Education excerpt: OPECThe Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC)
The Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) is a permanent intergovernmental organization with main goal to coordinate and unify the petroleum policies of its member countries. This pertains mainly to securing fair and stable pricing in the oil market; efficient and regular supply of petroleum to consuming nations and fair return on capital to the producing countries.
The OPEC was established in Baghdad, Iraq in 1960 by five countries. Founding countries were: Iraq, Islamic Republic of Iran, Kuwait, Saudi Arabia and Venezuela. One year later the organization was joined by Qatar in 1961. After that Indonesia and Libya followed in 1962. United Arab Emirates joined the cartel in 1967 and Algeria in 1969. Then Nigeria became member of the OPEC in 1971, Ecuador in 1973 and Gabon in 1975. Few decades later, Angola joined the OPEC in 2007, Equatorial Guinea in 2017 and Congo in 2018.
Ecuador suspended its membership in 1962. However, it rejoined the cartel in 2007. But then again in 2009 Ecuador withdrew its membership from OPEC. Similarly, Indonesia suspended its membership in 2009 and rejoined the cartel in 2016 only to leave it again in 2016. Gabon also suspended its membership in 1995. Although, Gabon reactivated its membership in 2016. Qatar was the last country to terminate its membership in 2019.
Current members:
1. Iraq
2. Iran
3. Kuwait
4. Saudi Arabia
5. Venezuela
6. Libya
7. United Arab Emirates
8. Algeria
9. Nigeria
10. Gabon
11. Angola
12. Equatorial Guinea
13. Congo
The OPEC's executive organ is called the Secretariat and it is run by the Secretary General. Secretariat was originally established in 1961. It also functions as headquarters for the organization. In the beginning, OPEC had its headquarters in Geneva, Switzerland for five years. However, OPEC's headquarters were moved to Vienna, Austria in 1965. Executive organ is responsible for implementation of all resolutions passed by the Conference. Secretariat also conducts research and fullfills all decisions made by the Board of Governeros.
The Secretary General is the representative of the OPEC who simultaneously acts as Executive of the Secretariat. The Secretary General is electable role and its term last three years. Although, there is possibility to renew this term once. The Secretary General is assisted by the Office of the Secretary general and several other officers and staff members of the OPEC. The Office of the Secretary general helps the executive chief of the Secretariat to maintain efficient relations with relevant international organizations and governments. Another important organ of the organization is the Legal Office which supervises legal matters of the Secretariat and provides legal advice to the Secretary General. In addition to that, there is also the Research Division that consists of three departments: Data Services, Energy Studies and Petroleum Studies. The Research Division is responsible for conducting research with regards to the energy and related matters. Infrastructure and services are provided by the Support Services Division.
OPEC Fund
The OPEC Fund for International Development is international finance development institution that was established in 1976. It consists of 12 members: Algeria, Ecuador, Gabon, Indonesia, IR Iran, Iraq, Kuwait, Libya, Nigeria, Saudi Arabia, the United Arab Emirates and Venezuela. Its purpose is to provide financial help to the developing countries and support advancement in these low-income and middle-income countries.
Disclaimer: This content serves solely educational purpose.
Wticrudeoil
WTI OIL Buy levels the MA50/200. Potential $90 move if 77 breaksOn my most recent WTI Oil idea two weeks ago, I highlighted the importance of the Inverse Head and Shoulders (IH&S) pattern that emerged on the 1D time-frame and why the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) was the 1st buy candidate of the current bullish leg:
As you see the 1D MA50 worked perfectly as a buy entry and the upper Resistance targets have been hit. However since the price was rejected just below the 77.00 Resistance, it is possible to see another 1D MA50 test, which again will be our first buy entry. Second and final will be the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) if the Pivot Zone fails to support.
If however we close a 1D candle above the 77.00 Resistance then it will be a bullish break-out of the Inverse Head and Shoulders, in a similar way as the previous IH&S that broke upwards on May 28 2021. The break-out extended as high as the 2.0 Fibonacci extension. If the same sequence is followed, then the 2.0 is currently at 92.24. In that case our long-term target will be $90.
** Please support this idea with your likes and comments, it is the best way to keep it relevant and support me. **
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
!! Donations via TradingView coins also help me a great deal at posting more free trading content and signals here !!
🎉 👍 Shout-out to TradingShot's 💰 top TradingView Coin donor 💰 this week ==> Vergnes
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
USOIL told you exactly how the market is going to moveHello everyone, as we all know the market action discounts everything :)
_________________________________Make sure to Like and Follow if you like the idea_________________________________
On September 13 I posted an idea explaining how the USOIL was close to a breakout and that you should keep your eyes on the market for the next few days, and posted 2 Scenarios of how the market is most likely to move.
Looking at the market today we can see that the first Scenario has happened exactly as I predicted.
Over the past few weeks, oil prices have continued to proceed along an upward trajectory as commodity shortages remain a key concern for global economies. noticed that the market has brokeout the main resistance zone located between 70.40 - 70.63 and started to gain momentum that drove the price up hitting the 76.43 level yesterday, That is almost a 9% increase in 2 weeks alone
Possible Scenarios for the market :
Scenario 1 :
The market seems to be nearing the first support line located at 73.76, if the price was able to drop below and close then we could be seeing a small Bearish movement that could lead the market down to the second support at 72.89 or even below back to the main support zone at 70.40 - 70.63, where a bounce back in price will probably happen leading the price back up again to its current level.
Scenario 2 :
The Bulls are trying to gain control over the market today in hope of staying away from the support level and going back up near the first resistance level at 76.18 where a battle over control will happen and the winner will determine the outcome movement of the market, If the Bears were to win then we might see a drop to the first support at 73.76 where a bounce most likely will happen.
If the Bulls were to win then we will see an increase in price that could lead the market to the 77.73 or even the 80.74 level in the next period of time.
Technical indicators show :
1) The market is above the 10 20 50 100 and 200 MA and EMA (Strong Bullish sign)
2) The RSI is at 61.31 showing Great strength in the market, With no divergence found between the market and the indicator
3) The MACD is above the 0 line indicating that the market is in a Bullish state, With a positive crossover between the MACD line and the Signal line
Daily Support and Resistance :
support Resistance
1) 73.76 1) 76.18
2) 72.89 2) 77.73
3) 71.34 3) 78.60
Weekly Support and Resistance :
support Resistance
1) 71.06 1) 75.90
2) 67.93 2) 77.61
3) 66.22 3) 80.74
Fundamental point of view :
The price of Brent crude oil continues to soar, touching highs last seen three years ago as demand outstrips supply. The continued rollback of covid-19 restrictions in economies around the globe is driving demand ever higher with supply struggling to keep up. OPEC+ will meet next – October 4 – and they may need to increase production further to help alleviate the market shortage. Brent crude touched $80/bbl. earlier and may now set its sights on the October 2018 high at $86.65/bbl. if the OPEC+ leaves production at its levels. The Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries will also release its World Oil Outlook next week and this now takes on increased significance as prices rally hard. According to Dailyfx
This is my personal opinion done with technical analysis of the market price and research online from Fundamental Analysts and News for The Fundamental point of view, not financial advice.
If you have any questions please ask and have a great day !!
Thank you for reading.
Technical analysis update: USOIL (22nd September 2021)In recent days USOIL has been holding up relatively well in comparison to the general market. It currently trades around 71.30 USD. We forecast that positive developments in the airlines and the travel industry will drive demand higher over the next 6 months. Our short term price target remains 75 USD per barrel while our medium term price target is 77.50 USD. Our long term price target is 80 USD per barrel.
Technical analysis
RSI is bullish. MACD is also bullish. Stochastic oscillates in the bullish zone, however, it strives for reversal. ADX contains low value which suggests that trend is neutral. Despite that we remain bullish on USOIL and we expect resumption of bullish trend in close future.
RSI daily timeframe:
MACD daily timeframe:
Stochastic daily timeframe:
Support and resistance
Short term support sits around 70.50 USD. Another strong support appears around 65 USD while major support sits around 61.58 USD. Short term resistance sits at 73.11 USD. Medium term resistance sits at 74.21 USD and major resistance at 76.95 USD.
Disclaimer: This analysis is not intended to encourage any buying or selling of any particular securities. Furthermore, it should not serve as basis for taking any trade action by individual investor. Your own due dilligence is highly advised before entering trade.
Wait for the signal to buy Oil when retest appearsH1 time frame.
Structure: Uptrend.
The price rallied after breaking the double bottom reversal pattern on the 30 minute time frame and breaking the Key level of the correction at 71.50.
Waiting for the price to return to this area with a retest signal confirming the uptrend is back, you can find buying opportunities.
Profit target is zone 74.000.
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Wish you all have a good trading day!
WTI Crude oil, the price reacted exactly in the expected area!Hello my beauties,
In my previous analysis I said I expected a move to the downside in the area in red (link below this text, check it out).
The price of oil is now completing a bearish megaphone (ascending broadening wedge) pattern.
Check out my analysis for more trading ideas!
If you find this idea to be helpful like, follow, and drop a comment below if you'd want me to analyse a different pair.
Consider supporting me if you think I am providing you with value.
Peace.
Luca, TrickleDownFX
Wait for a buy signal with OILH4 time frame.
Structure: The bullish structure is confirmed.
The price returned to the 70.00 support zone.
Here, wait for bullish setups on the 1-hour timeframe to buy.
The profit target is the 74.00 zone.
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Wish you all have a good trading day!
OIL TRADE IDEA UPDATELast week, oil failed to break through the $67.63 support level and rallied back, retesting the trendline.
So the trade plan for next week is to hold the buy position from the previous week and see if oil can break over the trendline. (Please review the prior trade idea to get a better picture of what I'm talking about.)
Breakout of the trendline might push oil to the next level of resistance at $72.66.
My trading strategy isn't intended to be used as a signal service. It's a process of gaining knowledge of market structure and improving my trading abilities.
Like and subscribe and happy trading to all
Backtesting WTICUSD (OIL) In this video, I am going to back test OIL on the 4 h chart! An interesting reversal signal was printed!
A total of 9 signals, two were losers and the rest price hit profit target nicely.
I used 1 :6 atr multiplier, but when there is a Reversal signal, this R:R will automatically be set to 1.5 : 15 atr multiplier.
Uptrend Returns to Oil?H4 time frame.
Structure: Downtrend.
The current price is still trading in the range of the 70.00 resistance zone .
Oil price is having upward moves to break the resistance level of 70.00 but there is no confirmation yet.
Along with that, the uptrend is decreasing, showing clear divergence signals.
In the bullish case, a clear rise above the 71.00 level is needed and there are confirmation retest signals.
In the case of a downtrend, it is necessary to wait for the price to break the Key level and confirm the downtrend is back.
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Wish you all have a good trading day!
Technical analysis update: USOIL (13th September 2021)USOIL continues to trade around its short-term resistance near 70.50 USD price level. We continue to be bullish on USOIL. Our short term price target is 72.50 USD. Our medium term price target is 77.50 USD and long term price target is 80 USD.
Technical Analysis
ADX exhibits low value suggesting that trend is neutral or very weak. Although, RSI and Stochastic are very bullish. MACD is also very bullish. Indeed, it is performing crossover above 0 points (that we predicted in our previous idea). We expect this phenomenon to result in resumption of the bullish trend and subsequent price rise. Important support levels appear near 65 USD and then at 61.78 USD. Contrary to that, closest resistance sits at 74.21 USD and then at 76.95 USD. We currently remain bullish on price of WTI oil.
Disclaimer: This analysis is not intended to encourage any buying or selling of any particular securities. Furthermore, it should not serve as basis for taking any trade action by individual investor. Your own due dilligence is highly advised before entering trade.
A reversal pattern appeared at an important zone with OILH4 time frame.
Structure: Downtrend.
After the price rose to the important Key level of 70.00, there is now a head and shoulders - reversal pattern.
Now waiting for the price to clearly break this reversal pattern or break the Key level up move at the price of 67.000, we can find selling opportunities.
The profit target is the 62.000 zone.
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Wish you all have a good trading day!
Waiting for the opportunity to sell with USOILH2 time frame.
HIgher time frame downtrend structure, price tends to rise to Key level 70.00 then price breaks the trendline.
Price formed a double top reversal pattern with a divergence signal.
However, the bullish structure remains and there is no bearish confirmation yet.
Wait for the price to drop below the price of 67.00 and have a bearish confirmation to find a selling opportunity.
Profit target after price confirmation is 62.00.
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Wish you all have a good trading day!
Analysis of the downtrend of WTI OIL and targetsOil prices are constantly falling due to the deterioration of the corona !
After breaking its daily trend line, which was formed in March 2020, the price has again emptied the volume in a negative direction and is coming down !
.
.
After opening the market, if the price breaks 61.60, you can enter the sell position with the targets of 60.40, 58.00 n 55.00
WTICOUSDhe West Texas Intermediate Crude Oil market has broken higher during the course of the trading session on Thursday as we broke above the $70 level. That is an area that I have been talking about for a while, and the fact that we broke above there is a very good sign and it is likely that we could go looking towards the $74 level. The $74 level is an area where we have sold off drastically in the past, and as a result it looks like we are going to continue to see that as important.
On the other hand, we could turn back around and go looking towards the 50 day EMA underneath, which is near the $60.75 level. That is an area that I think could offer quite a bit of support, and therefore think it is only a matter of time before the buyers would come back into that area. At this point in time, the $67 level is an area that has been support during the previous session, as well as many other days. As long as we can stay above the $67 level then it is likely that we will continue to go higher. However, breaking down below that level would open up a completely different scenario.
If we were to break down below the $67 level, then it is likely that the market would fall towards the $65 level, possibly even the 200 day EMA after that. When I look at this chart, that could very well be what happens next, but once we get past the jobs number will have a quite a bit more in the way of clarity, so therefore it is worth paying attention to how things end up at the end of the session. I feel at this point time we are at the precipice of some type of bigger move, so it is interesting to see how the market plays out at the end of the day.
The size of the candlestick is relatively impressive, although I do not necessarily think that it is an explosive move to the upside. If we can break above the top of the candlestick, then it is likely that we go much higher. Ultimately, this is a market that looks like we are going to see volatility coming soon. In that scenario, the end of the day on Friday is crucial.
Good time to short XTIUSD (WTI crude) 06 Sep, 2021As you can see from my daily chart, after reaching a high in early July, this pair is forming a sequence of lower highs/lower lows. The recent high of 76.53 is actually a double top (scroll back to 30 Sep 2018). After bouncing off the support at 61.700, we had a pullback to 70.500. This level (area) acted as minor support/resistance during the past few months. This pullback to a previous significant level is encouraging to me – it shows a structure in the price action.
In my opinion, we could be seeing the start of a bearish trend and would be ready to take a short either at current levels or better still a small pullback to 70.500. Either way, we have a good R/R whether we target the 61.700 or 53.920 region. It is important to limit the loss in case this analysis is wrong, my stop will probably be located at 72.100 area.
If you like my analysis, please give it a “thumbs up” and follow me to get immediate notifications.
Always use sound money and risk management in all your trades.
WTI OIL had the biggest weekly rise since May 31 2020!WTI Crude Oil posted last week the strongest 1W candle (+10.30%) since May 31 2020 (+11.44%). What can this possibly mean for future prices? Alone nothing. But as you see, last week's bounce came after a 1W RSI touch on the 43.50 Support which has been holding since May 2020 as well. That makes the bullish case stronger but based on the September - October 2020 fractal (right before the U.S. elections) we may see one last pull-back before a new rally. As seen on the chart, that pull-back may find Support on the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line). As long as this holds, the trend will remain bullish, so for a swing trader, the best course of action would be to scale with a buy now and if the price pulls back, add another closer to the 1W MA50.
** Please support this idea with your likes and comments, it is the best way to keep it relevant and support me. **
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
!! Donations via TradingView coins also help me a great deal at posting more free trading content and signals here !!
🎉 👍 Shout-out to TradingShot's 💰 top TradingView Coin donor 💰 this week ==> vychod
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Today’s Notable Sentiment ShiftsUSD – The dollar was little changed on Wednesday as oil prices slowed after a big two-day advance, US Treasury yields move higher, and investors awaited clues on the tapering of economic support by the Federal Reserve at this week’s Jackson Hole symposium.
Commenting on their outlook and approach to trading USD, Lombard Odier Group noted that “there’s been skittishness over growth and sector rotations, which has boosted the dollar because of its safe-haven status.
In the short term, we’re still going to be trading in ranges, with upside bias. Dollar underperformance after Jackson Hole could be a buying opportunity ahead of the release of US data next week, including the non-farm payrolls report for August… Potential positive surprises from the NFP in particular could out QE (quantitative easing) taper back among the main FX market drivers and support the USD.”