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USOIL 5th SEPTEMBER 2022The standoff over Russia's gas and oil exports escalated on Friday after Moscow promised to close its main gas supply pipeline to Germany and G7 countries announced plans for price caps on Russian oil exports aimed at squeezing Russia's war chest in Ukraine. This latest closure of the Nord Stream pipeline, which Russia says will last as long as it takes to make repairs, adds to concerns over winter gas shortages that could pull major economies into recession and lead to energy rationing. Europe accuses Russia of weaponizing energy supplies in what Moscow calls an "economic war" with the West following Russia's invasion of Ukraine. Moscow blames Western sanctions and technical problems for supply disruptions.
TVC:USOIL
by DNP-FX
6
USOIL 8th SEPTEMBER 2022Oil prices fell sharply on Wednesday (September 7th), slipping below levels seen before Russia's invasion of Ukraine as dismal Chinese trade data and growing fears of a global economic recession hurt fuel demand. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) oil futures for October delivery plunged US$4.94 or 5.7 percent. With lower prices this time it is a good opportunity to supply companies that are optimistic about surviving the recession and tightening monetary policy. This week, OPEC+ is scheduled to discuss oil production cuts as part of their future strategy. OPEC+ revised the market balance this year and expects demand to lag supply by 400,000 barrels per day (bpd) compared to the previous estimate of 900,000 bpd. However, the group of major oil producers expects the oil market to be in deficit by 300,000 bpd by 2023.
TVC:USOILLong
by DNP-FX
11
The oil market bows to the tactical strategy of the FEDSpeculators and oil giants seized the moment to maximize their oil profits the past months. With a mixture of war fears, supply fears and the increased demand for crude oil after the Corone pandemic and bad supply chains, a broad panic wave had broken out. Let's have a short overview about the current situation: Europe's situation: With India and China importing massive amounts of oil from Russia at very favorable conditions, capacity is freed up on the world market. The new routes have now established themselves, an equilibrium in price and efficiency has now settled in. The same applies to LNG. Global Supply Chains: They are healing, freight costs are falling, although demand for freight containers remains consistently high, as do increased kerosene prices. An equilibrium is more or less reached. Wars and conflicts due to lack of food : The grain agreement for fertilizer and grain exports from Ukraine has improved the situation on the world market and avoided narratives for conflicts in poor countries that might lower down oil exports. Summer session is over : As is known, midsummer is the time when most people in the world travel, especially now after the corona pandemic, many people left by car or plane for the first time since years. The season high is over. The FED is just trying its best to lower the price below a tactical zone so that speculators are technically afraid to long oil markets. This is to mitigate a price-oil spiral. I expect we will see a 75bps interest hike this month as well to push oil prices below the MA trend lines. Oil prices will fall another good 20-40% in the coming months. There is no way the FED will allow it to pop back above 100$ for the next months, otherwise the mild recession might become a deeper one. Disclaimer: The information mentioned in my post should be taken with a grain of salt. They are only my personal opinion and do not form facts. They are also not a call or recommendation to open trades, do trades or close positions.
OShort
by Lobotto
1
WTI oil - An indecisive moment in the oil marketWe warned about the possibility of a downtrend correction in the middle of August 2022. Indeed, we said that the breakout above the sloping support/resistance would lead to such action. Then shortly after that, USOIL rose from its lows and broke above the resistance, halting its rise at 97.65 USD per barrel. Since then, the price fell back below the 90 USD price tag. However, the drop stopped slightly above the sloping support, which is bullish. Accordingly, we are bullish on oil for as long as the price stays above the support. However, an alternative position can be taken (with a tight stop-loss) on the breakout below the support. In the short-term future, we will pay close attention to OPEC's rhetoric and any potential talks about more production cuts. In our opinion, cutting production risks higher prices for oil in the short term. Although with the prospect of global recession unraveling, we think production cuts will only have a temporary effect if any. Illustration 1.01 The picture above shows the daily chart of USOIL. Yellow arrows indicate a bullish breakout above the sloping support/resistance and subsequent failure of the price to retrace below it. As long as the price stays above the sloping support/resistance, it stays in the bullish area. Technical analysis - daily time frame RSI and MACD are neutral. Stochastic is bearish. Overall, the daily time frame is neutral/slightly bearish. Illustration 1.02 Illustration 1.02 shows the daily chart of USOIL and two simple moving averages, which still reflect a bearish constellation. Technical analysis - weekly time frame RSI is neutral. Stochastic and MACD are bearish. DM+ and DM- are bearish. Overall, the weekly time frame is bearish. Please feel free to express your ideas and thoughts in the comment section. DISCLAIMER: This analysis is not intended to encourage any buying or selling of any particular securities. Furthermore, it should not be a basis for taking any trade action by an individual investor. Therefore, your own due diligence is highly advised before entering a trade.
TVC:USOIL
by Tradersweekly
26
WTI Crude Oil OPEC+ Token Supply CutOPEC+ unexpectedly decided to cut output in October by 100,000 barrels a day. Emily Ashford (Standard Chartered analyst): “Last month’s adjustment provided a nod to the demands of the consumers, this monthly adjustment is a small nod to the concerns of the producers,” Deepening energy crisis in Europe after Russian energy giant Gazprom PJSC said gas flows along a key pipeline to Germany would not resume. In this economic context my short term price target for WTI Crude Oil is $99. Looking forward to read your opinion about it.
TVC:USOILLong
by TopgOptions
3
Crude Oil in 4H time Frame.Hi Everyone, Please see updated 4H chart, Oil already hit the support around 86 ready to test the key point at 90, if break there is likely 2 possible upside moment. as we can see the oil will make range until the fed release their new hike Interest rates. we also need see the next coming geopolitical movement from Russia , China and USA. The oil embargo will also have an impact on price movements. first possible range(4h - 1D): 80 - 110 USD second possible range (4h - 1D): 75 - 103 USD i try to always we will keep you all updated . Please don't forget to like, comment and follow to support us, i really appreciate you support ! Goodluck i'll help you to have a great trade. Please using good money management. dont take any emotional trade. Note: Dont risk more than 0.2% on trending market Dont risk more than 1% on ranging market Wish good luck for all people. Please help support me by Clicking like button, and if you like my ideas please follow me and support me. i Relly Appreciate it! i'll make more and more great analysis if this chanel grows. on Gold , Oil , Nasdaq, SP500 , and some American, China, Japan, Indonesia stocks. Best luck for you. Cheers mate! Thankyou.
NYMEX:CL1!Long
by LaurentWilvyne
Will WTI Oil drop under 70?Since the double top marked by March and June's highs above 120, the price of Oil has started to fall and found support under 90 and under the neckline of the pattern. Last week we have a false break above this neckline reversed with a strong bearish engulfing and Oil is trading again near 88 support (also an old resistance from Oct and Nov 2021) The pressure seems to be on the downside and a clear break of support would confirm this outlook. In such an instance we can have a continuation to the downside and a drop to 70 important horizontal support and also the measured target for the double top.
FOREXCOM:USOILShort
by Mihai_Iacob
6
Natural Gas - A Maniac Market MakerI find the market makers of the Natural Gas Futures market to be particularly wild savages. The recent dump from $9.5~ to $5.3~ is a fine example of how difficult they make getting long. They're like a world class bull at the rodeo. You get a lot of points if you can ride one, but their Buck Off % is like 90%+. Natural Gas is going to $13-$15 and it will very likely do it before 2022 is out The reason is to make it so that North Americans can't afford to heat their homes, especially amid all the other inflation and losing money crushing the middle class. But you should also know that this recent pump to $8.5 was both too direct and too easy. The shake out is coming, and it's not going to be very pleasant. Look for numbers in the low 6s and high 5s and look for these figures to come painfully fast and with little warning. "Fundamentals" don't matter. You keep listening to a propaganda network masquerading as a public intelligence organization that calls itself "the news" and wondering why your compass is broken and you can't figure out what is going to happen. Life is hard and nobody wants you to be rich. Nobody wants you to survive the economic depression that lies ahead. The idea of the establishment is that they will do what they have planned to do, and if you're good enough, you will make it. If you aren't good enough, you will be weeded out. This is fundamentally evil, and while there remains hope and the evil will ultimately fail in its plans, these are nonetheless the scenarios that will unfold, because all of humanity has abetted this for more than two decades. So, you have to do your best and stop going with the flow. Stop adding fuel to the flame. Long NG1 at high 5s and low 6s with a stop under $5.30. The real target is beyond $10, but $10 is coming. Natural Gas is unrealistically cheap in North America compared to Europe and other parts of the world right now. This won't last. But getting there on a long trade will not be so easy.
NYMEX:NG1!Long
by LordWrymouth
12