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WTI USOUSD Short day tradingBearish Arguments VANTAGE:USOUSD Previous Month Low (PML) is holding strong. Previous Week Low (PWL) remains unbroken. Previous Day Low (PDL) is respected. Daily Bearish Fair Value Gap (FVG) is acting as resistance. Monthly Bearish FVG is also being respected. 4H Bearish FVG is holding. 4H Swing High is capping price action. 4H Swing Low is holding as a short-term support, but may break down soon. Trade Management Risk-Reward Ratio (RR): 2 Stop-Loss (SL): Placed near the 4H FVG to protect against upward moves. Take-Profit (TP): Targeting the swing low (SSL). Although price could extend lower, securing profits in this zone ensures gains in case of a rebound. Risk: 3%
VANTAGE:USOUSDShort
by Jaytradermb
WTI Crude Oil: Navigating Market Waves with Technical PrecisionH ello, West Texas Intermediate (WTI) Crude Oil is a major benchmark for oil prices in the U.S. It's widely used as a reference price for oil trading and is a key indicator of global oil market trends. Chart Explanation Moving Averages 5-day Moving Average: $74.80 20-day Moving Average: $73.50 50-day Moving Average: $72.00 200-day Moving Average: $70.00 The price is currently above the 5-day, 20-day, and 50-day moving averages, indicating a short-term bullish trend. Technical Indicators Relative Strength Index (RSI): 65 (Neutral to Bullish) MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence): 2.0 (Bullish) Stochastic Oscillator: 70 (Overbought) Chart Patterns Candlestick Patterns: Recent patterns show a mix of bullish engulfing and doji, suggesting indecision in the market but with a slight bullish bias. Support Levels: $72.00, $70.00 Resistance Levels: $78.00, $80.00 Analysis of Sentiments At present, sentiment on WTI Crude Oil is rather neutral. The sentiment from the technical indicators is ‘buy’, but there is a little bit of energy demand concern as US consumer sentiment has fallen in recent weeks. This calls for a mixed sentiment in which there is hope of price rises but also provides for fears of drop in demand. News Sentiment Information from the latest news has been provoking nervy WTI Crude Oil sentiments. The volatility and the love-hate relationship with the Iran issue have fueled wild price speculations and tensions in the Middle East. Commentators are careful in their assessments arguing in these present price levels that there are wear and tear global political forces, however, all expect a way out that will either break prices up into summits or down into bottoms. Conclusion In the current prices of WTI Crude Oil, one is able to note that there is a steep bullish movement in the short run. Supported by the key indicators, an uptrend of the market is forecasted. Nonetheless, the stock has neared its peak levels and therefore caution should be taken in regard to possible corrections. The price areas close given as $72.00 and $70.00 can present purchasing chances, if any, while selling pressures, if any, at the price boundaries given as $78.00 and $80.00 will be significant to watch. Regards, Ely
TVC:USOILLong
by Elysian_Mind
Market Analysis: WTI Crude Oil Price Target Additional GainsMarket Analysis: WTI Crude Oil Price Target Additional Gains WTI Crude oil prices are gaining bullish momentum and might even test $78.00. Important Takeaways for WTI Crude Oil Price Analysis Today - WTI Crude oil prices extended gains above the $72.40 and $73.50 resistance levels. - There was a move above a connecting bearish trend line with resistance at $72.75 on the hourly chart of XTI/USD at FXOpen. WTI Crude Oil Price Technical Analysis On the hourly chart of WTI Crude Oil at FXOpen, the price started a fresh upward move from $71.15 against the US Dollar. The price gained bullish momentum after it broke the $72.40 resistance. The bulls pushed the price above the 50% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the $77.89 swing high to the $71.16 low. Besides, there was a move above a connecting bearish trend line with resistance at $72.75. The price even climbed above the 50-hour simple moving average. It tested the $75.30 resistance zone and the 61.8% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the $77.89 swing high to the $71.16 low. The RSI is now near the 60 level and the price could aim for more gains. If the price climbs higher again, it could face resistance near $76.30. The next major resistance is near the $77.90 level. Any more gains might send the price toward the $79.50 level or even $80.00. Conversely, the price might correct gains and test the $73.50 level. The next major support on the WTI crude oil chart is near the $72.40 zone, below which the price could test the $71.15 zone. If there is a downside break, the price might decline toward $70.00. Any more losses may perhaps open the doors for a move toward the $68.50 support zone. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
FXOPEN:XTIUSD
by FXOpen
2
Holding WTI buys. H4. 10.10.2024🛢 Holding WTI buys On oil in a private channel gave a zone for buying at 72.20. I myself bought a little higher at 72.50, but the accuracy is small, but the result is already there. I will hold the buy until the take profit at 80 with intermediate fixation of 50% at 78. If there will be another escalation of the conflict between Israel and Lebanon on the weekend, as well as natural cataclysms in the USA, it will be a positive signal for oil, as it will prevent the delivery of oil products. So buy hold and squeeze with private channel subscribers with it profit to the fullest. BLACKBULL:WTI
BLACKBULL:WTILong
by KovachTrader
USOIL Rallies, Tensions Rise, Could Price Soar More??Here I have TVC:USOIL on the Daily Chart! Starting with Technical, we can see Price has formed a Double Bottom at a Support Area that's kept Price afloat for quite some years now, but was last visited and acted as Support for Price back in the Spring of 2023! Price has Broke the Confirmation of Pattern @ $72.36 and is now Breaking the Local Falling Resistance from prior July & August 2024 Highs. Regardless, Price Action has Broken Structure and created Higher Highs and Lows, confirming Uptrend, starting with the Higher Low of the Double Bottom on Oct. 1! - Currently we want to see this Bullish Rally continue Breaking Above the Falling Resistance and staying above the ( $71 - $72 ) Range that Price has been interacting with Signaling Bulls in fact are in control, then for a Test of the Break of Confirmation of Pattern and Test of the Break of Local Falling Resistance! * Once successful, we will see Price rise to the next Falling Resistance created from the Highs of Sept. 2023 & Apr. 2024! - Massive Bullish Volume enters on the 2nd Low of the Double Bottom on Oct. 1 - Price on RSI is Above 50 with the Break of the Confirmation of Pattern Now Fundamental, the biggest factor that seems to be at play for TVC:USOIL is all the Geo-political confrontation stirring up. Not only is the Russia/Ukraine war still ongoing, the tensions between Israel/Iran are seeing massive implications across the board! - Oct. 1 being the beginning of the Iran missile attacks on Israel www.tradingview.com - Now worries arise that Iran's Oil Facilities may be in danger as a possible Retaliatory Israeli Strike Target! With Iran eyeing Israel's Energy Infrastructure, Power Plants, Refineries and Gas Fields! www.tradingview.com * Oct. 7th is the Year Anniversary to the Israel/Hamas conflict and suspicions arise that we could be looking at things intensifying further!
TVC:USOILLong
by Novi_Fibonacci
Crude oil saved by the 200-day MA (for now)A combination of factors saw crude oil snap its 5-day winning streak on Tuesday. China's equity markets plunged at double-digit levels when traders realised no new stimulus from China was to be unveiled after golden weak. US production forecasts were lowered by the EIA and concerns over the Middle East receded somewhat. An elongated bearish engulfing / outside day formed after its daily high met resistance at the September 2023 trendline. Yet the 200-day MA came to the rescue. For now at least. Given the 4-hour bullish hammer at the 200-day MA and weekly R1 pivot, alongside a heavily oversold RSI (2) on that timeframe, I suspect a cheeky bounce could be in order. Bulls could cautiously seek dips for a move to $75 or $76. Yet the magnitude of Tuesday's selloff suggests bears may be lurking at higher prices to re-enter upon any such bounce. Bears could wait to fade into such levels in anticipation of a return to the $70, near a high-volume node (HVN) and 61.8% Fibonacci level. MS
NYMEX:CL1!
by CityIndex
USOIL Price Analysis: Double Bottom Breakout Targets $78.37🛢️ USOIL Price Analysis: Double Bottom Breakout Targets $78.37 and $83.67 USOIL (WTI Crude Oil) shows a bullish reversal pattern on the D1 timeframe , with a double bottom breakout signaling potential upward movement. Traders are eyeing key targets, with the first at $78.37 and the second at $83.67 . Here's a breakdown of the setup: 🔍 What is a Double Bottom Pattern? A double bottom is a bullish reversal pattern that forms after a downtrend. In this pattern, the price hits a support level twice and bounces back. This suggests that sellers have been exhausted, and buyers are stepping in to increase prices. The breakout occurs when the price closes above the peak between the two lows, confirming the pattern. 🚀 Key Price Targets for USOIL With the double bottom confirmed, here are the following potential price targets: 1. First Target – $78.37: After the breakout, the immediate upside target is $78.37 . This level is based on a measured move from the bottom of the pattern to the breakout point, giving traders their first profit-taking zone. 2. Second Target – $83.67: Should the bullish momentum continue, the next target to watch is $83.67 , where further resistance is expected. A move toward this level would signify a more extended upward trend in USOIL. ⛔ Stop Loss – $66.23 To manage risk, traders should consider placing a stop loss at $66.23 . This level is below the pattern's low, where a breakdown would invalidate the bullish outlook and potentially trigger further downside. 📊 Factors Influencing USOIL Several factors could affect the success of the breakout: Global Supply and Demand: Changes in OPEC policies, US shale production, and geopolitical tensions can significantly impact oil prices. Economic Growth: A robust global economy often increases oil demand, increasing prices. USD Strength: Since oil is traded in US dollars, a stronger dollar can put downward pressure on oil prices, while a weaker dollar may support further gains. 🛠 Trading Strategy For traders looking to capitalize on this breakout, consider the following: Entry Point: After the breakout, buying near the current price with targets of $78.37 and $83.67 could provide a favorable risk/reward ratio. Risk Management: Place your stop loss at $66.23 to protect against unexpected market reversals. 💡 Conclusion The double bottom breakout on the D1 timeframe suggests that USOIL is poised for a potential rally towards $78.37 and $83.67 , with a protective stop at $66.23 . To navigate this opportunity effectively, traders should stay vigilant of key market factors and global developments. 🔔 Stay tuned for more updates on USOIL and other fundamental market movements.
FX:USOILLong
by amzadlak
Crude Oil Falls to $70.30 as Market Awaits Possible ReversalOil prices have extended their losses for the second consecutive day, with crude trading around $70.30 per barrel on Wednesday. The decline in oil prices has been largely driven by the potential resolution of a political dispute in Libya, which has temporarily halted exports, along with growing concerns over a slowdown in global demand growth. Adding to the negative market sentiment, data from the Institute for Supply Management (ISM) indicated that US manufacturing continues to struggle. Although there was a slight improvement in August, with the ISM Manufacturing PMI rising to 47.2 from 46.8 in July, it still fell short of market expectations of 47.5. This marks the 21st contraction in US factory activity over the past 22 months, underscoring the persistent weakness in the manufacturing sector. From a technical standpoint, oil has entered a strong demand area, where seasonality data suggests a potential increase in volume, hinting at the possibility of a reversal. Additionally, the latest Commitment of Traders (COT) report shows that retail traders are heavily short on oil, further supporting the potential for a rebound. However, it's important to note that commercial traders, often seen as the "smart money," continue to hold lower positions, adding a layer of uncertainty to the reversal outlook. Moreover, oil prices are facing additional pressure due to the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and their allies (OPEC+) planning to increase production in the upcoming quarter. This move could weigh on prices, making a sustained recovery less certain. While there are signs of a possible reversal in oil prices, the data remains inconclusive, and traders should exercise caution as market dynamics evolve. ✅ Please share your thoughts about WTI in the comments section below and HIT LIKE if you appreciate my analysis. Don't forget to FOLLOW ME; you will help us a lot with this small contribution.
BLACKBULL:WTILong
by FOREXN1
1
USOIL / BREAKOUT THE CHANNEL / 4HUSOIL / 4H TIME FRAME HELLO TRADERS The asset has broken out of a channel and is experiencing bullish pressure. This suggests that the asset’s price is moving upwards after a period of consolidation. The asset is trading above a supply zone around 74.37 to 73.69. A retest of this zone may occur before prices begin to rise again, targeting a higher supply zone between 76.85 and 77.60. If the price breaks 73.59, it indicates a potential move to a Fair Value Gap (FVG) between 73.07 and 72.15 , his is a zone where price inefficiencies may exist. If prices stabilize below the FVG zone, it could lead to further declines towards a demand zone between 73.07 and 72.12. This suggests a potential bearish reversal. Supply Zone : 76.85 and 77.60. Demand Zone : 73.07 and 72.12. FVG : 73.07 and 72.15.
TVC:USOILLong
by ArinaKarayi
WTI Crude Surges After Iran’s Missile Attack, Supply Fears BoostWTI crude oil prices edged higher following news that Iran launched missiles at Israel in a direct attack, sparking fears of potential supply disruptions in the oil-rich Middle East region. The escalation of conflict has heightened concerns about stability in the region, with the risk of a broader war possibly threatening oil production and distribution, sending prices upward. From a technical perspective, the price movement has played out exactly as predicted in our previous forecast, which can be seen in the following link: In that analysis, we anticipated a rebound from a key demand area, driven by concerns over geopolitical tensions and possible oil supply disruptions from the conflict. As the situation between Israel and its neighboring countries intensifies, the fear of significant interruptions in oil supply is pushing prices higher. Looking ahead, the bullish momentum in WTI is expected to continue, possibly driving prices above our initial take profit target. Traders should remain alert for further developments in the region, as any escalation could further fuel the upward pressure on oil prices, potentially leading to even more significant gains in the near term. In conclusion, WTI prices are on an upward trajectory, fueled by the geopolitical risks stemming from the direct attack on Israel. Our technical forecast of a rebound from the demand zone has been validated, and with the ongoing threat of supply disruptions, the bullish outlook remains strong. Further gains could push WTI prices well beyond our take profit levels if the conflict persists. ✅ Please share your thoughts about Oil in the comments section below and HIT LIKE if you appreciate my analysis. Don't forget to FOLLOW ME; you will help us a lot with this small contribution.
BLACKBULL:WTILong
by FOREXN1
1
Q4 Kickoff - US down, VIX Up, Oil Drama, China RipQuick video recap to highlight what's the latest and greatest in the markets. Oct 1 - Happy Q4 US Big Tech in "big red" today US Energy in "big green" today - thanks for a wild bid on USOIL China continues to rip "green" and it's playing catchup quickly US will have to deal with employment news, inflation news, earnings news, all before the US Election and Nov 7 FOMC Rate Decision (expecting another 25 bps cut) Major levels to the downside if there's a US market pullback, FOMC lows, gap fills, and up trendline levels (50 period SMA, 100 period SMA, 200 period SMA) but we'll see Stay frosty out there :) Thanks for watching!!!
AMEX:SPY
by ChrisPulver
2
USOIL / UNDER BULLISH PRESSURE - 4HUSOIL / 4H TIME FRAME HELLO TRADERS Recent Decline , Prices began to drop at the end of September by 7.12%. This indicates a noticeable downtrend, which could be driven by various market factors. Support Level at 67.22 , Currently, prices are trading slightly above this key support level. If the price breaks below 67.22, it may trigger a further decline of 9.80%. Potential for Rebound , If the support level holds, a potential rise could occur. Two potential rise targets are a 3.48% increase and a 6.27% increase, depending on how strong the support level is and whether positive momentum returns. Technical Analysis: Current Support Level , The price of USOIL is currently above 67.22. This level serves as a critical support point; if prices remain above this, it suggests bullish sentiment. Target Range (FVG) , If prices hold above 67.22, the analysis predicts an upward movement toward a Fair Value Gap (FVG) area between 68.73 and 69.48. This implies potential buying interest or liquidity in that range. Further Resistance , If the price breaks through the FVG area, it could rise further to reach a resistance level at 71.74. This indicates a bullish outlook if the upward momentum continues. Conversely, if the price drops below 67.22, it suggests a bearish trend, potentially declining to 65.24. This indicates a shift in sentiment from bullish to bearish.
TVC:USOILLong
by ArinaKarayi
MCL: One-Two Punch Could Lift Crude Oil to Higher GroundNYMEX: Micro WTI Crude Oil Futures ( NYMEX:MCL1! ) On September 18th, the U.S. Federal Reserve cut interest rate by a supersized 50 basis points, ushering a long-awaited monetary easing cycle. Six days later, on September 24th, China introduced a broad stimulus package to revive its economy. It includes cutting interest rates, reducing bank reserve requirements, supporting the property sector, and injecting liquidity into the stock market. Specifically, • The People’s Bank of China (PBOC), China’s central bank, cut its 7-day reverse repurchase rate to 1.5% from 1.7% • The PBOC slashed the reserve requirement ratio of financial institutions by 0.5% • The PBOC lowered home mortgage downpayment requirements to 15%; previously, those buying houses other than primary residence were required to put down 25% • Separately, the PBOC would advise banks to lower mortgage interest rate by 0.5% • The PBOC also announced a new RMB $1 trillion long-term credit facility (equivalent to US$143 billion). It allows financial institutions to use their stocks, bonds and ETF funds as collateral to obtain funding from the PBOC. The use of fund is specifically earmarked for credit lending to publicly traded companies for stock buyback Each of these policies is a major stimulus measure. Putting together, they have the potential to reshape the economic outlook for China, and for the rest of the world as well. Following the announcement, Chinese stock markets clocked their best week in 16 years as the CSI 300 rallied 15.7%. Hong Kong’s Hang Seng index recorded a weekly gain of 12.75%. On Friday, the CSI 300 climbed 4.47% to close at 3,703.68, its highest level in a year, while the HSI rose 3.32% to 20,586.94, its highest since February 2023. On Monday, September 30th, China’s SSE Composite Index rallied 8.06%, closing at 3,336.50. This marks a nine-day winning streak, its best day since September 2008 and its highest point since August 2023. In 2024, China’s economy has slowed significantly. Last week, China released its industrial profit data for August, which saw a 17.8% plunge year on year. On a year-to-date basis, profits at large industrial firms grew at 0.5% to 4.65 trillion yuan ($663.47 billion) for the first eight months, down from 3.6%. However, China’s supersized monetary policies could help its economy turn a corner. It is highly expected that China’s Ministry of Finance will follow suit to announce new fiscal stimulus and add more ammunition to fuel economic growth. Together, the extraordinary measures installed by the Top 2 economies, which account for 40% of global GDP, could help improve the global economy in a meaningful way. WTI Crude Oil: Higher Demand from Economic Growth While it is still too early to quantify how much the global economy would benefit from these stimulus measures, we could expect higher industrial output from the government credit extension and the lower business cost of capital. The potential impact could be huge for stocks, bonds, foreign exchange and commodities. Today, my analysis concentrates on crude oil. The Fed rate cut and China Stimulus package both exceeded market expectations. These are game changers big enough to reverse the declining trend of crude oil prices. Recent escalation of Middle East conflict would only add to the uncertainty of oil supply. In my opinion, WTI could reclaim the previous levels of $76, $83 and $89, consequently. The expected stimulus from China’s Ministry of Finance and the November 6th FOMC rate cut could support the upward trend if they meet or exceed market expectations. The recent CFTC Commitment of Traders report confirms a shift to the long positions: • As of September 24th, total open interest (OI) of WTI futures was 2,242,432 contracts • Managed Money held 210,469 long and 48,541 short, a 4.3-to-1 ratio • Compared to the previous week, the long positions increased by 24,734, while the shorts decreased by 3,969 contracts; this shows a bullish view building up For someone with a bullish view of crude oil, he could establish a long position in NYMEX Micro WTI Crude Oil Futures ( GETTEX:MCL ). The contract has a notional value of 100 barrels. At 1/10 the size of benchmark WTI Crude Oil contracts, Micro WTI futures offer the same robust trading transparency and price discovery with smaller margin requirements. At Friday closing price of $68.63, each November contract (MCLX) is worth $6,863. CME Group requires an initial margin of $596 for each MCL contract, long or short. Hypothetically, if WTI bounced back to $76.88, its previous high on August 5th, the price increase of $8.25 would produce a gain of $825 (=8.25x100) for a long position. The risk of buying crude oil is that the follow-up government stimulus packages were less than market expectations, which could undermine the growth forecast. To hedge the downside risk, an experienced trader could consider the use of put options on WTI crude oil futures. Happy Trading. Disclaimers *Trade ideas cited above are for illustration only, as an integral part of a case study to demonstrate the fundamental concepts in risk management under the market scenarios being discussed. They shall not be construed as investment recommendations or advice. Nor are they used to promote any specific products, or services. CME Real-time Market Data help identify trading set-ups and express my market views. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs www.tradingview.com
NYMEX:CL1!Long
by JimHuangChicago
1
USOIL WTI Technical Analysis and Trade Idea👀 👉 USOIL WTI recently broke structure to the down side, as seen on the 4H timeframe. In this video, we closely examine USOil, discussing the trend, market structure, and price action. We also explore a potential trade setup. **Disclaimer:** Forex trading involves significant risk, and market conditions can change quickly. The information provided is for educational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. 📉✅
TVC:USOILShort
by fxtraderanthony
WTI Crude Oil 4H Long – Targeting 0.5-0.7 Fibonacci LevelsWe’re seeing a breakout on the 4-hour chart for WTI Crude Oil, presenting a potential long trade setup. The price is targeting the 0.5 to 0.7 Fibonacci retracement levels. However, we may experience a retest of the breakout level before the trade fully reverses and moves towards the targets. Technical Analysis: • Breakout Confirmation: The recent price action has broken through resistance, indicating a potential shift to bullish momentum. • Fibonacci Levels: The 0.5 to 0.7 Fibonacci levels are key areas of interest, aligning with possible resistance where the price might stall or reverse. • Retest Potential: There’s a possibility that the price could retest the breakout zone before resuming its upward movement, which is a common pattern following breakouts. Trade Setup: • Entry: Consider entering a long position either at the current level or on a potential retest of the breakout zone. • Target: The primary targets are the 0.5 to 0.7 Fibonacci levels, which represent areas where we may see the price consolidate or reverse. • Stop-Loss: Place the stop-loss below the recent low to protect against a false breakout. Since this is a swing trade on a 4-hour chart, be prepared for the trade to develop over a few days, potentially extending into weeks. Risk Management: • Position Sizing: Adjust your position size to account for the potential duration of this swing trade, ensuring that you’re comfortable with the longer timeframe and any market fluctuations that may occur. • Trailing Stop: If the trade moves in your favor, consider using a trailing stop to lock in profits while allowing the trade to continue running towards the target levels. Note: Please remember to adjust this trade idea according to your individual trading conditions, including position size, broker-specific price variations, and any relevant external factors. Every trader’s situation is unique, so it’s crucial to tailor your approach to your own risk tolerance and market environment.
OANDA:WTICOUSDLong
by AR33_
9