Oil - Looking To Sell Pullbacks In The Short TermH1 - Bearish trend pattern.
Currently it looks like a correction is happening.
Until the two strong resistance zones hold my short term view remains bearish here.
Wticrude
WTI-USOIL is near a key support...but we need one more leg down These is the long-term weekly chart of WTI. We can see price is holding near a very strong support level but has not quite touched it. RSI analysis tells us we can have one more leg down, but if not and the price holds we can say we have hit the bottom and price will rise gradually.
2023.8.4 USOUSD rose sharply yesterday2023.8.4 USOUSD rose sharply yesterday
Hello, I'm Older Duan. Today is Friday, August 4th 2023.
Now it's 17pm Beijing time.
Let me give you a quick comment on the technical forms of the current international mainstream varieties!
First, what we see is the daily graph of the dollar index.
As shown in the figure, the U.S. Dollar Index began to fall down yesterday, and today it is close to 2.382 (102.29) of the top down golden section in the figure!
Now, let's look at gold.
Now you can see the daily chart of gold.
The figure superimposes the combination of gold's recent bottom-up golden section and Fibonacci parameter mean square!
As shown in the figure, gold has been closing below the daily average density range for two consecutive trading days! Then, in the future, we will continue to use the daily line level of 165MA, or $1941.54, as the important Bitwise operation operation in the day! Above this position, bulls dominate; Below this position, bears dominate!
Let's take a look at American crude oil.
What you are now seeing is daily level candle chart of US crude oil. The graph superimposes the recent bottom-up golden section of US crude oil and the Fibonacci parameter mean square combination!
As shown in the figure, US crude oil rose sharply yesterday, almost covering the decline of this Wednesday, and is about to once again challenge the recent bottom up gold split of 2.382 ($81.97)! Then, in the following time today, just use this position as an important point in the day for Bitwise operation! Above this point, bulls dominate; Below this point, bears dominate!
Let's look at EURUSD.
What you can see now is the daily chart of EURUSD.
The figure superimposes the combination of European and American currencies against the recent bottom of the golden section and Fibonacci parameter mean square!
As shown in the figure, the euro has been engaged in a long short competition at the daily level of 55MA (1.09508) against the US dollar in the past three trading days! Then this position will be used as the Bitwise operation operation of the important point in the day in the future! Above this position, bulls dominate; Under this position, bears dominate!
Finally, let's take a look at GBPUSD.
Now you can see the daily chart of GBPUSD.
The figure superimposes the combination of the recent bottom of the GBPUSD against the golden section and the Fibonacci parameter mean square!
As shown in the figure, the pound broke through strong daily support against the US dollar yesterday, with the bottom facing the 2.000 level (1.26793) of the golden section, which was also the highest point on May 10, 2023. Today, it almost tested the daily level of 55MA (1.27555) against the top! Then in the future, these two positions can be used as the Bitwise operation of the important points in the day! Within these two positions, throw high and suck low; Beyond these two positions, chase up and kill down!
Well, the above is a quick inventory of the technical forms of the international mainstream varieties in today's European period!
Special reminder, Today is Friday, and there is a big non agricultural data market tonight. Please pay attention to the risks.
Im Older Duan. Wish you happy win . Goodbye!
US Oil / WTI Analysis 30July2023Following last week's analysis, still in accordance with the price movement for next week. US Oil still looks very bullish with a tilt trend close to 45 degrees and at the closure of the week with full bullish candle shows the support of the buyer is still very strong. The closest target is currently in the price range of 83-84 which at that price is in contact with 2 areas of Fibo Extensions (Fibo Cluster)
Technical Analysis of WTIGoing into Wednesday's European session, WTI crude oil closes around $79.00 at an intraday low. It posted its first daily loss in five days after reversing from its highest level since April 19. This reversal occurred amid overbought RSI conditions amid a five-week-long rising wedge bearish chart formation.
WTI sellers are favored by the recent downside break of an upward-sloping support line from Monday, now close to $79.20, as well as the looming bear cross on the MACD indicator.
Oil bears are well positioned to push the mid-July peak of $77.20. A convergence of the wedge's bottom line and the 50-Easiest Moving Average (EMA), near $76.70, would confirm the commodity's further downside.
In the following periods, the 200-EMA level of around $73.80 and the previous monthly low of around $67.00 will be in focus. It may, however, function as an intermediate halt at $70.00.
In terms of theoretical targets, the rising wedge is aimed at $64,000.
A break above $79.20 could again aim for successful trading beyond the $80.00 psychological magnet if the immediate support-turned-resistance line breaks to the upside.
As a result, WTI bulls will be lured by March's high of $81.05, followed by April's peak of $83.40
WTI OIL / US OIL AnalysisUs oil is quite interesting. The movement is now in accordance with the analysis that I gave a few weeks ago.
There are things that are repeated here, namely the price of forming a curve bullish again. The possibility is the price of bullish is quite high, if we pull the fibo extension, then the possibility of the price of pursuing fibo extensions 1. Fibo Extension 1 is more or less parallel to Fibo Extensions 1,618 from Wave 1. Could be, Wave 3 will move to the area. Take the opportunity to Long when the price is corrected.
PVVM Analysis & Trade Idea - USOILMacro PVVM Analysis:
The Macro PVVM score provides us with an understanding of the long-term trend of the asset. On 7/10/2023, the Macro PVVM was at -9, indicating a slightly bearish sentiment in the long-term. However, by 7/20/2023, it had climbed to 60, suggesting a notable strengthening of the bullish trend.
Considering the range of the Macro PVVM (-150 to 150), the asset is not yet overbought, but the increasing trend signifies a positive sentiment in the long-term. This suggests that TVC:USOIL might have potential for further growth in the foreseeable future.
Micro PVVM Analysis:
The Micro PVVM score represents the short-term trend of the asset. On 7/10/2023, the Micro PVVM was at 98, which indicates a strongly bullish sentiment in the short-term. However, it experienced a slight dip to 72 by 7/20/2023. The momentum seems to be weakening slightly, as it has declined from the peak of 114 seen on 7/12/2023.
Key Takeaways:
1. The long-term trend of EASYMARKETS:OILUSD has turned bullish, as evidenced by the increasing Macro PVVM score.
2. The short-term trend has been predominantly bullish, though it experienced a slight decline in recent days.
Trade Idea:
Considering the current technical analysis, you might consider a long position in TVC:USOIL . Traders could wait for the correction expected by the Micro PVVM to end and then enter long positions.
$74 could be pivotal for WTI over the near termCommodities were broadly lower yesterday with the CRB index falling to a 4-day low. Geopolitical tensions are rising following Russia’s decision to back out of a key grain deal which allowed Ukraine to export grain through the Black Sea. Weak data from China and news that Libya will restart oil production also saw WTI fall for a second day.
What has caught our eye is that WTI played very nicely with its round numbers yesterday, printing the high of the day at $76, a lower high at $75 and lows around $74. It is also considering the break of a trendline, although unless volatility picks up it runs the risk of moving sideways through it (which is not in the spirit of a trendline break).
Still, $74 appears to be a pivotal level over the near-term. And if prices print a minor bounce, we’d still consider shorts below $75 with a view for it to trade to $73. Take note that it is contract expiration today so we may see spills of undesirable volatility, but overall we want to see which way momentum takes this market next.
WTI US OIL Analysis 13July2023the sideways area has been successfully passed, there is a possibility that the price will retrace to the support area and resume the bullish trend again with the nearest target at $77.
wti scalp trade trade scalp on wti
tp 20 to 30 pip
and after 20pip risk free
no stop but You just have to follow the capital management
You will enter one tenth of the capital
Consider the spread
US OIL AnalysisIf this elliot notation is correct, then the oil price may rise in the next few weeks, it could be the beginning of a long bullish trend.
USOIL Top-down analysis Hello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
USOIL MAKE VIEW POSITIVE / VKINGOn July 4, 2023, the US Oil (USOIL) commodity was observed on TradingView using a 5-minute time frame. USOIL is a popular instrument for traders and investors to speculate on the price movements of oil. The 5-minute time frame allows for a more granular analysis of price action, enabling traders to capture short-term opportunities and make informed trading decisions.
During the specified time frame, several factors influenced the price of USOIL. It is important to note that oil prices are influenced by a wide range of fundamental, geopolitical, and economic factors. These include supply and demand dynamics, geopolitical tensions, global economic growth, weather events, and government policies, among others.
Analyzing the 5-minute chart, traders would have observed various price patterns and trends. Candlestick patterns, such as doji, hammer, engulfing patterns, and others, can provide insights into potential reversals or continuation of trends. Support and resistance levels are also crucial indicators for traders, helping to identify potential entry and exit points.
In terms of technical indicators, traders may have used various tools to analyze the price action of USOIL. Common indicators include moving averages, relative strength index (RSI), stochastic oscillator, and volume analysis. Moving averages help to identify the direction of the trend, while RSI and stochastic oscillator indicate overbought or oversold conditions.
Furthermore, traders might have monitored news releases and events that could impact the oil market during this specific time frame. Important economic data, such as crude oil inventories, production reports, and geopolitical developments, can cause significant volatility in oil prices. By staying informed about such events, traders can anticipate potential price movements and adjust their trading strategies accordingly.
Risk management is a vital aspect of trading, and it applies to USOIL trading on a 5-minute time frame as well. Traders must establish stop-loss orders to limit potential losses and implement proper position sizing techniques. This helps to protect capital and manage risks effectively.
It is worth mentioning that trading on a 5-minute time frame requires constant monitoring and quick decision-making. The rapid price fluctuations in such short intervals can lead to both opportunities and risks. Traders need to be disciplined, focused, and adaptable to react promptly to changing market conditions.
In conclusion, analyzing USOIL on TradingView using a 5-minute time frame on July 4, 2023, involved studying various price patterns, technical indicators, and fundamental factors. Traders aimed to capitalize on short-term opportunities by identifying trends, support and resistance levels, and using technical indicators to gauge market sentiment. By closely monitoring news releases and managing risks effectively, traders can increase their chances of success in the fast-paced world of USOIL trading on a 5-minute time frame.
Short Crude Oil on ResistanceIn crude oil trading today, we made good profits in the trading strategy of shorting crude oil in the 70.6-70.8 area twice.
Judging from the current structural trend, crude oil will maintain range shocks in the short term, and fundamentally still maintain a short position. Although the inventory data has declined for two consecutive weeks, the pressure on the demand side is still very weak, and the U.S. dollar index has rebounded.Crude oil as a whole tends to run in a bearish trend. In terms of short-term structure, crude oil is currently facing the resistance of 71-71.2. If this area cannot be effectively broken through, then crude oil may still fall to the 69 position area at any time.
Therefore, before crude oil fails to break through the short-term resistance, it is mainly to short crude oil.
USOIL: @70.8-71 Sell, TP: 70.2
For more trading signals and trading plans, you can follow the bottom of the article to view the details!
WTI OIL approaching the MA50 (1d) againWTI Crude Oil is approaching the MA50 (1d) again, the 3rd time this month and fourth since May 24th.
All tests have resulted in rejections and another one may confirm the emergence of a Channel Down.
A closing above it though, targets the MA100 (1d).
Trading Plan:
1. Sell near the MA50 (1d).
2. Buy if we close a candle above it.
Targets:
1. 67.15 (previous Low).
2. 73.50 (the MA100 1d).
Tips:
1. The RSI (1d) is trading inside a Rectangle. Its bottom is a buy opportunity and top is a sell. Use this in combination to the above.
Please like, follow and comment!!
Notes:
Past trading plan:
WTI rallies form range lows - break of $70 up next?WTI crude posted a strong rally from the $67 support level thanks to another strong drawdown of crude inventories. The fact it rallied over 3% despite the stronger US dollar and hawkish comments from Powell makes us wonder if it could have broken above $70 were the dollar not to dominate FX majors on Wednesday. Still, prices are trading within a range between $67 - $72/73, and whilst prices action remains choppy o the daily chart there are some opportunities to trade the range on lower timeframes.
A triple bottom has formed on the daily along with a 2bar bullish reversal (bullish piercing line). String volumes accompanied the rally from the $67.50 area to show demand around those lows and the OBV (on balance volume) broke above its previous swig high, which hints at a breakout for prices.
Prices are drifting higher at the open, but we’d consider bullish setups above or around the daily pivot point or 10/20 EMAs if prices pullback for a potential swing-trade long to $70.A break above which brings the resistance zones around $71 and $72 into focus.
USOIL Top-down analysisHello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
If it is still range bound#USOIL... Market is in 5 points range from last 3 months ...
If it is still in range then 69.95 is our resistence area ..
Keep close it , if market hold it than drop expected from here ..
Otherwise upside areas are mentioned on chart ..
Trade wisely
Good luck
Another bounce for Crude oil from this support? Crude oil is cheap again.
It bounced from this support previously, looking at the daily chart.
Traders await the FED policy meeting and new interest rate announcement. They should pause the hikes for the foreseeable future.
Targeting $71+ and $74+.
Oil: Can support survive? Today's focus: Oil
Pattern – Descending Triangle
Possible targets – 64.06 73.22
Support – 67.05
Resistance – 72.22 74.15
Hi, and thanks for looking at today’s update. Our attention is on oil after yesterday’s sharp selling took price back to key support. This level has held firm for buyers, but could this be the fourth time lucky for sellers? So far, production cut updates have done little more than spur on sellers.
Will we see buyers re-hold this level, or could we see a new break lower by sellers that gets the downtrend back on track?
Thanks for stopping by. Good trading, and have a great day.
