Wticrudeoil
WTI CRUDE OIL Pulling back to a Support. Buy the low.WTI Crude Oil is pulling back on a normal technical move after the Falling Resistance break out.
This will now be tested in the form of a Support.
Buy the Low as long as the RSI's Rising Support is intact.
Target 74.50, which is Fibonacci 0.618 and 4hour MA200.
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WTI OIL Inverse Head and Shoulders cementing the bottom.WTI Oil (USOIL) is forming an Inverse Head and Shoulders (IH&S) pattern on the 4H time-frame, which is a technical bottom and bullish reversal formation. The 4H RSI is on a Higher Lows trend-line, indicating an uptrend and already above the 50.00 neutral mark. One last pull-back to the 65.70 Symmetrical Support is possible, before a strong rally targeting the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line). Our target is 74.50.
This is an update to our last week analysis:
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WTI CRUDE OIL: Found Support on the 1W MA200.WTI Crude Oil has been on a long term downtrend since March 2022 and the heights of the Russian/Ukraine war. The 1W time frame technically turned bearish (RSI = 39.105, MACD = -5.090, ADX = 26.852) but the price just entered the S1 Zone, while making contact with the 1W MA200 for the first time since February 2021.
This is a heavy Support Zone and the fact that last week's candle closed over the 1W MA200, amplifies it. Target a little under the 1D MA50 (TP = 75.00).
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WTI: Projection for long ( falling Wedge )Based on my analysis, the WTI projecting for long as it is creating a falling wedge. This suggests that there is potential for a price increase in the near future. However, it is essential to note that the market can be volatile and subject to sudden shifts in sentiment, which could impact the outlook for WTI. Therefore, it is recommended that investors conduct their own research and due diligence before making any investment decisions
WTI CRUDE OIL Bottom is near. Start buying.WTI Crude Oil is at the bottom of a Channel Down pattern.
Comparison with the November 22nd fractal shows there might be one last Low left but already the Risk/Reward is appealing going long.
Trading Plan:
1. Buy on the current market price.
Targets:
1. 72.00 (on Fibonacci 0.5 and Pivot 2).
Tips:
1. RSI (4h) is forming similar bottom pattern as November's.
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USOIL: Bottom fishing, with potential return to $80 per barrel
US crude oil has fallen for three consecutive days, pushing oil prices below $70 per barrel. As the market continues to revise down expectations for economic growth, and rising crude oil supplies offset the boost from China's reopening and the instability caused by the Silicon Valley Bank (SVB) collapse and Credit Suisse crisis, the financial market is facing huge instability, which has led to a sharp drop in oil prices.
As the development of fundamentals continues to weigh on risk sentiment, US crude oil has extended its decline, breaking through the previous support (now turned into resistance) at the important psychological level of $70. As of Wednesday's close, US crude oil has fallen more than 12% this week, pushing the Commodity Channel Index (CCI) into oversold territory. At the same time, this round of decline has pushed oil prices towards the 200-week moving average (MA) of around $66, and oil prices have temporarily found support at this level.
Personally, I am bottom fishing and going long on USOIL at $66-68 per barrel. Due to the huge volatility of energy products, please control your position size. Only consider following my strategy if you have sufficient capital. Enter the market with a small position and aim for long-term profits, with a target of $80 per barrel on the upside.
I have conducted in-depth research on futures products such as cryptocurrencies, forex, stocks, gold, and crude oil. I also update my daily operation strategies. Thank you for your attention and support. If you have any questions, please feel free to leave a message, and I will provide the most secure advice. I hope I can help you.
Crude oil continues to fall, where will it stop?After the recent bankruptcy of Bank of America, the pessimism of global investors lingered, and the increase in API crude oil inventories was greater than expected. It is expected that oil prices will still be at risk of further decline in the future.
In the trend of crude oil, the short-term decline continued during the day. The current lowest point during the day reached near 69.82, which broke the support near 70.09 at the bottom of the shock box for the past four months since December 9, and fell below the 70 integer mark, which means that oil prices have broken the shock trend for the past four months and have the possibility of accelerating the decline. Once it is established that the fall below the 70 mark is effective, further strong support refers to the low of 66.15 on December 20, 2021 and the low of 62.46 on December 2. Near the position.
In addition, this trading day also needs to focus on the EIA crude oil inventory series data and the IEA monthly crude oil market report.
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WTI CRUDE OIL short term buy but new Low in AprilWTI Crude Oil is having the worst 3 day selling streak of the year, getting rejected on the 1day MA50.
The 1day RSI got oversold and should cause a short-term rebound, which is what happened on the oversold Lows of December 9th and September 26th.
We are short term bullish near the 1day MA50, Target A 73.50 and long term bearish, Target B 61.00 (bottom of Channel Down on a -25% decline).
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WTI CRUDE OIL: Best buy since December!The WTI Crude Oil is on red 1D technicals (RSI = 34.723, MACD = -0.710, ADX = 29.076) as the price broke under S1 and is headed of S2 (70.10), the lowest level it has been on since the December 9th Bottom.
As the RSI hit the bottom of the four month Rectangle, this shapes up to be the best buy opportunity on a four month basis. We are long (TP = 77.50).
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WTI CRUDE OIL Two buy entriesWTI Crude Oil hit Support Zone (1) and is rebounding.
The pattern has been extremely steady since November and Support Zone (1) has delivered 5 rallies of at least +9.50% each.
Trading Plan:
1. Buy on the current market price.
2. Buy near Support (2).
Targets:
1. 80.00 (near Resistance Zone 1).
2. 77.50 (mid level structure).
Tips:
1. The RSI (4h) is on a Rising Support. A common characteristic of all prior rallies since November.
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Notes:
This is a continuation of this trading plan:
USOIL:$78 next week is crucial
On Tuesday this week, the testimony of the Chairman of the Federal Reserve before Congress raised concerns about risk assets in the market. In this testimony, Powell stated that "if it is necessary, the Federal Reserve is prepared to speed up the pace of interest rate hikes, and terminal interest rates may be higher than expected." These words indicate that the Federal Reserve not only did not cool down the rising expectations for interest rate hikes over the past month, but also further pushed up the expectations for interest rate hikes.
Powell's speech caused shock in the market, as the market saw from Powell's speech a determination to lower the inflation rate at the cost of suppressing demand and employment. On that day, the US dollar index soared, risk appetite deteriorated, and US stocks fell sharply, accompanied by a sharp drop of 4% in oil prices from above $80 per barrel.
However, there was a reversal in oil prices on Friday. After testing the support at $74.5, the market quickly rebounded above $76 and successfully stabilized. Our long position in crude oil at $75 also reached the first take-profit level smoothly. However, there is still a certain distance from the recent high of $80, and the upper resistance level to watch is in the 76-78 area. This dense resistance area may limit the upward space. But if it breaks through $78, there will be an opportunity to challenge the $80 level again. Let's keep an eye on it, and I will update the trading strategy in a timely manner.
I have in-depth research on futures products such as cryptocurrencies, foreign exchange, stocks, gold, and crude oil, and I also update daily trading strategies. Thank you for your attention and likes. If you have any questions, please leave a message, and I will provide the most secure advice to help you.
Crude oil: next target 80Scott Sheffield, CEO of Pioneer Natural Resources, a major US shale oil producer, stated at the CERAWeek energy conference held in Texas this week that oil prices have hit bottom and could surge 17% by summer. In an interview, Sheffield said that over the past year ending in December, US production growth was only about half of what was expected and the industry has been facing ongoing issues of declining refinery capacity and inventory.
Over the past few months, the price of West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude oil has fluctuated around $73-80 per barrel. On Thursday of this week, WTI crude oil prices hovered around $77 per barrel, while Brent crude oil prices were around $83 per barrel.
Sheffield expects oil production growth to slow significantly, although not necessarily to decline, due to the constraints of refinery capacity and inventory. According to the US Energy Information Administration (EIA), the US produced an average of 11.9 million barrels of crude oil per day in 2022, lower than the record average of 12.3 million barrels per day in 2019. EIA predicts that daily oil production will be 12.4 million barrels per day this year.
Sheffield believes that the US may recover to a production level of around 13 million barrels per day in two to three years, which is equivalent to the level recorded in November 2019. He added that this will be a "very slow pace."
There are two reasons for the slow growth in US crude oil production: insufficient refinery capacity and limited inventory. Sheffield pointed out that "first, we don't have refinery capacity. If we increase drilling, service costs will rise another 20-30%, which will take away free cash flow. Second, this industry does not have enough inventory."
He added, "Our estimate of free cash flow last year was $8 billion, and we expect free cash flow in 2023 to be only $4 billion."
As for when oil prices will rise, Sheffield expects that "at some point this summer, WTI will break through $80 and move towards $90 per barrel."
The market is changing rapidly, I hope everyone can seize the opportunity and make money
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USOIL top-down analysisHello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
WTI CRUDE OIL targeting the top of the Triangle at 79.50WTI Oil almost hit the bottom zone of the Triangle and is rebounding.
There is still some more room to decline but on a 1/2 RR ratio you can take that buy and target 79.50.
RSI supported on Higher Lows.
Previous chart:
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WTI CRUDE OIL: Buy inside the Triangle.WTI Crude Oil turned neutral on the 1D time-frame (RSI = 46.669, MACD = -0.040, ADX = 33.066) as it hit the bottom of the 3 month Triangle. This is a confirmed signal to go long (TP = 79.50) targeting the top of the Triangle.
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Short crude oil when reboundingBecause the market is vigilant about frequent and more substantial interest rate increases by the Federal Reserve, concerns about the global recession have increased, and the global stock market has generally weakened, which has dragged down oil prices.
On the daily chart, oil prices continued to weaken in the short term, and fell back after the rebound in the previous trading day was blocked, suggesting strong selling pressure above.From the technical structure point of view, oil prices have still been in a wide fluctuation trend in recent months, and at the same time, they have also formed a short-term wedge-shaped consolidation trend to make a transitional market before the direction is chosen.The current support and strong support for oil prices are the 74.3 line on the wedge-shaped extension cord and the 72.3 line on the extension cord of the shock box below. The resistance above the short period is at the 76.5 line, and the stronger resistance is at the 77.6 line at the intersection of the short-period moving average and the Bollinger band.
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Going short on crude oil at 77.8.
At the start of the Asian market on Thursday, crude oil is currently trading around $76.5 per barrel. On Wednesday, crude oil continued to fall as concerns about more aggressive interest rate hikes weighed on economic growth and oil demand, outweighing the larger-than-expected reduction in US inventories. Although yesterday's decrease in crude oil inventories did not cause significant fluctuations in the price and quickly recovered, it shows that the overall trend of crude oil is weak. My trading strategy remains short, with a focus on selling high.
My trading strategy is to short crude oil at $77.8, with a stop loss at $78.6 and a target of around $75.
Investors can choose their own profit-taking points according to their trading style. The above is only a short-term trading perspective. I will notify you promptly if there are suitable opportunities. Liking, commenting, and subscribing are the best encouragement for me. Follow me to make trading simpler! You are also welcome to read my other ideas below.
MCX:CRUDEOIL1!
step back on key support and continue to consider long ordersOn Wednesday, the data was bullish, but crude oil did not rise. After a weak rebound, it continued to decline. The market has already released most of its downward pressure here, and it is highly likely that it will rebound from here. If it falls directly to 75.50 without rebounding, it may be considered for a low long position. Friends who have long positions need not worry for now.
I am not sure about everyone's position and direction, so feel free to leave a message below or join the discussion channel to discuss together. Being trapped is not scary, what's scary is not having a method.
The following are the reasons for expecting a bottoming and rebound in crude oil:
The downward momentum of crude oil has weakened, and the daily candlestick shows a clear reduction in the size of the bearish body.
According to the updated wave trading system, the current trend is still considered to be part of the upgraded X wave c, and the structure of X wave a suggests that there may be further downside in the short term, followed by another upward movement.
The intraday resistance is at 76.90-77.30, and support is at 76-75.50.