• If this setup doesn't present itself then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises.
• If there's any ambiguity then I will not place this trade.
EUR/JPY, USD/CAD, AUD/JPY and WTICO/USD on watch for me today.EUR/JPY:
• If price pushes down to give us a confirmed second bottom and then it pushes up to give us a confirmed second top, then I'll be looking to get short with a reduced risk entry on the break of the flag.
• If this setup doesn't present itself then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises.
• If there's any ambiguity then I will not place this trade.
USD/CAD:
• If price pushes down to and ideally just below the lower descending trend line of our most recent piece of structure, then regardless of how it does so I'll be waiting for a convincing impulse back up followed by a tight flag and then I'll be looking to get long with a reduced risk entry on the break of the flag.
• If price simply impulses back up, it does so in a convincing manner and a subsequent tight flag forms, then I'll once again be looking to get long with a reduced risk entry on the break of the flag.
• If neither of these setups present themselves then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises.
• If there's any ambiguity then I will not place either of these trades.
AUD/JPY:
• If price pushes up to and ideally just above the upper trend line of our most recent piece of structure, then regardless of how it does so I'll be waiting for a convincing impulse back down followed by a tight flag and then I'll be looking to get short with a reduced risk entry on the break of the flag.
• If price only pushes up to and ideally just above our rayline, then regardless of how it does so I'll be waiting for a convincing push back down below it followed by a tight flag and then I'll be looking to get short with a reduced risk entry on the break of the flag.
• If neither of these setups present themselves then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises.
• If there's any ambiguity then I will not place either of these trades.
WTICO/USD:
• If price only pushes up to and ideally just above the upper rayline of our most recent piece of structure, then regardless of how it does so I'll be waiting for a convincing push back followed by a tight flag and then I'll be looking to get short with a reduced risk entry on the break of the flag.
• If this setup doesn't present itself then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises.
• If there's any ambiguity then I will not place this trade.
USD/CAD, WTICO/USD, EUR/USD and SUGAR/USD on watch for me today.USD/CAD:
• If price pushes down to and ideally just below the lower trend line of our most recent piece of structure, then regardless of how it does so I'll be waiting for a convincing push back up followed by a tight flag and then I'll be looking to get long with a reduced risk entry on the break of the flag.
• If this setup doesn't present itself then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises.
• If there's any ambiguity then I will not place this trade.
WTICO/USD:
• If price corrects and a clear one hour flag forms then I'll be looking to get short with a reduced risk entry on the break of the flag.
• If this setup doesn't present itself then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises.
• If there's any ambiguity then I will not place this trade.
EUR/USD:
• If price pushes up impulsively above the corrective, it does so in a convincing manner and a subsequent tight flag forms, then I'll be looking to get long with a reduced risk entry on the break of the flag.
• If this setup doesn't present itself then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises.
• If there's any ambiguity then I will not place this trade.
SUGAR/USD:
• If price pushes up to and ideally just above our rayline and the last part of the move is corrective, then I'll be looking to get short with a risk entry after a phase line break on either the one hour or the fifteen minute chart.
• If price pushes up to and ideally just above our rayline and it does so impulsively, then I'll be waiting for a convincing impulse back down below it followed by a tight flag and then I'll be looking to get short with a reduced risk entry on the break of the flag.
• If neither of these setups present themselves then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises.
• If there's any ambiguity then I will not place either of these trades.