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Wticrudeoil

WTI OIL Can the death fractal of 2008 be repeated?We haven't looked into WTI Oil recently, the last post I made was on March 08, calling what I thought at the time as the medium-term peak: The price did eventually pull-back to the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) and rebounded as it constitutes the medium-term Support, following the March 2021 sequence. On a much larger scale though, and since the war isn't over yet and inflation runs wild, I thought it would be beneficial looking at the last time similar conditions were leading the Oil market higher. Sadly, that was during the 2008 peak of the U.S. Housing Bubble. As you see, today's 2021-2022 fractal can be related to a great extent to the 2007-2008 sequence. If the market dynamics have been indeed aligned as in 2008, then Oil has entered the final phase towards the blow-off top, as it rebounded on its 1D MA50. Now of course, reaching the 2.382 Fibonacci extension around $178.00 for a blow-off top, seems even under the latest aggressive conditions, as unrealistic. But a value around $150.00 as a Higher High to the March 08 shock, could very well be printed. Do you think the market will follow in 2008's footsteps and if so what is your projected top? -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please support this idea with your likes and comments, it is the best way to keep it relevant and support me. ** --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
TVC:USOILLong
by TradingShot
4
WTI oil - Price drops due to release of the SPRWTI oil rose to as high as 129.98 USD on 7th March 2022. However, today USOIL fell to as low as 115.51 USD. Currently, the price of USOIL trades around 170 USD price tag. We remain bullish on oil as we expect bullish factors to persist for a while longer. However, we also remain very cautious as we think any progress in peace talks between Russia and Ukraine could possibly put pressure on rising oil prices. Technical analysis - daily time frame RSI exhibits extreme strength of the bullish trend as it holds for so long in the overbought territory. However, this raises a warning signal. MACD and Stochastic remain bullish. DM+ and DM- show that same condition in the market. ADX grows which suggests the trend is gaining strength. Overall, the daily time frame is bullish; however, it starts to flash first warning signs. Technical analysis - weekly time frame RSI is overbought. MACD and Stochastic are bullish. DM+ and DM- are also bullish. ADX increases which suggests the trend is gaining momentum. Overall, the weekly time frame is bullish. Please feel free to express your own ideas and thoughts in the comment section. DISCLAIMER: This analysis is not intended to encourage any buying or selling of any particular securities. Furthermore, it should not serve as a basis for taking any trade action by an individual investor. Your own due diligence is highly advised before entering trade.
TVC:USOILLong
by Tradersweekly
WTI Oil Turning Parabolic 82.50Since WTI Oil broke the former two Resistance levels (74.15 and 77.00), the price turned parabolic outside the Channel Up that dominated most of the price action in September. There seems to be a Buy/ Support Zone consisting of the 4H MA50 (blue trend-line) and the 4H MA100 (green trend-line) and a Resistance Zone on the RSI Higher Highs trend-line. Technically those two pressure levels should provide the next dip buy and target. I've applied the Fibonacci Channel to assist in finding the target and as you see every Fib extension prices a Higher High (1.0, 1.5, 2.0). Naturally the 2.5 Fib extension is next, I project a Higher High around $82.50. ** Please support this idea with your likes and comments, it is the best way to keep it relevant and support me. **
TVC:USOILLong
by Jbridgez
1
Crude Oil Finds Buyers on Dips | WTIWTI crude oil prices remain on the front foot at around $91.45, up 1.30% intraday while consolidating the first weekly loss in nine during Monday’s Asian session. Although fears among the energy bulls could be spotted as the key catalyst for the black gold’s first weekly loss in multiple weeks, geopolitical noise surrounding Russia and Ukraine joins the OPEC+ supply concerns to keep WTI buyers hopeful. It’s worth noting that the Fed’s rate hike chatters and inflation woes add to the upside filters of the energy prices. That said, Ukraine and the West continue to suggest an imminent Russian military attack on Ukraine. However, Moscow rejects the claims. Recently, a Reuters’ witness said, “Explosion was heard in the center of the rebel-held city of Donetsk in eastern Ukraine.” It’s worth noting that a diplomatic meeting between US Secretary of State Antony Blinken and Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov can provide a ray of hope to witness a de-escalation of the geopolitical fears and hence the WTI bulls take a cautious approach ahead of the key meeting outcome. Elsewhere, the OPEC+, a group of the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) and allies led by Russia, struggle to match the output hike promises. Recently, OPEC President Bruno Jean-Richard Itoua mentioned that the oil supply is not now enough and blamed oil companies for not investing enough. "OPEC+ should stick to its current agreement to add 400,000 barrels of oil per day each month to output, ministers of Arab oil-producing countries said on Sunday as they gathered in Saudi Arabia, rejecting calls to pump more to ease pressure on prices," said Reuters. Alternatively, fears of the Fed’s faster rate hikes and inflation woes challenge oil traders at multi-month highs. On the same line is the latest risk-off mood, portrayed by downbeat US Treasury yields and stock futures. WTI crude oil traders will keep their eyes on the Russia-Ukraine developments for fresh impulse ahead of the key US-Russia meeting late in the week. Should the tension de-escalate, the odds of witnessing a sharp pullback in the oil prices can’t be ruled out. Technical analysis: The 21-DMA precedes a monthly support line, respectively around $89.10 and $87.95, to limit WTI pullback. However, firmer RSI and ability to stay beyond key supports, not to forget strong fundamentals, keep oil buyers hopeful to renew 2022 high, currently around $94.00. - WTI bulls keep reins despite snapping an eight-week uptrend. - US highlights possibilities of imminent Russian invasion, Moscow rejects claims. - DXY fails to cheer risk-off mood amid downbeat yields. - Fedspeak, PBOC rate decision may offer immediate catalysts, PMIs, US PCE Inflation will be crucial. - It's important to keep in mind that cryptocurrency markets are extremely volatile, making it difficult to accurately predict what a coin’s price will be in a few hours or a few days and even harder to give long-term estimates. As such, analysts and online forecasting sites can get their predictions wrong. We recommend that you always do your own research and consider the latest market trends, news, technical and fundamental analysis, and expert opinion before making any investment decisions. Be patient and look long-term wisely and never invest more than you can afford to lose. Trading & Investing both are masters of RISK. Please comment, like, and follow if it was helpful for you. Thank you for your time. Have a profitable day. | Review and analysis by Samadi.Finance |
OANDA:WTICOUSD
by AliSamadiTR
WTI Crude Oil Forecast: Crude Oil Looking for a PullbackThe West Texas Intermediate Crude Oil market has initially tried to rally during the trading session on Thursday as we have seen a lot of volatility in various markets. That being said, the market has rallied significantly during the course of the trading session, only to turn around and fall towards the $90 level. That being said, we did up forming a bit of a shooting star, and it does suggest that maybe we get a little bit of a pullback. However, the market has seen a hammer from the previous session, so be interesting to see if we just definitely hang about the $90 level, or if we are going to have a little bit deeper pullback. Quite frankly, I would love to see a little bit more of a pullback, but I do not know that we get it. If we break down below the bottom of the candlestick from the Wednesday session, then I will start looking to pick up this market somewhere around the $86.50 level with an eye on the $85 level underneath being massive support. The 50 day EMA is also reaching higher, and therefore it is likely it will kind of combined to add a massive “floor in the trend.” If we do turn around a break above the top of the candlestick for the trading session on Thursday, then it could open up a move towards the highs. Either way, I do not have any interest in shorting this market, due to the massive uptrend that we have seen, but quite frankly this is a market that is probably due for some type of correction. This will be especially true if the US dollar starts to spike going forward, which obviously has a small influence on this market. I think the only thing you can count on at this point is a bit of volatility as we are at a major level, and of course the markets in general are freaking out about the Federal Reserve and the high inflation that we see. If they slam on the brakes by tightening monetary policy, it could drive down demand in the world’s biggest economy, which has a knock on effect in several other economies. Because of this, crude oil will more than likely have to cool off a bit in order to build up momentum to the upside.
OANDA:WTICOUSDLong
by SmoothJB
Technical analysis update: WTI oil (19th January 2022)Today WTI oil reached 87.90 USD per barrel which coincides with a new high in price that has not been seen since 2014 and which confirms the continuation of the uptrend. We continue to maintain a bullish outlook on WTI oil in the medium-term and long-term. However, in the short term we are becoming very cautious as some technical indicators reached an overbought condition which suggests that the price of USOIL might be ripe for correction before continuing higher. We will watch the support level at 85.39 USD (previous high from 25th October 2021) and its ability to hold selling pressure in case it occurs. Our long-term price target remains 90 USD per barrel. Technical analysis - daily time frame MACD and Stochastic remain bullish. RSI reached overbought territory which suggests that USOIL might retrace lower before continuing higher. DM+ and DM- continue to show bullish conditions. Additionally, ADX increases which suggests that the bullish trend is gaining momentum. Overall, the daily time frame remains bullish while it signals possible correction in price. Technical analysis - weekly time frame RSI, MACD and Stochastic are all bullish. DM+ and DM- performed the bullish crossover recently. ADX undergoes reset. Overall, the weekly time frame is bullish. Support and resistance Immediate resistance sits at 87.90 USD. Support 1 is at 85.39 USD while Support 2 lies at 80.81 USD. 61.76 USD. Support 3 is then at 78.28 USD while major support is at 61.76 USD. Please feel free to express your own ideas and thoughts in the comment section. DISCLAIMER: This analysis is not intended to encourage any buying or selling of any particular securities. Furthermore, it should not serve as a basis for taking any trade action by an individual investor. Your own due diligence is highly advised before entering trade.
TVC:USOILLong
by Tradersweekly
Technical analysis update: WTI oil (17th January 2022)WTI oil continues to march higher and we continue to maintain a bullish outlook on oil. Our view is supported by a combination of bullish technical and fundamental factors. Currently, we will observe whether USOIL will manage to break above the major resistance at 85.39 USD which will further bolster the bullish case for WTI oil. We would like to set a new short-term price target for USOIL to 85 USD per barrel. Our long-term price target is 90 USD per barrel. Technical analysis - daily time frame RSI is very bullish and due to perform crossover above 70 points (into overbought zone). We expect such a phenomenon to be accompanied by further rise in price. However, after completion of crossover we think it is likely that price will retrace lower before continuing towards a price tag of 90 USD per barrel. MACD and Stochastic are also bullish. DM+ and DM- signal bullish trend. Additionally, ADX exhibits growth which suggests that the prevailing bullish trend is gaining strength. Overall, the daily time frame is bullish. Technical analysis - weekly time frame RSI is bullish. Same applies to MACD and Stochastic. DM+ and DM- performed bullish crossover recently. ADX undergoes reset as it declines. Overall, the weekly time frame is bullish. Support and resistance Major resistance sits at 85.39 USD while major support lies at 61.76 USD. Support 1 sits at 80.81 USD and Support 2 at 78.28 USD. Please feel free to express your own ideas and thoughts in the comment section. DISCLAIMER: This analysis is not intended to encourage any buying or selling of any particular securities. Furthermore, it should not serve as a basis for taking any trade action by an individual investor. Your own due diligence is highly advised before entering trade.
TVC:USOILLong
by Tradersweekly
6