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WTI (CRUDE OIL) shortterm forecastHi dear traders. WTI (Crude OIL) created nice trend channel started from 73.37. Upper border of the channel is 75.60. Although, oil prices is moving between these prices from 16 December, as soon as it will jump to 77.55 level. This is my private opinion and this is good opportunity for buyers. Signal characteristics: WTI will move down firstly, then possibly impulse here. Small impulse will reach to 76.29. Then will come retracement. It will retest 75.80-76.00 secondly. As a resut, second impulse will take us to target. Of course, we need entry, take profit and stop loss levesl for signal: ENTRY: 75.62 TP 77.50 SL 74.25 Signal can reach our target during this week. Do not forget to put Stop Loss because trading without SL is gambling only. This will be non-professionalism. Good luck and follow us ))
TVC:USOILLong
by Forexcues
USOUSD short … for the week of 19 Dec 2022US Oil (WTI crude) has been steadily making its way to the downside since the past 6 months. This has been a clean downtrend, respecting previous structure for the most part and I do not see any reason why this would change. I am looking for a pullback either to the minor level in the 77.60 area or even to the major level in the 82.00 area. If some bearish price action (on a lower time frame) becomes evident, such an event would provide a good location to join the down trend that is likely to follow. Targets are located at supports at 71.50 and then at 66.50 regions. Always use sound money and risk management and stay patient in all your trades. If you like my analysis, please give it a “thumbs up” and follow me to get even more awesome content. What do you think about this trade idea? Please comment and share your thoughts!!
EIGHTCAP:USOUSDShort
by Trading_Vista
USOIl Crude Oil important Support LevelWTI Crude Oil is at a key support level now and i don`t think we have seen the last of it. OPEC+ unexpectedly decided to cut output in October by 100,000 barrels a day. It`s not much for now, but they will continue cutting the supply until they will get the oil to $90. I`m looking for a bounce to the $85 - $92 area before heading to $62 by the end of next year, when i expect the beginning of an electric revolution worldwide. Looking forward to read your opinion about it.
TVC:USOILLong
by TopgOptions
2
70$ nearly hit, reconsideration of thoughts, and retracementFor several months, we provided price rankings for USOIL, most of which were fulfilled already. The only price target we kept was 70$ per barrel, which was nearly hit last Friday when the price stopped at 70.10$ (just 0.13% away from the price target). With the price level nearly hit, it is time for us to step away from the market and reconsider the situation. In our previous idea, we outlined how the price deviated too far from its moving averages (20-day SMA and 50-day SMA) and might be setting itself for the price retracement to the upside. After hitting a new low, that became the case for USOIL, with the price rising to 74.30$. At the moment, we do not expect a primary trend reversal from bearish to bullish. However, we want to stay on the sidelines and avoid setting new price targets until the picture gets clearer. Until then, we will maintain a neutral position. Illustration 1.01 Illustration 1.01 shows the daily chart of USOIL. Yellow arrows indicate a new low at 70.10$ and retracement toward 20-day SMA in progress. Technical analysis Daily time frame = Bearish (but showing signs of exhaustion) Weekly time frame = Bearish Please feel free to express your ideas and thoughts in the comment section. DISCLAIMER: This analysis is not intended to encourage any buying or selling of any particular securities. Furthermore, it should not be a basis for taking any trade action by an individual investor. Therefore, your own due diligence is highly advised before entering a trade.
TVC:USOIL
by Tradersweekly
7
WTI USOil Setting for Short Trade?FX:USOILSPOT TRADE PLAN INSTRUMENT: USOil TIMEFRAME: DAILY DESCRIPTION Although fundamental drive illustrates that OPEC+ will cut oil production by 2mil barrel a day going forward, our Technical Outlook suggests that USOil Price will continue to fall untill we arrive at 70.00. The current rally appears a sentiment drive. We will look to short the market when price visit a 55EMA with some confirmation to short for completion of Daily Bat Pattern. Updates to follow. Disclaimer Charts are educational not investment recommendations
FX:USOILSPOTShort
by edgeAZFX
4
Crude Oil Weekly Volatility Analysis 12-16 Dec 2022 We cCrude Oil Weekly Volatility Analysis 12-16 Dec 2022 We can see that currently the implied volatility for this week is around 6.51%, up from 6.33% from last week according to OVX data With this in mind, currently from ATR point of view we are located in the 83th percentile, while according to OVX, we are on 77th percentile. Based on this, we can expect that the current weekly candles ( from open to close ) are going to between: Bullish: 4.62% movement Bearish: 5.6% movement At the same time, with this data, we can make a top/bot channel which is going to contain inside the movement of this asset, meaning that there is a 21.3% that our close of the weekly candle of this asset is going to be either above/below the next channel: TOP: 76.33 BOT: 67.24 Taking into consideration the previous weekly high/low, currently for this candle there is : 30% probability we are going to touch previous high 76.2 67% probability we are going to touch previous low 70.1 Lastly, from the technical analysis point of view, currently from Weekly timeframe indicates -66% BEARISH trend from the moving averages index Daily timeframe indicates -80% BEARISH trend from the moving averages index 4H timeframe indicates -53% BEARISH trend from the moving averages index
NYMEX:CL1!
by exlux
USOil | New perspective for the week | Follow-up detail3 days into the EU ban on Russian seaborne crude imports, oil producers in Russia are going against all expectations to ramp up production in recent weeks. With the Russian seaborne crude oil import ban around the corner, a potential OPEC+ output cut on the table, and ongoing discussions about capping Russian oil & gas prices, we looked at the charts from a technical perspective in this video to decipher how the recent developments will affect price movement in the coming week(s). Disclaimer: Margin trading in the foreign exchange market (including commodity trading, CFDs, stocks, etc.) has a high risk and is not suitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is organized and published by me for the sole purpose of education and assistance in making independent investment decisions. All information herein is for your reference only and I take no responsibility. You are hereby advised to carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objective, and risk tolerance level, and consult your independent financial adviser as to the suitability of your situation prior to making any investment. I do not guarantee its accuracy and is not liable for any loss or damage which may result directly or indirectly from such content or the receipt of any instruction or notification therewith. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
FX:USOILSPOT
by darcsherry
1
New lows, volatility about to continue, and a potential bounceIn the past few days, USOIL constituted a new low below 73$, marking a 43% decline from its peak a few months earlier. This move came amid our bearish expectations for oil and forecast for lower prices. We continue to stick to this call altogether with our price target at 70$, which was updated recently to a short-term price target (from medium-term). Our views are based on technical and fundamental factors described below and in previous articles. Illustration 1.01 The daily chart of USOIL shows the price decline between 8th March 2022 and today. The yellow arrow indicates a bearish breakout below the previous low and subsequent bullish retracement. To further support our bearish thesis, we would like to see the price break again below 73.62$ and hold there. Technical analysis Daily time frame = Bearish Weekly time frame = Bearish Illustration 1.02 Illustration 1.02 displays the daily chart of USOIL and simple support/resistance levels + two simple moving averages. At the moment, the price deviated too far from its 20-day and 50-day SMAs, which is often followed by the price retracement toward a mean; currently, these SMAs act as important resistance levels. Please feel free to express your ideas and thoughts in the comment section. DISCLAIMER: This analysis is not intended to encourage any buying or selling of any particular securities. Furthermore, it should not be a basis for taking any trade action by an individual investor. Therefore, your own due diligence is highly advised before entering a trade.
TVC:USOILShort
by Tradersweekly
27
USOIL 5th DECEMBER 2022Organization of Petroleum Exporters and its Allies (OPEC+) maintained production cuts, keeping production at 2 million barrels per day (bpd) from November to 2023. Oil prices weakened as China's zero-covid policy weighed on demand. However, after the regulation was relaxed in a number of cities including Beijing and Shanghai, oil prices slowly moved up. WTI and Brent oil are significantly bullish, this is partly driven by the easing of China's covid-19 lockdown. Technically, oil prices are still in a bearish trend, but bullish is possible in the next few days until the resistance area. recommendation to sell in the resistance area marked by the red area. Prices can go higher, pay attention to several points that can make oil prices tend to be bullish: opec policy, easing lockdown in china, and weakening USD.
TVC:USOIL
by DNP-FX
2
USOil | New perspective for the week | Follow-up detailA record number of new coronavirus cases in China (the world's highest importer of crude oil) coupled with the inability of the EU to agree on a price cap for Russian oil Crude prices resulted in a plunge in price as the price fell for a third straight week. From a technical standpoint, it is obvious that price action has been caught within a channel ($93.50 and $87.00) in the last couple of months to emphasize the indecision in the market. However, it is worth noting that the lower timeframes reveal that price action has continued to find lower lows and lower highs in the last 3 weeks to signal a possible bearish continuation in the new week but we can not ignore the possibility of a breakout of the bearish trendline to incite a reversal structure. Disclaimer: Margin trading in the foreign exchange market (including commodity trading, CFDs, stocks, etc.) has a high risk and is not suitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is organized and published by me for the sole purpose of education and assistance in making independent investment decisions. All information herein is for your reference only and I take no responsibility. You are hereby advised to carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objective, and risk tolerance level, and consult your independent financial adviser as to the suitability of your situation prior to making any investment. I do not guarantee its accuracy and is not liable for any loss or damage which may result directly or indirectly from such content or the receipt of any instruction or notification therewith. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
FX:USOILSPOT
by darcsherry
How to profit from Crude Oil - LONG (and short) The USA is in a political battle over the price of oil with OPEC and right now they are winning, but how low can they go? Not too much lower actually, they need to start buying again to ensure their strategic reserves remain useful and not at risk of dropping below the requried levels to support the country in times of emergency. OPEC $64 - To ensure OPEC break even on oil product, they will control the market above SPR $72 - To replenish the reserves the USA is a buyer at $67 - $72 a barrel, not too far from where we are now EU $70 - The EU are in talks to ensure Russian oil cannot be sold above $70 Pin Bar $77 - We have a bin bar rejection to support the market move North again Fib 78.6% - We've rejected this level 7 times on the weekly and daily chart Target 1 - We've already tested and profited from this move upto $82 and we'll be doing that again Target 2 - Fib 61.8% at 88 will be our next target Target 3 - Fib 50% at 92 will be our final target Short - If we break down past 77, we'll be a buyer just below at the SPR support levels.
CAPITALCOM:OIL_CRUDELong
by CBMotivation
2
USOIL Long Strategy / Flip.What has really happened? Drawing from reserves? Pushing the price cap narrative? They are all temporary relives, just like a plaster/bondage on a wound. Chinese demand will pick up and war continues, and latest developments around south korea... I believe the Oil Rally is far from over, and the longer the spring is tried to be controlled/held, the harder it will be released back up. With OPEC+ Set to meet this week, and the possibility of reduction of production, intimation of South Korea, WTI prices will also be effected indirectly for sure. I believe the strategy is pretty forward with 3 TP targets on long, and should we cut our losses and move short before longing again, 1 TP for short. TVC:USOIL
TVC:USOILLong
by TheHopinionist