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Oil prices surge amid Middle East turmoil 💡Message Strategy WTI prices climbed to a nearly two-month high, weighed down by rising geopolitical tensions in the Middle East. 📊Technical aspects From the daily chart level, crude oil's medium-term trend is upward around the moving average system, and the medium-term objective trend is mainly oscillating upward. Oil prices gradually rise to the upper edge of the range. From the perspective of momentum, the MACD indicator fast and slow lines cross the zero axis upward, and the bullish momentum begins to warm up. The K line closes with a small positive line continuously. If the oil price breaks through the range resistance in the later period, the medium-term trend is expected to further rise and test the 80 line. The short-term (4H) trend of crude oil fluctuated upward and hit a new high of 70. The moving average system is arranged in a bullish pattern, and the short-term objective trend direction remains upward. The K-line closed with a large real positive line in the early trading, showing an upward main trend. The MACD indicator opened upward above the zero axis, and the bullish momentum was dominant. It is expected that the crude oil trend will continue to break upward during the day. 💰 Strategy Package Long Position:70.00-72.20，Target 75.50
TVC:USOILLong
by TheodoreSilas
Oil Price Rally Stalls at $77.72, Just Below 2025 HighFenzoFx—Oil prices resumed their bullish trend, accelerating after geopolitical tensions in the Middle East. The rally paused at $77.72, just below the 2025 high. RSI 14 indicates an overbought market, while volume accumulation at $73.7 suggests possible sell orders. A consolidation phase is likely before further gains. If oil pulls back, key demand zones at $64.00 and $66.00 offer bullish opportunities, with a potential move toward the 2025 high at $80.59.
CFI:WTIShort
by FenzoFxBroker
WTI(20250613)Today's AnalysisMarket news: The number of initial jobless claims in the United States for the week ending June 7 was 248,000, higher than the expected 240,000, the highest since the week of October 5, 2024. The monthly rate of the core PPI in the United States in May was 0.1%, lower than the expected 0.30%. Traders once again fully priced in the Fed's two interest rate cuts this year. Technical analysis: Today's buying and selling boundaries: 66.96 Support and resistance levels: 69.10 68.30 67.78 66.13 65.61 64.81 Trading strategy: If the price breaks through 67.78, consider buying in, and the first target price is 68.30 If the price breaks through 66.96, consider selling in, and the first target price is 66.13
NYMEX:CL1!Long
by NuggetsWarriors
Crude oil is expected to break through the $68.00 mark 💡Message Strategy WTI crude oil futures prices soared during the European session on Wednesday (June 11), continuing Tuesday's gains, but failed to reach the important level of $66.45. Currently, bulls are focusing on whether they can clearly break through the technical resistance level to confirm the continued upward trend. OPEC+ plans to increase production by 411,000 barrels per day in July, the fourth consecutive month of increase. Its impact on global supply may be weakened. Domestic demand in Saudi Arabia and other OPEC+ members may increase in the summer, helping to absorb the additional supply. According to Capital Economics, this internal consumption may support oil prices in the short term by offsetting the increase in supply. China-US trade truce boosts risk appetite, but demand questions remain WTI hit a seven-week high, reflecting the recovery of market risk appetite after the China-US trade negotiations. The two sides have agreed on a framework for restarting the trade truce and easing rare earth export restrictions, boosting market sentiment. 📊Technical aspects Oil price forecast: Bullish bias strengthens above key resistance level If the bears regain control, $64.50 will be seen as the near-term support. A successful break above $66.75 could open up space for the next major upside target near $67.50. Supported by geopolitical tensions, easing trade concerns and stable demand fundamentals, the outlook for crude oil remains bullish, provided that WTI can close above $66.75. If a breakout is confirmed, it may attract new buying and push prices towards the $68 mark. However, if the current gains cannot be maintained, oil prices may fall back to the $64.50 range. 💰 Strategy Package Long Position: 64.50-65.00，65.00-65.30
TVC:USOILLong
by TheodoreSilas
WTI(20250612)Today's AnalysisMarket news: ① The EU hopes that the trade negotiations will be extended beyond the suspension period set by Trump. ② Bessant: As long as "sincerity" is shown in the negotiations, the Trump administration is willing to extend the current 90-day tariff suspension period beyond July 9. ③ Trump will hold multiple bilateral talks during the G7 summit. ④ The total customs revenue of the United States in May reached a record high of US$23 billion, an increase of nearly four times year-on-year. ⑤ Lutnick: One deal after another will be reached. Technical analysis: Today's buying and selling boundaries: 66.02 Support and resistance levels: 69.56 68.23 67.38 64.66 63.80 62.47 Trading strategy: If the price breaks through 67.38, consider buying in, and the first target price is 68.23 If the price breaks through 66.02, consider selling in, and the first target price is 64.66
NYMEX:CL1!Long
by NuggetsWarriors
Crude oil rose as expected 💡Message Strategy OPEC’s crude output increase in May was lower than required by the OPEC+ agreement, which had planned to increase production sharply last month. The five OPEC members that pledged to cut production in the OPEC+ agreement and are now gradually lifting the cuts had to increase production by a combined 310,000 barrels per day, but according to data from oil flow tracking companies and surveys of sources at OPEC, oil companies and consultancies, they only increased production by 180,000 barrels per day. This was because Iraq cut production to make up for a long period of overproduction, while Saudi Arabia and the UAE increased production by less than their target levels, the survey found. Saudi Arabia had the largest increase in May compared to April. According to the survey, OPEC's largest producer and de facto leader, as well as the leader of the OPEC+ alliance, increased production by 130,000 barrels per day. This is also one of the driving forces accelerating gold's rise 📊Technical aspects WTI crude oil prices finally extended their upward momentum. However, crude oil prices have risen as tensions in the US-China trade war ease and global oil demand recovers from tariff-related pressures. From the daily chart level, crude oil's medium-term trend is hovering around the moving average system, and the medium-term objective trend is mainly fluctuating and rising. Oil prices gradually rise to the upper edge of the range. From the perspective of momentum, the MACD indicator fast and slow lines cross the zero axis upward, and the bullish momentum begins to warm up. The K line closes with a small positive line continuously. If the oil price breaks through the range resistance in the later period, the medium-term trend is expected to further rise and test the 70 line The short-term (2H) trend of crude oil continued to rise. The oil price encountered resistance near 65.40, and the K-line crossed the moving average system, and the short-term objective upward trend changed. The second large real negative line formed the main rhythm. It is expected that the crude oil trend will further fall to around 64.50 during the day, and then restart the upward momentum. 💰 Strategy Package Long Position: 64.50-65.00，65.00-65.30
TVC:USOILLong
by TheodoreSilas
1
USOIL Trade Setup: Watching for a Bullish Break After Pullback 📈 US OIL Trade Plan Currently, USOIL is in a strong bullish trend 🔥 — price action has pushed into overextended territory, which opens the door for a potential pullback 🌀. I'm watching for a WTI retracement into equilibrium, ideally aligning with the 50%–61.8% Fibonacci levels from the previous swing low to high 🔍📉. If price corrects into that zone and we find support, followed by a bullish break in market structure 💥 — that would be the confirmation I’m waiting for to consider a long position 🚀. ⚠️ Key Level to Watch: That structure break is the trigger — no confirmation, no trade 🧠. ⚠️ Disclaimer: This content is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always conduct your own analysis and consult a professional before making trading decisions. Trade responsibly.
PEPPERSTONE:SPOTCRUDELong
by fxtraderanthony
The trend after the surge in crude oil prices 💡Message Strategy Core economic data and event-driven The US employment report boosted expectations of rate cuts. According to the US Department of Labor, the unemployment rate stabilized at 4.2% in May, and 139,000 new non-farm jobs were added (the previous value was revised down). Phil Flynn, senior analyst at Price Futures Group, pointed out: "The employment data is 'just right', neither too hot nor too cold, but it strengthens the possibility of the Fed's rate cut." The expectation of a rate cut is seen as a potential positive for the crude oil market, as loose policies may stimulate economic recovery and boost oil demand. OPEC+ moderately increased production to balance market expectations. OPEC+ reached an agreement on Saturday to increase production by 411,000 barrels per day in July, which is lower than Saudi Arabia's proposal, but in line with market expectations. HSBC analysts believe: "Summer oil demand will peak in July-August, matching the increase in OPEC+ supply, and the market supply and demand will tend to balance in the second and third quarters." The decision did not suppress oil prices, but instead eased concerns about oversupply. 📊Technical aspects WTI crude oil: closed at $64.73 per barrel on Friday, up 2.21% on the day and 6.55% this week. It is about to reach our strategic target of 65.00. When everyone is looking at the decline of crude oil, our strategy is firmly on the rise, and the result is consistent with our direction. From a technical perspective, the daily chart of US crude oil (WTI) shows that the price is running in a short-term rising channel, with support at around $63, while the upper resistance is concentrated in the $64.50 area. In recent trading days, WTI has received support at the 60-day moving average and successfully broke through the 20-day moving average, indicating that the short-term bullish momentum is gradually increasing. At the same time, the MACD indicator shows a golden cross signal, and the momentum column continues to expand, indicating that the price is expected to further test the $65 mark. If the resistance level can be effectively broken, the next target may be $67. 💰 Strategy Package Long Position: 63.50-64.00
TVC:USOILLong
by TheodoreSilas
1
WTI(20250609)Today's AnalysisMarket news: Fed Harker: Amid uncertainty, the Fed may still cut interest rates later this year. Musallem: There is a 50% chance that the trade war will lead to a sustained inflation outbreak. Tariffs may push up inflation within one or two quarters. The ECB cut three key interest rates by 25 basis points. Lagarde hinted that the rate cut cycle will end, and the market is no longer fully pricing in another 25 basis point rate cut this year. Technical analysis: Today's buying and selling boundaries: 63.43 Support and resistance levels: 65.29 64.60 64.14 62.71 62.26 61.56 Trading strategy: If the price breaks through 64.14, consider buying in, with the first target price of 64.60 If the price breaks through 63.43, consider selling in, with the first target price of 62.71
MATBAROFEX:WTI1!Long
by NuggetsWarriors
Crude oil pullback bullish trend 💡Message Strategy Saudi price cuts and OPEC+ supply adjustments affect market sentiment Crude oil came under pressure in the middle of the week after Saudi Arabia cut its July sales price to Asia to the lowest level in nearly two months. This follows OPEC+'s decision to increase production by 411,000 barrels per day in July, indicating that major oil producers are still prioritizing market share even amid volatile demand signals. This coordinated move by Saudi Arabia and Russia is seen as an attempt to constrain overproducers and strengthen control over global supply dynamics. Refineries drive crude stock draw, but fuel demand lacks Weekly data from the U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) delivered mixed messages. U.S. crude stockpiles fell by 4.3 million barrels to 436.1 million barrels, driven by a sharp increase in refinery runs, exceeding expectations. Utilization rose to 93.4%, indicating that refineries are preparing for a seasonal peak in demand. Adding to the bullish signal from the crude stock draw. 📊Technical aspects On the technical side, the daily chart of WTI crude oil shows that oil prices have been under pressure for three consecutive trading days and are currently trading above the 20-day and 50-day moving averages, reflecting the dominance of short-term bullish sentiment. The MACD indicator shows a dead cross and the momentum column is enlarged, indicating that the upward trend is still continuing. In the previous post, we have pointed out that the upward target and trend of crude oil have been reached. The main theme of crude oil in the future will still be a bullish correction. 💰 Strategy Package Long Position: 62.50-63.00
TVC:USOILLong
by TheodoreSilas
2
Crude oil-----Sell near 64.00, target 63.00-62.00Crude oil market analysis: Crude oil is still bearish, and we will continue to sell on rebounds. If it does not break 65.00, it will fluctuate. The general trend is bearish. If it breaks, we will adjust our thinking. Today's crude oil is the key. Will it start to take off before the data? The previous crude oil inventory data did not allow crude oil to break the position. The crude oil fluctuation range is 60.00-65.00. If it breaks this range, we will adjust our thinking on fluctuations. Operational suggestions Crude oil-----Sell near 64.00, target 63.00-62.00
NYMEX:CL1!Short
by NuggetsWarriors
WTI(20250606)Today's AnalysisMarket news: The European Central Bank cut three key interest rates by 25 basis points. Lagarde hinted that the rate cut cycle will end, and the market is no longer fully pricing in another 25 basis point rate cut this year. Technical analysis: Today's buying and selling boundaries: 62.58 Support and resistance levels: 63.97 63.45 63.12 62.05 61.71 61.19 Trading strategy: If the price breaks through 63.12, consider buying, and the first target price is 63.45 If the price breaks through 62.58, consider selling, and the first target price is 62.05
NYMEX:CL1!Short
by NuggetsWarriors
WTI Crude Returns to $63Over the past two trading sessions, WTI crude oil has gained more than 5%, as confidence has temporarily returned to the market following the latest OPEC+ announcements. The organization recently announced a new production increase of 411,000 barrels per day starting in July, but the volume was lower than anticipated, which has been interpreted as a positive signal for short-term price behavior. This has helped sustain a consistent bullish bias in recent sessions. Bearish Trend Remains Intact Since early January, crude oil has followed a steady bearish trend. Currently, the price is approaching the resistance marked by the trendline, and if buying pressure holds in the short term, the bearish formation could come under threat in the upcoming trading sessions. MACD At the moment, the MACD histogram shows slight oscillations above the neutral line (0), but it has not yet indicated a decisive market impulse. As a result, a strong sense of short-term neutrality persists, as the price approaches key resistance levels. RSI The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is showing a similar pattern: the line is starting to rise, but it is flattening out, which could be weakening the current buying momentum and signaling a possible sideways movement in the short term. Key Levels to Watch: $63 – Current Barrier: Aligns with the bearish trendline and could be where price indecision intensifies, leading to continued consolidation. $57 – Major Support: A recent low. If the price returns to this level, it could reactivate the bearish trend and lead to a deeper sell-off. $68 – Key Resistance: Located around the 200-period moving average. A breakout above this level could mark the beginning of a new long-term bullish trend. Written by Julian Pineda, CFA – Market Analyst
FOREXCOM:USOIL
by FOREXcom
USOIL LETS MAKE OIL GREAT AGAIN TO 80$HELLO TRADERS As i can see USOIL it formaing H & S pattrent and now trading above a strong Weekly horizontal Support zone if prices hold above 65$ then given Tp can be easy target if we see a higher demand and tight supply with the War going on around the world its a huge possibilty that pricce can shoot up we have to monitor the 65$ price zone which is importat to hold bull cycle on smaller TF 4HR it is creating Wickoff pattren too and we can see Fibo levels golden ratio can hit our targers or risk reward is great for us becaus we was buying the dip in May it is just starting chart is crystal clear its just a trade idea share your thoughts we appriciate ur comments and support Stay tuned for more updates
TVC:USOILLong
by apextradingacadmey
The first crude oil target was reached perfectly 💡Message Strategy Last Friday (May 31), oil prices fell slightly as traders generally expected OPEC+ to "play a big trick" - increasing production in July to more than 500,000 barrels per day. Potential risks: The supply and demand game is not over OPEC+'s production increase plan still faces implementation difficulties. Countries such as Kazakhstan have previously refused to cut production, and the actual production capacity of some member countries (such as Nigeria and Angola) is close to the upper limit. If global demand declines due to expectations of economic recession, OPEC+'s "moderate production increase" may evolve into "passive inventory accumulation", thereby suppressing medium- and long-term oil prices. Short-term supply concerns: Russia is the world's second largest crude oil exporter. If its military facilities are frequently attacked, it may affect the stability of its energy infrastructure. "Extreme pressure" before negotiations: The attack occurred on the eve of the ceasefire negotiations between Russia and Ukraine. Ukraine tried to increase its bargaining chips through military actions. If the negotiations fail, Western sanctions against Russia may be increased, further disrupting crude oil trade flows. Risk premium returns: Geopolitical conflicts have always been a "fuel" for oil prices. When the war between Russia and Ukraine broke out in 2022, Brent crude oil once surged to $139 per barrel. Although the current supply and demand environment is different, the market's sensitivity to emergencies remains. 📊Technical aspects Crude oil fluctuated in a range last week, with a minimum of 59.8 and a maximum of 63. The weekly line closed at 60.7. The weekly line shows that oil prices are in an upward channel and there is a rebound. The focus is on whether 64 can be broken through. The daily line shows a large range of fluctuations. In summary, this week's operation ideas are mainly based on callbacks and longs. First look at the 63-61-58 range. In the day, the four-hour line is range-oscillated. First look at 4 on the top. The hourly line is oscillating upward. Today's big rise has come to our first target position, rising to the 63 line. From the shape, there is still room for growth. In summary, the intraday operation ideas are mainly oscillating upward, and the focus is on 61 and 60 below. 💰 Strategy Package Long Position: 61.50-62.00
TVC:USOILLong
by TheodoreSilas
1
Crude oil is moving upward again, testing 63 today 💡Message Strategy The Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and its allies (OPEC+) met at their headquarters in Vienna on Wednesday to assess the current oil market situation. WTI crude oil prices climbed above $62 as OPEC+ said there would be no immediate change to current production policies. 📊Technical aspects From the daily chart level, the medium-term moving average system suppresses the rebound of oil prices, and the medium-term objective trend is downward. After the oil price hit the low point of 55.20, the frequent alternation of long and short positions formed, and the embryonic form of a falling flag relay appeared from the shape. Pay attention to the strength of the oil price testing the upper edge of the flag. It is expected that after the medium-term trend fluctuates, it will still rise to the 64 position. The short-term (1H) trend of crude oil fluctuates upward, and the oil price breaks through the 62.5 resistance level. The moving average system diverges and arranges upward, and the short-term objective trend direction is upward. In terms of momentum, the MACD indicator is above the zero axis and the golden cross opens upward, and the bullish momentum is sufficient. It is expected that the crude oil trend will continue to rise within the day. 💰 Strategy Package Long Position: 61.20-62.00
TVC:USOILLong
by TheodoreSilas
6
Market Analysis: WTI Crude Oil Price Could Gain Bullish PaceMarket Analysis: WTI Crude Oil Price Could Gain Bullish Pace WTI Crude Oil is gaining bullish momentum and might even test $62.75. Important Takeaways for WTI Crude Oil Price Analysis Today - WTI Crude Oil climbed above the $60.50 and $60.80 resistance levels. - There was a break above a key bearish trend line with resistance at $60.80 on the hourly chart of XTI/USD at FXOpen. WTI Crude Oil Price Technical Analysis On the hourly chart of WTI Crude Oil at FXOpen, the price started a fresh upward move from $59.45 against the US Dollar. The price gained bullish momentum after it broke the $60.00 resistance. The bulls pushed the price above the 50% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the $62.76 swing high to the $59.45 low. The price even climbed above the 50-hour simple moving average. Besides, there was a break above a key bearish trend line with resistance at $60.80. It tested the $61.50 resistance zone and the 61.8% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the $62.76 swing high to the $59.45 low. The RSI is now near the 50 level and the price could aim for more gains. If the price climbs higher again, it could face resistance near $62.00. The next major resistance is near the $62.75 level. Any more gains might send the price toward the $63.45 level or even $65.00. Conversely, the price might correct gains and test the $60.80 support level. The next major support on the WTI Crude Oil chart is near the $59.45 zone, below which the price could test the $58.00 zone. If there is a downside break, the price might decline toward $56.50. Any more losses may perhaps open the doors for a move toward the $55.50 support zone. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
FXOPEN:XTIUSD
by FXOpen
1
Crude oil rebounds after encountering 60 support 📊Technical aspects Due to concerns that global supply growth may exceed demand growth, WTI prices fell slightly and rebounded slightly after hitting the 60 mark. From the daily chart level, the medium-term trend moving average system suppresses the rebound of oil prices, and the medium-term objective trend direction is downward. After the oil price hit the low of 55.20, the frequent alternation of long and short formed, and the embryonic form of the falling flag relay appeared from the shape. Pay attention to the strength of the oil price testing the upper edge of the flag. It is expected that after the medium-term trend fluctuates, it will still rise to the 64 position. The short-term (1H) trend of crude oil fell and touched the key support of 60, then rose slightly. The moving average system turned to divergent upward arrangement, and the short-term objective trend direction was upward. The MACD indicator fast and slow lines crossed the zero axis, and the bullish momentum was sufficient. It is expected that the trend of crude oil will continue to rise during the day, and the probability of breaking through the 63 resistance and moving upward is relatively high. 💰 Strategy Package Long Position: 60.5-61.5
TVC:USOILLong
by TheodoreSilas
1
WTI Crude Oil Price Targets Fresh GainsWTI Crude Oil Price Targets Fresh Gains WTI Crude oil prices are gaining bullish momentum and might even test $63.50. Important Takeaways for WTI Crude Oil Price Analysis Today - WTI Crude climbed above the $60.90 and $61.50 resistance levels. - There is a key rising channel forming with support at $61.30 on the hourly chart of XTI/USD at FXOpen. WTI Crude Oil Price Technical Analysis On the hourly chart of WTI Crude Oil at FXOpen, the price started a fresh upward move from $60.10 against the US Dollar. The price gained bullish momentum after it broke the $60.90 resistance. The bulls pushed the price above the 50% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the $63.45 swing high to the $60.08 low. The price even climbed above the 50-hour simple moving average. It tested the $62.15 resistance zone and the 61.8% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the $63.45 swing high to the $60.08 low. There is now a key rising channel forming with support at $61.30. The RSI is now near the 50 level and the price could aim for more gains. If the price climbs higher again, it could face resistance near $62.15. The next major resistance is near the $62.65 level. Any more gains might send the price toward the $63.45 level or even $65.00. Conversely, the price might correct gains and test the $61.30 support level. The next major support on the WTI crude oil chart is near the $60.90 zone, below which the price could test the $60.10 zone. If there is a downside break, the price might decline toward $58.50. Any more losses may perhaps open the doors for a move toward the $55.50 support zone. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
FXOPEN:XTIUSD
by FXOpen
1
USOIL Weekly Analysis – Major Breakdown and Retest in PlayAfter several months of holding firm, USOIL has finally broken below its key support zone around $67–$70, which had acted as a floor since mid-2021 . This is a significant technical development, and the current price action is showing a classic bearish retest of that broken structure. Technical Breakdown: Support Broken: The $67–$70 zone was tested multiple times over the past 2 years. Price has now cleanly broken through it and is struggling to reclaim it. Retest in Progress: Price is currently hovering around $62.36 and failing to push back above the broken support. This retest is textbook and could confirm further downside. Market Structure: Lower highs and lower lows dominate the weekly chart = clear bearish trend. Bearish Targets: Target 1: $53.50 – Previous minor demand zone from 2021. Target 2: $41.50 – Strong historical support and potential major bounce area. Invalidation Zone: If price closes above $70 on the weekly chart, the breakdown would be invalidated and we’ll reconsider our bias. Confluence: Broken multi-year support Bearish retest on weekly timeframe Clear downside liquidity below Summary: Bias: Bearish Setup: Short on confirmation of rejection below $67 Timeframe: Weekly / Daily This is a high-probability setup if the rejection continues. Look for further bearish price action on the daily or 4H chart for refined entries. As always, manage risk carefully . Like & Follow for more clean, high-timeframe breakdowns!
FX:USOIL
by Mrshazee
4