Wticrudeoil
USOIL range still in playAs the API report yesterday was worse than anticipated, a small drop followed. However we can expect huge movement this week leaning towards the EOW.
Once in the range, boolinger bands can be a decent indicator amid the swings within the range. But i would advise to take precaution as the channel has been holding for over a week now signifying a move is awaiting. under 24.6 we can expect downward action with targets 23.5 & 22 and 20. upwards we can target 28.8 > 30. lets see what this range brings us and remember to use stop loss!
Check for yourself if the risk is worth the reward youre looking for and good luck out there!
Comment/ like if you appreciate the post and let me know if you are interested in short/long term views in USOIL.
My toughts on WTI2 possible scenarios wich of one I want to see play out, however I am non-biased on this, price 2 times reversed at 19.828 because of strong resistance that formed strong highs, however now It´s 3rd time price is approaching this area so it might be broken as well, going to monitor PA in this area.
SHORT SWING FOR THE MARKET BULLSThe new month isn't exactly off a great start so far for risk trades. After the historic April 20th on the oil price for the first time closing at $0.01 per barrel, price action has been able to recover some grounds, as it couldn't go deeper in the charts, of course, price action register a recover of 244K% as the new high on May 6th touching $27.95 per barrel.
The market remains under bearish pressure as production cuts won't ease or improve the impact on the demand sector as long as the trending COVID-19 "plandemic" is still capturing the spotlights, as quarantine, lockdowns and social distance policies remain, the most prominent world economies contraction is unavoidable. In the following weeks, expect economic releases to show worse conditions in the global economy, representing the height of downturn for most majors economies, no assuming much good news during this time, let us move on into the technical charts for the oil market.
Reading the charts; after seven days' rally, the price action had reached the previous strong resistance level in confluence with Fibonacci level 0.5 stopping the rally as a clear technical correction. Price action has formed a triple top in this level; with stochastic in an overbought area, we could expect a downturn correction before the market can recover some strength and break the $27 handle. With a MACD in a bullish bias and the 200SMA still slopping down and overextended, we should consider entering the market only with additional confirmations from the technical side as the market remains under intense pressure from a global glut.
With 27 million bpd removed from the market in April and the COVID-19 cases report rising, oil demand remains jeopardized. However, as it is widely known, the market is always benevolent to those smart investors and traders who take patience, usually in a sit-and-wait mode, before placing position. So, let's keep smart and sharp, as is expected in the short-term horizon, a solid hurdle around the $28 handle. Let us enjoy and recharge batteries in this weekend ahead and hopefully see you all next Friday.
SHORT for WTI in Short term.Currently, there is too much uncertainties in Oil Industry.
Most of the giant Oil companies are in struggle right now. First quarter was closed with minus profit.
Small companies are on the edge of bankruptcy.
On the other hand there is no storage for the currently producing oil.
Saudi oil tankers are on the way to US.
If US gets Saudi Oil on board there is possibility for another collapse of Oil prices going sub-zero.
If US makes decision to start selling WTI in intercontinental market, the price will jump above Brent price.
Overall there is not enough fundamental reason for the price increase for the short term.
Eventually Oil prices will increase. It is all about supply and demand.
Many companies will shut down with current price and naturally the supply will drop and prices jump.
Removing lockdowns will force industries to consume Oil voraciously.
I am expecting hyperinflation for USD soon. This will affect Gold and Oil prices to jump to new historical highs.
I think in long term Oil price will increase dramatically above 160 USD.
Based on technical and fundamental analysis I am not expecting prices to go above 16USD for this week.
There is still possibility for another price crash for very short period.
Please, trade at your own risk. I have less experience overall.
WTI Oil July futures. Buy. Divergence 30min chartI have drawn the 1hr chart here to show the spike in volume with the low at 1780. We can see a break below the tredline and a lot of volume come back in. Actually the 30 min chart also shows a nice MACDH divergence at this point as well. All in all this actually constitutes a higher swing low on the oil charts after a lot of divergence at the major low of 1735 on the daily charts.
I am preferring to trade the July contract due to oversupply concerns on the June contract.
Stop at 1770 target 2020 in the first instance.
OIL = Investment of the year? OIL could be the best investment of the year right now.
- Biggest intraday drop since 1985
- Lowest price since 1998
As soon as Corona will fade away, Airlines will recover and everyone will need oil again.
Also expecting to OPEC deal to cut more until further notice when everything will end
Buying now... Don't wanna regret later.
STOP LOSS 3$ per Barell with 1:2 investment.
Trade and invest on your own risk. Its not advice, but it can help someone open eyes. Enjoy
Expect Oil To Fall Sharply For June ContractsHi traders.
It is very unlikely that oil supply and demand will change in the short term. There appears to be no apparent supply cuts in order to support the oil price. Buying volume also appears weak in the short run. Only rising tensions with Iran could possibly cause USOIL to push higher. As a result, as the global lock down will not halt suddenly resulting in back to normal economic activity, I would expect to see sharp oil selling as the contract comes to a close.
Like & drop a follow if you agree!
Note: DO NOT FOLLOW THIS TRADE BLINDLY!
Start taking ADVANTAGE of OIL now!If I were to go long, my entry would be placed at $26 as the probability of a successful rebound is high if the market closes above the high of the current candle.
I’d set my stop-loss below the structural support level. If the market breaks below to prove my idea wrong, I’ll just accept it and quit with a small loss.
And my profit target would be at the upper bound of the monthly support zone. That gives me a decent risk-reward ratio of 1 : 1.76. Pretty good, huh?
On the contrary, I’d wait for a market retest of the structural support level to go short. Thus, my entry would be slightly below the support level. And I’d set my stop-loss at the upper bound of the monthly support zone.
“Where would your profit target be?” You may ask.
Given the current market outlook, I’d just leave it open for now. That yields me a risk-reward ratio of 1: Infinite, for the moment.
Long or Short, what’s your take?
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CL1! - Oil plunges below zero for the first time in historyOK, just one more chart about oil because it is a historical event (and could(!) affect crypto market as well somehow).
Looks like it settled at ~$35, experienced 325% drop for today.
Why did it happen? I think due to coronavirus and lockdowns oil isn't being used much. But it needs to be stored somewhere and it costs money.
And there's a lot of oil in storages and most of facilities are full. So nobody who can store it will buy it from you. If you want to get rid of oil, you have to pay someone, that's why price turns negative.
Don't pretend to be an expert just my take on this situation.
Hit the "LIKE" button and follow to support, thank you.
Information is just for educational purposes, never financial advice. Always do your own research.
BRENT CRUDE OIL HAS NOWHERE TO GO BUT UP!!!The oil price fall today , monday 20 2020 is at the highest for 20 years a whooping 104% drop on US oil will see investors loose 100% on their oil investments.. Fundamentally the USA and other counter parts are lacking facilities to store oil so its prices are dropping to zero and there's no where to go from there except up back to test the trendline so just buy.
Crude oil into very low price.!The dump of the crude is faster than I excpected and the price is below the 12$. The cost of the oil production per barrel for Irak, Iran and Saudi Arabia is 10$ and below wich is the cheapest in the world (Saudi 8.90$). With all the economy troubles what do you think that this dump affect in the world?.
The truth is that we dont see these price since the 90s and it had takes a good 10 years of consolidation before the price break higher in the 2000s.
Anyway the three drives to the downside movemment is complete and we can have a good consolidation in these areas or a manipulative spike, the only thing that i know is that this and lower prices is a good entry for a very very long term. Whats your opinion? Let me know in the comments
WTI oil long opportunityCrude oil futures fell, with U.S. futures touching levels not seen since 1999, extending weakness on the back of sliding demand and concerns that U.S. storage facilities will soon fill to the brim amid the coronavirus pandemic.
Price crashed over lower support of trending channel and its now placed on long term support which goes back to 1987, 1990, 1996 and 2000 levels. I think this is great long-term play from here - just wait the price stabilize for better entry.