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Crude oil range trading Crude oil continued its downward trend at the opening on Monday, and its rebound at $75.7 once again encountered resistance and declined, indicating a bearish trend. Looking at the daily trend chart, the daily level has been negative for three consecutive times. Although there is no new low quotation, the high price has not been broken, indicating that an adjustment in crude oil prices is expected. After the oil price broke down continuously in the early stage, after hitting a new low of 72.3, the oil price rose to 78.43. However, after the subsequent oil price retracement, there was no continuation of the bulls. At this stage, it is in a triangle shock. If there is no breakthrough of the previous high, There are signs that there will be a high probability of a continued downward break. Oil prices currently focus on resistance 77.5-78.3 and support 73.7 Overall bearish
VANTAGE:CL-OILShort
by Anthony-Ryan
WTI Crude oil front expirationOverview: The price just approach the first important resistance area, a downwards trend line. This dynamic resistance has already rejected prices 3 times since its formation. Lateral trading waiting Wall Street's short session. Strategy: we hold delta neutral position waiting for a breakout. In this case, we will go long with a stop level @$76.30. Our current delta: @$76.65: 0.06 Technical signals: RSI still in neutral area, Stochastic positive. Trends analysis: primary(purple): corrective structure wave A intermediate(green): corrective structure wave C minor(yellow): impulsive structure wave 3 Mandatory rebalance level: not set Today's session corrections: ----->> @$76.65 from 0.48 to 0.06.
NYMEX:CL1!Long
by DeltaZeroFinance
WTI Crude Oil Trading: An In-Depth Analysis of a Bearish TrendDear Esteemed TradingView Members, I n the ever-evolving world of finance and trading, staying ahead of the curve is essential for success. If you're part of the exclusive audience of elite business professionals and investors, you understand the importance of precise market analysis and informed decision-making. In this article, we delve into the intricacies of WTI Crude Oil trading to provide you with valuable insights and a sophisticated outlook on the current market. Decoding the WTI Crude Oil Market M ACD Indicator Insights: The WTI Crude Oil market has witnessed a bearish trend since September 28, 2023, as indicated by the Moving Average Convergence/Divergence (MACD) at the bottom of the chart. While MACD continues to display bearish signals, it's vital to remember that this is a lagging indicator, reflecting historical trends. As sophisticated investors, we must recognize that historical behavior does not guarantee future outcomes. The world and its dynamics are in a constant state of flux, with each trading day being a unique entity shaped by ever-evolving global events. D eep Neural Analytics Perspective: Here's where our analysis takes an intriguing turn. Deep Neural Analytics suggests the possibility of WTI Crude Oil being oversold. Historically, when MACD levels have reached this point, a bullish pull-up often follows. However, it's important to approach this insight cautiously. Global news and unforeseen developments can significantly impact oil markets. While historic trends provide valuable guidance, they are not absolute predictors of future behavior. T he Support Zone: According to volume metrics, the current support zone (indicated by the upper blue rectangle) ranging from $77 to $84 also serves as a demand zone. If market sentiment remains positive and bearish news doesn't disrupt the status quo, this zone could transition into a consolidation platform. A consolidation zone acts as a springboard for investors to accumulate positions and potentially drive the price to the next resistance zone, which might fall within the range of $94 to $100 (as depicted by the purple rectangle). A lternative Scenarios: If buyers fail to sustain the current support zone, or if external factors challenge investor sentiment, the next potential demand zone lies between $63.5 and $71 (as illustrated by the bottom blue rectangle). Should this scenario unfold, it would necessitate a reassessment to determine its suitability for a possible reversal. Theoretically, if oil doesn't reverse from the current demand zone, it could find its turning point in the alternate demand zone. These scenarios, however, are long-term considerations, while the current situation sees oil consistently falling below key Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs) like EMA 20/50/100/200. U nderstanding Sustainability: Exponential Moving Average (EMA) indicators play a pivotal role in comprehending the sustainability of trends. Gradient Boosting Machines (GBMs) applied to EMAs and oil prices suggest that the bearish trend may persist until February 2024 or potentially longer. Despite MACD indicating that oil is oversold, GBMs on EMAs advise against forecasting an immediate bullish trend. This underscores the importance of not relying solely on one indicator. The Road Ahead I n the realm of WTI Crude Oil trading, informed decision-making is key. The markets are driven by a complex interplay of variables, making the role of a sophisticated investor all the more crucial. Without bullish news and indicators, WTI Crude Oil continues to display bearish tendencies and may maintain this trajectory for the foreseeable future. Remember, this analysis serves as a guide, not an investment recommendation. Conduct thorough research, safeguard your funds, and take full responsibility for your investment choices. The dynamic nature of financial markets requires vigilance, and with the right insights, you can navigate the WTI Crude Oil landscape with confidence and wisdom. Kind regards, Ely
TVC:USOILShort
by Elysian_Mind
6
USOIL option sentiment based on CME data analysisA big "butterfly" was detected in the January oil contract, which is a directional strategy with a target of $90, also known as the previous local maximum. It's important to note that this strategy appeared after a 4.7% decrease and when the 90 price was significantly lower and oversold for our mysterious participant, let's call him "X". *********To summarize, such a situation can be interpreted as clearly positive. However, it is worth waiting for additional confirming factors. Do not hurry to open longs right now!
NYMEX:CLF2024Long
by ClashChartsTeam
WTI Crude oil front expiration - last updateOverview: EIA data and OPEC+ meeting postponed, make tumble the market. My dear volatility!!! Strategy: Neutral. Follow the market. Our current position's Delta @$76.39: 0.03 This are all the corrections we made today 5)rebalance: @$76.39 (from 0.23 to 0.03) 4)rebalance: @$75.70 (from 0.62 to 0.03) 3)rebalance: @$73.90 (from -21 to 0.30) 2)rebalance: @$74.50 (from -0.30 to 0.05) 1)rebalance: @$76.10 (from +0.28 to +0.03) rebalance: @$75.45 (from -0.58 to +0.06) Technical signals: RSI positive signal just if cross in positive area Stochastic still in negative area. Trends analysis: primary(purple): corrective structure wave A intermediate(green): corrective structure wave B minor(yellow): corrective structure wave C close Bullish targets: first@ $77.00 second@ $78.70 Mandatory rebalance level /Stop loss: not set Bearish targets: first@ $75.00 second@ $73.90
NYMEX:CL1!
by DeltaZeroFinance
Crude oil looks set to bounce ahead of OPECWith oil prices having fallen around -25% from the September high, a correction higher may be due. And as prices failed to hold beneath $70, Wednesday's bullish hammer (which is also a higher low) has caught out eye). The hammer was coupled with above-average volume to suggest demand around $75, and the initial break below $70 was seen on strong negative delta (more sellers than buyers) which means the subsequent move higher likely forced them to cover and reconsider their direction. A move towards $75 could help improve the reward to risk ration for an anticipate move to $80, a break above which brings $82 into focus just beneath the January and April highs.
NYMEX:CL1!Long
by CityIndex
USOIL (CRUDE OIL ) SELL ON REJECTION HELLO TRADERS !!! As i can see CRUDE OIL 🛢️ The anticipated OPEC+ meeting set for this weekend to a postponement to Nov 30th. The delay stemmed from challenging discussion between Saudi's and fellow members regarding oil production levels.... Saudi Arabia currently implements an additional 1 Million barrel per day output cut since July engaged in talks without specifying the cause for the delay.... Recently weeks have seen oil prices fluctuate amir signs of expending supply..... CRUDE OIL 🛢️ INVENTORIES ROSE 8.70 MILLION BARREL while this presents another bearish factor 🔥 and technically it is showing us a rejection here on a fake breakout of trend line so we planing for these design TP and expected more fall in USOil its just an trade idea do a proper analysis before trade on ur real account share ur trade idea with us it will help alote the trader community
FX:USOILSPOTShort
by APEX_TRADING_ACADMEY
WTI Crude oil front expiration - last updateOverview: Another massive build on API crude oil stocks, conflicting with a big distillate inventory draw, and next Sunday OPEC+ meeting are the main factors driving the market to a stall awaiting the official EIA data scheduled today. Strategy: Neutral following the market. Our current position's Delta: -0.09 barely negative Last rebalance: at $77.87 from +0.19. Technical signals: RSI still in neutral area. Trends analysis: primary(purple): corrective structure wave A intermediate(green): corrective structure wave B minor(yellow): corrective structure wave B Bullish targets: first@ $79.00 second@ $79.80/$80.00 Mandatory rebalance level /Stop loss: as we are neutral our system doesn't set any level. Bearish targets: first@ $76.00/$75.40 second@ $74.70/ $73.90
NYMEX:CL1!
by DeltaZeroFinance
WTI Crude oil front expiration - Last updateOverview: Awaiting the FOMC minutes and API crude oil stocks Strategy: Our current position's Delta: +0.10 (rebalanced at $77.18 from -0.73). Follow the market. Technical signals: Stochastic crossed the signal but still in negative territory, RSI in neutral area. Trends analysis: primary(purple): corrective structure wave A intermediate(green): corrective structure wave B minor(yellow): corrective structure wave A Bullish targets: first@ $78.80/$79.00 second@ $79.70/$80.00 Mandatory rebalance level /Stop loss: as we are neutral is not set Bearish targets: first@ $76.80 second@ $75.80/$75.60
NYMEX:CL1!
by DeltaZeroFinance
WTI Crude Oil front expiration: Navigating Correction and TargetThe WTI crude oil market experienced a robust response, essentially reversing the downward trend observed on Thursday's session. Currently, the market is exhibiting a corrective structure, and we are monitoring whether it follows a pattern of 3 waves (ABC) or 5 waves (ABCDE). As of our current position, the delta stands at -0.03, indicating a neutral stance. The bullish outlook has seen success with the attainment of the target at $76.00 indicated in the previous report, if the upward pressure would persist, the next targets are located on $77.50 as first and at $78.50 as second. It's essential to note that, as our position is currently neutral, our trading system doesn't set any rebalancing level or stop loss. On the bearish side, the initial target is set at $75.00, followed by the second target at $73.90. In simpler terms, the market initially faced a downturn but has since shown signs of correction. Our position is currently delta neutral, with specific target levels for both bullish and bearish scenarios.
NYMEX:CL1!
by DeltaZeroFinance
Crude oil bearish After failing to break through 80 this week, crude oil fell again to around 75.56 after the US EIA inventory data emerged yesterday. There is currently no good news for crude oil in the market. The overall trend of crude oil is very weak, showing a slow falling trend. After breaking above the moving average, oil prices did not stand firm but fell back and fell below again. The pressure on the daily line is still very strong. Crude oil is currently bearish, and you can pay attention to trading in the 73.5-77.8 range.
VANTAGE:CL-OILShort
by Anthony-Ryan
4
WTI bears eye a move down to $80Last week's swing trade to $90 worked out well, yet momentum ha since shifted lower. I noted in the recent COT report that managed funds and large speculators have been trimming long exposure in recent weeks, and that managed funds increased short exposure last week despite the slew of negative headlines surrounding the Middle East conflict. This also coincided with the two small bullish weekly candles, which appeared to be corrective on the weekly chart - and therfore suggests lower prices. A lower high has formed below $90 and momentum turned lower. As support has been found around the Jan/April highs, we suspect a bounce is due. And this could allow bears to fade into favourable prices below $87 - $87.50 on the assumption a breakdown is pending ahead of its move to $80. Should this be part of a larger decline, note that $75 and $70 are near the 100% and 138.2% Fibonacci projection levels on the daily chart.
NYMEX:CL1!Short
by CityIndex
WTI Crude oil front expirationOverview: with today's fall in price, having reached $73.80 support area, and with a divergence on RSI, we consider close the corrective structure ABC on the daily time frame. Strategy: Moderate bullish position's delta , Our current position's delta: +0.30 Bullish first target: $75.00/$75.30 Bullish second target: $76.00 Mandatory rebalancing level / Stop loss: on breakout of the daily's low Bearish first target: $73.00 Bearish second target: $72.20
NYMEX:CL1!Long
by DeltaZeroFinance
Long term bullish Oil prices have risen in recent days on the back of a bullish outlook from OPEC+'s monthly report and the International Energy Agency (IEA) released a monthly report on Tuesday that raised its crude oil demand growth forecast for this year and next. Oil prices have been range-bound due to signs that tensions in the Middle East may be easing and uncertainty about U.S. oil inventories. The U.S. dollar index fell sharply to a more than two-month low after U.S. CPI data was weaker than market expectations, and the International Energy Agency ( The International Energy Agency (IEA) raised its forecast for crude oil demand, and oil prices once hit a one-week high. The trend of crude oil fluctuated upward and continued to be blocked near 80, forming a repetitive rhythm of alternating main and main markets. The current support level of 77.3 and resistance level of 80 are very strong. Crude oil will more likely fluctuate within this range. Watch today's EIA data. Long term bullish
VANTAGE:CL-OILLong
by Anthony-Ryan
Should the CRUDE OIL rally from here_UPDATE!! I had posted a view on Crude oil that wave v should begin and rally till around 97$ mark a few days back. Here is a more detailed 4hour chart of the same with updated and detailed wave counts as to give you the idea what my views are on the same. Not gonna lie the fall below 76$ mark was not anticipated and did give a chill but the crucial wave 1 high of 74.69 was protected(and so was my wave count:)). 74.96 was the 4th wave low(yday's low). The view remains the same till now with a slight modification of the target to 95$ now. 74.69 can even be used as a SL(since if this is violated that would indicate much more downside in Crude and make it pointless trying to go long on it) Note*_ This view is based on personal observations and opinions. Please access your own risk and analyze any instrument thoroughly before taking up any financial positions.
TVC:USOILLong
by neeraj_2_sharma
1
Signs of oil move.Hi. I'm starting to learn Lorentzian Classification. Thought it would be a good idea to take a chart that is hard to figure out with my standard methods (like Ichimoku). OK, let it be WTI Crude Oil. I additionally adjusted native indicator settings and added: - Source hlc3 - Show default / dynamic exits - Use Worst Case Estimates - Use EMA filter period I turned on 3 month chart. Oh. Interesting. So, those green crosses are the default exits. It is interesting that every time after printing such a signal the candles go under the midline. Ok, I'll just watch it. Oil will probably be cheaper later this year than it is now. However, it may happen next year.
TVC:USOIL
by averkie_skila
2
Crude oil prices have reached bottom Issues of demand and supply remain key considerations for crude oil. There are currently some signs of support for crude oil. Oil prices fell below 75 this week and have been repeatedly testing upwards around 75. If the current price falls further, market participants will worry about an economic recession. In the short term, crude oil returns to the 80 area and continues to test back and forth. All in all, the crude oil market's recent performance has been characterized by volatility, but signs of support have emerged. While questions surrounding demand, supply and geopolitical impacts remain, the potential for a short-term rebound is clear. It is unlikely that crude oil will fall sharply again, and the overall outlook is bullish.
VANTAGE:CL-OILLong
by Anthony-Ryan
Short continuation Crude oil broke straight down yesterday, with the high point at 81.0, the lowest point at 77.0, and the closing price at 77.11. The daily level includes a big negative line. The high price did not break the previous high, but the low price broke the previous low, showing a downward trend. The daily line of crude oil showed an N-shaped downward break pattern on the general trend, and the market outlook continued to be bearish. Crude oil shorts have broken through to open up space, and the short-term outlook is expected to continue. Short-term resistance levels focus on the 78.6-79.5 and 75.0-74.0 support levels.
VANTAGE:CL-OILShort
by Anthony-Ryan
Oil says nothing flattering about the global economyWest Texas Intermediate crude oil hit our price target of $80 and continues to slide lower. At the moment, it trades slightly above $76, which marks a decline of nearly 20% from the highs in late September 2023. Today, we want to talk concisely about two things. First, China’s demand for oil began to slow down again after slightly picking up during the summer, which is reflected in the latest data revealing the rising level of the country’s stockpiles (do not forget, China also experienced a significant drop YoY in exports for October 2023). Second, Saudi Aramco posted 23% lower net income in the third quarter of 2023 versus the same time in 2022. All in all, we presume that does not tell anything flattering about the global economy. Technical analysis Daily time frame = Bearish Weekly time frame = Bearish Please feel free to express your ideas and thoughts in the comment section. DISCLAIMER: This analysis is not intended to encourage any buying or selling of any particular securities. Furthermore, it should not be a basis for taking any trade action by an individual investor. Therefore, your own due diligence is highly advised before entering a trade.
TVC:USOILShort
by Tradersweekly
8
Crude oil prices will continue to fall Crude oil has been in a downward and volatile trend recently, and the increase in U.S. crude oil production has eased the market shortage. Although the Palestinian-Israeli conflict has played a certain role in raising oil prices, major oil-producing countries in the Middle East such as Saudi Arabia and Iran have not participated in the war and have not jointly reduced production. OPEC+ has reduced production many times since last year, So Middle East oil production cuts are less likely. If the Arab states and Iran are involved in a war, they may jointly implement oil production cuts or embargoes, which will trigger an increase in oil prices. Crude oil continues to fluctuate downward, trading in the range of 80-84.5
VANTAGE:CL-OILShort
by Anthony-Ryan
Crude oil analysis on November 7 After crude oil rose from a low of 80.66 to 82.24 yesterday, it has been unable to break through the key resistance level and began to fall to the bottom again today. Yesterday's upward trend in crude oil was also due to the current shortage of crude oil in the market and the US market situation. Crude oil has strong support at 78.8 and resistance at 82.5. Today's market is more inclined to correct upward. Bulls are strong and are expected to break through 82.5 today Follow updates
VANTAGE:CL-OILLong
by Anthony-Ryan