US Oil (WTI Crude Oil) Analysis and trade IdeaOil has broken structure to the downside, and a return to the originating impulse was expected... and now fulfilled. What now? This video explains identifies the most likely scenarios... and the higher probability movement.
I believe price is indicating further declines, for a shallow pullback on the HTFs.
Wticrude
OIL SALES? After reaching the 261% fibbo extension, hitting the guideline of the last two highs on the high side, after 9 consecutive weekly green candles and plus the sum of the first low of the uptrend since 60 is a good time to think about sales. no?
This last weekly candle has left us a curious wick and the formation of an MHM, apart from all this we have to bear in mind that the price comes with a lot of upward force due to this we have to watch for false leaks at the maximum.
I don't want to waste too much. Greetings and good luck.
WTICOUSDThe West Texas Intermediate Crude Oil market has fallen rather hard to kick off the trading session on Thursday, but as you can see, we have rallied quite drastically to recapture the $82.50 region. By doing so, we ended up forming a bit of a hammer, which of course is a bullish sign. By doing so, I do think that it is only a matter of time before we continue to go higher. After all, we are in a very strong uptrend and that has not changed, despite the fact that we have pulled back over the last couple of days. Looking at this chart, the $80 level underneath is significant support, as it is a large, round, psychologically significant figure. The $80 level underneath has been important more than once, so therefore I think we will continue to pay close attention to it. At this point, I like the idea of picking up bits and pieces of value on dips, as the crude oil market has been so heavily influenced by the reopening trade and of course the fact that we are looking very likely to continue to see demand pick up due to the fact that there was so little in the way of capital expenditure over the last several months, and of course there has been an increase in burn rate. Furthermore, other forms of energy have failed miserably, and therefore power plants are being forced to burn petroleum as well. With the noisy behavior, I think it is only a matter of time before we see this market go looking towards the $85 level. The $85 level is a large, round, psychologically significant figure, and one that will be a target. If we can break above there, then it is likely that this market takes out to the upside.
Underneath, the $80 level should offer quite a bit of psychological and structural support, so that being said it is likely that we will see plenty of buyers in that area. The 50 day EMA currently sits just above the $75 level, and it does suggest a certain amount of resiliency and could be the “floor the market” going forward. Regardless, this is a longer-term uptrend, and we cannot fight it. Energy demand will continue to be very strong going forward, and therefore we should continue towards $90 over the longer term.
WTI Short / Expecting a bear pushWTI has been in a strong bullish rally for quite some time, but we believe that the market could turn around soon, after all WTI and NATGAS have been in the news for too long and the bull run might just be ready to turn south.
We already have lower highs forming, and decent indications that we could see a correction. - It's worth a shot to sell as if this market drops, it will drop quickly.
Technical analysis update: WTI oil (26th October 2021)WTI oil continues to rise along with other commodities. Recently, USOIL reached our short-term price target of 82.50 USD and then our medium-term price target of 85 USD. In light of these events we would like to change long-term price target of 90 USD to medium-term price target. In short-term we remain neutral as price of USOIl remains overvalued at the moment. Because of that we would not be surprised to see shortlived correction in WTI oil. Despite that we continue to be bullish on USOIL as rising demand and other fundamental factors support bullish case for it.
Technical analysis
RSI continues to move sideways in overbought territory. Its current value suggests that price is due to correct which would be very healthy for oil before next climb to 90 USD per barrel. We await reversal in RSI which will be accompanied by selling pressure. However, Stochastic and MACD remain bullish. Though, MACD loses momentum. ADX continues to grow which suggest that bullish trend is very strong and it is possibly nearing its peak.
Suport and resistance
Short-term support sits at 82.50 USD while short-term resistance sits at recent high of 85.39 USD. Support 1 lies at 80 USD and Support 2 sits at 76.95 USD. while Support 3 appears at 74.21 USD. Then major support sits at 61.58 USD.
Disclaimer: This analysis is not intended to encourage any buying or selling of any particular securities. Furthermore, it should not serve as basis for taking any trade action by individual investor. Your own due dilligence is highly advised before entering trade.
WTICOUSDThe West Texas Intermediate Crude Oil market has initially rally during the trading session on Monday, reaching towards the crucial $85 level. The $85 level of course has a certain amount of psychological importance attached to it, so it is worth paying attention to the fact that we have fallen from that level. The market forming a bit of a shooting star suggests that we are ready to pull back just a bit, but I do think there is enough support underneath to keep this market going forward. All things been equal, the market is very bullish, and nothing has changed. I anticipate that there is probably a certain amount of resistance to the $85 level based not only upon psychology, but probably based upon the options market as well. Nonetheless, I do like the idea of pulling back and finding value that we can take advantage of going forward. The $82.50 level attracts a certain amount of attention, and most certainly the $80 level will as well. I think the $80 level is your short-term support level, and therefore I think that is the bottom of the overall range.
Keep in mind that there is a major amount of demand for crude oil, and we had also seen a lack of production during the pandemic, so therefore we have a bit of a “perfect storm” for higher pricing as the economies around the world continue to reopen, and of course demand surges for energy. We are not only seen this in the WTI market, but we are seeing it in the Brent market, natural gas markets, and quite frankly even the coal markets. In other words, anything energy related is going to continue to have quite a bit of momentum attached to it. With that in mind, I think this continues to be a “buy on the dips” scenario, and therefore I am not looking for selling opportunities. Longer-term, I do think that we break above the $85 level and go looking towards the $90 level. Looking at this chart, the market has been very bullish, and should continue to be so as we are simply grinding away in a 45° angle, which is a very healthy amount of momentum overall. It is not until we break down below the 50 day EMA that I would consider shorting this market.
Technical analysis update: WTI oil (19th October 2021)USOIL keeps climbing higher. However, we are growing little bit worried that price is too high at the moment. In our opinion it would be healthy for price to correct before further rise. We think that correction could take price as low as 76 USD. In medium-term and long-term we remain bullish , however, in short-term we voice our concerns. We would not be surprised to see quick drop with subsequent retracement and resumption of uptrend. Several indicators are flashing warning signals and because of that we would like to change our short-term stance to neutral.
Technical analysis
RSI is overbought. We will observe it closely and we will look for crossover below 70 points which we expect to be accompanied by selling pressure. Despite that Stochastic and MACD continue to be bullish . DM + and DM- are also bullish . ADX continues to grow which means that trend is strenghtening.
Support and resistance
Short-term support/resistance sits at 82.15 USD. Support 1 lies at 79.76 USD and Support 2 sits at 76.65 USD. Major resistance sits at 85 USD.
Disclaimer: This analysis is not intended to encourage any buying or selling of any particular securities. Furthermore, it should not serve as basis for taking any trade action by individual investor. Your own due dilligence is highly advised before entering trade.
WTI Oil update Big Week Begins SlowlyThe US called upon OPEC+ to boost oil output but has so far been reluctant to tap its own strategic reserves to address the price surge that is denting the economic recovery. It has, though, committed to selling some as part of a past fiscal agreement.
Last week, the London Metals Exchange announced several ad hoc measures to address the apparent shortage of copper. These included requiring large holders to lend the copper back to the exchange, allowing short positions to delay delivery, and limiting backwardation (when near-term prices are dearer than longer-term contracts). As Bernanke once quipped, in a crisis, there are no idealogues, or perhaps fairer, in a crisis, ideology is often sacrificed for expediency.
Oil is expected to move downside as its been already on oversold price. Make your own Risk Reward ratio while trading in Oil
Oil sales? The Oil analysis is very simple, we follow an upward trend with a projection up to 86/87. Tambein made small operations without confirmation in case he decides to change trend. Today 10/20/21 I keep a short with the SL at the maximum of laterality. If it surpasses this (No false breakout) it should remain bullish. We are attentive.
The entrance is Sclaping but the operation is Swing with strokes up to 75/60/50
WTI watch out for a reverseWTI is for now still in strong move up and it wouldn't be a good timing to short now.
However i would look out on continuation into the 85$/90$ long term resistance in order to try for a short trade.
Before entering i would wait for the MACD to turn red and upper BB to start closing, until this 2 conditions are not meet, there is no question to short this market. Lower target would be to pullback into 76$ support area.
This will be interesting to follow next week.
OIL Intraday. Aiming 1:10 RRMissed a sell on oil today.
Risk 1% and aiming for 10% on this trade. No indicators used. Pure price action. Like to keep my chart clean. Simply trading structure, nothing else!!
All trades closed on the same day. Entries are taken on 1 min chart. Stop loss is moved to cost after structure break. Don't chase the trades, wait for the next opportunity.
Also, please view price action on 1 min chart if you're following my entries. It will make sense. Trading view doesn't allow to post entries on charts smaller than 15 minutes.
Mostly trade 12-5pm UK time NY session. Sometimes London Session. Don't like the idea of watching charts the whole day.