WTI(20250613)Today's AnalysisMarket news:
The number of initial jobless claims in the United States for the week ending June 7 was 248,000, higher than the expected 240,000, the highest since the week of October 5, 2024. The monthly rate of the core PPI in the United States in May was 0.1%, lower than the expected 0.30%. Traders once again fully priced in the Fed's two interest rate cuts this year.
Technical analysis:
Today's buying and selling boundaries:
66.96
Support and resistance levels:
69.10
68.30
67.78
66.13
65.61
64.81
Trading strategy:
If the price breaks through 67.78, consider buying in, and the first target price is 68.30
If the price breaks through 66.96, consider selling in, and the first target price is 66.13
Wticrudeoil
Crude oil is expected to break through the $68.00 mark
💡Message Strategy
WTI crude oil futures prices soared during the European session on Wednesday (June 11), continuing Tuesday's gains, but failed to reach the important level of $66.45. Currently, bulls are focusing on whether they can clearly break through the technical resistance level to confirm the continued upward trend.
OPEC+ plans to increase production by 411,000 barrels per day in July, the fourth consecutive month of increase. Its impact on global supply may be weakened. Domestic demand in Saudi Arabia and other OPEC+ members may increase in the summer, helping to absorb the additional supply. According to Capital Economics, this internal consumption may support oil prices in the short term by offsetting the increase in supply.
China-US trade truce boosts risk appetite, but demand questions remain
WTI hit a seven-week high, reflecting the recovery of market risk appetite after the China-US trade negotiations. The two sides have agreed on a framework for restarting the trade truce and easing rare earth export restrictions, boosting market sentiment.
📊Technical aspects
Oil price forecast: Bullish bias strengthens above key resistance level
If the bears regain control, $64.50 will be seen as the near-term support. A successful break above $66.75 could open up space for the next major upside target near $67.50.
Supported by geopolitical tensions, easing trade concerns and stable demand fundamentals, the outlook for crude oil remains bullish, provided that WTI can close above $66.75.
If a breakout is confirmed, it may attract new buying and push prices towards the $68 mark. However, if the current gains cannot be maintained, oil prices may fall back to the $64.50 range.
💰 Strategy Package
Long Position: 64.50-65.00,65.00-65.30
WTI(20250612)Today's AnalysisMarket news:
① The EU hopes that the trade negotiations will be extended beyond the suspension period set by Trump. ② Bessant: As long as "sincerity" is shown in the negotiations, the Trump administration is willing to extend the current 90-day tariff suspension period beyond July 9. ③ Trump will hold multiple bilateral talks during the G7 summit. ④ The total customs revenue of the United States in May reached a record high of US$23 billion, an increase of nearly four times year-on-year. ⑤ Lutnick: One deal after another will be reached.
Technical analysis:
Today's buying and selling boundaries:
66.02
Support and resistance levels:
69.56
68.23
67.38
64.66
63.80
62.47
Trading strategy:
If the price breaks through 67.38, consider buying in, and the first target price is 68.23
If the price breaks through 66.02, consider selling in, and the first target price is 64.66
Crude oil rose as expected
💡Message Strategy
OPEC’s crude output increase in May was lower than required by the OPEC+ agreement, which had planned to increase production sharply last month.
The five OPEC members that pledged to cut production in the OPEC+ agreement and are now gradually lifting the cuts had to increase production by a combined 310,000 barrels per day, but according to data from oil flow tracking companies and surveys of sources at OPEC, oil companies and consultancies, they only increased production by 180,000 barrels per day.
This was because Iraq cut production to make up for a long period of overproduction, while Saudi Arabia and the UAE increased production by less than their target levels, the survey found.
Saudi Arabia had the largest increase in May compared to April. According to the survey, OPEC's largest producer and de facto leader, as well as the leader of the OPEC+ alliance, increased production by 130,000 barrels per day.
This is also one of the driving forces accelerating gold's rise
📊Technical aspects
WTI crude oil prices finally extended their upward momentum. However, crude oil prices have risen as tensions in the US-China trade war ease and global oil demand recovers from tariff-related pressures.
From the daily chart level, crude oil's medium-term trend is hovering around the moving average system, and the medium-term objective trend is mainly fluctuating and rising. Oil prices gradually rise to the upper edge of the range. From the perspective of momentum, the MACD indicator fast and slow lines cross the zero axis upward, and the bullish momentum begins to warm up. The K line closes with a small positive line continuously. If the oil price breaks through the range resistance in the later period, the medium-term trend is expected to further rise and test the 70 line
The short-term (2H) trend of crude oil continued to rise. The oil price encountered resistance near 65.40, and the K-line crossed the moving average system, and the short-term objective upward trend changed. The second large real negative line formed the main rhythm. It is expected that the crude oil trend will further fall to around 64.50 during the day, and then restart the upward momentum.
💰 Strategy Package
Long Position: 64.50-65.00,65.00-65.30
WTI Crude Oil INTRADAY Bullish breakout supported at 6380Trend Overview:
WTI Crude Oil remains in a bullish trend, characterised by higher highs and higher lows. The recent intraday price action is forming a continuation consolidation pattern, suggesting a potential pause before a renewed move higher.
Key Technical Levels:
Support: 6380 (primary pivot), followed by 6320 and 6250
Resistance: 6650 (initial), then 6740 and 6830
Technical Outlook:
A pullback to the 6380 level, which aligns with the previous consolidation zone, could act as a platform for renewed buying interest. A confirmed bounce from this support may trigger a continuation toward the next resistance levels at 6650, 6740, and ultimately 6830.
Conversely, a daily close below 6380 would suggest weakening bullish momentum. This scenario would shift the bias to bearish in the short term, potentially targeting 6320 and 6250 as downside levels.
Conclusion:
WTI Crude Oil maintains a bullish structure while trading above the 6380 support. A bounce from this level would validate the consolidation as a continuation pattern, with upside potential toward the 6650 area. A breakdown below 6380, however, would invalidate this view and suggest deeper corrective risk.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
USOIL Trade Setup: Watching for a Bullish Break After Pullback 📈 US OIL Trade Plan
Currently, USOIL is in a strong bullish trend 🔥 — price action has pushed into overextended territory, which opens the door for a potential pullback 🌀.
I'm watching for a WTI retracement into equilibrium, ideally aligning with the 50%–61.8% Fibonacci levels from the previous swing low to high 🔍📉. If price corrects into that zone and we find support, followed by a bullish break in market structure 💥 — that would be the confirmation I’m waiting for to consider a long position 🚀.
⚠️ Key Level to Watch: That structure break is the trigger — no confirmation, no trade 🧠.
⚠️ Disclaimer:
This content is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always conduct your own analysis and consult a professional before making trading decisions. Trade responsibly.
The trend after the surge in crude oil prices
💡Message Strategy
Core economic data and event-driven
The US employment report boosted expectations of rate cuts. According to the US Department of Labor, the unemployment rate stabilized at 4.2% in May, and 139,000 new non-farm jobs were added (the previous value was revised down). Phil Flynn, senior analyst at Price Futures Group, pointed out: "The employment data is 'just right', neither too hot nor too cold, but it strengthens the possibility of the Fed's rate cut." The expectation of a rate cut is seen as a potential positive for the crude oil market, as loose policies may stimulate economic recovery and boost oil demand.
OPEC+ moderately increased production to balance market expectations. OPEC+ reached an agreement on Saturday to increase production by 411,000 barrels per day in July, which is lower than Saudi Arabia's proposal, but in line with market expectations. HSBC analysts believe: "Summer oil demand will peak in July-August, matching the increase in OPEC+ supply, and the market supply and demand will tend to balance in the second and third quarters." The decision did not suppress oil prices, but instead eased concerns about oversupply.
📊Technical aspects
WTI crude oil: closed at $64.73 per barrel on Friday, up 2.21% on the day and 6.55% this week. It is about to reach our strategic target of 65.00. When everyone is looking at the decline of crude oil, our strategy is firmly on the rise, and the result is consistent with our direction.
From a technical perspective, the daily chart of US crude oil (WTI) shows that the price is running in a short-term rising channel, with support at around $63, while the upper resistance is concentrated in the $64.50 area. In recent trading days, WTI has received support at the 60-day moving average and successfully broke through the 20-day moving average, indicating that the short-term bullish momentum is gradually increasing.
At the same time, the MACD indicator shows a golden cross signal, and the momentum column continues to expand, indicating that the price is expected to further test the $65 mark. If the resistance level can be effectively broken, the next target may be $67.
💰 Strategy Package
Long Position: 63.50-64.00
Crude Oil Tests Monthly High—Bullish or Liquidity Grab? FenzoFx—Crude Oil broke above its previous monthly high at $64.61, trading around $65.27. While a bullish trend is indicated by a 23,000 increase in buy-side contracts, technical signals suggest caution.
RSI 14 shows bearish divergence, and the Stochastic Oscillator remains overbought. Oil could consolidate before resuming its uptrend. Buying breakouts isn’t advised. A dip toward $63.02 may offer a discounted entry.
WTI(20250609)Today's AnalysisMarket news:
Fed Harker: Amid uncertainty, the Fed may still cut interest rates later this year. Musallem: There is a 50% chance that the trade war will lead to a sustained inflation outbreak. Tariffs may push up inflation within one or two quarters. The ECB cut three key interest rates by 25 basis points. Lagarde hinted that the rate cut cycle will end, and the market is no longer fully pricing in another 25 basis point rate cut this year.
Technical analysis:
Today's buying and selling boundaries:
63.43
Support and resistance levels:
65.29
64.60
64.14
62.71
62.26
61.56
Trading strategy:
If the price breaks through 64.14, consider buying in, with the first target price of 64.60
If the price breaks through 63.43, consider selling in, with the first target price of 62.71
Crude oil pullback bullish trend
💡Message Strategy
Saudi price cuts and OPEC+ supply adjustments affect market sentiment
Crude oil came under pressure in the middle of the week after Saudi Arabia cut its July sales price to Asia to the lowest level in nearly two months. This follows OPEC+'s decision to increase production by 411,000 barrels per day in July, indicating that major oil producers are still prioritizing market share even amid volatile demand signals. This coordinated move by Saudi Arabia and Russia is seen as an attempt to constrain overproducers and strengthen control over global supply dynamics.
Refineries drive crude stock draw, but fuel demand lacks
Weekly data from the U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) delivered mixed messages. U.S. crude stockpiles fell by 4.3 million barrels to 436.1 million barrels, driven by a sharp increase in refinery runs, exceeding expectations. Utilization rose to 93.4%, indicating that refineries are preparing for a seasonal peak in demand. Adding to the bullish signal from the crude stock draw.
📊Technical aspects
On the technical side, the daily chart of WTI crude oil shows that oil prices have been under pressure for three consecutive trading days and are currently trading above the 20-day and 50-day moving averages, reflecting the dominance of short-term bullish sentiment. The MACD indicator shows a dead cross and the momentum column is enlarged, indicating that the upward trend is still continuing.
In the previous post, we have pointed out that the upward target and trend of crude oil have been reached. The main theme of crude oil in the future will still be a bullish correction.
💰 Strategy Package
Long Position: 62.50-63.00
WTI(20250606)Today's AnalysisMarket news:
The European Central Bank cut three key interest rates by 25 basis points. Lagarde hinted that the rate cut cycle will end, and the market is no longer fully pricing in another 25 basis point rate cut this year.
Technical analysis:
Today's buying and selling boundaries:
62.58
Support and resistance levels:
63.97
63.45
63.12
62.05
61.71
61.19
Trading strategy:
If the price breaks through 63.12, consider buying, and the first target price is 63.45
If the price breaks through 62.58, consider selling, and the first target price is 62.05
Crude oil is about to end its shock outbreak
💡Message Strategy
International oil prices rose in early Asian trading on Tuesday, mainly due to rising risks of supply disruptions. Iran is expected to reject a nuclear deal proposal from the United States, which would have paved the way for easing sanctions on Iranian oil exports.
In addition, wildfires in Alberta, Canada, also caused some oil and gas production to be suspended, exacerbating market concerns about supply.
Brent crude rose 0.86% to $65.20 a barrel; U.S. West Texas Intermediate rose 0.75% to $63.00. This continued the previous trading day's nearly 3% increase.
Geopolitical tensions also added to market concerns. The ongoing conflict between Russia and Ukraine has increased uncertainty in the global supply chain and geopolitical risk premiums.
Oil prices were also supported by OPEC+'s slowing production increase. The Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and its allies (OPEC+) decided at a meeting last week to increase production by only a small 411,000 barrels per day in July, the same as in the previous two months and lower than the large increase some market participants had expected.
International market conditions have a great impact on crude oil trends. Currently, various reasons have indicated an upward trend in crude oil, paving the way for the upcoming rising market.
📊Technical aspects
Technical analysis shows that the daily chart of US crude oil (WTI) is strong and still has room for upward movement in the short term. After the current WTI crude oil price stabilized at the integer mark of $61, it closed positively for several consecutive days, showing an obvious upward channel pattern.
In terms of technical indicators, the MACD fast and slow lines have formed a golden cross, and the kinetic energy column continues to expand, indicating that the bulls are strengthening; the RSI is near 65, not entering the overbought range, but showing good upward momentum.
In addition, the 5-day and 10-day moving averages continue to diverge upward after the golden cross, supporting the oil price trend. If the oil price can effectively break through the resistance level of $63.50, it is expected to challenge the previous high of $65.80;
💰 Strategy Package
Long Position: 62.00-62.50
WTI Crude Oil sideways consolidation capped at 6360Trend: The sentiment remains bearish, in line with the prevailing downward trend.
Recent Movement: Price is currently in a sideways consolidation, suggesting indecision near short-term lows.
Key Levels
Resistance:
6360 – Key resistance and prior consolidation zone.
Above that: 6440, then 6530 – Next upside targets if breakout occurs.
Support:
6020 – Initial downside target.
Below that: 5940, then 5820 – Deeper support levels if bearish momentum resumes.
Trading Scenarios
Bearish Continuation:
A rally to 6360 followed by rejection could lead to a drop toward 6020, 5940, and 5820.
Bullish Breakout:
A daily close above 6360 would negate the bearish setup and open the path for a recovery toward 6440, then 6530.
Conclusion
WTI Crude Oil remains under bearish pressure, but is currently range-bound. A rejection at 6360 would confirm downside continuation. A breakout above that level would shift bias to bullish, targeting higher resistance zones. Watch 6360 as the key pivot.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
USOIL LETS MAKE OIL GREAT AGAIN TO 80$HELLO TRADERS
As i can see USOIL it formaing H & S pattrent and now trading above a strong Weekly horizontal Support zone if prices hold above 65$ then given Tp can be easy target if we see a higher demand and tight supply with the War going on around the world its a huge possibilty that pricce can shoot up we have to monitor the 65$ price zone which is importat to hold bull cycle on smaller TF 4HR it is creating Wickoff pattren too and we can see Fibo levels golden ratio can hit our targers or risk reward is great for us becaus we was buying the dip in May it is just starting chart is crystal clear its just a trade idea share your thoughts we appriciate ur comments and support Stay tuned for more updates
Crude oil is moving upward again, testing 63 today
💡Message Strategy
The Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and its allies (OPEC+) met at their headquarters in Vienna on Wednesday to assess the current oil market situation. WTI crude oil prices climbed above $62 as OPEC+ said there would be no immediate change to current production policies.
📊Technical aspects
From the daily chart level, the medium-term moving average system suppresses the rebound of oil prices, and the medium-term objective trend is downward. After the oil price hit the low point of 55.20, the frequent alternation of long and short positions formed, and the embryonic form of a falling flag relay appeared from the shape. Pay attention to the strength of the oil price testing the upper edge of the flag. It is expected that after the medium-term trend fluctuates, it will still rise to the 64 position.
The short-term (1H) trend of crude oil fluctuates upward, and the oil price breaks through the 62.5 resistance level. The moving average system diverges and arranges upward, and the short-term objective trend direction is upward. In terms of momentum, the MACD indicator is above the zero axis and the golden cross opens upward, and the bullish momentum is sufficient. It is expected that the crude oil trend will continue to rise within the day.
💰 Strategy Package
Long Position: 61.20-62.00
Market Analysis: WTI Crude Oil Price Could Gain Bullish PaceMarket Analysis: WTI Crude Oil Price Could Gain Bullish Pace
WTI Crude Oil is gaining bullish momentum and might even test $62.75.
Important Takeaways for WTI Crude Oil Price Analysis Today
- WTI Crude Oil climbed above the $60.50 and $60.80 resistance levels.
- There was a break above a key bearish trend line with resistance at $60.80 on the hourly chart of XTI/USD at FXOpen.
WTI Crude Oil Price Technical Analysis
On the hourly chart of WTI Crude Oil at FXOpen, the price started a fresh upward move from $59.45 against the US Dollar. The price gained bullish momentum after it broke the $60.00 resistance.
The bulls pushed the price above the 50% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the $62.76 swing high to the $59.45 low. The price even climbed above the 50-hour simple moving average. Besides, there was a break above a key bearish trend line with resistance at $60.80.
It tested the $61.50 resistance zone and the 61.8% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the $62.76 swing high to the $59.45 low.
The RSI is now near the 50 level and the price could aim for more gains. If the price climbs higher again, it could face resistance near $62.00. The next major resistance is near the $62.75 level. Any more gains might send the price toward the $63.45 level or even $65.00.
Conversely, the price might correct gains and test the $60.80 support level. The next major support on the WTI Crude Oil chart is near the $59.45 zone, below which the price could test the $58.00 zone.
If there is a downside break, the price might decline toward $56.50. Any more losses may perhaps open the doors for a move toward the $55.50 support zone.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
WTI Crude Oil INTRADAY consolidation capped at 6360Trend: The sentiment remains bearish, in line with the prevailing downward trend.
Recent Movement: Price is currently in a sideways consolidation, suggesting indecision near short-term lows.
Key Levels
Resistance:
6360 – Key resistance and prior consolidation zone.
Above that: 6440, then 6530 – Next upside targets if breakout occurs.
Support:
6020 – Initial downside target.
Below that: 5940, then 5820 – Deeper support levels if bearish momentum resumes.
Trading Scenarios
Bearish Continuation:
A rally to 6360 followed by rejection could lead to a drop toward 6020, 5940, and 5820.
Bullish Breakout:
A daily close above 6360 would negate the bearish setup and open the path for a recovery toward 6440, then 6530.
Conclusion
WTI Crude Oil remains under bearish pressure, but is currently range-bound. A rejection at 6360 would confirm downside continuation. A breakout above that level would shift bias to bullish, targeting higher resistance zones. Watch 6360 as the key pivot.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
USOil Dips Amid Global Demand WorriesXTI/USD is currently exhibiting bearish technical signals, with key indicators pointing towards potential further declines. However, the presence of oversold conditions suggests that a short-term rebound could occur if prices find support at current levels. Traders should monitor the $60.13 support and $61.38 resistance levels closely, as breaks of these levels could signal the next directional move.
XTI/USD is experiencing a noticeable downward shift in market sentiment. After a period of relative stability, prices have started to decline, influenced primarily by concerns over global demand and shifting geopolitical conditions. Despite earlier support from tensions in Eastern Europe and U.S. sanctions on Russian energy exports, the market now appears to be reacting more to economic headwinds, such as signs of slowing industrial growth in major economies like China and the Eurozone. Traders are closely watching whether current support levels will hold or if the recent downward momentum will lead to a deeper correction. Overall, the sentiment leans cautious, with traders waiting for clearer signals from both supply-side developments and macroeconomic indicators.
Pivot Points:
Support Levels: S1 at $60.13, S2 at $59.69, S3 at $58.88.
Resistance Levels: R1 at $61.38, R2 at $62.19, R3 at $62.63.
Bearish Outlook
Trigger: A break below the $60.13 support level.
Targets: $59.69 followed by $58.88
Invalidation: A decisive move above the $61.38 resistance level.
Bullish Outlook
Trigger: A sustained break above the $61.38 resistance level.
Targets: $62.19 followed by $62.63
Invalidation: A drop below the $60.13 support level.
Note
Please risk management in trading is a Key so use your money accordingly. If you like the idea then please like and boost. Thank you and Good Luck!
WTI Crude Oil awaits inventoriesPrice Movement: WTI Crude trades around $62.70 per barrel, marking a fourth straight session of gains.
Main Bullish Driver: Geopolitical tensions — reports suggest Israel may strike Iran’s nuclear sites, sparking fears of supply disruption from Iran (OPEC’s 3rd largest producer).
Risk of Iran retaliating by blocking the Strait of Hormuz, which could disrupt exports from Saudi Arabia, Kuwait, Iraq, and UAE.
Limiting Factor: Rising U.S. crude supply
API data shows a 2.49 million barrel build in U.S. crude stocks, defying expectations of a draw.
Traders await confirmation from EIA stockpile data later today.
Conclusion:
Bullish momentum is currently driven by Middle East tension, but gains may be capped if U.S. inventory builds continue. Traders should watch for EIA data release and further geopolitical developments.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
WTI CRUDE OIL: Mirror pattern calls for a sell.WTI Crude Oil is neutral on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 50.222, MACD = -0.370, ADX = 25.154) as the price is just under the 1D MA50, where it got rejected last Tuesday. In the meantime, it has the support of the 4H MA50, hence stuck inside a neutral range. This pattern is however identical to April, after which the price declined aggressively to the S1 level. Sell, TP = 56.00.
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WTI Crude Oil Price Targets Fresh GainsWTI Crude Oil Price Targets Fresh Gains
WTI Crude oil prices are gaining bullish momentum and might even test $63.50.
Important Takeaways for WTI Crude Oil Price Analysis Today
- WTI Crude climbed above the $60.90 and $61.50 resistance levels.
- There is a key rising channel forming with support at $61.30 on the hourly chart of XTI/USD at FXOpen.
WTI Crude Oil Price Technical Analysis
On the hourly chart of WTI Crude Oil at FXOpen, the price started a fresh upward move from $60.10 against the US Dollar. The price gained bullish momentum after it broke the $60.90 resistance.
The bulls pushed the price above the 50% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the $63.45 swing high to the $60.08 low. The price even climbed above the 50-hour simple moving average.
It tested the $62.15 resistance zone and the 61.8% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the $63.45 swing high to the $60.08 low. There is now a key rising channel forming with support at $61.30.
The RSI is now near the 50 level and the price could aim for more gains. If the price climbs higher again, it could face resistance near $62.15. The next major resistance is near the $62.65 level. Any more gains might send the price toward the $63.45 level or even $65.00.
Conversely, the price might correct gains and test the $61.30 support level. The next major support on the WTI crude oil chart is near the $60.90 zone, below which the price could test the $60.10 zone.
If there is a downside break, the price might decline toward $58.50. Any more losses may perhaps open the doors for a move toward the $55.50 support zone.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
WTI Crude Returns to the $60 ZoneWTI crude oil has posted a drop of more than 4% in recent sessions as the market digests new announcements from OPEC+. The organization stated that current economic conditions could support growth in oil demand throughout 2025 and 2026. However, it remains firm in its decision to increase production starting in May and June, with monthly increments of 411,000 barrels per day, and has also announced another increase in July.
This stance has sparked concerns in the market about a potential short-term oversupply. If this strategy persists, selling pressure could return to WTI price action in the coming sessions.
Bearish Trend
Since January 20, a clear bearish trend has been forming, pushing the barrel’s price below the $60 mark. While a notable upward move is currently underway, it remains insufficient to break the prevailing bearish formation, which continues to be the dominant technical structure in the short term.
ADX
The ADX line was previously hovering around the 40 level, reflecting high volatility in price movements. However, it has begun to flatten, and if this continues, it could suggest a loss of directional strength, paving the way for a more neutral price behavior.
RSI
The behavior of the RSI mirrors that of the ADX. It is currently oscillating around the 50 level, indicating a balance between buying and selling pressure, and reinforcing the potential for a neutral phase in the short term.
Key Levels:
$65 – Current Resistance: Aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and acts as a key psychological level. A breakout above this level could extend the current bullish bias over the coming sessions.
$67 – Distant Resistance: Matches the 50% Fibonacci retracement and a sideways zone observed in March. Sustained moves above this area could challenge the existing bearish structure on the chart.
$60 – Crucial Support: Represents a consistent area of indecision in recent months. If the price returns to this level, the previous bearish structure could regain strength in the short term.
Written by Julian Pineda, CFA – Market Analyst
WTI Crude Oil INTRADAY corrective pullback supported at $62.00
WTI crude oil prices are slightly lower in early European trade, down about 1.00% on the day to around $63.00. This pullback ends a four-day winning streak that had pushed prices to over a two-week high.
The decline so far lacks strong bearish momentum, suggesting traders may be taking profits or pausing ahead of key data.
Relevance for Trading:
Price dip appears corrective, not a reversal — no strong selling pressure yet.
Market focus now shifts to upcoming weekly US inventory data, which could drive the next move.
A bullish inventory report could help WTI resume its uptrend; a bearish one may deepen the pullback.
Trading Bias:
Cautiously bullish while holding above $62. Support and inventory reaction will be key for near-term direction.
Key Support and Resistance Levels
Resistance Level 1: 6420
Resistance Level 2: 6560
Resistance Level 3: 6670
Support Level 1: 6170
Support Level 2: 6050
Support Level 3: 5950
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.