Market Analysis: WTI Crude Oil Face HurdlesMarket Analysis: WTI Crude Oil Face Hurdles
Crude oil is attempting a recovery wave but upsides could be limited.
Important Takeaways for WTI Crude Oil Price Analysis Today
- WTI Crude oil prices started a recovery wave from the $66.00 support zone.
- There is a key bullish trend line forming with support at $67.50 on the hourly chart of XTI/USD at FXOpen.
WTI Crude Oil Price Technical Analysis
On the hourly chart of WTI Crude Oil at FXOpen, the price remained in a bearish zone below the $70.00 level against the US Dollar. The price started a fresh decline below the $68.00 support.
The price even dipped below the $67.50 level and the 50-hour simple moving average. Finally, the bulls appeared near $66.00 and the price started a recovery wave. The price recovered above $67.50 and tested the $68.50 zone.
The price is now consolidating gains below the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the $66.54 swing low to the $68.48 high. There is also a key bullish trend line forming with support at $67.50.
If there is a fresh increase, it could face resistance near the $68.30 level. The first major resistance is near the $68.50 level. Any more gains might send the price toward the $69.20 level.
The main resistance could be near the $70.00 level. Conversely, the price might continue to move down and revisit the $67.50 support and the 50% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the $66.54 swing low to the $68.48 high. The next major support on the WTI crude oil chart is $67.00.
If there is a downside break, the price might decline toward $66.55. Any more losses may perhaps open the doors for a move toward the $66.10 support zone.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
Wticrude
Oil - Expecting Retraces and Further Continuation HigherH1 - Bullish trend pattern in the form of higher highs, higher lows structure
Strong bullish momentum
Bearish divergence on the moving averages of the MACD indicator.
Expecting retraces and further continuation higher until the two strong support zones hold.
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WTI - Positioning for Upside After Anticipated CorrectionThe US Light Crude 4-hour chart shows price action currently oscillating near the $68,60 level after recovering from early March lows. The recent price structure suggests we may see a short-term pullback before a stronger upward move develops. The chart indicates a potential bullish scenario with price expected to eventually rally toward the blue reaction zone (around $69,00-$69,50) after a possible retracement. This anticipated upside move is supported by the higher lows forming since mid-March and the overall recovery pattern from the $65,67 support level (marked by the red line). A prudent approach would be monitoring for reversal signs at lower levels before positioning for the higher probability move toward the blue reaction zone, with the orange resistance at $70,77 serving as the ultimate target if bullish momentum accelerates.
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WTI Crude Oversold bounce back consolidationThe WTI Crude Oil price action exhibits a bearish sentiment, driven by the prevailing downtrend. The recent price movement appears to be an oversold bounce back, forming a bearish sideways consolidation pattern. This indicates that the bears remain in control, with limited buying interest observed despite the temporary upward correction.
Key Level (69.52):
The critical trading level to watch is at 69.52, which marks the previous intraday consolidation zone. An oversold rally approaching this level could face bearish rejection, reinforcing the downtrend. A failure to break above this zone would likely prompt a continuation of the downside movement.
Support Levels:
If the bearish sentiment prevails and the price is rejected from the 69.52 level, the downside targets include:
67.00 - Immediate support level.
65.73 - Secondary support.
64.23 - Long-term support level.
Bullish Scenario:
On the flip side, a confirmed breakout above the 69.52 resistance level, followed by a daily close above it, would negate the bearish outlook. This breakout could trigger further upward momentum, targeting:
70.42 - Initial resistance post-breakout.
71.02 - Subsequent resistance level.
Conclusion:
While the overall trend remains bearish, an oversold bounce could temporarily push prices higher toward the 69.52 resistance level. Traders should watch for potential rejection or a confirmed breakout at this level to gauge the next directional move. A failure to break above 69.52 would favor bearish continuation, while a breakout and daily close above would open the door for further bullish rallies.
WTI Crude INTRADAY ahead of US inventories reportThe WTI Crude Oil price action sentiment appears bearish, reinforced by the prevailing long-term downtrend. The recent price action indicates a potential oversold rally, approaching a critical resistance zone.
Key Levels and Price Action
The primary trading level to watch is 68.40, representing the current intraday swing high and falling resistance trendline. An oversold rally towards this level, followed by a bearish rejection, could confirm continued downward momentum. In this case, the next downside support targets are at 65,73, 64,23, and 63,11 over the longer timeframe.
On the other hand, a decisive breakout above the 68.40 resistance level, confirmed by a daily close, would invalidate the bearish outlook. This scenario could trigger further rallies toward the next resistance levels at 69.50 and 70.30.
Conclusion
The sentiment remains bearish as long as the 68.40 resistance level holds. Traders should carefully watch the price action around the 68.40 level to assess the next directional move.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
Weekly Market Forecast WTI CRUDE OIL: Bearish! Wait For SellsThis forecast is for the week of March 17 - 21st.
WTI Crude Oil is in consolidation, but forming a wedge pattern. As the market condenses, we no watch out for a breakout that could go in either direction. But if we take note of the Weekly bearish FVG that formed last week, we simply wait for price to sting into it and use it to move lower. The market is weak, and has been trending down for over two months now. Using the trend and the -FVG, the higher probability is for price to continue lower, as long as the -FVG holds.
Check the comments section below for updates regarding this analysis throughout the week.
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I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor.
All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies.
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WTI - Weekly Forecast - Technical Analysis & Trading IdeasMidterm forecast:
While the price is above the support 64.000, resumption of uptrend is expected.
We make sure when the resistance at 79.361 breaks.
If the support at 64.000 is broken, the short-term forecast -resumption of uptrend- will be invalid.
TVC:USOIL BLACKBULL:WTI
Technical analysis:
A peak is formed in daily chart at 79.355 on 01/15/2025, so more losses to support(s) 64.900 and minimum to Major Support (64.000) is expected.
Take Profits:
68.354
70.182
72.434
74.449
77.410
79.361
83.961
87.000
93.882
100.802
109.192
126.350
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WTI Crude The Week Ahead 17th March '25WTI Crude INTRADAY bearish & oversold capped by resistance at $68,65
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
WTI Crude INTRADAT bearish below 6865The WTI Crude Oil price action sentiment appears bearish, reinforced by the prevailing long-term downtrend. The recent price action indicates a potential oversold rally, approaching a critical resistance zone.
Key Levels and Price Action
The primary trading level to watch is 68.65, representing the current intraday swing high and falling resistance trendline. An oversold rally towards this level, followed by a bearish rejection, could confirm continued downward momentum. In this case, the next downside support targets are at 66.04, 65.34, and 64.80 over the longer timeframe.
On the other hand, a decisive breakout above the 68.65 resistance level, confirmed by a daily close, would invalidate the bearish outlook. This scenario could trigger further rallies toward the next resistance levels at 69.30 and 70.12.
Conclusion
The sentiment remains bearish as long as the 68.65 resistance level holds, with potential downside targets at 66.04, 65.34, and 64.80. A confirmed breakout above 68.65 would shift the outlook to bullish, paving the way for potential rallies toward 69.30 and 70.12. Traders should carefully watch the price action around the 68.65 level to assess the next directional move.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
XTI/USD "WTI LIGHT CRUDE OIL" Energy Market Heist Plan🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba!🌟
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🛢️ XTI/USD "WTI LIGHT CRUDE OIL" Energy Market is currently experiencing a neutral trend (high chance to bullishness),., driven by several key factors.
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WTI Crude bearish ahead of US weekly InventoriesThe WTI Crude Oil price action sentiment appears bearish, reinforced by the prevailing long-term downtrend. The recent price action indicates a potential oversold rally, approaching a critical resistance zone.
Key Levels and Price Action
The primary trading level to watch is 68.65, representing the current intraday swing high and falling resistance trendline. An oversold rally towards this level, followed by a bearish rejection, could confirm continued downward momentum. In this case, the next downside support targets are at 66.04, 65.34, and 64.80 over the longer timeframe.
On the other hand, a decisive breakout above the 68.65 resistance level, confirmed by a daily close, would invalidate the bearish outlook. This scenario could trigger further rallies toward the next resistance levels at 69.30 and 70.12.
Conclusion
The sentiment remains bearish as long as the 68.65 resistance level holds, with potential downside targets at 66.04, 65.34, and 64.80. A confirmed breakout above 68.65 would shift the outlook to bullish, paving the way for potential rallies toward 69.30 and 70.12. Traders should carefully watch the price action around the 68.65 level to assess the next directional move.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
WTI - High Probability of Continued Downtrend US Light Crude's 4-hour chart suggests a high probability that price will continue with the dominant downtrend and eventually break below recent lows. Currently trading around $67.17, crude oil has been in a persistent decline since late February, forming a series of lower highs and lower lows. The chart's projected path indicates a potential corrective bounce within the blue box area (approximately $68.50-$69.50), characterized by zigzag movements that would likely form a complex correction before resuming the bearish trend. This anticipated bearish continuation targets the horizontal red support line at around $65.77, with potential for moves below this level as indicated by the downward arrow. Recent failed attempts to sustain rallies and the steep decline from the $74.00 area reinforce the bearish outlook, suggesting that any upward movements should be viewed as selling opportunities within the larger downtrend.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
WTIThis chart is focused on short-term ICT analysis, showing liquidity zones, displacement, and market structure shifts.
1. Smart Money Liquidity Grab at 63.59-64.61
This is an Expected Liquidity Pool.
ICT concepts suggest that institutions often engineer liquidity grabs at key support levels before reversing.
The area around 64.61 is a sell-side liquidity sweep, designed to trap retail shorts before Smart Money initiates a bullish move.
2. Market Structure Shift (MSS) at 68.53
A break above 68.53 is a bullish shift, signaling a change in trend.
Displacement with a fair value gap (FVG) around 68.53 confirms momentum.
If price reclaims 68.53, expect Smart Money to target buy-side liquidity at 79.32 and later 91.21.
3. Buying Zone & Smart Money Accumulation (75-77 Range)
Once price reaches 79.32, expect a retracement into the 75-77 range, allowing Smart Money to re-accumulate.
A break above 91.21 unlocks the potential for higher moves, aligning with the higher time frame Elliott Wave 5 targets.
WTI Crude (USOil) The Week Ahead 10th March '25Sentiment: Bearish INTRADAY, Price action is consolidating in a tight trading range.
Resistance: Key Resistance is at 6870, followed by 6930 and 7000.
Support: Key support is at 6610 followed by 6540 and 6440.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
WTI Crude INTRADAY Bearish below 6871Bearish Scenario:
WTI Crude remains in a bearish trend, with price action aligned with the prevailing longer-term downtrend. The key resistance level to watch is 68.71. If an oversold rally occurs but faces rejection at this level, the downtrend is likely to continue, targeting 66.50, followed by 66.08 and 65.75 as the next downside support zones over a longer timeframe.
Bullish Scenario:
A confirmed breakout above 68.71 and a daily close above this level would invalidate the bearish outlook. This could trigger further upside movement, with resistance targets at 69.34, followed by the psychological 70.00 level.
Conclusion:
The broader outlook remains bearish, but 68.71 is the key pivot level. Rejection from this zone reinforces the downside bias, while a sustained breakout above it could shift momentum toward further gains. Traders should watch price action around this level to determine the next move.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
WTI , road map on high time frame
"Hello traders, focusing on WTI on high time frames, this analysis is based on the liquidity concept. Observing the chart, the price has surpassed the $69 level, which was significant for institutional orders. Consequently, I anticipate a decline towards lower prices. In my view, the next potential level could be around $64."
If you have any specific questions or require further assistance with your message, feel free to let me know!
Oil Prices Plummet as Trade Tensions RiseOil prices took a hit after Trump's tariffs were announced, and it's essential to understand the reasoning behind this drop.
When US imposed tariffs on Chinese goods, China retaliated by placing tariffs on US goods, including oil. This move led to a decrease in oil demand from China, which is the world's largest oil importer. As a result, oil prices plummeted.
◉ Key Factors Behind the Decline
● Trade Tensions: The escalation of trade tensions between the US and China led to a decrease in oil demand, causing prices to drop.
● China's Tariffs on US Oil: China's decision to impose tariffs on US oil imports reduced demand for US oil, contributing to the price decline.
● Global Economic Slowdown: The ongoing trade tensions and tariffs have led to a slowdown in global economic growth, further reducing oil demand and prices.
● Increased Oil Production: The US has been increasing its oil production, leading to a surplus in the market and contributing to the decline in oil prices.
◉ Technical Observations
● A notable decline in oil prices has been observed since mid-January 2025.
● Prices are currently hovering near the critical support zone around $66, a level that has historically provided a floor for prices.
● If this support level is breached, it may trigger a further decline in oil prices.
WTI Crude under pressure ahead of the weekly InventoriesBearish Scenario:
WTI Crude remains in a bearish trend, with price action aligned with the prevailing longer-term downtrend. The key resistance level to watch is 68.71. If an oversold rally occurs but faces rejection at this level, the downtrend is likely to continue, targeting 66.50, followed by 66.08 and 65.75 as the next downside support zones over a longer timeframe.
Bullish Scenario:
A confirmed breakout above 68.71 and a daily close above this level would invalidate the bearish outlook. This could trigger further upside movement, with resistance targets at 69.34, followed by the psychological 70.00 level.
Conclusion:
The broader outlook remains bearish, but 68.71 is the key pivot level. Rejection from this zone reinforces the downside bias, while a sustained breakout above it could shift momentum toward further gains. Traders should watch price action around this level to determine the next move.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
USOIL WTI The price was in a downward trend, moving within a descending channel. A breakout from this channel indicates potential trend reversal or correction.
Consolidation Zone Identified:
The price is currently in a consolidation phase (marked in orange).
A breakout above this zone could confirm bullish momentum, while rejection could push it lower.
Key Resistance Levels for Upside Targets:
If the price breaks above the consolidation zone, it could rally toward 71.246 and 72.103 as potential resistance levels.
Green arrows indicate bullish breakout targets.
Key Support Levels for Bearish Move:
If the price fails to break above the consolidation zone, A further breakdown below this support level could push the price toward 68.400 and 66.888, the next major support.
Conclusion:
The next major move will depend on how price reacts to the consolidation zone. A breakout above could lead to bullish targets, while failure could send prices lower toward the next major support. Traders should watch for confirmation before entering trades. 🚀📉
WTI Crude The Week Ahead 03rd March ’25 The WTI Crude (US Light Crude) price action sentiment appears bearish, supported by the longer-term prevailing downtrend.
The key trading level is at 7150, 20 DMA level. An oversold rally from the current levels and a bearish rejection from the 7150 level could target the downside support at 6964 followed by 6850 and 6830 levels over the longer timeframe.
Alternatively, a confirmed breakout above 7150 resistance and a daily close above that level would negate the bearish outlook opening the way for further rallies higher and a retest of 7258 resistance followed by 7320 (50 DMA) levels.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
WTI INTRADAY fears of slower energy demandEIA Crude Oil Inventories due in 3 hours, (15.30 GMT). A forecast is for 2.4M, the previous figure was 4.63M. The WTI Crude (US Light Crude) price action sentiment appears bearish, supported by the longer-term prevailing downtrend.
The key trading level is at 7060, the 13th February swing low level. An oversold rally from the current levels and a bearish rejection from the 7060 level could target the downside support at 6850 followed by 6800 and 6715 levels over the longer timeframe.
Alternatively, a confirmed breakout above 7060 resistance and a daily close above that level would negate the bearish outlook opening the way for further rallies higher and a retest of 7145 resistance followed by 7194 levels.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
WTI on high time frame
"Hello traders, focusing on WTI, the price has hit the daily order block at $73.5 and experienced a strong rejection on the 4-hour chart. The price has broken below the trend line and is indicating potential downward movement during the Asian session today. It's important to note that there is a CPI news release during the U.S. session today, so exercise caution in your trading decisions."
If you have any specific questions or need further assistance with your message, feel free to ask!