Wticrudeoil
Oil - Looking To Sell Pullbacks In The Short TermH1 - Bearish trend pattern.
Currently it looks like a correction is happening.
Until the two strong resistance zones hold my short term view remains bearish here.
WTI OIL Broke below the Channel Up. Potential downtrend startingWTI Oil (USOIL) broke yesterday below the 1.5 month Channel Up and is now the farthest it's been from the 4H MA50 (blue trend-line) since the June 28 bottom. As long as it fails to close a candle above the 4H MA50, the short-term trend remains bearish, targeting the 4H MA200 (orange trend-line) at 78.50. If however it closes above the 4H MA50, we will buy and target Resistance 1 at 84.85.
An addition indicator for buy and sell is the 4H MACD. Once it makes a Bullish Cross, you can buy for quick short-term profit and similarly once it makes a Bearish Cross, you can sell.
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WTI-USOIL is near a key support...but we need one more leg down These is the long-term weekly chart of WTI. We can see price is holding near a very strong support level but has not quite touched it. RSI analysis tells us we can have one more leg down, but if not and the price holds we can say we have hit the bottom and price will rise gradually.
2023.8.4 USOUSD rose sharply yesterday2023.8.4 USOUSD rose sharply yesterday
Hello, I'm Older Duan. Today is Friday, August 4th 2023.
Now it's 17pm Beijing time.
Let me give you a quick comment on the technical forms of the current international mainstream varieties!
First, what we see is the daily graph of the dollar index.
As shown in the figure, the U.S. Dollar Index began to fall down yesterday, and today it is close to 2.382 (102.29) of the top down golden section in the figure!
Now, let's look at gold.
Now you can see the daily chart of gold.
The figure superimposes the combination of gold's recent bottom-up golden section and Fibonacci parameter mean square!
As shown in the figure, gold has been closing below the daily average density range for two consecutive trading days! Then, in the future, we will continue to use the daily line level of 165MA, or $1941.54, as the important Bitwise operation operation in the day! Above this position, bulls dominate; Below this position, bears dominate!
Let's take a look at American crude oil.
What you are now seeing is daily level candle chart of US crude oil. The graph superimposes the recent bottom-up golden section of US crude oil and the Fibonacci parameter mean square combination!
As shown in the figure, US crude oil rose sharply yesterday, almost covering the decline of this Wednesday, and is about to once again challenge the recent bottom up gold split of 2.382 ($81.97)! Then, in the following time today, just use this position as an important point in the day for Bitwise operation! Above this point, bulls dominate; Below this point, bears dominate!
Let's look at EURUSD.
What you can see now is the daily chart of EURUSD.
The figure superimposes the combination of European and American currencies against the recent bottom of the golden section and Fibonacci parameter mean square!
As shown in the figure, the euro has been engaged in a long short competition at the daily level of 55MA (1.09508) against the US dollar in the past three trading days! Then this position will be used as the Bitwise operation operation of the important point in the day in the future! Above this position, bulls dominate; Under this position, bears dominate!
Finally, let's take a look at GBPUSD.
Now you can see the daily chart of GBPUSD.
The figure superimposes the combination of the recent bottom of the GBPUSD against the golden section and the Fibonacci parameter mean square!
As shown in the figure, the pound broke through strong daily support against the US dollar yesterday, with the bottom facing the 2.000 level (1.26793) of the golden section, which was also the highest point on May 10, 2023. Today, it almost tested the daily level of 55MA (1.27555) against the top! Then in the future, these two positions can be used as the Bitwise operation of the important points in the day! Within these two positions, throw high and suck low; Beyond these two positions, chase up and kill down!
Well, the above is a quick inventory of the technical forms of the international mainstream varieties in today's European period!
Special reminder, Today is Friday, and there is a big non agricultural data market tonight. Please pay attention to the risks.
Im Older Duan. Wish you happy win . Goodbye!
WTI CRUDE OIL: Overbought on 1D but still bullish.WTI Crude Oil turned overbought on the 1D time-frame (RSI = 70.618, MACD = 2.330, ADX = 75.260) as it is extending its relentless rally inside a Channel Up pattern since the June 28th low. This 1 month uptrend is approaching the R1 (83.50), which is the High of April 12th and current Resistance. We are using this as a short-term buy opportunity (TP1 = 83.50). As long as the Channel Up holds, we will buy again upon a pull back (TP2 = 85.50). If the price crosses under the 4H MA100 though, it would mean the end of the bullish trend, and we will shor, targeting S1 (TP = 74.00).
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US Oil / WTI Analysis 30July2023Following last week's analysis, still in accordance with the price movement for next week. US Oil still looks very bullish with a tilt trend close to 45 degrees and at the closure of the week with full bullish candle shows the support of the buyer is still very strong. The closest target is currently in the price range of 83-84 which at that price is in contact with 2 areas of Fibo Extensions (Fibo Cluster)
WTI OIL / US OIL AnalysisUs oil is quite interesting. The movement is now in accordance with the analysis that I gave a few weeks ago.
There are things that are repeated here, namely the price of forming a curve bullish again. The possibility is the price of bullish is quite high, if we pull the fibo extension, then the possibility of the price of pursuing fibo extensions 1. Fibo Extension 1 is more or less parallel to Fibo Extensions 1,618 from Wave 1. Could be, Wave 3 will move to the area. Take the opportunity to Long when the price is corrected.
$74 could be pivotal for WTI over the near termCommodities were broadly lower yesterday with the CRB index falling to a 4-day low. Geopolitical tensions are rising following Russia’s decision to back out of a key grain deal which allowed Ukraine to export grain through the Black Sea. Weak data from China and news that Libya will restart oil production also saw WTI fall for a second day.
What has caught our eye is that WTI played very nicely with its round numbers yesterday, printing the high of the day at $76, a lower high at $75 and lows around $74. It is also considering the break of a trendline, although unless volatility picks up it runs the risk of moving sideways through it (which is not in the spirit of a trendline break).
Still, $74 appears to be a pivotal level over the near-term. And if prices print a minor bounce, we’d still consider shorts below $75 with a view for it to trade to $73. Take note that it is contract expiration today so we may see spills of undesirable volatility, but overall we want to see which way momentum takes this market next.
WTI ANALYSIS after change of charatcter we will see a retracement of the price to fill FVG '' FareValueGAp'' and retest ob ''order block'' after we will see a continuation to wards supply zone
WTI CRUDE OIL The 1day & 1week MA50 form a huge Resistance ZoneWTI Crude Oil / USOIL reached today the 1day MA50 for the first time since mid April.
That April contact resulted in a strong rejection to the 1week MA200 that (even though it had breaches) has closed all weekly candles over it, establishing itself as the long term Support.
The long term Resistance is the 1week MA50, which is marginally higher than the 1day MA50, with the two forming the strongest Resistance Zone for the long term.
The 1week MA50 has had two clear rejections in October and November, at the early stages of the formation of the Channel Down.
This pattern still holds and the price is approaching its top. At the same time the 1day RSI is approaching the top of its Channel Up. The two have aligned tops and bottoms.
Sell now since the price is already inside this huge Resistance Zone. Target the 1week MA200 at 68.50.
Previous chart:
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WTI US OIL Analysis 13July2023the sideways area has been successfully passed, there is a possibility that the price will retrace to the support area and resume the bullish trend again with the nearest target at $77.
WTI CRUDE OIL approaching the MA200 (1d) for the ultimate sellWTI Crude Oil crossed over the MA100 (1d) and is headed for the MA200 (1d) where 3 months ago (April 12th) had the strongest rejection possible.
This is a strong technical sell opportunity, with the price also being near the top of the 1 year Channel Down.
Trading Plan:
1. Sell on the current market price.
Targets:
1. 66.80 (Support 1) and if a (1d) candle closes below, extend selling to 63.65 (Support 2).
Tips:
1. The RSI (1d) is headed for the 70.00 overbought level. Last time that high it was on the April 12th High rejection.
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Notes:
Past trading plan:
WTI CRUDE OIL: First time since April on the 1D MA100WTI Crude Oil reached the 1D MA100 for the first time since April 28th. The 1D technicals turned green (RSI = 59.140, MACD = 0.550, ADX = 29.727) and if the 1D candle closes over the 1D MA100, then an emerging Channel Up will lead it to the 1D MA200 and consequently we will target a HH (TP = 76.50).
We will take the loss if the price crosses under the Channel Up and the 4H MA50, where we will go short and target the S1 (TP = 66.80) on the long term.
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WTI Light Sweet Crude Oil, 7/10/23A two-sided framework continues through summer between 62.14 long-term support, and 81.97 long-term resistance, both regions able to contain seasonal activity.
Downside, a weekly settlement below 62.14 indicates 53.87 within several months, longer term Fibonacci support able to contain selling into later year.
Upside, a weekly settlement above 81.97 indicates 94.67 within several months, able to contain annual highs.
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For Monday, 72.82 can contain selling into later week, above which the 77.34 formation is likely by the end of next week or sooner, able to contain weekly buying pressures when tested, possibly through the balance of July.
A daily settlement above 77.34 indicates the more significant 81.97 long-term resistance level within 1 - 2 more weeks, where the broader market can top out through the balance of the year and a significant upside continuation point into later year.
Downside Monday, closing below 72.82 signals 69.35 within several days, possibly another test of 67.08 by the end of next week, able to contain selling through next week and above which 77.34 is attainable over the next 3 - 5 weeks.
WTI CRUDE OIL Over the 1day MA50. Bullish break out.WTI Crude Oil closed yesterday over the 1day MA50 for the first time since April 28th. The 1day MA50 was a Resistance with 3 clear rejections since.
This is a technical bullish breakout, targeting the 1day MA100 at 73.50.
If rejected there, sell and target the Support Zone at 67.50.
If it closes a candle over the 1day MA100 too, buy again and target the 1day MA200 at 76.50.
The 1day RSI is on a Rising Support, which can be used as a sell target and buy entry.
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US OIL AnalysisIf this elliot notation is correct, then the oil price may rise in the next few weeks, it could be the beginning of a long bullish trend.
USOIL MAKE VIEW POSITIVE / VKINGOn July 4, 2023, the US Oil (USOIL) commodity was observed on TradingView using a 5-minute time frame. USOIL is a popular instrument for traders and investors to speculate on the price movements of oil. The 5-minute time frame allows for a more granular analysis of price action, enabling traders to capture short-term opportunities and make informed trading decisions.
During the specified time frame, several factors influenced the price of USOIL. It is important to note that oil prices are influenced by a wide range of fundamental, geopolitical, and economic factors. These include supply and demand dynamics, geopolitical tensions, global economic growth, weather events, and government policies, among others.
Analyzing the 5-minute chart, traders would have observed various price patterns and trends. Candlestick patterns, such as doji, hammer, engulfing patterns, and others, can provide insights into potential reversals or continuation of trends. Support and resistance levels are also crucial indicators for traders, helping to identify potential entry and exit points.
In terms of technical indicators, traders may have used various tools to analyze the price action of USOIL. Common indicators include moving averages, relative strength index (RSI), stochastic oscillator, and volume analysis. Moving averages help to identify the direction of the trend, while RSI and stochastic oscillator indicate overbought or oversold conditions.
Furthermore, traders might have monitored news releases and events that could impact the oil market during this specific time frame. Important economic data, such as crude oil inventories, production reports, and geopolitical developments, can cause significant volatility in oil prices. By staying informed about such events, traders can anticipate potential price movements and adjust their trading strategies accordingly.
Risk management is a vital aspect of trading, and it applies to USOIL trading on a 5-minute time frame as well. Traders must establish stop-loss orders to limit potential losses and implement proper position sizing techniques. This helps to protect capital and manage risks effectively.
It is worth mentioning that trading on a 5-minute time frame requires constant monitoring and quick decision-making. The rapid price fluctuations in such short intervals can lead to both opportunities and risks. Traders need to be disciplined, focused, and adaptable to react promptly to changing market conditions.
In conclusion, analyzing USOIL on TradingView using a 5-minute time frame on July 4, 2023, involved studying various price patterns, technical indicators, and fundamental factors. Traders aimed to capitalize on short-term opportunities by identifying trends, support and resistance levels, and using technical indicators to gauge market sentiment. By closely monitoring news releases and managing risks effectively, traders can increase their chances of success in the fast-paced world of USOIL trading on a 5-minute time frame.
🚨 WTI HIGH PROBABILITY SELL SETUP SOON 🚨🚨 WTI HIGH PROBABILITY SELL SETUP SOON 🚨
* Here we can see clearly the next potential moves for West Texas Intermediate Crude Oil, in coming days or week.
* Im thinking there might be a Down Trend Move happening FIRST to form the Inverse Head & Shoulder Reversal Pattern before the Huge Bullish Move to Up Trend.
* I've labelled where i can see the Inverse Head & Shoulder that MIGHT happen or not.
* I've got Multiple SELL trades to look at.
* First SELL position is going to be a quick SCALPING move to execute.
* EP(SELL): 70.263
* TP: 69.910
* No SL provided for this trade, use your own discretion.
* Nest EP(SELL) is for the Next potential Big Drop to form the Shoulder.
* EP(SELL): 69.623
* TP: 68.951
* TP2: 68.016.
* No SL provided for this trade, use your own discretion.
* Keep your eye close on your trading positions.
* Happy pip hunting traders.
* FXKILLA *
Short Crude Oil on ResistanceIn crude oil trading today, we made good profits in the trading strategy of shorting crude oil in the 70.6-70.8 area twice.
Judging from the current structural trend, crude oil will maintain range shocks in the short term, and fundamentally still maintain a short position. Although the inventory data has declined for two consecutive weeks, the pressure on the demand side is still very weak, and the U.S. dollar index has rebounded.Crude oil as a whole tends to run in a bearish trend. In terms of short-term structure, crude oil is currently facing the resistance of 71-71.2. If this area cannot be effectively broken through, then crude oil may still fall to the 69 position area at any time.
Therefore, before crude oil fails to break through the short-term resistance, it is mainly to short crude oil.
USOIL: @70.8-71 Sell, TP: 70.2
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WTI CRUDE OIL: Sell opportunity on the LH trendline and 4H MA200WTI Crude Oil hit today the 4H MA200 after more than a week flipping the 1D chart neutral and the 4H bullish (RSI = 61.440, MACD = 0.100, ADX = 44.090). This is however approaching the RSI's R1 Zone, holding since April, while the LH trendline looms right ahead. Also this is where the 0.5 Fibonacci level is. Technically this is the most optimal sell entry for the short term and we will take full advantage of it targeting the S1 (TP = 66.80). On the contrary, a crossing over the LH trendline, will be a buy entry targeting the 1D MA100 and 0.786 Fibonacci level (TP = 73.00).
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🚨 WTI HIGH PROBABILITY BUY SETUP 🚨🚨 WTI HIGH PROBABILITY BUY SETUP 🚨
* Here we can see clearly the next potential move for West Texas Oil in coming trading week.
* It's going to be worth keeping a close eye on this trade, as WTI can generate tremendous profits if it is right trade.
* EP(BUY): 69.701
* TP: 70.747
* TP1: 71.550
* TP2: 72.153
* SL: 68.547
* Keep your eye close on your trading positions.
* Happy pip hunting traders.
* FXKILLA *
WTI rallies form range lows - break of $70 up next?WTI crude posted a strong rally from the $67 support level thanks to another strong drawdown of crude inventories. The fact it rallied over 3% despite the stronger US dollar and hawkish comments from Powell makes us wonder if it could have broken above $70 were the dollar not to dominate FX majors on Wednesday. Still, prices are trading within a range between $67 - $72/73, and whilst prices action remains choppy o the daily chart there are some opportunities to trade the range on lower timeframes.
A triple bottom has formed on the daily along with a 2bar bullish reversal (bullish piercing line). String volumes accompanied the rally from the $67.50 area to show demand around those lows and the OBV (on balance volume) broke above its previous swig high, which hints at a breakout for prices.
Prices are drifting higher at the open, but we’d consider bullish setups above or around the daily pivot point or 10/20 EMAs if prices pullback for a potential swing-trade long to $70.A break above which brings the resistance zones around $71 and $72 into focus.
