USOIL 100.00 The chart shows the uptrend.
USOIL on the 4-hour chart bounced for the second time above the 91 - 92 area.
The market after testing the 0.618 Fibonacci support is now trading for further resistance.
Technical analysis - daily time frame RSI is bullish. In general, the daily-weekly time frame is bullish.
DISCLAIMER: This review is not intended to encourage the buying or selling of any particular security. Also, it should not be a basis for any trading action by an individual investor. Therefore, your own due diligence is highly recommended before entering into a trade.
Wticrude
USOIL - The downtrend continuesIn the first quarter of 2022, we warned market participants about the peaking conditions in the oil bull market. Since then, our predictions came true, and USOIL dropped over 30% from its highs, hitting our 100 USD and 90 USD price targets. At the moment, we still remain bearish on WTI oil with a medium-term price target of 80 USD. Our views are based on technical and fundamental factors.
Technical analysis - daily time frame
RSI, MACD, Stochastic, DM+, and DM- are all bearish. Overall, the daily time frame is bearish.
Illustration 1.01
Illustration 1.01 shows USOIL down approximately 33% from its 2022 highs. At the moment, we pay close attention to the sloping resistance; a breakout above it will be a bullish sign, potentially hinting at the correction of the downtrend.
Technical analysis - weekly time frame
RSI, MACD, Stochastic, DM+, and DM- are all bearish. Overall, the weekly time frame is bearish.
Please feel free to express your ideas and thoughts in the comment section.
DISCLAIMER: This analysis is not intended to encourage any buying or selling of any particular securities. Furthermore, it should not be a basis for taking any trade action by an individual investor. Therefore, your own due diligence is highly advised before entering a trade.
WTI BULLISH OUTLOOKWTI rose in value in response of potential OPEC+ cuts and conflict in Libya. This possibility of supply cuts was enough to offset the effect of the strong US dollar.
WTI broke the resistance line of the ascending triangle pattern, a bullish outlook, supported as well by the RSI and MACD indicators.
The instrument might test its previous support level at 99.70, but if the break turns out to be false, the instrument might test its previous support at 94.70
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USOIL 23rd AUGUST 2022Oil prices briefly surged in mid-trade due to a push to raise the Fed's benchmark interest rate. However, prices eased back after investors believed that the US central bank's policy this month was to maintain interest rates.
Another factor, the US dollar strengthened again to its highest level in five weeks, which limited the increase in crude oil prices. This is because oil becomes more expensive for buyers with non-US dollar currencies.
US Dollar Index
Oil prices will not be too bearish, this is due to the prospect of higher demand entering the winter season.
WTI bearish momentum continuesWe've been bearish all last week on WTI, taken shorts on any valid bearish signals and lower highs that were completed.
We expect WTI to head down to the low 80$ mark for the time being.
Technically there is a big bearish breakout pattern on the 1D chart, where a valid breakout occurred followed by a retest, see attached idea.
We continue to remain bearish on WTI and sell any valid sell signals.
Crude WTI Oil (Is the bottom IN?)View On WTI Oil (18 Aug 2022)
We are seeing some possible bottoming on Oil and $80~$85 will be a strong support.
I foresee it may swing back UP.
Take it slow and $100 will be nice.
DYODD, all the best and read the disclaimer too.
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WTI Bearish breakout happening now!Hey guys! We havent been to active but here we go again!
We are taking shorts (swing trades) on WTI based on the current breakout + retest of the support turned resistance.
Our Stops are around the 94.2 level while our Take profits are between 80 and 85, we will seek to compound the shorts as the market moves.
We rarely take swing positions but couldn't resist this one.
Ofcourse we are just as ready to buy as we are to sell (one of our key trading rules), so if this fails, we will go long IF THE MARKET indicates a buy opportunity!
Are you trading WTI?
USOIL 11th AUGUST 2022The United States posted an increase in inventories of 5.5 million barrels in the past week. The realization was higher than the expected 73,000 barrels. Gasoline products supplied also rose in the last week to 9.1 million barrels per day. The figure marks a 6% decline in demand over the last four weeks compared to the period last year.
From a fundamental point of view, the oil market continues to monitor the development of oil supply from Russia to Europe via the Druzhba pipeline, which was resumed earlier this week. The market is also awaiting the release of monthly oil data from the International Energy Agency (IEA) and the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) scheduled Thursday.
CRUDE OIL (WTI) Very Bearish Outlook 🛢
This morning with my students, we discussed WTI Oil.
The price is trading within a wide horizontal trading range on an hourly time frame.
Approaching its resistance, the price formed a double top formation.
Its neckline breakout confirms a highly probable bearish continuation.
Goals:
88.7 / 87.8
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WTIOil in a bit of trouble here, likely entering a 6-10 month bear market correction. Downside target can hit the 618% of the entire 5 moves off the 2020 lows when WTI went negative.
Currently a lower time frame A wave has bounced off the 618% fib retracement level of the 5th wave. But we must correct that entire 5 up not just the 5th wave. We should bounce into a B wave soon on the daily
before making the larger C wave down close to $80. After that The HTF weekly A wave is complete and bounce again into HTF weekly B wave before finally nuking to $50 wave C to complete the entire move. You better BTFD IMHO guys because after this is done oil prices likely to run back turbo over $130.
WTI is in sell zone!!WTI has formed a daily doji on the last day of the trading week. After opening the new trading week we have seen so far a series of rejections with lower highs on the 4H. Last candle on 4H has formed a text book bearish engulfer with 20EMA retest and close back below. It is a high probability that WTI will continue to drop to the monthly support zone
WTI: Doooown…After one last surge, WTI has jumped below the support line at $92.93, its shout echoing through the chart. Now that it has begun the descent, it should continue it into the blue zone between $81.16 and $77.55, where it should finish wave 3 in blue.
Alternatively, there is a 35% chance that WTI could gain upwards momentum again and could make it not only back above $92.93 but also above the resistance at $101.88. In this case, it should pursue the ascent above $105.24 and into the turquoise zone between $107.12 and $116.59 first before moving downwards.
Crude Oil - Heads Up - UpdateThis is an updated analysis of the price activity since my last published idea concerning WTI crude oil.
I believe we have completed the corrective process to the initial down wave that occurred May 8th.
This is ending as an ending diagonal of "C" as labeled on the chart.
I am expecting a downward move in prices in the very near term.
USOIL - Oil will continue to drift lower over medium/long termWe continue to be bearish on USOIL. Accordingly, we still maintain our price target of 90 USD per barrel of WTI oil. Indeed, we would like to change this price target from medium-term to short-term. Additionally, we would like to set a new long-term price target for USOIL at 80 USD.
Illustration 1.01
The sloping line acts as the resistance; the more touches it gains, the more important it grows.
Technical analysis - daily time frame
RSI is neutral. MACD is also neutral. Stochastic, DM+, and DM- are all bearish. Overall, the daily time frame is bearish.
Technical analysis - weekly time frame
RSI, MACD, Stochastic, DM+, and DM- are all bearish. Overall, the weekly time frame is bearish.
Please feel free to express your ideas and thoughts in the comment section.
DISCLAIMER: This analysis is not intended to encourage any buying or selling of any particular securities. Furthermore, it should not be a basis for taking any trade action by an individual investor. Therefore, your own due diligence is highly advised before entering a trade.