Wticrude
WTI SHORT TERM RECOVERYWTI recovered some of its loses yesterday after expectations of supply slow-down due to the hurricane in the Gulf of Mexico. But the continuous straightening of the US dollar and the expectations of continuing slow-down of Chinese economy might decrease the demand of crude oil. This will probably put further pressure on the crude oil price. Bearish traders might take advantage of this scenario by waiting a bit for WTI to reach more favorable levels and enter into positions.
Although technical indicators on the 1H graph show "Buy" signals, on the 4H and the daily graph the indicators are still bearish, with MACD histogram below 0 line and RSI below 50 neutral line. This might indicate that the recovery is temporary and the bearish move has not finished, but just slowed down.
If bearish trend continues the price might test levels of 72 USD, but if the trend makes a more permanent reverse, it might test its previous high at 86 USD.
Risk Disclosure: Trading Foreign Exchange (Forex) and Contracts of Difference (CFD's) carries a high level of risk. By registering and signing up, any client affirms their understanding of their own personal accountability for all transactions performed within their account and recognizes the risks associated with trading on such markets and on such sites. Furthermore, one understands that the company carries zero influence over transactions, markets, and trading signals, therefore, cannot be held liable nor guarantee any profits or losses.
USOIL is in possible sell zone!!USOIL 4h Has broken down after creating a head & shoulder on the lower timeframe. Upon new opening, the price has formed a new bearish structure and again has broken down after a liquidity grab as soon as the market opens. Currently, price retesting the previous support as resistance on the local structure and rejecting that can give us another opportunity to sell WTI after our first successful trade as soon as the market opens.
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WTI Oil- Will it drop under 70?In my previous Wti Oil analysis, I draw attention to the possibility of a double top formed above 120 with the neckline at the 92 zone.
Oil has dropped under this support and confirmed this zone as new resistance.
At this moment the price is also under 85 support and the road looks clear for continuation.
The next obvious level of support is around 65 and as long as 85 is intact sell rallies is my strategy.
WTI BEARISH OUTLOOKWTI reached its 8 months low, after the spike in price from the invasion in Ukraine. Investors are afraid that combination of increasing interest rates and high inflation will slow down the economy, from there and the demand for crude oil. The economic slow down of China has also put a down pressure on the oil price.
Technical indicators are also placing WTI into bearish scenario, with MACD under the 0 line and RSI under the 50 neutral line.
If the trend continues, the price might reach levels of 67.5 In opposite scenario, however, the price might test its previous high of 89.5
Risk Disclosure: Trading Foreign Exchange (Forex) and Contracts of Difference (CFD's) carries a high level of risk. By registering and signing up, any client affirms their understanding of their own personal accountability for all transactions performed within their account and recognizes the risks associated with trading on such markets and on such sites. Furthermore, one understands that the company carries zero influence over transactions, markets, and trading signals, therefore, cannot be held liable nor guarantee any profits or losses.
Oil Analysis - updateG'day all, hope you're well.
Well, looks like the EMA theory I mentioned before turned out to be correct. Check out my previous posts for the low down on that if you like. The price fell through the 55 EMA (yellow) and failed to get back above it, or at least hold above it. In theory, the next stop should be the Sasha Grey EMA, or the 200 EMA if you wanna be technical and politically correct. This would make plenty of sense as it would line up with the W pattern's neckline, which happened to be the .618 when measured from the last high before its formation to the next logical low (dotted Fib retracement on the left), which also turns out to be the 0.5 Fib retracement of the overall move if you consider a 5-wave count from the Covid bottom to the peak. A great technical retracement for those of you who go by Gann theory.
That being said, the .618 Fib retracement is still below us at around $50/barrel. Could it actually hit there? Who knows. If this pop ends up being anything similar to the 2008 pop, then yeah, it could. In my shitty opinion, if it does dip that low, I'd bet that it would get bought up pretty quickly. On the weekly chart, it would likely end up looking like a wick, possibly a reversal type candle such as a dragonfly doji or something similar. Point being, I doubt prices would hover around there for too long before greed sets back in.
We'd also have to take into account the WEF's push for green energy, weaning off of fossil fuels, worldwide recession...all that stuff. At the risk of sounding like a conspiracy theorist, it really seems like they're pushing HARD to make their agenda a reality. There's evidence of this worldwide at this point and they have been pretty publically vocal about it. So it could be possible that even if oil prices fall to these levels, fuel prices may remain high as part of their push for a "greener world". Let's leave aside the debate of how EV's can cost more in the long run and be just as or more polluting to the environment. Regardless, these elites see an opportunity for creating a bigger profit margin, more control and more economical/social status division, so I highly doubt they'd ditch all of that and take the moral high ground to improve affordability for peasants like us :)
Well, that's my 2 cents worth.
TL;DR: Price action fell below the yellow 55 EMA and now we're looking to be on top of Sasha Grey at around $64 - $70/barrel. Giggity.
Stay safe all!
USOIL - A Bullish opinion Hello traders in my opinion USOIL is approaching a strong support zone on spotted the weekly time frame via a brearish trendline and a falling support i think that if it bounces back from that zone + the falling support , breaks the trendline and retests we might see a Bullish correctional movement
just an opinion not financial advice
CRUDE OIL WTI : BEARISH POSITIONS BELLOW 88.78BLACKBULL:WTI
Hello folks!!!,
This is my analysis brought to you after deeply analyzing the Curde Oil WTI from a technical, trend and fundamental perspective:
Pivot point : 88.78
Stop loss : 92.28
Take profit : 73.28
Entry Price : 86.40
Risk/Reward Ratio : 1 : 2.32
If this post was useful to you, do not forget to like and comment.❤️
Trade Safely,
Best Regards,
Yasser Tavarez
USOIL - An attempt to support the price failsOn 17th August 2022, we warned that the oil market might be positioning itself for a downtrend correction. Accordingly, we said we would pay close attention to the sloping resistance and a potential breakout above it.
Then, a few days later, the breakout occurred, and the price of USOIL spiked to 97.65 USD. Meanwhile, we abandoned our bearish price targets due to the OPEC considering production cuts. However, we also stated that the retracement (below the sloping resistance) could be utilized as short position re-entry.
Finally, after the OPEC announcement, we said the production cut would have a minimal impact on the market. So today, we would like to update price targets for USOIL. Our new short-term price target is 80 USD, and our long-term price target is 70 USD.
Illustration 1.01
The image above shows the daily chart of USOIL. It also depicts the bullish breakout above the sloping support/resistance and subsequent bearish retracement.
Technical analysis - daily time frame
RSI, Stochastic, and MACD are bearish. DM+ and DM- are bearish. Overall, the daily time frame is bearish.
Illustration 1.02
Illustration 1.02 shows simple support and resistance levels for USOIL. The yellow arrow indicates the most recent bearish breakout.
Technical analysis - weekly time frame
RSI, Stochastic, and MACD are bearish. DM+ and DM- are bearish. Overall, the weekly time frame is bearish.
Please feel free to express your ideas and thoughts in the comment section.
DISCLAIMER: This analysis is not intended to encourage any buying or selling of any particular securities. Furthermore, it should not be a basis for taking any trade action by an individual investor. Therefore, your own due diligence is highly advised before entering a trade.
WTI oil - 80 USD in sight Since our last update on oil, much has not changed. Therefore, we continue to be bearish on USOIL and stick to our short-term price target of 80 USD and a long-term price target of 70 USD. Our views are based on technical and fundamental factors we reiterated throughout 2022.
Illustration 1.01
Illustration 1.01 displays the daily chart of USOIL. Additionally, it shows two yellow arrows that indicate natural price retracements toward its 20-day SMA and 50-day SMA (which acted as a correction of the downtrend).
Technical analysis - daily time frame
RSI, Stochastic, and MACD are bearish. DM+ and DM- are bearish. Overall, the daily time frame is bearish.
Technical analysis - weekly time frame
RSI, Stochastic, and MACD are bearish. DM+ and DM- are bearish. Overall, the weekly time frame is bearish.
Please feel free to express your ideas and thoughts in the comment section.
DISCLAIMER: This analysis is not intended to encourage any buying or selling of any particular securities. Furthermore, it should not be a basis for taking any trade action by an individual investor. Therefore, your own due diligence is highly advised before entering a trade.
USOIL 23rd SEPTEMBER 2022Oil prices slipped below the US$85 per barrel level after the US central bank, the Fed, announced an interest rate hike.
U.S. oil demand over the past four weeks fell to 8.5 million barrels per day (bpd), the lowest since February, according to the Energy Information Administration (EIA). On the other hand, there was a 1.1 million barrel increase in crude oil stocks last week.
The European Union is considering restrictions on Russian oil prices, as well as on high-tech exports to Russia, as well as sanctions in the event of an escalation of Moscow's war in Ukraine.
On the other hand, China's crude oil demand is also still pressured by tight restrictions due to Covid-19.
OPEC crude oil exports have been fairly stable, since the high increase in demand earlier this month for an early winter contract.
When Russia refuses to 'restrictions on Russian oil prices', and OPEC starts to 'reduce oil exports', that's we can see prices will tend to be bullish.
WTI DWINDLES BETWEEN HIGH RATES AND THIGHT SUPPLYWTI remains indecisive. On one hand traders are suspecting continuous increase of the interest rates, after Fed decision in Wednesday. On the other hand, the further escalation by Russia of the war in Ukraine and the thread by the Nigerian oil minister Timipre Marlin Sylva that OPEC+ will decrease production if prices keep falling, are creating fear of tightened supply.
All technical indicators are suggesting downtrend for WTI price, with MACD histogram being below the 0 line and RSI being below the neutral 50 line.
If price keeps falling, it might test its most recent low at 80.9, but if the trend reverses, it might test its resistance at 89.7 or even the one at 97.2
Risk Disclosure: Trading Foreign Exchange (Forex) and Contracts of Difference (CFD's) carries a high level of risk. By registering and signing up, any client affirms their understanding of their own personal accountability for all transactions performed within their account and recognizes the risks associated with trading on such markets and on such sites. Furthermore, one understands that the company carries zero influence over transactions, markets, and trading signals, therefore, cannot be held liable nor guarantee any profits or losses.
Direction of WTI #1So there is clearly a strong resistance at trendline. Now we are waiting for the market to rebound at the trendline and we can make short position. but if the market break through the resistance line. we have to make sure it is a break out or false breakout. wait, patience, got setup, minimal risk. and then entry
WTI BULLISH OUTLOOKWTI increased in value in the start of today's Asia session, following a weakened US dollar and the news that China is easing the COVID lockdowns, which will most likely boost the economy of the second largest energy consumer.
On the technical site, the instrument broke the resistance of the triangle pattern, MACD histogram is above 0 line and RSI indicator is above the neutral 50 line.
If the trend continues, the price might reach levels of 88.5, on the other hand, if trend reverses, the price might test its previous support at 83.8
Risk Disclosure: Trading Foreign Exchange (Forex) and Contracts of Difference (CFD's) carries a high level of risk. By registering and signing up, any client affirms their understanding of their own personal accountability for all transactions performed within their account and recognizes the risks associated with trading on such markets and on such sites. Furthermore, one understands that the company carries zero influence over transactions, markets, and trading signals, therefore, cannot be held liable nor guarantee any profits or losses.
Bullish H&S inplay for OilPretty self explanatory.
With the recent bearish wave in Oil and many other commodities, Oil has recovered it's bullish wedge and has began forming what looks like a H&S pattern.
Severely oversold and battered on the 4hr, daily and weekly, Oil might just be making a come back.
News aren't bullish at all and most traders are in short positions, this for me usually means that bulls moves are up ahead.
In all honesty though, I just can't believe that Oil isn't ultimately going to reach this years high with the Russia situation and the lack of Oil supply and production in the west.
Yes China is on a lockdown and there's fears of a recession, but I doubt any western government who can print and control their currency is going to allow a recession to take place in a time like this.
I've been holding oil for quite long and for a good reason.
Final target for this potential bullish H&S is the conservative target of the distance between the head and the base, with it potentially reaching the yellow resistance drawn.
As always, trade at your own risk!