WTI . Weekly Technical Analysis UpdateMidterm forecast:
. While the price is below the resistance 43.60, beginning of downtrend is expected.
. We make sure when the support at 37.15 breaks.
. If the resistance at 43.60 is broken, the short-term forecast -beginning of downtrend- will be invalid.
Technical analysis:
. There is a divergence in RSI and price between the peak at 40.565 on 2020-06-08 and the peak at 43.595 on 2020-08-05, the probability of uptrend continuation is decreased and the probability of beginning of downtrend is increased.
. While the RSI support #1 at 52 is not broken, the probability of price decrease would be too low.
. A peak is formed in daily chart at 43.60 on 08/05/2020, so more losses to support(s) 42.30, 38.85 and minimum to Major Support (37.15) is expected.
. Price is above WEMA21, if price drops more, this line can act as dynamic support against more losses.
. Relative strength index (RSI) is 59.
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Wticrudeoil
WTI . Weekly Technical Analysis Update Midterm forecast:
. While the price is below the resistance 43.60, beginning of downtrend is expected.
. We make sure when the support at 37.15 breaks.
. If the resistance at 43.60 is broken, the short-term forecast -beginning of downtrend- will be invalid.
Technical analysis:
. There is a divergence in RSI and price between the peak at 40.565 on 2020-06-08 and the peak at 43.595 on 2020-08-05, the probability of uptrend continuation is decreased and the probability of beginning of downtrend is increased.
. While the RSI support #1 at 52 is not broken, the probability of price decrease would be too low.
. A peak is formed in daily chart at 43.60 on 08/05/2020, so more losses to support(s) 42.30, 38.85 and minimum to Major Support (37.15) is expected.
. Price is above WEMA21, if price drops more, this line can act as dynamic support against more losses.
. Relative strength index (RSI) is 59.
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BARELY MAKE ENDS MEET .... WELCOME WHIPSAW KILLERDisclaimers mode on
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WTI . Weekly Technical Analysis UpdateMidterm forecast:
While the price is below the resistance 43.60, beginning of downtrend is expected.
We make sure when the support at 30.85 breaks.
If the resistance at 43.60 is broken, the short-term forecast -beginning of downtrend- will be invalid.
Technical analysis:
There is a divergence in RSI and price between the peak at 40.565 on 2020-06-08 and the peak at 43.595 on 2020-08-05, the probability of uptrend continuation is decreased and the probability of beginning of downtrend is increased.
While the RSI support #1 at 52 is not broken, the probability of price decrease would be too low.
A peak is formed in daily chart at 43.60 on 08/05/2020, so more losses to support(s) 42.30, 38.85, 37.15 and minimum to Major Support (30.85) is expected.
Price is above WEMA21, if price drops more, this line can act as dynamic support against more losses.
Relative strength index (RSI) is 60.
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WTI . Weekly Technical Analysis UpdateMidterm forecast:
While the price is below the resistance 43.60, beginning of downtrend is expected.
We make sure when the support at 30.85 breaks.
If the resistance at 43.60 is broken, the short-term forecast -beginning of downtrend- will be invalid.
Technical analysis:
There is a divergence in RSI and price between the peak at 40.565 on 2020-06-08 and the peak at 43.595 on 2020-08-05, the probability of uptrend continuation is decreased and the probability of beginning of downtrend is increased.
While the RSI support #1 at 52 is not broken, the probability of price decrease would be too low.
A peak is formed in daily chart at 43.60 on 08/05/2020, so more losses to support(s) 42.30, 38.85, 37.15 and minimum to Major Support (30.85) is expected.
Price is above WEMA21, if price drops more, this line can act as dynamic support against more losses.
Relative strength index (RSI) is 60.
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WTI Crude Oil: Downside potential.WTI Crude Oil is trading within a long term ascending Channel, which we well pointed out a couple weeks back:
The 4H chart though is turning neutral again (RSI = 49.100, MACD = 0.140, ADX = 33.703) due to the continuous consolidation with the 4H MA50 as Support. As seen on the chart, this resembles the top build-ups on July 8th and 29th, with the MACD and RSI reading also similar. What followed after the top was formed was roughly a -6.50% decline. Right now this extension is around 40.00 and that will be a buy entry for us. Longer-term investors can look for an even deeper opportunity on the 2-month Support Zone.
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WTI . Important Technical Analysis UpdateMidterm forecast:
. While the price is below the resistance 43.60, beginning of downtrend is expected.
. We make sure when the support at 30.85 breaks.
. If the resistance at 43.60 is broken, the short-term forecast -beginning of downtrend- will be invalid.
Technical analysis:
. There is a divergence in RSI and price between the peak at 40.565 on 2020-06-08 and the peak at 43.595 on 2020-08-05, the probability of uptrend continuation is decreased and the . probability of beginning of downtrend is increased.
. While the RSI support #1 at 52 is not broken, the probability of price decrease would be too low.
. A peak is formed in daily chart at 43.60 on 08/05/2020, so more losses to support(s) 38.85, 37.15, 34.60 and minimum to Major Support (30.85) is expected.
. Price is above WEMA21, if price drops more, this line can act as dynamic support against more losses.
. Relative strength index (RSI) is 58.
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WTI . Important Technical Analysis Update
WTI . Important Technical Analysis UpdateMidterm forecast:
. While the price is below the resistance 43.60, beginning of downtrend is expected.
. We make sure when the support at 30.85 breaks.
. If the resistance at 43.60 is broken, the short-term forecast -beginning of downtrend- will be invalid.
Technical analysis:
. There is a divergence in RSI and price between the peak at 40.565 on 2020-06-08 and the peak at 43.595 on 2020-08-05, the probability of uptrend continuation is decreased and the . probability of beginning of downtrend is increased.
. While the RSI support #1 at 52 is not broken, the probability of price decrease would be too low.
. A peak is formed in daily chart at 43.60 on 08/05/2020, so more losses to support(s) 38.85, 37.15, 34.60 and minimum to Major Support (30.85) is expected.
. Price is above WEMA21, if price drops more, this line can act as dynamic support against more losses.
. Relative strength index (RSI) is 58.
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. . . . . Please show your support back,
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WTI Crude Oil: Long-term Buy OpportunityOil just broke the 4H MA200 which hasn't been touched since May 3rd. The chart is close to turning oversold (RSI = 29.01, MACD = -0.170, ADX = 32.681) so it is natural to see some buying now, especially as the Higher Low trend-line of the June Channel Up was almost touched (the dashed Channel). If it holds, we expect 42.00 - 42.50. If it breaks, we will halt buying until the price tests the top of the 37.50 - 37.00 Support Zone. Also, as you see the 4H RSI follows a very specific Channel Down pattern, and if that test happens to be within the RSI 24.90 - 19.00 levels, then the buy will be even stronger.
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United States OilFUNDAMENTALS:
Ever since the reverse stock split back in April of this year, this chart has become problematic in future price discovery. I have no skin in this, but I want to take on the oil markets as a challenge to myself to focus in on the global markets, and how political shenanigans play a factor in the price of oil. Just keep in mind what drove the prices of oil down this year, and think about the coming presidential election. That will be your unknown variable to the fundamentals in the price.
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS:
I have chosen the daily time frame for this chart since it has done the reverse stock split that has complicated the price ranges. I have found that the price is possibly forming an ASCENDING TRIANGLE or a PENNANT. This pattern I have outlined in white lines. There WILL be a breakout of this pattern in the coming days or weeks. A break below will happen based on the fundamentals of the global economic, and the fear virus.
A break above this pattern will allow the price push higher and retest the orange lines.
Remember, I am not your financial advisor, and I am not legally qualified to give advice or tell you what to do with your money. Do your own research.